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Washington Post - ABC News Monthly Poll

Friday, May 12, 2000

The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews conducted with 1,068 randomly selected adults nationwide between May 7-10, 2000. The margin of error for overall results is plus or minus 3.0 percentage points.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2000 presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                                      Don't think
           Certain   Probably   Chances   Less than    will vote     No
           to vote     vote      50/50      50/50       (vol.)      opin.
5/10/00      63         15        10          8           4          1
4/2/00       62         14         9          9           5          *
3/11/00      63         14         9          9           4          *
2/27/00      69         12        10          4           5          *
2/6/00       67         12        10          8           3          *
1/16/00      65         14        10          6           4          *
12/15/99     64         13         8          9           6          1
10/31/99     72         11        10          5           3          *

2. If the election for president in November 2000 were being held today, and the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), and (George W. Bush, the Republican), for whom would you vote?

Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
                              Neither    Other    Wouldn't         No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    (vol.)    vote (vol.)    opin.
5/10/00         44      49       3         *          1             3
4/2/00          47      46       2         *          2             2
3/11/00         48      45       2         1          2             3
2/27/00         44      50       2         1          1             2
2/6/00          45      50       2         *          2             1
1/16/00         42      52       1         1          2             2
12/15/99        41      55       1         *          2             1
10/31/99        39      55       2         *          1             2
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
                              Neither    Other    Wouldn't         No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    (vol.)    vote (vol.)    opin.
5/10/00         43      49       3         *          2             3
4/2/00          45      47       3         *          2             2
3/11/00         48      45       2         1          3             2
2/27/00         44      50       2         1          2             2
2/6/00          45      49       3         *          2             1
1/16/00         41      51       2         *          3             2
12/15/99        39      55       2         *          3             1
10/31/99        39      55       2         *          2             2
9/2/99          37      56       3         *          3             2
8/22/99         37      49       5         2          3             3
6/6/99          40      53       3         1          1             3
3/14/99         41      54       1         *          2             2
Unleaned, General Population:
                              Neither    Wouldn't       No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    vote (vol.)   opin.
10/25/98        34      45       7           1          13
8/21/98         41      43       6           2           7
1/19/98         40      45       5           2           7
9/23/97         35      40      12           4           9

3. How about if the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), (George W. Bush, the Republican), (Pat Buchanan, the Reform Party candidate) and (Ralph Nader, the Green Party candidate), for whom would you vote?

Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
                                           None     Other  Wouldn't     No
          Gore   Bush   Buchanan   Nader  (vol.)   (vol.)  vote (vol.)  op.
5/10/00    39     45       5         5       2       0       1           3
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
                                           None   Other  Wouldn't       No
          Gore   Bush   Buchanan   Nader  (vol.)   (vol.)  vote (vol.)  op.
5/10/00    38     44       5         5       2       *       3           3

4. How important will (READ ITEM) be to you in deciding how to vote in the 2000 presidential election in November - very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all?

5/10/00
                             ---Important----    ----Not important---     No
                             Very    Somewhat    Not too    Not at all    op.
A. Handling the issue
   of gun control             58        25           8           7         1
B. Protecting the Social
   Security system            71        21           4           4         1
5/9/00
C. Handling the issue of
   prescription drug 
   benefits for the elderly   56        28          10           5         1
Trend where available:
A. Handling the issue of gun control
               ---Important----    ----Not important---      No
               Very    Somewhat    Not too    Not at all    opin.
5/10/00         58        25           8           7          1
4/2/00*         62        21           8           9          *
10/31/99        61        24           8           6          1
9/2/99          56        25           9           9          1
* asked of half sample

B. Protecting the Social Security System

               ---Important----    ----Not important---      No
               Very    Somewhat    Not too    Not at all    opin.
5/10/00         71        21           4           4          1
4/2/00*         74        20           3           2          *
10/31/99        76        17           3           4          *
9/2/99          68        25           5           2          *
3/14/99         74        20           4           2          *
* asked of half sample

6. Would you support or oppose having the Medicare insurance program cover prescription drug expenses for senior citizens?

           Support    Oppose    No opinion
5/10/00       89          7           4

7. (Asked of those who support drug coverage in Q6) What if it meant you'd have to pay more into the Medicare system - in that case would you support or oppose having Medicare cover prescription drug expenses for senior citizens?

           Support     Oppose     No opinion
5/10/00       81          15            4

8. Do you personally take prescription drugs on regular basis, or only occasionally?

           Regularly   Occasionally    Never (vol.)    No opinion
5/10/00        39           45              15               *

9. On another subject, as you may know, federal officers removed Elian Gonzalez from his relative's home in Miami and returned him to his father. Do you support or oppose the federal action to remove the boy from his relative's home and return him to his father?

            Support    Oppose    No opinion
5/10/00       66         26          7
4/24/00*      65         32          2

*Wording: On another subject, as you may know, federal officers removed the boy from his relative's home in Miami and returned him to his father on Saturday. Do you support or oppose the federal action to remove the boy from his relative's home and return him to his father?

10. Who do you think should be granted permanent custody of Elian Gonzalez - his father or his relatives in Miami?

                           Miami        No
              Father     relatives    opinion
5/10/00         78          14           8
4/24/00         76          20           4

14. On another subject, do you favor or oppose stricter gun control laws in this country? Is that strongly or somewhat favor/oppose?

            ------------Favor---------    -----------Oppose--------   No
            NET    Strongly   Somewhat    NET   Strongly   Somewhat  opin.
5/10/00     67        50         17       30       22          9      3
4/2/00      64        49         14       34       21         13      2
9/2/99      63        52         11       35       25         11      2
8/15/99     63        46         16       34       22         12      3
5/16/99     67        55         12       31       21         10      1
10/13/93*   64        40         24       33       20         13      3
6/8/89*     60        28         32       34       23         11      6
*Gallup: "Do you strongly favor, favor, oppose, or strongly oppose enacting tougher gun control laws?"

15. (Asked of half sample) Would you support or oppose a law requiring (READ ITEM). How about a law requiring (NEXT ITEM). For each: Do you feel that way strongly, or only somewhat?

                           ------Support------   -------Oppose-------  No
                           NET  Strngly  Smewht  NET  Strngly  Smewht  op.
A. Background checks on
   people buying guns
   at gun shows            92      82       10     6      3       3     2
B. Trigger locks on all
   stored guns             81      68       13    16      9       6     4
C. All handgun owners to
   register their firearms
   with the government     75      63       12    23     16       7     2
D. A nationwide ban
   on the sale of
   assault weapons         71      60       11    27     16      11     2
E. Licenses for all 
   handgun owners          83      70       13    15     10       5     2
F. A nationwide ban on
   the sale of handguns,
   except to law
   enforcement officers    38      26       12    59     43      16     3

Trend:

A. Background checks on people buying guns at gun shows

           --------Support--------    --------Oppose--------    No
           NET    Strngly   Smewht    NET   Strngly   Smewht   opin.
5/10/00*   92        82       10       6       3        3        2
9/2/99*    90        80       10       9       7        3        1
5/16/99    89        77       12      11       7        4        *

B. Trigger locks on all stored guns

           --------Support--------    --------Oppose--------    No
           NET    Strngly   Smewht    NET   Strngly   Smewht   opin.
5/10/00*   81       68        13      16       9        6        4
9/2/99*    79       66        13      20      14        6        1
5/16/99    75       61        14      22      14        8        3

C. All handgun owners to register their firearms with the government

           --------Support--------    --------Oppose--------    No
           NET    Strngly   Smewht    NET   Strngly   Smewht   opin.
5/10/00*   75       63        12      23      16        7        2
9/2/99*    75       60        15      24      18        6        1

D. A nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons

           --------Support--------    --------Oppose--------    No
           NET    Strngly   Smewht    NET   Strngly   Smewht   opin.
5/10/00*   71       60        11      27      16        11       2
9/2/99*    77       68         9      22      14         8       1
5/16/99    79       67        12      19      12         7       2
6/14/94    80       NA        NA      18      NA        NA       2

F. A nationwide ban on the sale of handguns, except to law enforcement officers

           --------Support--------    --------Oppose--------    No
           NET    Strngly   Smewht    NET   Strngly   Smewht   opin.
5/10/00*   38       26        12      59      43       16       3
9/2/99*    32       23         9      65      47       18       3
* asked of half sample

16. Do you personally feel any sense of danger from gun violence where you live and work, or not? Do you feel that way strongly, or only somewhat?

            ------------Yes------------
            NET   Great deal   Somewhat     No     No opinion
5/10/00     25         7          19        75         * 

17. Not counting military service, have you personally ever been threatened with a gun or shot at? (IF YES) Which was that - threatened, or shot at?

            ------------Yes-----------
            NET   Threatened   Shot at     No     No opinion
5/10/00     23        14           9       77         * 

18. Do you or does anyone in your house own a gun, or not?

           Yes    No    No opinion
5/10/00    45     55         *
9/2/99     44     56         *
5/16/99    46     53         *

19. (Asked of those with children under 18 in household) Have you spoken with your child or children about the hazards of handling guns, or hasn't that come up yet?

             Spoken      Not come up    No opinion
5/10/00        72            28             0

© Copyright 2000 The Washington Post Company


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