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Washington Post - ABC News Monthly Poll

June Monthly

The latest Washington Post/ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 1,204 randomly selected adults nationwide, conducted between June 8-11, 2000. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.0 percentage points.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. How closely are you following the 2000 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

            Very        Somewhat     Not too     Not closely     No
           closely      closely      closely       at all       opin.
6/11/00      13            36          26            25           0
4/2/00       17            36          24            23           0
3/11/00      21            40          21            17           0
2/27/00      24            46          20            10           *
2/6/00       19            48          21            13           0
1/16/00      11            39          26            24           *
12/15/99     12            33          31            24           *
10/31/99     16            45          25            13           *

2. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2000 presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                                      Don't think
           Certain   Probably   Chances   Less than    will vote     No
           to vote     vote      50/50      50/50       (vol.)      opin.
6/11/00      60         13        11         10           4          *		   
5/10/00      63         15        10          8           4          1
4/2/00       62         14         9          9           5          *
3/11/00      63         14         9          9           4          *
2/27/00      69         12        10          4           5          *
2/6/00       67         12        10          8           3          *
1/16/00      65         14        10          6           4          *
12/15/99     64         13         8          9           6          1
10/31/99     72         11        10          5           3          *

3. If the election for president in November 2000 were being held today, and the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), and (George W. Bush, the Republican), for whom would you vote?

Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
                              Neither    Other    Wouldn't         No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    (vol.)    vote (vol.)    opin.
6/11/00         45      49       3         *          1             2
5/10/00         44      49       3         *          1             3
4/2/00          47      46       2         *          2             2
3/11/00         48      45       2         1          2             3
2/27/00         44      50       2         1          1             2
2/6/00          45      50       2         *          2             1
1/16/00         42      52       1         1          2             2
12/15/99        41      55       1         *          2             1
10/31/99        39      55       2         *          1             2
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
                              Neither    Other    Wouldn't         No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    (vol.)    vote (vol.)    opin.
6/11/00         44      49       3         *           2            2
5/10/00         43      49       3         *          2             3
4/2/00          45      47       3         *          2             2
3/11/00         48      45       2         1          3             2
2/27/00         44      50       2         1          2             2
2/6/00          45      49       3         *          2             1
1/16/00         41      51       2         *          3             2
12/15/99        39      55       2         *          3             1
10/31/99        39      55       2         *          2             2
9/2/99          37      56       3         *          3             2
8/22/99         37      49       5         2          3             3
6/6/99          40      53       3         1          1             3
3/14/99         41      54       1         *          2             2
Unleaned, General Population:
                              Neither    Wouldn't       No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    vote (vol.)   opin.
10/25/98        34      45       7           1          13
8/21/98         41      43       6           2           7
1/19/98         40      45       5           2           7
9/23/97         35      40      12           4           9

4. How about if the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), (George W. Bush, the Republican), (Pat Buchanan, the Reform Party candidate) and (Ralph Nader, the Green Party candidate), for whom would you vote?

Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
                                           None     Other  Wouldn't     No
          Gore   Bush   Buchanan   Nader  (vol.)   (vol.)  vote (vol.)  op.
6/11/00    41     47       4         4       2       *       1           2
5/10/00    39     45       5         5       2       0       1           3
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
                                           None   Other  Wouldn't       No
          Gore   Bush   Buchanan   Nader  (vol.)   (vol.)  vote (vol.)  op.
6/11/00    42     44       4         3       2       *       2          2
5/10/00    38     44       5         5       2       *       3          3

5. Which presidential candidate, (Gore) or (Bush), do you trust to do a better job on each of those issues? First is (INSERT ITEM)

6/11/00
                                             Both     Neither      No
                             Gore    Bush   (vol.)     (vol.)     opin.
A. Protecting the Social
   Security system            43      40       1         8          8
B. Handling the national
   economy                    41      46       1         6          6
 Trend:
A. Protecting the Social Security system
                                          Both     Neither      No
                          Gore    Bush   (vol.)     (vol.)     opin.
6/11/00                    43      40       1         8          8
5/10/00*                   46      38       2         6          8
4/2/00                     43      43       4         4          6
3/11/00                    48      35       3         8          6
10/31/99                   42      45       3         3          6
*Asked of half sample
B. Handling the national economy
                                          Both     Neither      No
                          Gore    Bush   (vol.)     (vol.)     opin.
6/11/00                    41       46       1        6          6
4/2/00                     41       47       3        4          5
3/11/00                    43       47       2        4          3
10/31/99                   37       50       3        3          7
6. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to (Bush/Gore), or not?
6/11/00
                                  ------Bush-----     ------Gore------
                                               No                  No
                                  Yes    No    op.    Yes    No    op.
A. He understands the problems
   of people like you             48     47     5     53     42     6
B. He is a strong leader          65     30     6     48     45     6
C. He can get things done         66     27     7     58     35     7
Trend (where available):
A. He understands the problems of people like you
                ------Bush------     ------Gore------
                Yes   No   No op.    Yes   No   No op.
6/11/00         48    47     5       53    42     6
4/2/00*         48    46     6       54    40     6
3/11/00         47    47     6       55    39     5
2/27/00         43    51     6       49    47     5
2/6/00          43    52     5       50    47     4
1/16/00         46    49     6       46    47     7
12/15/99        47    46     7       46    49     6
10/31/99        54    39     7       57    38     4
9/2/99          50    39    11       47    45     8
6/13/99         NA    NA    NA       44    44    12
3/14/99         52    27    21       48    41    11
*Asked of half sample
 B. He is a strong leader
                ------Bush------     ------Gore------
                Yes   No   No op.    Yes   No   No op.
6/11/00         65    30     6       48    45     6
4/2/00*         68    27     5       54    39     7
3/11/00         63    31     6       55    40     5
2/27/00         62    32     6       45    50     5
2/6/00          65    30     6       46    48     5
1/16/00         65    28     7       41    53     6
12/15/99        67    26     7       43    51     7
10/31/99        77    18     5       47    47     6
9/2/99          70    18    12       38    52    10
6/13/99         NA    NA    NA       39    51     9
3/14/99         68    13    20       41    47    12
*Asked of half sample

7. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

           ----Excellent/Good-----    -----Not so good/Poor--- No
             NET   Excellent    Good    NET    Not so good    Poor   opin.
6/11/00      74       17        57      26        19           6       * 
2/27/00      80       25        55      20        14           5       *
10/31/99     74       18        56      26        18           7       1
9/2/99       76       19        57      23        16           6       1
3/14/99      80       22        58      19        15           4       1
11/1/98      73       12        61      26        21           5       1
11/1/98  LV  78       13        65      22        19           3       *
10/13/97     61       12        49      39        27          11       *

8. Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of(Gore/Bush), or perhaps you don't know enough to say. How about (Gore/Bush)?

6/11/00
                  Favorable   Unfavorable   No opinion
Al Gore              45           35            20
George W. Bush       50           28            22
Trend:
Al Gore
             Favorable   Unfavorable   No opinion
6/11/00         45           35            20
4/2/00          47           35            19
2/27/00         50           40            10
10/31/99        56           38             6
9/2/99          50           40            10
6/6/99          52           34            14
3/14/99         54           33            14
2/14/99         53           31            17
8/21/98         55           30            15
7/12/98         54           26            20
4/4/98          54           27            19
1/31/98         52           29            19
1/30/98         51           30            19
1/25/98         55           29            16
1/24/98         54           30            15
1/19/98         48           36            17
10/13/97        45           40            15
9/10/97         49           33            19
4/24/97         53           29            19
3/9/97          56           29            15
3/19/95         57           27            16
10/31/94        41           37            22
5/15/94         58           27            15
3/27/94         57           25            18
11/14/93        56           28            15
8/23/92 RV      52           19            29
7/19/92 RV      55           12            33
George W. Bush
             Favorable   Unfavorable   No opinion
6/11/00         50           28            22
4/2/00          50           31            19
2/27/00         49           39            11
10/31/99        69           24             8
9/2/99          61           23            16
6/6/99          54           15            30
3/14/99         54           14            32
2/14/99         51           13            36
1/19/98         34           13            53

9. Do you think there's a real difference between Bush and Gore on the issues you care about, or not?

            Yes    No    No opinion
6/11/00     68     25         7

10. Do you think there's a real difference between Bush and Gore in terms of their personal qualities, or not?

            Yes    No    No opinion
6/11/00     66     27        7 

© Copyright 2000 The Washington Post Company


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