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Washington Post-ABC News Poll: War in Iraq

Friday, July 11, 2003

The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 1,006 randomly selected adults nationwide, and was conducted July 9-10, 2003. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

             ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove-------    No
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat   opin.
7/10/03      59       35         24      38       25         13        3
6/22/03      68       45         23      29       18         11        4
4/30/03      71       50         22      26        9         17        3
4/16/03      74       52         22      23       14          9        3
4/9/03       77       58         19      20       14          6        4
4/3/03       71       54         16      25       19          7        4
3/23/03      68       NA         NA      27       NA         NA        4
3/20/03      67       NA         NA      28       NA         NA        5
3/2/03       62       38         23      35       22         13        4
2/23/03      60       NA         NA      34       NA         NA        6
2/9/03       64       42         21      34       20         14        3
2/1/03       62       41         21      34       22         13        4
1/28/03      62       43         19      36       23         13        2
1/27/03      59       39         21      37       22         15        4
1/20/03      59       36         23      38       22         16        2
12/15/02     66       37         28      32       20         12        2
11/4/02  LV  67       45         23      31       20         12        1
11/3/02  LV  67       45         22      32       20         12        1
11/2/02  LV  67       47         20      32       23          9        1
10/27/02 All 67       39         28      29       16         13        4
10/27/02 LV  68       47         21      30       16         14        3
9/26/02      67       42         25      30       18         12        3
9/8/02       71       42         28      27       15         12        3
7/28/02      69       39         31      28       14         14        3
7/15/02      72       42         31      25       13         12        2
6/17/02      74       42         32      22       13          9        4
6/9/02       77       41         36      20       11          9        3
5/19/02      76       48         28      22       13          8        3
4/21/02      78       47         31      20       10          9        2
3/28/02      79       49         30      18       10          8        3
3/10/02      82       52         30      16        7          9        2
1/27/02      83       56         27      14        7          7        3
12/19/01     86       64         22      12        6          6        2
11/27/01     89       69         21       9        5          4        1
11/6/01      89       65         24       9        4          5        2
10/9/01      92       76         16       6        3          3        1
9/27/01      90       70         20       6        3          3        4
9/13/01      86       63         23      12        6          5        2
9/9/01       55       26         29      41       22         20        3
8/12/01      61       28         33      31       17         14        8
7/30/01      59       28         30      38       22         17        3
6/3/01       55       27         28      40       22         18        6
4/22/01      63       33         30      32       16         16        5
3/25/01      58       NA         NA      33       NA         NA        8
2/25/01      55       NA         NA      23       NA         NA       22

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling (READ ITEM)?

7/10/03 - Summary Table

                           Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
a. The situation in Iraq     58           41               2
b. The economy               47           49               4

a. The situation in Iraq

                Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
7/10/03           58            41              2
6/22/03           67            30              2
4/30/03           75            22              2

Compare to: The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein

3/27/03           69            26              5 
3/23/03           71            26              3 
3/20/03           65            29              5 
3/17/03           64            29              7 
3/9/03            55            38              8 
2/23/03           55            39              6 
2/9/03            61            37              2 
2/5/03            61            32              7 
2/1/03            61            35              3 
1/28/03           58            38              4 
1/27/03           57            40              3 
1/20/03           50            46              4 
12/15/02          58            37              5
11/4/02  LV       56            40              4
11/3/02  LV       57            40              4
11/2/02  LV       56            41              3
10/27/02          57            38              5
9/26/02           58            39              3
9/14/02           65            31              4
8/29/02           52            36             12

b. The economy

                Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
7/10/03           47            49              4
4/30/03           52            45              3
2/9/03            47            49              4
2/1/03            44            52              4
1/28/03           46            49              4
1/27/03           47            47              5
1/20/03           43            53              4
1/5/03            50            43              7  
12/15/02          50            46              4                
11/4/02  LV       53            45              2                
11/3/02  LV       52            46              2                
11/2/02  LV       55            43              2                
10/27/02          51            43              6                
10/27/02 LV       53            44              3                
9/26/02           51            47              3                
9/8/02            57            40              4                
7/28/02           57            39              4                
7/15/02           58            38              3                
4/21/02           64            33              3                
1/27/02           62            34              4                
12/19/01          67            27              6                
11/6/01           72            23              5                
9/9/01            48            48              4                
7/30/01           52            45              3                
6/3/01            53            41              6                
4/22/01           55            38              7                
3/25/01           50            42              8  

3. Do you support or oppose the current U.S. military presence in Iraq? Do you support/oppose it strongly or somewhat?

             ---------Support---------   ----------Oppose---------    No
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat   opin.
7/10/03      74       48         26      25       15         10        1

4. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not?

              Worth      Not worth     No
             fighting     fighting   opinion
7/10/03        57           40         3
6/22/03        64           33         3
4/30/03        70           27         4
Gulf War:
2/2/92*        66           32         2
7/28/91        67           30         3
6/2/91         70           26         3
3/4/91         86           13         1

*2/2/92 and previous: "the Persian Gulf war"; 3/4/91: "this war"

5. Again thinking about the goals versus the costs of the war, so far in your opinion has there been an acceptable or unacceptable number of U.S. military casualties in Iraq?

             Acceptable     Unacceptable     No opinion
7/10/03         44              52               3
6/22/03         51              44               5
4/9/03          66              28               6
4/3/03          62              32               5
3/27/03         58              34               9

6. Do you think there will or will not be a significant number of additional U.S. military casualties in Iraq?

           Yes,        No,          No           
           will     will not     opinion         
7/10/03     74         22            4
4/3/03*     69         25            6                                    
3/27/03**   82         13            5                                    
3/23/03     54         40            6                                    
3/20/03     37         55            8                                    
3/9/03***   62         31            7                                    
2/1/03      65         31            4  

*4/3/03 and previous: "in the war with Iraq"
**3/27/03: added word "additional"
***3/9/03 and previous: "would or would not be"

7. So far, have there been more US military casualties than you expected, fewer than you expected, or is it about what you expected?

            More     Fewer     Expected     No opinion
7/10/03      26        36         37              2
3/23/03      23        26         46              5

8. How do you feel about the possibility that the United States will get bogged down in a long and costly peacekeeping mission in Iraq - would you say you're very concerned about that, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not concerned at all?

          ----Concerned-----   -----Not concerned----   Already      No
          NET   Very   Smwt.   NET   Not too   At all   has (vol.)   op.
7/10/03   80     43     37     19      11         8        1         1
6/22/03   72     32     41     26      16        10        *         1
4/30/03   72     34     39     27      19         9       NA         * 
4/16/03   73     31     42     26      19         7       NA         1 
4/9/03    62     24     39     35      24        11       NA         3

9. Do you think (the United States has to kill or capture Saddam Hussein for the war in Iraq to be a success), or do you think (the war in Iraq can be a success with Saddam Hussein removed from power, but not killed or captured)?

             US must capture/     War can succeed        No 
               kill Hussein       without Hussein     opinion 
7/10/03             61                   35              4
4/9/03*             50                   43              7
3/20/03             49                   43              7

*4/9/03 and previous: "if Saddam Hussein is removed from power"

Compare to: Do you think (the United States has to capture or kill Osama bin Laden for the war on terrorism to be a success), or do you think (the war on terrorism can be a success without Osama bin Laden being killed or captured)?

             US must capture/      War can succeed       No 
              kill bin Laden      without bin Laden     opin. 
9/8/02              44                    54              2 
4/21/02             50                    45              5 
3/10/02             44                    53              4 
1/27/02             46                    51              3 
12/19/01            64                    34              2 
11/6/01             64                    30              6

10. Do you think (the United States should keep its military forces in Iraq until civil order is restored there, even if that means continued U.S. military casualties); or do you think (the United States should withdraw its military forces from Iraq in order to avoid further U.S. military casualties, even if that means civil order is not restored there)?

          Keep forces   Withdraw forces   No opinion
7/10/03       72              26               2

11. Just your best guess, about how much longer do you think the United States will need to keep U.S. military forces in Iraq?

          Few    Few    About    Few   5 to 10  10 years   Long as   Pull           No
         weeks  months  a year  years   years   or longer  needed   out now  Other  op.
7/10/03    2      17      25      32      6         3         4        3       *     8

12. In your opinion is that too long, too short, or about right?

          Too long   Too short   About right   No opinion
7/10/03      39          3           56             3

13. Before the war began, do you think the Bush administration did or did not intentionally exaggerate its evidence that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction, such as biological or chemical weapons?

            Did     Did not     No opinion
7/10/03      50       46           4 

14. Do you think the war with Iraq did or did not (READ ITEM)?

7/10/03 - Summary Table

                                                   ---------Did-----------   Did    No
                                                   NET   great deal   some   not   opin.
a. Contribute to the long-term security of the
   United States?                                  62       33         29     35     3
b. Cause long-term damage to US relations with
   countries that opposed the war, such as 
   France and Germany?                             51       24         27     45     5 
c. Contribute to long-term peace and stability
   in the Mideast?                                 50       20         31     45     5
d. Help to improve the lives of the Iraqi people?  72       41         31     25     3
e. Damage the United States' image in the rest
   of the world?                                   63       30         34     34     3

*Half sample asked a,b,c. Other half asked d,e.

15. On another subject, would you support or oppose sending up to 2,000 U.S. troops to the African nation of Liberia as part of an international force to help enforce a cease-fire in the civil war there?

            Support     Oppose     No Opinion
7/10/03       41          51            8

16/17. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If the 2004 Democratic presidential primary in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Joseph Lieberman, Richard Gephardt, John Kerry, John Edwards, Al Sharpton, Bob Graham, Howard Dean, Dennis Kucinich and Carol Moseley Braun), for whom would you vote?

Net Leaned Vote:

                 7/10/03    4/30/03    1/20/03    7/15/02** 
Lieberman           13         29        27         10
Gephardt            10         19        14          5
Kerry               12         14        10          6
Edwards              6          4        11          3
Graham               3          3        NA         NA
Dean                 8          3         3          1
Sharpton             6          3         7         NA
Moseley Braun        4          6        NA         NA
Kucinich             2          2        NA         NA
Other                2          1         1          3
None                13          1         4          *
Wouldn't vote        7          0         0          0
No opinion          16         14        24         18

**Gore 46, Daschle 8

6/1/03

H. Clinton      37
Lieberman       14      
Gephardt        10      
Kerry            7      
Edwards          6      
Graham           4      
Dean             3      
Sharpton         2      
Moseley Braun    1      
Kucinich         1      
Other            *      
None             3      
Wouldn't vote    2      
No opinion      11 

© Copyright 2003 The Washington Post Company


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