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Post-ABC Poll: Bush's Popularity Remains Strong

Wednesday, July 17, 2002

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

            ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove-------     No 
            NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat    opin.
7/15/02     72       42         31      25       13         12         2
6/17/02     74       42         32      22       13          9         4
6/9/02      77       41         36      20       11          9         3
5/19/02     76       48         28      22       13          8         3
4/21/02     78       47         31      20       10          9         2
3/28/02     79       49         30      18       10          8         3
3/10/02     82       52         30      16        7          9         2
1/27/02     83       56         27      14        7          7         3
12/19/01    86       64         22      12        6          6         2
11/27/01    89       69         21       9        5          4         1
11/6/01     89       65         24       9        4          5         2
10/9/01     92       76         16       6        3          3         1
9/27/01     90       70         20       6        3          3         4
9/13/01     86       63         23      12        6          5         2
9/9/01      55       26         29      41       22         20         3
8/12/01     61       28         33      31       17         14         8
7/30/01     59       28         30      38       22         17         3
6/3/01      55       27         28      40       22         18         6
4/22/01     63       33         30      32       16         16         5
3/25/01     58       NA         NA      33       NA         NA         8
2/25/01     55       NA         NA      23       NA         NA        22

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job?

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
7/15/02       57           36              7
2/21/02       57           39              4
1/27/02       58           35              7
12/19/01      59           34              7
9/9/01        45           48              7
7/30/01       48           48              4
4/22/01       58           33              8
10/31/99      42           53              6
9/2/99        46           47              7
6/6/99        48           46              6
3/14/99       44           49              7
2/14/99       46           50              4    
12/20/98      44           51              5    
12/19/98      45           50              5    
12/13/98      49           46              5    
11/7/98       41           55              4    
11/1/98       49           47              5    
11/1/98 LV    47           51              2    
10/25/98      45           44             11    
10/25/98 LV   45           48              7    
10/18/98      46           45              8    
10/18/98 LV   45           49              5    
9/28/98       52           44              4    
9/28/98 LV    52           46              2 
8/21/98       55           39              6          
7/12/98       46           44             11          
5/12/98       45           45              9          
4/4/98        47           45              8          
1/31/98       55           35             10          
1/30/98       55           35             10          
1/25/98       56           37              8          
1/24/98       55           38              7          
1/19/98       47           49              5          
10/13/97      36           57              7          
8/27/97       39           54              7          
7/8/97        40           53              6          
4/24/97       40           53              7          
3/9/97        35           60              5          
8/5/96        42           52              7          
6/30/96       35           58              7          
5/22/96       35           60              5          
3/10/96       30           64              6          
1/7/96        31           65              5          
11/19/95      27           68              5          
10/1/95       32           65              3 
7/17/95       34           63              3         
3/19/95       39           56              5         
1/29/95       42           52              6         
10/31/94      21           72              8         
10/23/94      18           78              4         
9/11/94       24           70              5         
6/26/94       34           61              5         
3/27/94       35           62              3         
2/27/94       32           64              4         
1/23/94       29           60             11         
11/14/93      28           66              6         
8/8/93        33           64              3         
4/26/93       30           69              2         
1/17/93       29           66              6         
4/9/92        17           78              5         
3/18/92       19           76              5         
3/8/92        22           73              6         
2/2/92        32           64              4         
12/15/91      35           59              6         
10/21/91      45           50              5         
6/2/91        49           46              5 
10/14/90      34           63              3                  
2/4/90        41           55              4                  
1/16/90       39           55              6                  
8/21/89       42           53              5                  
5/23/89       54           44              2                  
2/14/89       53           44              3                  
1/23/88*      43           53              4                  
6/1/87*       56           40              4                  
6/22/85*      54           37              9                  
5/83*         33           43             24                  
6/81*         38           40             22                  
6/79*         19           61             20                  
9/78*         29           49             22                  
6/77*         34           42             24                  
6/75*         29           54             17                  
8/74*         48           35             17                  
*Gallup

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way your own representative to the U.S. House of Representatives in Congress is handling his or her job?

               Approve        Disapprove          No opinion
7/15/02           68              23                    9
11/1/98           72              20                    8
11/1/98LV         73              23                    5
10/18/98          68              20                   11
10/18/98LV        67              25                    9
9/28/98           70              21                   10
9/28/98LV         71              23                    6
7/12/98           70              18                   12
1/19/98           74              19                    7
4/5/95            65              25                    9
10/31/94          51              38                   11
10/23/94          49              43                    8
9/11/94           53              35                   12
6/26/94           59              31                   10
3/27/94           62              26                   12
1/17/93           60              29                   11
4/9/92            47              39                   13
3/18/92           49              40                   11
2/2/92            56              32                   12
12/15/91          60              28                   12
10/21/91          64              27                    9
6/2/91            61              26                   14
10/14/90          64              29                    7
5/23/89           71              18                   11

4. Thinking about the 2002 election to be held in November for the U.S. House and some U.S. Senate and governor seats - are you following the election very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?

            --------Closely--------     --------Not closely-------      No 
            NET    Very    Somewhat     NET   Not too   Not at all     opin.
7/15/02     47      11        36        53       28         25           *

5. Would you say you'll definitely vote in the congressional election this November, probably vote, or might you skip this one?

            Definite     Probably     Might skip      Will not        No
              vote         vote        this one      vote (vol.)     opin.
7/15/02        63           14            19              2            1

6/7. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the (Democratic candidate) or the (Republican candidate) in your congressional district? (IF OTHER, NEITHER, DK, REF) Would you lean toward the (Democratic candidate) or toward the (Republican candidate)?

Net Leaned Vote:

             Dem       Rep      Other      Neither      Will not        No
            cand.     cand.     (vol.)     (vol.)      vote (vol.)     opin.
7/15/02      47        45          1          1             1            4

48 (and 49). Thinking about the U.S. House of Representatives election in November in the congressional district where you live, if that election were being held today, for whom would you vote: (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate)? (If Neither, Don't Know or Refused) Who would you lean toward?

Registered voters:
Net leaned vote:

                                      Neither    Wouldn't
              Democrat   Republican   (vol.)   vote (vol.)  No opin.
1/27/02          43          50         2          1           5
9/6/00           49          42         2          1           6
7/23/00          46          45         3          1           5
2/27/00          45          46         2          1           5
10/31/99         50          43         3          1           3
9/2/99           48          44         3          *           5
3/14/99          50          41         2          1           6
2/14/99          48          41         3          1           7
1/30/99          49          39         8          1           3
11/1/98          51          43         4          *           2
10/25/98         48          43         3          1           4
10/18/98         49          44         3          1           4
9/28/98          49          44         2          *           4
8/21/98          48          45         3          1           3
7/12/98          47          45         2          *           6
1/31/98          49          40         2          1           8
1/19/98          47          44         3          1           5
10/8/96          51          41         2          1           5
9/29/96          48          41         3          1           7
9/22/96          50          43         2          1           4
9/15/96          49          45         1          1           4
9/4/96           48          44         3          *           5
8/29/96          53          39         3          1           5
8/28/96          51          40         3          1           5
8/27/96          51          41         3          0           5
8/26/96          51          41         3          0           5
8/25/96          48          43         3          1           6
8/24/96          47          43         2          1           6
8/19/96          49          42         3          0           6
8/18/96          45          46         3          0           6
8/15/96          46          43         4          1           5
8/14/96          48          42         3          1           6
8/13/96          49          43         3          0           5
8/12/96          49          42         3          1           5
8/11/96          49          40         4          1           6
8/10/96          49          41         4          1           5
8/4/96           48          45         2          1           4
6/30/96          49          44         3          *           3
5/22/96          52          41         3          1           3
3/10/96          51          43         2          *           4
1/21/96          52          43         3          1           1
10/1/95          49          44         3          *           3
11/6/94          47          42         5          2           5
10/31/94         48          44         4          1           3
10/23/94         50          45         2          1           2
10/9/94          46          47         3          2           2
9/11/94          50          45         1          1           4
8/7/94           49          42         4          1           4
2/27/94          50          40         8          1           2
10/21/91         51          41         4          *           4
7/28/91          49          41         6          *           3
6/2/91           48          42         4          1           5
11/4/90          51          41         5          *           3
10/14/90         50          41         5          *           3
9/9/90           47          46         3          *           3
7/24/90          51          41         4          1           4
5/21/90          47          45         5          1           2
9/21-10/10/88    52          41         2          1           4
9/19/88          51          39         3          1           6
6/22/85          48          44         5          *           3
10/16/84         52          44         2         NA           5
9/11/84          53          45         2         NA           1
7/8/84           58          40         2         NA           1
10/27/82         58          39        NA         NA           3
10/11/82         55          36        NA         NA           9
9/13/82          58          36        NA         NA           6
11/22/81         53          41        NA         NA           7

Likely voters:
Net leaned vote:

                                      Neither   Wouldn't
                  Democrat Republican (vol.)   vote (vol.)  No opin.
9/6/00               47        46        2         *           5
11/98     ACTUAL     47.8      48.9
11/1/98   44% VAP    49        46        3         *           1
11/1/98   36% VAP    46        48        4         *           1
10/25/98  41% VAP    49        47        1         *           2
10/25/98  33% VAP    47        50        1         *           2
10/18/98  40% VAP    48        47        2         *           2
9/28/98   42% VAP    46        49        2         *           3
11/96     ACTUAL     48.5      48.9
10/8/96              48        44        2         1           5
9/29/96              48        43        3         1           6
9/22/96              50        44        2         *           4
9/15/96              47        48        2         *           3
9/4/96               47        46        3         *           4
8/29/96              53        39        3         0           5
8/28/96              49        41        3         0           6
8/27/96              50        43        3         0           5
8/26/96              49        43        3         0           5
8/25/96              46        45        3         0           5
8/24/96              45        46        2         0           6
8/19/96              47        45        2         0           6
8/18/96              45        47        3         0           5
8/15/96              46        44        4         1           5
8/14/96              46        44        3         1           6
8/13/96              47        45        3         0           5
8/12/96              48        44        3         0           5
8/11/96              48        41        5         0           6
8/10/96              47        43        4         1           5
8/4/96               48        46        1         1           4
11/94     ACTUAL     44.7      51.5
11/6/94              46        44        4         1           4
11/6/94   41% VAP    47        45        3         1           3
11/6/94   28% VAP    46        47        3         2           2
10/31/94             48        45        3         *           3
10/31/94  45% VAP    47        47        3         *           3
10/23/94             49        47        1         *           2
10/23/94  41% VAP    46        51        1         *           2
10/9/94              47        49        3         1           1
11/92     ACTUAL     49.9      44.8
11/90     ACTUAL     52        43.9
11/4/90              52        41        5         *           3
10/14/90             48        43        5         0           3
9/9/90               47        45        3         *           4
7/24/90              52        40        4         *           3
11/88     ACTUAL     53.2      45.3
11/86     ACTUAL     54.1      44.2
11/84     ACTUAL     52.2      46.5
10/16/84             51        45        2         NA          4
9/11/84              51        46        1         NA          1
7/8/84               54        44        2         NA          *
11/82     ACTUAL     55        43.2
10/27/82             59        39        NA        NA          2
10/11/82             55        38        NA        NA          7
11/80     ACTUAL     50.3      47.6
11/78     ACTUAL     53.4      44.7
11/76     ACTUAL     55.5      42.2

Source for actual vote:
1998-96, "America Votes." 1994-1976, Clerk of the House

8. In deciding your vote for the U.S. House, how much of a factor will (READ ITEM) be - very important, somewhat important, not so important or not important at all?

ALL HALF SAMPLES
7/15/02
Summary Table:

                              -----Important----   -----Not important----   No
                              NET   Very   Smwt.   NET    Not so   At all   op. 
a. The war on terrorism       94     73     21      6        3        3      *

b. Social Security            91     66     25      9        6        3      *

c. The economy and jobs       97     77     20      3        2        1      1
     
d. Taxes                      93     60     33      7        5        2      * 

e. Crime                      91     62     29      8        6        2      *

f. The federal budget         90     58     32      8        6        3      1 

g. Education                  95     77     19      4        2        2      *   

h. Health care                93     74     19      7        5        2      *

i. Prescription drug 
   benefits for the elderly   89     66     23     11        8        3      *

j. The environment            89     57     32     10        7        3      1

k. International affairs      92     60     32      7        5        2      1 

l. Regulating Wall Street 
   and the stock market       81     44     37     16        9        7      2

m. The issue of financial 
   fraud and accounting 
   irregularities by large 
   business corporations      89     63     27      9        6        3      2  

n. Local issues where you 
   live                       93     66     27      7        5        2      1

9. (IF LOCAL ISSUES WHERE YOU LIVE ARE "VERY IMPORTANT") What would one or two of those be?

Environment/Development/Building projects 22
Education/Schools                              20
Economy/Jobs/Unemployment/Cost of living       16      
Safety/crime/law enforcement                   16
Local taxes/finances                           15
Other local issues                             15 
No opinion                                     14
Healthcare/Medical                             13
Local Government                                8
Infrastructure/transportation                   6
Public utilities                                4
Social reform/welfare issues                    4

10. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor?

               ----Excellent/Good-----    -----Not so good/Poor-----   No  
               NET   Excellent    Good    NET    Not so good   Poor    op.
7/15/02        39        3         36     61        44          17      1
2/21/02        30        1         29     69        51          18      *
1/27/02        31        1         29     69        50          19      *
9/20/01        38        3         35     60        47          14      2
9/9/01         33        1         32     66        47          19      *
7/30/01        50        3         46     50        39          12      *
4/22/01        50        3         47     50        40           9      *
1/15/01        70       10         59     29        24           6      1 
10/27/00 LV    86       24         61     14        11           3      * 
10/26/00 LV    86       24         61     14        11           3      * 
6/11/00        74       17         57     26        19           6      *  
2/27/00        80       25         55     20        14           5      *  
10/31/99       74       18         56     26        18           7      1  
9/2/99         76       19         57     23        16           6      1  
3/14/99        80       22         58     19        15           4      1  
11/1/98        73       12         61     26        21           5      1  
11/1/98  LV    78       13         65     22        19           3      *  
10/13/97       61       12         49     39        27          11      *

Call for full trend.

11. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse or staying the same?

            Better    Worse      Same     No opin.
7/15/02       20        36        43        2
3/9/97        28        32        39        1

12. Compared to two years ago, is your family's financial situation better today, worse or about the same?

                Better     Worse    About the same     No opin.
7/15/02           27        27            47              0
11/1/98           40        12            48              *
11/1/98 LV        37        11            52              0
10/25/98          38        10            49              3
10/25/98 LV       37        10            53              0
1996 Exit poll    33        20            45              -
1994 Exit poll    25        23            51              -
1992 Exit poll    24        34            41              -
1990 Exit poll    29        25            44              -
1988 Exit poll    43        19            38              -
1986 Exit poll    40        24            36              -
1984 Exit poll    49        20            31              -

56. How confident are you that you will retire with enough income and assets to last for the rest of your life - would you say you're very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all?

            ------Confident----  -------Not Confident-----  Retired   No       
            NET  Very  Somewhat  NET   Not so   Not at all   (vol.)  opin.     
7/15/02     55    18      37     40      21         18         5       0
7/15/01     68    33      35     23      10         12         7       2
7/4/99      54    21      33     39      21         18         6       0        
7/21/96     45    16      29     47      25         21         7       1

13. Generally speaking, would you say you favor (smaller government with fewer services), or (larger government with more services)?

                 Smaller govt.     Larger govt.            No
                 fewer services    more services         opinion
7/15/02              53                 42                  6

Compare to:

Would you say you favor (smaller government with fewer services), or (larger government with many services)?

                 Smaller govt.     Larger govt.            No
                 fewer services    many services         opinion
1/27/02*              54                41                  5
10/9/00 RV            58                32                 10
10/1/00 RV            58                33                  9
7/23/00               59                34                  7
7/23/00 RV            61                32                  7
4/2/00                56                38                  7
8/16/98               59                35                  6
8/5/96                63                32                  5
1996   Rep Dels       98                 1                  1
       Dem Dels       33                45                 22
7/8/92                55                38                  7
1992   Rep Dels       97                 2                  1
       Dem Dels       34                45                 20
1988   Rep Dels       90                 4                  6
       Dem Dels       18                62                 21
1984   Dem Dels       23                58                 19
*Asked of half sample.

14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling:

7/15/02
Summary Table:
ALL HALF SAMPLES

                                   Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
a. The economy                        58           38               3

b. International affairs              67           28               5 

c. The situation between Israel 
   and the Palestinians               59           34               7

d. Environmental issues               52           39               9
               
e. Education                          62           31               6
                
f. The federal budget                 50           42               8

g. The U.S. campaign against 
   terrorism                          83           15               2

h. Social Security                    54           35              11

i. Patients' rights in the 
   health care system                 50           39              11
    
j. The cost of prescription drugs     35           50              15
   
k. Regulating Wall Street             50           36              14
   and the stock market

l. The issue of financial fraud 
   and accounting irregularities 
   by large business corporations     49           43               7

Trend where available:

a. The economy

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
7/15/02       58            38               3
4/21/02       64            33               3
1/27/02       62            34               4
12/19/01      67            27               6       
11/6/01       72            23               5       
9/9/01        48            48               4       
7/30/01       52            45               3
6/3/01        53            41               6
4/22/01       55            38               7
3/25/01       50            42               8
b. International affairs

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
7/15/02       67            28               5
4/21/02       71            25               4
6/3/01        58            33               9
4/22/01       62            31               7
3/25/01       56            31              13
c. The situation between Israel and the Palestinians

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
7/15/02       59            34               7
4/21/02       57            35               8

Compare to:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling the situation between Israel and the Palestinians?

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion 
10/8/96 LV    57            31              12 
10/8/96 RV    57            30              12
 d. Environmental issues

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
7/15/02       52            39               9
1/27/02       54            31              15
9/9/01        50            44               6
7/30/01       45            49               6
6/3/01        41            50               9
4/22/01       47            41              12
3/25/01       46            41              13
e. Education

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
7/15/02       62            31               6
1/27/02       71            21               8
9/9/01        61            32               7
7/30/01       63            31               5
6/3/01        57            35               8
4/22/01       60            28              12
f. The federal budget

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
7/15/02       50            42               8
1/27/02       59            30              12
9/9/01        46            48               6
7/30/01       53            42               5
g. The U.S. campaign against terrorism

            ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove-------     No 
            NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat    opin.
7/15/02     83       NA         NA      15       NA         NA        2
5/19/02     79       51         27      19       10          9        3
4/21/02     81       56         25      18       10          7        2
3/10/02     88       64         24      10        5          5        2
1/27/02     88       NA         NA      10       NA         NA        2
12/19/01    89       67         22       9        5          4        2
10/15/01    92       75         17       5        3          3        3
h. Social Security

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
7/15/02       54            35              11
1/27/02       54            28              18
9/9/01        41            50               9
7/30/01       46            48               6
6/3/01        46            40              14
i. Patients' rights in the health care system

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
7/15/02       50            39              11
9/9/01        49            37              14
7/30/01       48            44               9
6/3/01        40            39              21
 j. The cost of prescription drugs

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
7/15/02       35            50              15
9/9/01        32            56              12
7/30/01       40            51               9

k, l. No trend.

57. On another subject, would you support or oppose a plan in which people who chose to could invest some of their Social Security contributions in the stock market?

               Support     Oppose    No opin.   
7/15/02          52          45         3
4/22/01          53          46         2
3/25/01          52          45         3
10/30/00 LV      58          35         8        
9/6/00   RV      59          37         4        
5/10/00          64          31         5

15a. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) Overall, how much trust do you have in the honesty of executives of large business corporations - a great deal, a good amount, just some or very little?

           ----------Trust----------   ------------Not trust-----------    No   
           NET   Grt.deal   Good amt.  NET   Some   Little   None (vol.)  opin.    
7/15/02    11        2          9      88     35      48          5         *

15b. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) Overall, how much trust do you have in the way large business corporations account for their financial condition - a great deal, a good amount, just some or very little?

           ----------Trust----------   ------------Not trust-----------    No   
           NET   Grt.deal   Good amt.  NET   Some   Little   None (vol.)  opin.    
7/15/02    16        4         12      82     31      45          7         1

16. Do you think there should be new laws regulating the way companies account for their financial condition, or better enforcement of existing laws, or is the current situation OK?

                                                 New laws &
                       Better     Situation    better enforce.    No
           New laws    enforce.      OK            (vol.)        opin.
7/15/02      37          48           9               5            2
6/30/02      29          53           9               4            5
1/27/02      30          56           8               3            3 

17. Do you support or oppose stricter penalties, including longer prison terms and higher fines, for corporate executives who conceal their company's true financial condition? Do you support/oppose that strongly or somewhat?

            ---------Support---------   ----------Oppose---------     No 
            NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat    opin.
7/15/02     91       73         18      6         3          4         3

18. Do you support or oppose creating a federal task force to oversee and coordinate government investigations of possible corporate financial crimes? Do you support/oppose that strongly or somewhat?

            ---------Support---------   ----------Oppose---------     No 
            NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat    opin.
7/15/02     69       41         29      28       13         15         3

19. How much do you think measures like stricter penalties and an investigative task force will do to reduce corporate financial wrongdoing in this country - a great deal, a good amount, just some or very little?

            -------Reduce more-------    ------Reduce less-----    None    No   
            NET   Grt.deal   Good amt.   NET     Some    Little   (vol.)  opin.    
7/15/02     52       21         31       46       32        15       1      1

20. Who do you trust more to handle the issue of financial fraud and accounting irregularities by large business corporations - (Bush) or (the Democrats in Congress)?

                                Both   Neither
            Bush   Democrats   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02      42       44          3       7           4

21. For each of the following, please tell me if you think it is or is not a factor in the recent corporate accounting scandals. IF YES: Would you say it's a major factor, or a minor factor?

7/15/02

Summary Table:

                                   ------Yes, Factor------     Not a       No
                                   NET     Major     Minor     factor     opin.
a. A lack of morals in society     90        74        16         9         1

b. Greed among some corporate 
   executives                      95        88         7         2         2

c. A lack of oversight by 
   outside accountants at the 
   companies involved              87        66        21         9         4

d. A lack of oversight by 
   government regulators 
   and prosecutors                 84        56        28        13         3

e. A lack of oversight by boards 
   of directors at the companies 
   involved                        88        74        15         8         3

58. Do you think the steps Bush has proposed to reduce corporate financial wrongdoing in this country are too tough, not tough enough, or about right?

             Too      Not tough     About      No
            tough       enough      right     opin.
7/15/02       1           54          38        7

22. Do you have retirement savings other than Social Security - like a pension plan, a 401(K) account or an IRA account - or not?

            Yes     No     No opin.
7/15/02      67     33         *

23. (IF HAVE RETIREMENT SAVINGS) Who do you trust more to protect your retirement savings - (Bush) or (the Democrats in Congress)?

                                Both   Neither
            Bush   Democrats   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02      44       35          2      16           3

24a. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) Overall, which party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job in coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years?

                                        Both   Neither
             Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02         42           45          2        7           4 
1/27/02*        40           44          3       10           4 
4/22/01         47           40          4        7           3 
7/23/00         42           42          2        9           6  
9/2/99          45           39          4        9           4
6/6/99          45           35          3       13           5
3/14/99         47           37          5        9           3
2/14/99         48           37          4        7           4
10/18/98        44           36          3       12           6
10/18/98 LV     43           42          3       10           2    
9/28/98         49           38          2        8           3    
9/28/98 LV      45           44          1        8           2    
8/21/98         48           36          4        9           3    
7/12/98         45           38          3        8           6    
1/31/98         47           37          4        6           7    
1/19/98         45           42          2        7           4    
7/8/97          44           37          2       14           3    
9/15/96 RV      45           38          3       11           3
8/5/96          43           38          3       11           3            
6/30/96         46           37          3       12           3            
5/22/96         47           38          3       10           3            
11/6/94 RV      41           39          2       12           6            
10/31/94        43           43          2        8           4            
10/23/94        39           40          3       15           3            
9/11/94         43           40          4       11           3             
6/26/94         41           36          3       14           5            
2/27/94         46           32          4       16           3            
11/14/93        42           39          3       11           4            
1/17/93         49           28          5       13           5            
7/8/92          48           38          1        8           4            
6/7/92          43           37          3       11           6            
3/11/92         45           37          1       11           5            
3/8/92          51           36          1        7           5            
2/2/92          49           39          2        7           3            
12/15/91        39           37          3       15           6            
10/21/91        39           40          3       13           5
*Asked of half sample.

24b. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) Overall, who do you trust to do a better job coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years, (George W. Bush) or (the Democrats in Congress)?

                                 Both   Neither
             Bush   Democrats   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02       53       37         4        3           3 
1/27/02*      62       31         2        3           2 
*Asked of half sample.

Compare to:

Who do you trust to do a better job coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next year - Clinton or the Republicans in Congress?

                                       Both equally    Neither      No
             Clinton    Republicans       (vol.)        (vol.)     opin.
1/26/00         45          46              *             7          2
2/14/99*        52          35              2             7          3
2/12/99         53          30              3            11          4
1/19/99         50          32              3             8          7
11/7/98         47          38              4             9          2
9/28/98         51          38              2             6          3
9/28/98LV       47          45              1             4          2
8/21/98         48          38              2             9          3
7/12/98         48          38              1             6          6
5/12/98         47          39              3             8          3
1/31/98         52          35              3             4          6
1/19/98         48          40              2             8          2
3/9/97          49          38              4             8          2
1/15/97**       51          37              3             7          2
1/29/95         40          46              4             8          2
1/4/95          30          54              3             9          4
12/15/94        34          49              3             9          6
*1999 and previous: "next few years"
** "The Clinton administration"

25. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job (INSERT ITEM).

7/15/02
Summary Table:
ALL HALF SAMPLES---MARK ON TREND SECTION?

                                                    Both    Neither    No
                           Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.

a. Improving the economy      38          48         3         6        5     

b. Protecting the Social 
   Security system            44          38         3         9        6     

c. Improving the health 
    care system               47          37         3         9        5      

d. Improving education and 
    the schools               41          41         4         7        7 

e. Helping the elderly pay 
    for prescription drugs    51          33         2         7        7     

f. Protecting the 
    environment               55          27         5         7        6    

g. Handling national  
    defense and the 
    military budget           36          52         5         2        5      

h. Handling the U.S. 
    campaign against 
    terrorism                 27          55         9         3        6      

i. Managing the federal 
    budget                    44          41         5         6        4   

j. Regulating Wall Street 
   and the stock market       43          39         5         7        6

k. Handling the issue of 
   financial fraud and 
   accounting irregularities 
   by large business 
   corporations               47          37         6         4        6

l. (IF HAVE RETIREMENT 
   SAVINGS) Protecting your 
   retirement savings         40          41         4        12        3

*Half sample asked items a through f, and the other half sample asked items g through l.

Trend:

a. Improving the economy

                                          Both   Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02           38           48           3        6         5
1/27/02           39           48           5        6         3

Compare to:

Handling the nation's economy    

                                          Both   Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
4/22/01           47           43           4        4         3
9/28/98 LV        51           43          NA       NA         6
9/28/98           53           40          NA       NA         7
7/12/98           49           37           4        5         6
1/19/98           45           44           3        6         3
7/8/97            43           39           5       12         2
10/23/94          38           43           3       14         2
9/11/94           39           43           3       11         4
2/27/94           47           36           3       11         3
2/2/92            49           38           2        7         4
12/15/91          43           36           4       11         5
3/4/91            32           49           5       10         4
1/16/90           33           52           4        7         4
b. Protecting the Social Security system

                                          Both   Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02           44           38           3        9         6
1/27/02           48           38           6        5         3
4/22/01           52           35           5        5         3
9/2/99            56           33           3        4         3
3/14/99           52           29           3        8         7
7/12/98           51           35           3        6         6
1/19/98           48           38           3        7         5
1/16/90           52           31           3        9         4
 c. Improving the health care system

                                          Both   Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02           47           37           3        9         5
1/27/02           50           35           5        5         4
d. Improving education and the schools

                                          Both   Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02           41           41           4        7         7
1/27/02           40           45           8        4         3
4/22/01           48           40           5        5         3
9/28/98 LV        51           38          NA       NA        11
9/28/98           56           35          NA       NA         9
7/12/98           52           31           5        5         7
1/19/98           54           34           4        5         3
7/8/97            51           30           5        9         4
10/23/94          45           30           6       13         6
9/11/94           48           33           6        8         5
2/27/94           53           28           5       11         3
2/2/92            55           29           6        5         5
12/15/91          47           31           6       10         6
3/4/91            39           41           8        9         4
1/16/90           45           36           7        9         3
e. Helping the elderly pay for prescription drugs 

                                          Both   Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02           51           33           2        7         7
1/27/02           57           30           4        3         5
f. Protecting the environment  

                                          Both   Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02           55           27           5        7         6
1/27/02           59           29           3        5         5
3/14/99           55           24           6        7         8
7/12/98           56           28           4        4         8      
1/19/98           54           31           3        6         5      
3/4/91            40           35          10       10         5      
1/16/90           46           31           8        9         6
g. Handling national defense and the military budget 

                                          Both   Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02           36           52           5        2         5
1/27/02           27           63           3        3         4
9/2/99            34           55           2        4         4
h. Handling the U.S. campaign against terrorism

                                          Both   Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02           27           55           9        3         6
1/27/02           23           62          10        3         2
i. Managing the federal budget

                                          Both   Neither
               Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion
7/15/02           44           41           5        6         4
1/27/02***        38           46           5        7         3
3/14/99           43           40           5       10         3
9/28/98           49           42          NA       NA         9
9/28/98LV         44           49          NA       NA         7
7/12/98           42           39           4        7         8 
1/19/98*          41           43           3        8         4 
7/8/97*           39           36           5       17         3
10/23/94**        36           37           3       21         3
9/11/94**         39           40           4       14         4
2/27/94**         44           28           5       20         3
2/2/92**          40           39           4       14         3
3/4/91**          35           43           5       14         3
1/16/90**         35           42           4       15         4

*Balancing the federal budget
**Reducing the federal budget
***Keeping the federal budget balanced

j,k,l. No trend.

26. Which political party do you think is more open to the ideas of people who are political moderates - the (Democrats) or the (Republicans)?

                                       Both    Neither    No
            Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)    (vol.)   opin.
7/15/02        53          32           4         4        6
1/27/02        49          38           3         3        7
6/3/01         57          32           2         6        4

27. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Bush or not:

7/15/02
Summary Table:

                                      Yes     No     No opin.
a. He understands the problems of     
    people like you                    57     41        2

b. He is honest and trustworthy        71     26        3

c. He is a strong leader               75     24        1

Trend:

a. He understands the problems of people like you         

                Yes     No     No opin.
7/15/02          57     41        2
1/27/02          61     37        2
7/30/01          45     54        2
4/22/01          47     51        2
11/4/00 LV       49     46        5
10/24/00 LV      50     46        3
10/15/00 RV      46     46        7
10/9/00 RV       50     44        6
9/6/00 RV        47     49        4
8/20/00 RV       50     46        5
7/23/00 RV       44     51        5
7/23/00          44     51        5
6/11/00          48     47        5
4/2/00           48     46        6
3/11/00          47     47        6
2/27/00          43     51        6
2/6/00           43     52        5
1/16/00          46     49        6
12/15/99         47     46        7
10/31/99         54     39        7
9/2/99           50     39       11
3/14/99          52     27       21
b. He is honest and trustworthy                            

                Yes     No     No opin.
7/15/02          71     26        3
7/30/01          63     34        3
4/22/01          62     32        6       
11/5/00 LV       60     33        7
11/4/00 LV       61     33        7
10/24/00 LV      65     30        5
10/15/00 LV      57     34        9
10/15/00 RV      53     35       12
9/6/00 RV        62     30        7
7/23/00 RV       61     30        8
7/23/00          59     31       10
12/15/99         63     28        9
10/31/99         68     22       10
9/2/99           63     23       14
3/14/99          67     12       22
c. He is a strong leader               

                Yes     No     No opin.
7/15/02          75     24        1
7/30/01          55     43        2
4/22/01          53     42        5
10/9/00 RV       62     33        5
9/6/00 RV        65     28        7
8/20/00 RV       65     29        5
8/10/00 RV       67     29        5
7/23/00 RV       61     33        6
7/23/00          62     32        5
6/11/00          65     30        6
4/2/00           68     27        5
3/11/00          63     31        6
2/27/00          62     32        6
2/6/00           65     30        7
1/16/00          65     28        7
12/15/99         67     26        7
10/31/99         77     18        5
9/2/99           70     18       12
3/14/99          68     13       20

28. Do you think Bush is mainly concentrating on things that are important to you personally, or on things that are not important to you personally?

          Important     Not important      No 
            to you         to you         opin. 
7/15/02       53              44            3
7/30/01       45              53            2

29. Do you think Bush cares more about protecting the interests of (ordinary working people) or cares more about protecting the interests of (large business corporations)?

            Ordinary       Large          Both      Neither      No 
             people     corporations     (vol.)      (vol.)     opin. 
7/15/02        37            50             8          1          4
4/22/01        28            60             5          1          5
3/25/01        31            61             3          1          4

30a/30b. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE FOR EACH PARTY) Do you think the (Democrats/ Republicans) in Congress care more about protecting the interests of (ordinary working people) or care more about protecting the interests of (large business corporations)?

7/15/02

                   Ordinary       Large          Both      Neither      No 
                    people     corporations     (vol.)      (vol.)     opin. 
a. Democrats          49            37             4          5          6
b. Republicans        27            60             5          1          6

31. On another subject, do you think the U.S. campaign against terrorism is going very well, fairly well, not too well or not well at all?

            ----------Well----------     --------Not well--------      No
            NET      Very     Fairly     NET     Not too   At all     opin. 
7/15/02     75        15        60       24        16        8          1
4/21/02     73        11        63       26        17        9          1
3/10/02     84        21        63       15        10        6          1
1/27/02     88        32        56       11         8        4          1

32. How much confidence do you have in the ability of the U.S. government to prevent further terrorist attacks against Americans in this country: a great deal, a good amount, only a fair amount or none at all?

            --------Confident--------    -----Not confident----     No   
            NET   Grt.deal   Good amt.   NET   Fair amt.   None    opin.    
7/15/02     46       13         33       54       45         9       *       
6/9/02      44       14         30       55       44        11       *       
5/19/02     46       17         29       52       42        10       2       
3/10/02     55       18         38       44       39         5       *       
1/27/02     57       18         40       42       37         6       1       
11/27/01    63       24         39       36       32         5       1       
11/6/01     52       17         35       47       40         7       1       
9/11/01     66       35         31       32       30         2       1       
6/2/97      35       10         26       62       52        10       3       
8/5/96      35       12         23       65       49        16       *       
5/14/95     36       12         24       63       51        12       1       
4/20/95     37       13         24       62       51        11       1       
6/28/93     59       22         37       41       32         8       1       
4/3/89      46       16         30       54       38        16       *

33. How concerned are you about the possibility there will be more major terrorist attacks in the United States - is that something that worries you a great deal, somewhat, not too much or not at all?

            ---------Concerned---------    -------Not concerned----    No      
            NET    Grt.deal    Somewhat    NET    Not much     None    op.    
7/15/02     73        29          44       27        20          7      *
4/21/02     73        30          43       26        18          9      *
3/10/02     70        23          47       30        21          9      1
12/19/01    70        27          43       29        22          8      1
10/15/01    77        35          43       23        14          9      0
10/9/01     82        36          46       18        12          6      *
10/7/01     81        41          40       18        13          4      1
9/27/01*    83        43          39       17        12          5      *
9/11/01     87        49          38       12         7          4      1
6/13/97     62        21          41       38        24         14      *
6/2/97      63        22          41       37        28          9      *
8/5/96      74        31          43       26        18          8      *
4/20/95     78        38          40       21        16          5      1
*9/27/01 and previous: "How concerned are you about the possibility there 
will be more major terrorist attacks in this country."

34. Now, thinking about all of your investments, including retirement savings at work, do you currently have money invested in stocks or stock mutual funds, or not?

            Yes   No   No opin.
7/15/02     55    45       *
1/16/00     48    52       1
8/29/99     49    50       1
5/10/98     49    50       1
9/14/97     44    55       1
11/5/87     34    66       1
10/19/87    40    60       1
2/28/87     32    68       *

Compare to:

Thinking about all of your investments, including retirement savings at work, do you or does your spouse currently have money invested in stocks or stock mutual funds, or not?

            Yes   No   No opin.
1/15/01     61    39       *

35. (IF NO, DON'T KNOW, REFUSED) If you have a spouse, does your spouse have stocks or mutual funds, or not?

            Yes   No   No spouse     No opin.
7/15/02      9    91       0             1

36. (IF OWNS STOCKS/STOCK MUTUAL FUNDS AT Q34) Do you personally own any individual stocks directly, or do you own stocks only through mutual funds or a pension plan?

            Own stock    Only through      No
            directly     mutual funds     opin.
7/15/02        40             58            1

37. (IF SPOUSE OWNS STOCKS/STOCK MUTUAL FUNDS AT Q34) Does your spouse own any individual stocks directly, or only through mutual funds or a pension plan?

            Own stock    Only through      No
            directly     mutual funds     opin.
7/15/02         7             76           16

38. Overall, do you think the stock market is a safe investment, or a risky one?

          Safe   Risky   No opin.                                       
7/15/02    19     80        2
1/15/01    35     61        3
5/7/00     34     58        8
6/6/99     37     52        9
10/13/97   27     69        4                                           
8/31/97    32     54       14                                           
9/14/88    16     71       12

39. How much do rises and falls in stock market prices affect you personally-a great deal, somewhat, not much or not at all?

          --A great deal/Somewhat--    --Not much/Not at all---     No
          NET  Great deal  Somewhat    NET  Not much  Not at all   opin.
7/15/02    53      17        36         47     26        21          *        
1/15/01    49      12        36         50     29        20          2        
10/27/97   38       9        30         60     24        36          2        
10/13/97   42       9        33         58     24        34          1
11/5/87    36       8        28         63     24        39          0
10/26/87   34       7        27         65     28        37          1
10/19/87   45      13        32         55     23        32          1
2/28/87    35      10        25         63     24        39          2
9/21/86    26       6        20         72     28        44          3

40. How do you feel about the recent drop in the stock market - very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not at all concerned?

             -----Concerned------    ------Not Concerned------     No    
             NET   Very  Somewhat    NET   Not too   Not at all   opin.
7/15/02      69     28      41       31      21          10         0
3/25/01      64     24      40       35      22          13         1

Compare to:

           -----Concerned------    ----------Not Concerned----------   No    
           NET   Very  Somewhat    NET   Little/Not Very   Not at all  op.
2/14/90*   43     14      29       55          27              28       2
10/22/87** 68     18      50       32          23               9       *

*Time/CNN: Turning to the stock market, how concerned are you about the general drop in stock prices since the beginning of the year--very concerned, somewhat concerned, a little concerned or not at all concerned? **USA Today: How concerned are you about the recent drop in the stock market? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not very concerned, or not at all concerned?

41. Have you or anyone in your immediate family been hurt financially by the recent sharp drop in stock prices, or not?

            Yes, have      No, have        Too soon to      No
            been hurt    NOT been hurt      tell(vol.)    Opinion
7/15/02        37             61                1            1      
10/27/97       14             81                4            1      
10/26/87       20             79                *            1

42. How much confidence do you have that the stock market treats individual investors fairly - a great deal, only some, hardly any or none at all?

            ---Great deal/Only some---   ----Hardly any/None----     No
            NET  Great deal  Only some   NET   Hardly any   None    opin.
7/15/02     64       14          50      32        21        11       5
6/9/02*     64       16          48      31        26         5       5  
2/11/02*    73       22          51      24        21         3       4   
*Business Week.

43. Do you think there should be more government regulation of the stock market, less regulation, or should government regulation of the stock market stay as it is?

             More    Less    Same    No opin.
7/15/02       35       6      54        5 
10/13/97      14      16      65        5 

44. As you may know, some state governments are facing budget problems that have forced them to raise taxes and reduce state spending on state programs and services. What about in your state: Is your state government currently facing budget problems, or not?

            Yes     No     No opin.
7/15/02     75      18         7

45. (IF YES AT Q44) Are these budget problems very serious, fairly serious or not too serious?

            ----------Serious----------      Not serious       No
            Very     Fairly     Not too     at all (vol.)     opin.
7/15/02      41        44          13              *            1

46. (IF YES AT Q44) How much responsibility do you think (READ ITEM) bears for the budget problems in your state-a great deal, a good amount, just some or hardly any?

7/15/02
Summary Table:

                                                               Does not   
                        Great   Good   Just   Hardly    None    apply      No    
                         deal   amt.   some    any     (vol.)   (vol.)    opin.
a. The governor 
   of your state          37     27     23       9        1        1        1

b. The legislature 
   of your state          34     33     25       6        *        *        2

c. President Bush         16     19     33      23        6       NA        2

d. The U.S. Congress      20     25     37      13        2       NA        2

e. The overall 
   economic conditions 
   in your state          30     35     26       7        *       NA        2

47. Do you think it is better for the country to have a President (who comes from the same political party that controls Congress), or do you think it is better to have a President (from one political party and Congress controlled by another)?

             Same      Different     No difference/
             party       party         no opinion
7/15/02        41          45              14
4/7/02*        43          42              15
9/10/01*       43          45              12
10/9/00*       48          40              12
11/22/81       47          34              19
*Gallup.

Compare to Gallup:

Do you think it is better for the country to have a President who comes from the same political party that controls Congress, or do you think it is better to have a President from one political party and Congress controlled by another?

             Same      Different     No difference/
             party       party         no opinion
4/7/02         41          43              16
9/10/01        42          46              12
10/9/00        45          42              13
4/19/98        40          42              18
9/28/97        31          45              24
8/25/97        42          41              17
10/9/94        45          37              18
1/17/94        46          36              18
8/10/93        48          37              15

48. As you may know, the control of the Congress is currently divided, with Democrats controlling the Senate and Republicans controlling the House of Representatives, while a Republican is President.

Do you think it would be better or worse for the country than it is now if the (INSERT ITEM) won control of both the Senate and the House in this year's elections?

HALF SAMPLE FOR EACH PARTY

7/15/02

                                             No diff.      No
                        Better     Worse      (vol.)      opin.
a. Republican Party       35         51         10          3

b. Democratic Party       38         48          8          6

49. (ASKED OF DEMOCRATS) Suppose your state holds a Democratic primary or caucus for president in 2004 and the candidates are (Tom Daschle, Joseph Lieberman, Richard Gephardt, Al Gore, John Kerry, John Edwards, and Howard Dean.) For whom would you vote?

           Daschle  Lieberman  Gephardt  Gore  Kerry  Edwards  Dean  Other  DK  
7/15/02       8         10         5      46      6      3       1     3    18

50. (ASKED IF GORE/LIEBERMAN AT Q49) If he doesn't run, who would be your second choice?

If Gore at q49:

           Daschle  Lieberman  Gephardt  Gore  Kerry  Edwards  Dean  Other  DK  
7/15/02       12        25        17      NA      8      8       5     1    23

If Lieberman at q49:

           Daschle  Lieberman  Gephardt  Gore  Kerry  Edwards  Dean  Other  DK  
7/15/02       11        NA        16      45      9      0       3     4    12

Q49/50 NET.

Without Gore:

           Daschle  Lieberman  Gephardt  Kerry  Edwards  Dean  Other  DK  
7/15/02       14        21        13       10      7       3     4    29

Without Lieberman:

           Daschle  Gephardt  Gore  Kerry  Edwards  Dean  Other  DK  
7/15/02        9        7      50     7       3       1     4    20

53. (ASKED OF THOSE WHO WORK) Would you say it's gotten harder to get a promotion or a better job in the last year, has it gotten easier, or hasn't that changed much?

            Harder     Easier     No change     No opinion
7/15/02       34          8           54              4
12/15/91      57          4           37              2

54a. (ASKED IF ANSWERED Q15A AND EMPLOYED FULL/PART TIME) Overall, how much trust do you have in the honesty of the executives or leaders of the company where you work - a great deal, a good amount, just some or very little?

           ----------Trust----------   ------------Not trust-----------    No   
           NET   Grt.deal   Good amt.  NET   Some   Little   None (vol.)  opin.    
7/15/02    63       39         24      35     23      11          1         1

54b. (ASKED IF ANSWERED Q15B AND EMPLOYED FULL/PART TIME) Overall how much trust do you have in the way the company where you work accounts for its financial condition - a great deal, a good amount, just some or very little?

         ---------Trust---------  -----------Not trust---------- Does not  No   
         NET  Grt.deal  Good amt. NET  Some  Little  None (vol.)  (vol.)  opin.    
7/15/02  73      46         26    25    13     11        1           1     2

55. Have you or any of your close friends or family members lost a job in the last six months, or not?

            Yes     No     No opinion
7/15/02      31     69         * 
1/27/02      37     63         * 

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