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| Post-ABC Poll: Bush's Popularity Remains Strong Wednesday, July 17, 2002 *= less than 0.5 percent 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? ---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
7/15/02 72 42 31 25 13 12 2
6/17/02 74 42 32 22 13 9 4
6/9/02 77 41 36 20 11 9 3
5/19/02 76 48 28 22 13 8 3
4/21/02 78 47 31 20 10 9 2
3/28/02 79 49 30 18 10 8 3
3/10/02 82 52 30 16 7 9 2
1/27/02 83 56 27 14 7 7 3
12/19/01 86 64 22 12 6 6 2
11/27/01 89 69 21 9 5 4 1
11/6/01 89 65 24 9 4 5 2
10/9/01 92 76 16 6 3 3 1
9/27/01 90 70 20 6 3 3 4
9/13/01 86 63 23 12 6 5 2
9/9/01 55 26 29 41 22 20 3
8/12/01 61 28 33 31 17 14 8
7/30/01 59 28 30 38 22 17 3
6/3/01 55 27 28 40 22 18 6
4/22/01 63 33 30 32 16 16 5
3/25/01 58 NA NA 33 NA NA 8
2/25/01 55 NA NA 23 NA NA 22 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job? Approve Disapprove No opinion 7/15/02 57 36 7 2/21/02 57 39 4 1/27/02 58 35 7 12/19/01 59 34 7 9/9/01 45 48 7 7/30/01 48 48 4 4/22/01 58 33 8 10/31/99 42 53 6 9/2/99 46 47 7 6/6/99 48 46 6 3/14/99 44 49 7 2/14/99 46 50 4 12/20/98 44 51 5 12/19/98 45 50 5 12/13/98 49 46 5 11/7/98 41 55 4 11/1/98 49 47 5 11/1/98 LV 47 51 2 10/25/98 45 44 11 10/25/98 LV 45 48 7 10/18/98 46 45 8 10/18/98 LV 45 49 5 9/28/98 52 44 4 9/28/98 LV 52 46 2 8/21/98 55 39 6 7/12/98 46 44 11 5/12/98 45 45 9 4/4/98 47 45 8 1/31/98 55 35 10 1/30/98 55 35 10 1/25/98 56 37 8 1/24/98 55 38 7 1/19/98 47 49 5 10/13/97 36 57 7 8/27/97 39 54 7 7/8/97 40 53 6 4/24/97 40 53 7 3/9/97 35 60 5 8/5/96 42 52 7 6/30/96 35 58 7 5/22/96 35 60 5 3/10/96 30 64 6 1/7/96 31 65 5 11/19/95 27 68 5 10/1/95 32 65 3 7/17/95 34 63 3 3/19/95 39 56 5 1/29/95 42 52 6 10/31/94 21 72 8 10/23/94 18 78 4 9/11/94 24 70 5 6/26/94 34 61 5 3/27/94 35 62 3 2/27/94 32 64 4 1/23/94 29 60 11 11/14/93 28 66 6 8/8/93 33 64 3 4/26/93 30 69 2 1/17/93 29 66 6 4/9/92 17 78 5 3/18/92 19 76 5 3/8/92 22 73 6 2/2/92 32 64 4 12/15/91 35 59 6 10/21/91 45 50 5 6/2/91 49 46 5 10/14/90 34 63 3 2/4/90 41 55 4 1/16/90 39 55 6 8/21/89 42 53 5 5/23/89 54 44 2 2/14/89 53 44 3 1/23/88* 43 53 4 6/1/87* 56 40 4 6/22/85* 54 37 9 5/83* 33 43 24 6/81* 38 40 22 6/79* 19 61 20 9/78* 29 49 22 6/77* 34 42 24 6/75* 29 54 17 8/74* 48 35 17 *Gallup 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way your own representative to the U.S. House of Representatives in Congress is handling his or her job? Approve Disapprove No opinion 7/15/02 68 23 9 11/1/98 72 20 8 11/1/98LV 73 23 5 10/18/98 68 20 11 10/18/98LV 67 25 9 9/28/98 70 21 10 9/28/98LV 71 23 6 7/12/98 70 18 12 1/19/98 74 19 7 4/5/95 65 25 9 10/31/94 51 38 11 10/23/94 49 43 8 9/11/94 53 35 12 6/26/94 59 31 10 3/27/94 62 26 12 1/17/93 60 29 11 4/9/92 47 39 13 3/18/92 49 40 11 2/2/92 56 32 12 12/15/91 60 28 12 10/21/91 64 27 9 6/2/91 61 26 14 10/14/90 64 29 7 5/23/89 71 18 11 4. Thinking about the 2002 election to be held in November for the U.S. House and some U.S. Senate and governor seats - are you following the election very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all? --------Closely-------- --------Not closely------- No
NET Very Somewhat NET Not too Not at all opin.
7/15/02 47 11 36 53 28 25 * 5. Would you say you'll definitely vote in the congressional election this November, probably vote, or might you skip this one? Definite Probably Might skip Will not No
vote vote this one vote (vol.) opin.
7/15/02 63 14 19 2 1 6/7. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the (Democratic candidate) or the (Republican candidate) in your congressional district? (IF OTHER, NEITHER, DK, REF) Would you lean toward the (Democratic candidate) or toward the (Republican candidate)? Net Leaned Vote: Dem Rep Other Neither Will not No
cand. cand. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
7/15/02 47 45 1 1 1 4 48 (and 49). Thinking about the U.S. House of Representatives election in November in the congressional district where you live, if that election were being held today, for whom would you vote: (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate)? (If Neither, Don't Know or Refused) Who would you lean toward? Registered voters: Neither Wouldn't
Democrat Republican (vol.) vote (vol.) No opin.
1/27/02 43 50 2 1 5
9/6/00 49 42 2 1 6
7/23/00 46 45 3 1 5
2/27/00 45 46 2 1 5
10/31/99 50 43 3 1 3
9/2/99 48 44 3 * 5
3/14/99 50 41 2 1 6
2/14/99 48 41 3 1 7
1/30/99 49 39 8 1 3
11/1/98 51 43 4 * 2
10/25/98 48 43 3 1 4
10/18/98 49 44 3 1 4
9/28/98 49 44 2 * 4
8/21/98 48 45 3 1 3
7/12/98 47 45 2 * 6
1/31/98 49 40 2 1 8
1/19/98 47 44 3 1 5
10/8/96 51 41 2 1 5
9/29/96 48 41 3 1 7
9/22/96 50 43 2 1 4
9/15/96 49 45 1 1 4
9/4/96 48 44 3 * 5
8/29/96 53 39 3 1 5
8/28/96 51 40 3 1 5
8/27/96 51 41 3 0 5
8/26/96 51 41 3 0 5
8/25/96 48 43 3 1 6
8/24/96 47 43 2 1 6
8/19/96 49 42 3 0 6
8/18/96 45 46 3 0 6
8/15/96 46 43 4 1 5
8/14/96 48 42 3 1 6
8/13/96 49 43 3 0 5
8/12/96 49 42 3 1 5
8/11/96 49 40 4 1 6
8/10/96 49 41 4 1 5
8/4/96 48 45 2 1 4
6/30/96 49 44 3 * 3
5/22/96 52 41 3 1 3
3/10/96 51 43 2 * 4
1/21/96 52 43 3 1 1
10/1/95 49 44 3 * 3
11/6/94 47 42 5 2 5
10/31/94 48 44 4 1 3
10/23/94 50 45 2 1 2
10/9/94 46 47 3 2 2
9/11/94 50 45 1 1 4
8/7/94 49 42 4 1 4
2/27/94 50 40 8 1 2
10/21/91 51 41 4 * 4
7/28/91 49 41 6 * 3
6/2/91 48 42 4 1 5
11/4/90 51 41 5 * 3
10/14/90 50 41 5 * 3
9/9/90 47 46 3 * 3
7/24/90 51 41 4 1 4
5/21/90 47 45 5 1 2
9/21-10/10/88 52 41 2 1 4
9/19/88 51 39 3 1 6
6/22/85 48 44 5 * 3
10/16/84 52 44 2 NA 5
9/11/84 53 45 2 NA 1
7/8/84 58 40 2 NA 1
10/27/82 58 39 NA NA 3
10/11/82 55 36 NA NA 9
9/13/82 58 36 NA NA 6
11/22/81 53 41 NA NA 7 Likely voters: Neither Wouldn't
Democrat Republican (vol.) vote (vol.) No opin.
9/6/00 47 46 2 * 5
11/98 ACTUAL 47.8 48.9
11/1/98 44% VAP 49 46 3 * 1
11/1/98 36% VAP 46 48 4 * 1
10/25/98 41% VAP 49 47 1 * 2
10/25/98 33% VAP 47 50 1 * 2
10/18/98 40% VAP 48 47 2 * 2
9/28/98 42% VAP 46 49 2 * 3
11/96 ACTUAL 48.5 48.9
10/8/96 48 44 2 1 5
9/29/96 48 43 3 1 6
9/22/96 50 44 2 * 4
9/15/96 47 48 2 * 3
9/4/96 47 46 3 * 4
8/29/96 53 39 3 0 5
8/28/96 49 41 3 0 6
8/27/96 50 43 3 0 5
8/26/96 49 43 3 0 5
8/25/96 46 45 3 0 5
8/24/96 45 46 2 0 6
8/19/96 47 45 2 0 6
8/18/96 45 47 3 0 5
8/15/96 46 44 4 1 5
8/14/96 46 44 3 1 6
8/13/96 47 45 3 0 5
8/12/96 48 44 3 0 5
8/11/96 48 41 5 0 6
8/10/96 47 43 4 1 5
8/4/96 48 46 1 1 4
11/94 ACTUAL 44.7 51.5
11/6/94 46 44 4 1 4
11/6/94 41% VAP 47 45 3 1 3
11/6/94 28% VAP 46 47 3 2 2
10/31/94 48 45 3 * 3
10/31/94 45% VAP 47 47 3 * 3
10/23/94 49 47 1 * 2
10/23/94 41% VAP 46 51 1 * 2
10/9/94 47 49 3 1 1
11/92 ACTUAL 49.9 44.8
11/90 ACTUAL 52 43.9
11/4/90 52 41 5 * 3
10/14/90 48 43 5 0 3
9/9/90 47 45 3 * 4
7/24/90 52 40 4 * 3
11/88 ACTUAL 53.2 45.3
11/86 ACTUAL 54.1 44.2
11/84 ACTUAL 52.2 46.5
10/16/84 51 45 2 NA 4
9/11/84 51 46 1 NA 1
7/8/84 54 44 2 NA *
11/82 ACTUAL 55 43.2
10/27/82 59 39 NA NA 2
10/11/82 55 38 NA NA 7
11/80 ACTUAL 50.3 47.6
11/78 ACTUAL 53.4 44.7
11/76 ACTUAL 55.5 42.2
Source for actual vote: 8. In deciding your vote for the U.S. House, how much of a factor will (READ ITEM) be - very important, somewhat important, not so important or not important at all? ALL HALF SAMPLES -----Important---- -----Not important---- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not so At all op.
a. The war on terrorism 94 73 21 6 3 3 *
b. Social Security 91 66 25 9 6 3 *
c. The economy and jobs 97 77 20 3 2 1 1
d. Taxes 93 60 33 7 5 2 *
e. Crime 91 62 29 8 6 2 *
f. The federal budget 90 58 32 8 6 3 1
g. Education 95 77 19 4 2 2 *
h. Health care 93 74 19 7 5 2 *
i. Prescription drug
benefits for the elderly 89 66 23 11 8 3 *
j. The environment 89 57 32 10 7 3 1
k. International affairs 92 60 32 7 5 2 1
l. Regulating Wall Street
and the stock market 81 44 37 16 9 7 2
m. The issue of financial
fraud and accounting
irregularities by large
business corporations 89 63 27 9 6 3 2
n. Local issues where you
live 93 66 27 7 5 2 1 9. (IF LOCAL ISSUES WHERE YOU LIVE ARE "VERY IMPORTANT") What would one or two of those be? Environment/Development/Building projects 22Education/Schools 20 Economy/Jobs/Unemployment/Cost of living 16 Safety/crime/law enforcement 16 Local taxes/finances 15 Other local issues 15 No opinion 14 Healthcare/Medical 13 Local Government 8 Infrastructure/transportation 6 Public utilities 4 Social reform/welfare issues 4 10. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor? ----Excellent/Good----- -----Not so good/Poor----- No
NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor op.
7/15/02 39 3 36 61 44 17 1
2/21/02 30 1 29 69 51 18 *
1/27/02 31 1 29 69 50 19 *
9/20/01 38 3 35 60 47 14 2
9/9/01 33 1 32 66 47 19 *
7/30/01 50 3 46 50 39 12 *
4/22/01 50 3 47 50 40 9 *
1/15/01 70 10 59 29 24 6 1
10/27/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
10/26/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
6/11/00 74 17 57 26 19 6 *
2/27/00 80 25 55 20 14 5 *
10/31/99 74 18 56 26 18 7 1
9/2/99 76 19 57 23 16 6 1
3/14/99 80 22 58 19 15 4 1
11/1/98 73 12 61 26 21 5 1
11/1/98 LV 78 13 65 22 19 3 *
10/13/97 61 12 49 39 27 11 * Call for full trend. 11. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse or staying the same? Better Worse Same No opin. 7/15/02 20 36 43 2 3/9/97 28 32 39 1 12. Compared to two years ago, is your family's financial situation better today, worse or about the same? Better Worse About the same No opin. 7/15/02 27 27 47 0 11/1/98 40 12 48 * 11/1/98 LV 37 11 52 0 10/25/98 38 10 49 3 10/25/98 LV 37 10 53 0 1996 Exit poll 33 20 45 - 1994 Exit poll 25 23 51 - 1992 Exit poll 24 34 41 - 1990 Exit poll 29 25 44 - 1988 Exit poll 43 19 38 - 1986 Exit poll 40 24 36 - 1984 Exit poll 49 20 31 - 56. How confident are you that you will retire with enough income and assets to last for the rest of your life - would you say you're very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all? ------Confident---- -------Not Confident----- Retired No
NET Very Somewhat NET Not so Not at all (vol.) opin.
7/15/02 55 18 37 40 21 18 5 0
7/15/01 68 33 35 23 10 12 7 2
7/4/99 54 21 33 39 21 18 6 0
7/21/96 45 16 29 47 25 21 7 1 13. Generally speaking, would you say you favor (smaller government with fewer services), or (larger government with more services)? Smaller govt. Larger govt. No
fewer services more services opinion
7/15/02 53 42 6 Compare to: Would you say you favor (smaller government with fewer services), or (larger government with many services)? Smaller govt. Larger govt. No
fewer services many services opinion
1/27/02* 54 41 5
10/9/00 RV 58 32 10
10/1/00 RV 58 33 9
7/23/00 59 34 7
7/23/00 RV 61 32 7
4/2/00 56 38 7
8/16/98 59 35 6
8/5/96 63 32 5
1996 Rep Dels 98 1 1
Dem Dels 33 45 22
7/8/92 55 38 7
1992 Rep Dels 97 2 1
Dem Dels 34 45 20
1988 Rep Dels 90 4 6
Dem Dels 18 62 21
1984 Dem Dels 23 58 19
*Asked of half sample. 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling: 7/15/02 Approve Disapprove No opinion
a. The economy 58 38 3
b. International affairs 67 28 5
c. The situation between Israel
and the Palestinians 59 34 7
d. Environmental issues 52 39 9
e. Education 62 31 6
f. The federal budget 50 42 8
g. The U.S. campaign against
terrorism 83 15 2
h. Social Security 54 35 11
i. Patients' rights in the
health care system 50 39 11
j. The cost of prescription drugs 35 50 15
k. Regulating Wall Street 50 36 14
and the stock market
l. The issue of financial fraud
and accounting irregularities
by large business corporations 49 43 7
Trend where available: a. The economy
Approve Disapprove No opinion
7/15/02 58 38 3
4/21/02 64 33 3
1/27/02 62 34 4
12/19/01 67 27 6
11/6/01 72 23 5
9/9/01 48 48 4
7/30/01 52 45 3
6/3/01 53 41 6
4/22/01 55 38 7
3/25/01 50 42 8 b. International affairs
Approve Disapprove No opinion
7/15/02 67 28 5
4/21/02 71 25 4
6/3/01 58 33 9
4/22/01 62 31 7
3/25/01 56 31 13 c. The situation between Israel and the Palestinians
Approve Disapprove No opinion
7/15/02 59 34 7
4/21/02 57 35 8 Compare to: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling the situation between Israel and the Palestinians? Approve Disapprove No opinion 10/8/96 LV 57 31 12 10/8/96 RV 57 30 12 d. Environmental issues
Approve Disapprove No opinion
7/15/02 52 39 9
1/27/02 54 31 15
9/9/01 50 44 6
7/30/01 45 49 6
6/3/01 41 50 9
4/22/01 47 41 12
3/25/01 46 41 13 e. Education
Approve Disapprove No opinion
7/15/02 62 31 6
1/27/02 71 21 8
9/9/01 61 32 7
7/30/01 63 31 5
6/3/01 57 35 8
4/22/01 60 28 12 f. The federal budget
Approve Disapprove No opinion
7/15/02 50 42 8
1/27/02 59 30 12
9/9/01 46 48 6
7/30/01 53 42 5 g. The U.S. campaign against terrorism
---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
7/15/02 83 NA NA 15 NA NA 2
5/19/02 79 51 27 19 10 9 3
4/21/02 81 56 25 18 10 7 2
3/10/02 88 64 24 10 5 5 2
1/27/02 88 NA NA 10 NA NA 2
12/19/01 89 67 22 9 5 4 2
10/15/01 92 75 17 5 3 3 3 h. Social Security
Approve Disapprove No opinion
7/15/02 54 35 11
1/27/02 54 28 18
9/9/01 41 50 9
7/30/01 46 48 6
6/3/01 46 40 14 i. Patients' rights in the health care system
Approve Disapprove No opinion
7/15/02 50 39 11
9/9/01 49 37 14
7/30/01 48 44 9
6/3/01 40 39 21 j. The cost of prescription drugs
Approve Disapprove No opinion
7/15/02 35 50 15
9/9/01 32 56 12
7/30/01 40 51 9 k, l. No trend. 57. On another subject, would you support or oppose a plan in which people who chose to could invest some of their Social Security contributions in the stock market? Support Oppose No opin. 7/15/02 52 45 3 4/22/01 53 46 2 3/25/01 52 45 3 10/30/00 LV 58 35 8 9/6/00 RV 59 37 4 5/10/00 64 31 5 15a. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) Overall, how much trust do you have in the honesty of executives of large business corporations - a great deal, a good amount, just some or very little? ----------Trust---------- ------------Not trust----------- No
NET Grt.deal Good amt. NET Some Little None (vol.) opin.
7/15/02 11 2 9 88 35 48 5 * 15b. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) Overall, how much trust do you have in the way large business corporations account for their financial condition - a great deal, a good amount, just some or very little? ----------Trust---------- ------------Not trust----------- No
NET Grt.deal Good amt. NET Some Little None (vol.) opin.
7/15/02 16 4 12 82 31 45 7 1 16. Do you think there should be new laws regulating the way companies account for their financial condition, or better enforcement of existing laws, or is the current situation OK? New laws &
Better Situation better enforce. No
New laws enforce. OK (vol.) opin.
7/15/02 37 48 9 5 2
6/30/02 29 53 9 4 5
1/27/02 30 56 8 3 3 17. Do you support or oppose stricter penalties, including longer prison terms and higher fines, for corporate executives who conceal their company's true financial condition? Do you support/oppose that strongly or somewhat? ---------Support--------- ----------Oppose--------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
7/15/02 91 73 18 6 3 4 3 18. Do you support or oppose creating a federal task force to oversee and coordinate government investigations of possible corporate financial crimes? Do you support/oppose that strongly or somewhat? ---------Support--------- ----------Oppose--------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
7/15/02 69 41 29 28 13 15 3 19. How much do you think measures like stricter penalties and an investigative task force will do to reduce corporate financial wrongdoing in this country - a great deal, a good amount, just some or very little? -------Reduce more------- ------Reduce less----- None No
NET Grt.deal Good amt. NET Some Little (vol.) opin.
7/15/02 52 21 31 46 32 15 1 1 20. Who do you trust more to handle the issue of financial fraud and accounting irregularities by large business corporations - (Bush) or (the Democrats in Congress)? Both Neither
Bush Democrats (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 42 44 3 7 4 21. For each of the following, please tell me if you think it is or is not a factor in the recent corporate accounting scandals. IF YES: Would you say it's a major factor, or a minor factor? 7/15/02 Summary Table: ------Yes, Factor------ Not a No
NET Major Minor factor opin.
a. A lack of morals in society 90 74 16 9 1
b. Greed among some corporate
executives 95 88 7 2 2
c. A lack of oversight by
outside accountants at the
companies involved 87 66 21 9 4
d. A lack of oversight by
government regulators
and prosecutors 84 56 28 13 3
e. A lack of oversight by boards
of directors at the companies
involved 88 74 15 8 3 58. Do you think the steps Bush has proposed to reduce corporate financial wrongdoing in this country are too tough, not tough enough, or about right? Too Not tough About No
tough enough right opin.
7/15/02 1 54 38 7 22. Do you have retirement savings other than Social Security - like a pension plan, a 401(K) account or an IRA account - or not? Yes No No opin. 7/15/02 67 33 * 23. (IF HAVE RETIREMENT SAVINGS) Who do you trust more to protect your retirement savings - (Bush) or (the Democrats in Congress)? Both Neither
Bush Democrats (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 44 35 2 16 3 24a. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) Overall, which party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job in coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years? Both Neither
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 42 45 2 7 4
1/27/02* 40 44 3 10 4
4/22/01 47 40 4 7 3
7/23/00 42 42 2 9 6
9/2/99 45 39 4 9 4
6/6/99 45 35 3 13 5
3/14/99 47 37 5 9 3
2/14/99 48 37 4 7 4
10/18/98 44 36 3 12 6
10/18/98 LV 43 42 3 10 2
9/28/98 49 38 2 8 3
9/28/98 LV 45 44 1 8 2
8/21/98 48 36 4 9 3
7/12/98 45 38 3 8 6
1/31/98 47 37 4 6 7
1/19/98 45 42 2 7 4
7/8/97 44 37 2 14 3
9/15/96 RV 45 38 3 11 3
8/5/96 43 38 3 11 3
6/30/96 46 37 3 12 3
5/22/96 47 38 3 10 3
11/6/94 RV 41 39 2 12 6
10/31/94 43 43 2 8 4
10/23/94 39 40 3 15 3
9/11/94 43 40 4 11 3
6/26/94 41 36 3 14 5
2/27/94 46 32 4 16 3
11/14/93 42 39 3 11 4
1/17/93 49 28 5 13 5
7/8/92 48 38 1 8 4
6/7/92 43 37 3 11 6
3/11/92 45 37 1 11 5
3/8/92 51 36 1 7 5
2/2/92 49 39 2 7 3
12/15/91 39 37 3 15 6
10/21/91 39 40 3 13 5
*Asked of half sample. 24b. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) Overall, who do you trust to do a better job coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years, (George W. Bush) or (the Democrats in Congress)? Both Neither
Bush Democrats (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 53 37 4 3 3
1/27/02* 62 31 2 3 2
*Asked of half sample. Compare to: Who do you trust to do a better job coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next year - Clinton or the Republicans in Congress? Both equally Neither No
Clinton Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opin.
1/26/00 45 46 * 7 2
2/14/99* 52 35 2 7 3
2/12/99 53 30 3 11 4
1/19/99 50 32 3 8 7
11/7/98 47 38 4 9 2
9/28/98 51 38 2 6 3
9/28/98LV 47 45 1 4 2
8/21/98 48 38 2 9 3
7/12/98 48 38 1 6 6
5/12/98 47 39 3 8 3
1/31/98 52 35 3 4 6
1/19/98 48 40 2 8 2
3/9/97 49 38 4 8 2
1/15/97** 51 37 3 7 2
1/29/95 40 46 4 8 2
1/4/95 30 54 3 9 4
12/15/94 34 49 3 9 6
*1999 and previous: "next few years"
** "The Clinton administration" 25. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job (INSERT ITEM). 7/15/02 Both Neither No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) op.
a. Improving the economy 38 48 3 6 5
b. Protecting the Social
Security system 44 38 3 9 6
c. Improving the health
care system 47 37 3 9 5
d. Improving education and
the schools 41 41 4 7 7
e. Helping the elderly pay
for prescription drugs 51 33 2 7 7
f. Protecting the
environment 55 27 5 7 6
g. Handling national
defense and the
military budget 36 52 5 2 5
h. Handling the U.S.
campaign against
terrorism 27 55 9 3 6
i. Managing the federal
budget 44 41 5 6 4
j. Regulating Wall Street
and the stock market 43 39 5 7 6
k. Handling the issue of
financial fraud and
accounting irregularities
by large business
corporations 47 37 6 4 6
l. (IF HAVE RETIREMENT
SAVINGS) Protecting your
retirement savings 40 41 4 12 3
*Half sample asked items a through f, and the other half sample asked items g through l. Trend: a. Improving the economy
Both Neither
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 38 48 3 6 5
1/27/02 39 48 5 6 3 Compare to: Handling the nation's economy
Both Neither
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
4/22/01 47 43 4 4 3
9/28/98 LV 51 43 NA NA 6
9/28/98 53 40 NA NA 7
7/12/98 49 37 4 5 6
1/19/98 45 44 3 6 3
7/8/97 43 39 5 12 2
10/23/94 38 43 3 14 2
9/11/94 39 43 3 11 4
2/27/94 47 36 3 11 3
2/2/92 49 38 2 7 4
12/15/91 43 36 4 11 5
3/4/91 32 49 5 10 4
1/16/90 33 52 4 7 4 b. Protecting the Social Security system
Both Neither
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 44 38 3 9 6
1/27/02 48 38 6 5 3
4/22/01 52 35 5 5 3
9/2/99 56 33 3 4 3
3/14/99 52 29 3 8 7
7/12/98 51 35 3 6 6
1/19/98 48 38 3 7 5
1/16/90 52 31 3 9 4
c. Improving the health care system
Both Neither
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 47 37 3 9 5
1/27/02 50 35 5 5 4 d. Improving education and the schools
Both Neither
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 41 41 4 7 7
1/27/02 40 45 8 4 3
4/22/01 48 40 5 5 3
9/28/98 LV 51 38 NA NA 11
9/28/98 56 35 NA NA 9
7/12/98 52 31 5 5 7
1/19/98 54 34 4 5 3
7/8/97 51 30 5 9 4
10/23/94 45 30 6 13 6
9/11/94 48 33 6 8 5
2/27/94 53 28 5 11 3
2/2/92 55 29 6 5 5
12/15/91 47 31 6 10 6
3/4/91 39 41 8 9 4
1/16/90 45 36 7 9 3 e. Helping the elderly pay for prescription drugs
Both Neither
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 51 33 2 7 7
1/27/02 57 30 4 3 5 f. Protecting the environment
Both Neither
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 55 27 5 7 6
1/27/02 59 29 3 5 5
3/14/99 55 24 6 7 8
7/12/98 56 28 4 4 8
1/19/98 54 31 3 6 5
3/4/91 40 35 10 10 5
1/16/90 46 31 8 9 6 g. Handling national defense and the military budget
Both Neither
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 36 52 5 2 5
1/27/02 27 63 3 3 4
9/2/99 34 55 2 4 4 h. Handling the U.S. campaign against terrorism
Both Neither
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 27 55 9 3 6
1/27/02 23 62 10 3 2 i. Managing the federal budget
Both Neither
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
7/15/02 44 41 5 6 4
1/27/02*** 38 46 5 7 3
3/14/99 43 40 5 10 3
9/28/98 49 42 NA NA 9
9/28/98LV 44 49 NA NA 7
7/12/98 42 39 4 7 8
1/19/98* 41 43 3 8 4
7/8/97* 39 36 5 17 3
10/23/94** 36 37 3 21 3
9/11/94** 39 40 4 14 4
2/27/94** 44 28 5 20 3
2/2/92** 40 39 4 14 3
3/4/91** 35 43 5 14 3
1/16/90** 35 42 4 15 4 *Balancing the federal budget j,k,l. No trend. 26. Which political party do you think is more open to the ideas of people who are political moderates - the (Democrats) or the (Republicans)? Both Neither No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opin.
7/15/02 53 32 4 4 6
1/27/02 49 38 3 3 7
6/3/01 57 32 2 6 4 27. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Bush or not: 7/15/02 Yes No No opin.
a. He understands the problems of
people like you 57 41 2
b. He is honest and trustworthy 71 26 3
c. He is a strong leader 75 24 1 Trend: a. He understands the problems of people like you
Yes No No opin.
7/15/02 57 41 2
1/27/02 61 37 2
7/30/01 45 54 2
4/22/01 47 51 2
11/4/00 LV 49 46 5
10/24/00 LV 50 46 3
10/15/00 RV 46 46 7
10/9/00 RV 50 44 6
9/6/00 RV 47 49 4
8/20/00 RV 50 46 5
7/23/00 RV 44 51 5
7/23/00 44 51 5
6/11/00 48 47 5
4/2/00 48 46 6
3/11/00 47 47 6
2/27/00 43 51 6
2/6/00 43 52 5
1/16/00 46 49 6
12/15/99 47 46 7
10/31/99 54 39 7
9/2/99 50 39 11
3/14/99 52 27 21 b. He is honest and trustworthy
Yes No No opin.
7/15/02 71 26 3
7/30/01 63 34 3
4/22/01 62 32 6
11/5/00 LV 60 33 7
11/4/00 LV 61 33 7
10/24/00 LV 65 30 5
10/15/00 LV 57 34 9
10/15/00 RV 53 35 12
9/6/00 RV 62 30 7
7/23/00 RV 61 30 8
7/23/00 59 31 10
12/15/99 63 28 9
10/31/99 68 22 10
9/2/99 63 23 14
3/14/99 67 12 22 c. He is a strong leader
Yes No No opin.
7/15/02 75 24 1
7/30/01 55 43 2
4/22/01 53 42 5
10/9/00 RV 62 33 5
9/6/00 RV 65 28 7
8/20/00 RV 65 29 5
8/10/00 RV 67 29 5
7/23/00 RV 61 33 6
7/23/00 62 32 5
6/11/00 65 30 6
4/2/00 68 27 5
3/11/00 63 31 6
2/27/00 62 32 6
2/6/00 65 30 7
1/16/00 65 28 7
12/15/99 67 26 7
10/31/99 77 18 5
9/2/99 70 18 12
3/14/99 68 13 20 28. Do you think Bush is mainly concentrating on things that are important to you personally, or on things that are not important to you personally? Important Not important No
to you to you opin.
7/15/02 53 44 3
7/30/01 45 53 2 29. Do you think Bush cares more about protecting the interests of (ordinary working people) or cares more about protecting the interests of (large business corporations)? Ordinary Large Both Neither No
people corporations (vol.) (vol.) opin.
7/15/02 37 50 8 1 4
4/22/01 28 60 5 1 5
3/25/01 31 61 3 1 4 30a/30b. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE FOR EACH PARTY) Do you think the (Democrats/ Republicans) in Congress care more about protecting the interests of (ordinary working people) or care more about protecting the interests of (large business corporations)? 7/15/02 Ordinary Large Both Neither No
people corporations (vol.) (vol.) opin.
a. Democrats 49 37 4 5 6
b. Republicans 27 60 5 1 6 31. On another subject, do you think the U.S. campaign against terrorism is going very well, fairly well, not too well or not well at all? ----------Well---------- --------Not well-------- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too At all opin.
7/15/02 75 15 60 24 16 8 1
4/21/02 73 11 63 26 17 9 1
3/10/02 84 21 63 15 10 6 1
1/27/02 88 32 56 11 8 4 1 32. How much confidence do you have in the ability of the U.S. government to prevent further terrorist attacks against Americans in this country: a great deal, a good amount, only a fair amount or none at all? --------Confident-------- -----Not confident---- No
NET Grt.deal Good amt. NET Fair amt. None opin.
7/15/02 46 13 33 54 45 9 *
6/9/02 44 14 30 55 44 11 *
5/19/02 46 17 29 52 42 10 2
3/10/02 55 18 38 44 39 5 *
1/27/02 57 18 40 42 37 6 1
11/27/01 63 24 39 36 32 5 1
11/6/01 52 17 35 47 40 7 1
9/11/01 66 35 31 32 30 2 1
6/2/97 35 10 26 62 52 10 3
8/5/96 35 12 23 65 49 16 *
5/14/95 36 12 24 63 51 12 1
4/20/95 37 13 24 62 51 11 1
6/28/93 59 22 37 41 32 8 1
4/3/89 46 16 30 54 38 16 * 33. How concerned are you about the possibility there will be more major terrorist attacks in the United States - is that something that worries you a great deal, somewhat, not too much or not at all? ---------Concerned--------- -------Not concerned---- No
NET Grt.deal Somewhat NET Not much None op.
7/15/02 73 29 44 27 20 7 *
4/21/02 73 30 43 26 18 9 *
3/10/02 70 23 47 30 21 9 1
12/19/01 70 27 43 29 22 8 1
10/15/01 77 35 43 23 14 9 0
10/9/01 82 36 46 18 12 6 *
10/7/01 81 41 40 18 13 4 1
9/27/01* 83 43 39 17 12 5 *
9/11/01 87 49 38 12 7 4 1
6/13/97 62 21 41 38 24 14 *
6/2/97 63 22 41 37 28 9 *
8/5/96 74 31 43 26 18 8 *
4/20/95 78 38 40 21 16 5 1
*9/27/01 and previous: "How concerned are you about the possibility there
will be more major terrorist attacks in this country." 34. Now, thinking about all of your investments, including retirement savings at work, do you currently have money invested in stocks or stock mutual funds, or not? Yes No No opin. 7/15/02 55 45 * 1/16/00 48 52 1 8/29/99 49 50 1 5/10/98 49 50 1 9/14/97 44 55 1 11/5/87 34 66 1 10/19/87 40 60 1 2/28/87 32 68 * Compare to: Thinking about all of your investments, including retirement savings at work, do you or does your spouse currently have money invested in stocks or stock mutual funds, or not? Yes No No opin. 1/15/01 61 39 * 35. (IF NO, DON'T KNOW, REFUSED) If you have a spouse, does your spouse have stocks or mutual funds, or not? Yes No No spouse No opin. 7/15/02 9 91 0 1 36. (IF OWNS STOCKS/STOCK MUTUAL FUNDS AT Q34) Do you personally own any individual stocks directly, or do you own stocks only through mutual funds or a pension plan? Own stock Only through No
directly mutual funds opin.
7/15/02 40 58 1 37. (IF SPOUSE OWNS STOCKS/STOCK MUTUAL FUNDS AT Q34) Does your spouse own any individual stocks directly, or only through mutual funds or a pension plan? Own stock Only through No
directly mutual funds opin.
7/15/02 7 76 16 38. Overall, do you think the stock market is a safe investment, or a risky one? Safe Risky No opin. 7/15/02 19 80 2 1/15/01 35 61 3 5/7/00 34 58 8 6/6/99 37 52 9 10/13/97 27 69 4 8/31/97 32 54 14 9/14/88 16 71 12 39. How much do rises and falls in stock market prices affect you personally-a great deal, somewhat, not much or not at all? --A great deal/Somewhat-- --Not much/Not at all--- No
NET Great deal Somewhat NET Not much Not at all opin.
7/15/02 53 17 36 47 26 21 *
1/15/01 49 12 36 50 29 20 2
10/27/97 38 9 30 60 24 36 2
10/13/97 42 9 33 58 24 34 1
11/5/87 36 8 28 63 24 39 0
10/26/87 34 7 27 65 28 37 1
10/19/87 45 13 32 55 23 32 1
2/28/87 35 10 25 63 24 39 2
9/21/86 26 6 20 72 28 44 3 40. How do you feel about the recent drop in the stock market - very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not at all concerned? -----Concerned------ ------Not Concerned------ No
NET Very Somewhat NET Not too Not at all opin.
7/15/02 69 28 41 31 21 10 0
3/25/01 64 24 40 35 22 13 1 Compare to: -----Concerned------ ----------Not Concerned---------- No
NET Very Somewhat NET Little/Not Very Not at all op.
2/14/90* 43 14 29 55 27 28 2
10/22/87** 68 18 50 32 23 9 * *Time/CNN: Turning to the stock market, how concerned are you about the general drop in stock prices since the beginning of the year--very concerned, somewhat concerned, a little concerned or not at all concerned? **USA Today: How concerned are you about the recent drop in the stock market? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not very concerned, or not at all concerned? 41. Have you or anyone in your immediate family been hurt financially by the recent sharp drop in stock prices, or not? Yes, have No, have Too soon to No
been hurt NOT been hurt tell(vol.) Opinion
7/15/02 37 61 1 1
10/27/97 14 81 4 1
10/26/87 20 79 * 1 42. How much confidence do you have that the stock market treats individual investors fairly - a great deal, only some, hardly any or none at all? ---Great deal/Only some--- ----Hardly any/None---- No
NET Great deal Only some NET Hardly any None opin.
7/15/02 64 14 50 32 21 11 5
6/9/02* 64 16 48 31 26 5 5
2/11/02* 73 22 51 24 21 3 4
*Business Week. 43. Do you think there should be more government regulation of the stock market, less regulation, or should government regulation of the stock market stay as it is? More Less Same No opin. 7/15/02 35 6 54 5 10/13/97 14 16 65 5 44. As you may know, some state governments are facing budget problems that have forced them to raise taxes and reduce state spending on state programs and services. What about in your state: Is your state government currently facing budget problems, or not? Yes No No opin. 7/15/02 75 18 7 45. (IF YES AT Q44) Are these budget problems very serious, fairly serious or not too serious? ----------Serious---------- Not serious No
Very Fairly Not too at all (vol.) opin.
7/15/02 41 44 13 * 1 46. (IF YES AT Q44) How much responsibility do you think (READ ITEM) bears for the budget problems in your state-a great deal, a good amount, just some or hardly any? 7/15/02 Does not
Great Good Just Hardly None apply No
deal amt. some any (vol.) (vol.) opin.
a. The governor
of your state 37 27 23 9 1 1 1
b. The legislature
of your state 34 33 25 6 * * 2
c. President Bush 16 19 33 23 6 NA 2
d. The U.S. Congress 20 25 37 13 2 NA 2
e. The overall
economic conditions
in your state 30 35 26 7 * NA 2 47. Do you think it is better for the country to have a President (who comes from the same political party that controls Congress), or do you think it is better to have a President (from one political party and Congress controlled by another)? Same Different No difference/
party party no opinion
7/15/02 41 45 14
4/7/02* 43 42 15
9/10/01* 43 45 12
10/9/00* 48 40 12
11/22/81 47 34 19
*Gallup. Compare to Gallup: Do you think it is better for the country to have a President who comes from the same political party that controls Congress, or do you think it is better to have a President from one political party and Congress controlled by another? Same Different No difference/
party party no opinion
4/7/02 41 43 16
9/10/01 42 46 12
10/9/00 45 42 13
4/19/98 40 42 18
9/28/97 31 45 24
8/25/97 42 41 17
10/9/94 45 37 18
1/17/94 46 36 18
8/10/93 48 37 15 48. As you may know, the control of the Congress is currently divided, with Democrats controlling the Senate and Republicans controlling the House of Representatives, while a Republican is President. Do you think it would be better or worse for the country than it is now if the (INSERT ITEM) won control of both the Senate and the House in this year's elections? HALF SAMPLE FOR EACH PARTY 7/15/02 No diff. No
Better Worse (vol.) opin.
a. Republican Party 35 51 10 3
b. Democratic Party 38 48 8 6 49. (ASKED OF DEMOCRATS) Suppose your state holds a Democratic primary or caucus for president in 2004 and the candidates are (Tom Daschle, Joseph Lieberman, Richard Gephardt, Al Gore, John Kerry, John Edwards, and Howard Dean.) For whom would you vote? Daschle Lieberman Gephardt Gore Kerry Edwards Dean Other DK 7/15/02 8 10 5 46 6 3 1 3 18 50. (ASKED IF GORE/LIEBERMAN AT Q49) If he doesn't run, who would be your second choice? If Gore at q49: Daschle Lieberman Gephardt Gore Kerry Edwards Dean Other DK 7/15/02 12 25 17 NA 8 8 5 1 23 If Lieberman at q49: Daschle Lieberman Gephardt Gore Kerry Edwards Dean Other DK 7/15/02 11 NA 16 45 9 0 3 4 12 Q49/50 NET. Without Gore: Daschle Lieberman Gephardt Kerry Edwards Dean Other DK 7/15/02 14 21 13 10 7 3 4 29 Without Lieberman: Daschle Gephardt Gore Kerry Edwards Dean Other DK 7/15/02 9 7 50 7 3 1 4 20 53. (ASKED OF THOSE WHO WORK) Would you say it's gotten harder to get a promotion or a better job in the last year, has it gotten easier, or hasn't that changed much? Harder Easier No change No opinion 7/15/02 34 8 54 4 12/15/91 57 4 37 2 54a. (ASKED IF ANSWERED Q15A AND EMPLOYED FULL/PART TIME) Overall, how much trust do you have in the honesty of the executives or leaders of the company where you work - a great deal, a good amount, just some or very little? ----------Trust---------- ------------Not trust----------- No
NET Grt.deal Good amt. NET Some Little None (vol.) opin.
7/15/02 63 39 24 35 23 11 1 1 54b. (ASKED IF ANSWERED Q15B AND EMPLOYED FULL/PART TIME) Overall how much trust do you have in the way the company where you work accounts for its financial condition - a great deal, a good amount, just some or very little? ---------Trust--------- -----------Not trust---------- Does not No
NET Grt.deal Good amt. NET Some Little None (vol.) (vol.) opin.
7/15/02 73 46 26 25 13 11 1 1 2 55. Have you or any of your close friends or family members lost a job in the last six months, or not? Yes No No opinion 7/15/02 31 69 * 1/27/02 37 63 * © Copyright 2002 The Washington Post Company
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