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Washington Post - ABC News Poll Post-GOP Convention The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 1,205 randomly selected adults nationwide, including 975 self-identified registered voters, conducted between August 4-6, 2000. The margin of error for overall results is plus or minus 3.0 percentage points. *= less than 0.5 percent 1. How closely are you following the 2000 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?
Very Somewhat Not too Not closely No
closely closely closely at all opin.
8/6/00 17 36 22 25 *
7/29/00 16 35 25 24 *
7/23/00 14 36 25 25 *
6/11/00 13 36 26 25 0
4/2/00 17 36 24 23 0
3/11/00 21 40 21 17 0
2/27/00 24 46 20 10 *
2/6/00 19 48 21 13 0
1/16/00 11 39 26 24 *
12/15/99 12 33 31 24 *
10/31/99 16 45 25 13 *
2. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2000 presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Don't think
Certain Probably Chances Less than will vote No
to vote vote 50/50 50/50 (vol.) opin.
8/6/00 64 12 11 8 5 *
7/29/00 61 15 9 11 3 *
7/23/00 59 17 10 11 4 *
6/11/00 60 13 11 10 4 *
5/10/00 63 15 10 8 4 1
4/2/00 62 14 9 9 5 *
3/11/00 63 14 9 9 4 *
2/27/00 69 12 10 4 5 *
2/6/00 67 12 10 8 3 *
1/16/00 65 14 10 6 4 *
12/15/99 64 13 8 9 6 1
10/31/99 72 11 10 5 3 *
3. If the election for president in November 2000 were being held today,
and the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), and (George W. Bush, the
Republican), for whom would you vote?
Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
Neither Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
8/6/00 40 54 3 * 1 2
7/29/00 42 53 2 1 1 2
7/23/00 45 48 3 * 1 2
6/11/00 45 49 3 * 1 2
5/10/00 44 49 3 * 1 3
4/2/00 47 46 2 * 2 2
3/11/00 48 45 2 1 2 3
2/27/00 44 50 2 1 1 2
2/6/00 45 50 2 * 2 1
1/16/00 42 52 1 1 2 2
12/15/99 41 55 1 * 2 1
10/31/99 39 55 2 * 1 2
Net Leaned Vote, Likely Voters:
Gore Bush Other
8/6/00 41 56 3
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
Neither Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
8/6/00 39 53 4 * 2 2
7/29/00 40 52 3 1 2 2
7/23/00 44 47 4 * 2 2
6/11/00 44 49 3 * 2 2
5/10/00 43 49 3 * 2 3
4/2/00 45 47 3 * 2 2
3/11/00 48 45 2 1 3 2
2/27/00 44 50 2 1 2 2
2/6/00 45 49 3 * 2 1
1/16/00 41 51 2 * 3 2
12/15/99 39 55 2 * 3 1
10/31/99 39 55 2 * 2 2
9/2/99 37 56 3 * 3 2
8/22/99 37 49 5 2 3 3
6/6/99 40 53 3 1 1 3
3/14/99 41 54 1 * 2 2
Unleaned, General Population:
Neither Wouldn't No
Gore Bush (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
10/25/98 34 45 7 1 13
8/21/98 41 43 6 2 7
1/19/98 40 45 5 2 7
9/23/97 35 40 12 4 9
4. How about if the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), (George W.
Bush, the Republican), (Pat Buchanan, the Reform Party candidate) and
(Ralph Nader, the Green Party candidate), for whom would you vote?
Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
None Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush Buchanan Nader (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) op.
8/6/00 37 51 4 5 1 * 1 2
7/29/00 37 49 4 7 1 1 1 1
7/23/00 39 44 6 7 1 * 1 1
6/11/00 41 47 4 4 2 * 1 2
5/10/00 39 45 5 5 2 0 1 3
Net Leaned Vote, Likely Voters:
Gore Bush Buchanan Nader Other
8/6/00 37 53 3 5 2
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
None Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush Buchanan Nader (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) op.
8/6/00 36 49 4 5 2 * 3 2
7/29/00 35 48 4 7 1 1 2 2
7/23/00 38 43 6 7 2 * 1 2
6/11/00 42 44 4 3 2 * 2 2
5/10/00 38 44 5 5 2 * 3 3
5. Will you definitely vote for (Gore/Bush/Nader/Buchanan) in November, or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? Is there a good chance you'll change your mind or would you say it's pretty unlikely?
8/6/00
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
Gore 62 16 20 2
Bush 65 15 18 2
Nader 24 57 15 3
Buchanan 24 51 17 8
Trend:
Gore:
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
8/6/00 62 16 20 2
7/23/00 58 15 26 2
Bush:
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
8/6/00 65 15 18 2
7/23/00 63 14 22 2
Nader:
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
8/6/00 24 57 15 3
7/23/00 36 48 14 2
Buchanan:
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
8/6/00 24 51 17 8
7/23/00 24 51 20 5
6. Which of these two statements comes closest to your own views: A) After eight years of Bill Clinton, we need to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction. B) We need to keep the country moving in the direction Bill Clinton has been taking us.
New Same Somewhere in Neither No
direction direction between (vol.) (vol.) opin.
8/6/00 48 44 2 4 2
7/23/00 46 49 2 1 2
2/27/00 48 49 1 * 1
1/26/00 44 53 1 2 1
10/31/99 47 48 3 1 1
9/2/99 47 49 2 1 2
3/14/98 39 56 3 1 1
Compare to:
President Bush:
8/9/92 74 23 * * 2
6/7/92 75 21 1 1 1
3/11/92 66 30 1 2 1
12/15/91 63 31 2 2 2
10/21/91 51 44 2 1 1
Reagan:
9/19/88 RV 51 46 1 1 1
8/14/88 58 38 2 1 1
5/25/88 57 39 2 1 2
9/23/87 55 41 2 1 1
4/13/87 56 41 1 1 1
7. Do you think George W. Bush's views on most issues are too liberal for you, too conservative for you, or just about right?
Too Too About No
liberal conservative right opinion
8/6/00 10 25 52 13
7/23/00 12 28 52 8
3/11/00 12 28 52 8
2/27/00 10 33 51 5
2/24/00 12 33 43 12
2/6/00 12 30 49 8
9/2/99 10 20 58 13
3/14/99 7 20 53 20
Compare to:
Gore:
7/23/00 36 11 47 7
3/11/00 30 9 53 7
2/27/00 35 10 49 7
2/24/00 36 11 43 9
2/6/00 36 11 46 7
9/2/99 35 12 46 7
3/14/99 31 10 44 15
8. In general, do you think the political views of the Republican Party are too conservative, too liberal, or about right?
Conservative Liberal About right No opin.
8/6/00 30 13 48 9
8/5/96 38 14 44 5
11/8/95* 38 18 37 7
3/29/95 32 14 48 6
11/6/94 33 13 44 9
10/25/94 35 15 44 6
8/19/92 (Reg.) 39 12 38 11
*11/95 and earlier: Gallup
9. Do you think George W. Bush is (pretty much the same as other top Republicans) or is he (a different kind of Republican)?
Same Different No opin.
8/6/00 56 35 10
10. Which political party, the Democrats or the Republicans, do you trust to do a better job being tolerant of different points of view?
Neither Both equally No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion
8/6/00 46 35 11 3 4
3/14/99 58 21 10 4 7
© Copyright 2000 The Washington Post Company
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