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Washington Post - ABC News Poll

Post-GOP Convention

The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 1,205 randomly selected adults nationwide, including 975 self-identified registered voters, conducted between August 4-6, 2000. The margin of error for overall results is plus or minus 3.0 percentage points.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. How closely are you following the 2000 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

            Very        Somewhat     Not too     Not closely     No
           closely      closely      closely       at all       opin.
8/6/00       17            36          22            25           *
7/29/00      16            35          25            24           * 
7/23/00      14            36          25            25           *		  
6/11/00      13            36          26            25           0
4/2/00       17            36          24            23           0
3/11/00      21            40          21            17           0
2/27/00      24            46          20            10           *
2/6/00       19            48          21            13           0
1/16/00      11            39          26            24           *
12/15/99     12            33          31            24           *
10/31/99     16            45          25            13           *

2. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2000 presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

                                                      Don't think
           Certain   Probably   Chances   Less than    will vote     No
           to vote     vote      50/50      50/50       (vol.)      opin.
8/6/00       64         12        11          8           5          *
7/29/00      61         15         9         11           3          *
7/23/00      59         17        10         11           4          *		   
6/11/00      60         13        11         10           4          *		   
5/10/00      63         15        10          8           4          1
4/2/00       62         14         9          9           5          *
3/11/00      63         14         9          9           4          *
2/27/00      69         12        10          4           5          *
2/6/00       67         12        10          8           3          *
1/16/00      65         14        10          6           4          *
12/15/99     64         13         8          9           6          1
10/31/99     72         11        10          5           3          *

3. If the election for president in November 2000 were being held today, and the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), and (George W. Bush, the Republican), for whom would you vote?

Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
                              Neither    Other    Wouldn't         No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    (vol.)    vote (vol.)    opin.
8/6/00          40      54       3         *          1             2
7/29/00         42      53       2         1          1             2
7/23/00         45      48       3         *          1             2
6/11/00         45      49       3         *          1             2
5/10/00         44      49       3         *          1             3
4/2/00          47      46       2         *          2             2
3/11/00         48      45       2         1          2             3
2/27/00         44      50       2         1          1             2
2/6/00          45      50       2         *          2             1
1/16/00         42      52       1         1          2             2
12/15/99        41      55       1         *          2             1
10/31/99        39      55       2         *          1             2
Net Leaned Vote, Likely Voters:
                  Gore    Bush     Other
8/6/00		   41      56        3
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
                              Neither    Other      Wouldn't       No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    (vol.)    vote (vol.)    opin.
8/6/00          39      53       4         *           2            2
7/29/00         40      52       3         1           2            2
7/23/00         44      47       4         *           2            2
6/11/00         44      49       3         *           2            2
5/10/00         43      49       3         *           2            3
4/2/00          45      47       3         *           2            2
3/11/00         48      45       2         1           3            2
2/27/00         44      50       2         1           2            2
2/6/00          45      49       3         *           2            1
1/16/00         41      51       2         *           3            2
12/15/99        39      55       2         *           3            1
10/31/99        39      55       2         *           2            2
9/2/99          37      56       3         *           3            2
8/22/99         37      49       5         2           3            3
6/6/99          40      53       3         1           1            3
3/14/99         41      54       1         *           2            2
Unleaned, General Population:
                              Neither    Wouldn't       No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    vote (vol.)   opin.
10/25/98        34      45       7           1          13
8/21/98         41      43       6           2           7
1/19/98         40      45       5           2           7
9/23/97         35      40      12           4           9

4. How about if the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), (George W. Bush, the Republican), (Pat Buchanan, the Reform Party candidate) and (Ralph Nader, the Green Party candidate), for whom would you vote?

Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
                                          None    Other   Wouldn't    No
         Gore   Bush   Buchanan   Nader  (vol.)   (vol.)  vote (vol.) op.
8/6/00    37     51       4         5      1        *        1         2
7/29/00   37     49       4         7      1        1        1         1
7/23/00   39     44       6         7      1        *        1         1
6/11/00   41     47       4         4      2        *        1         2
5/10/00   39     45       5         5      2        0        1         3
Net Leaned Vote, Likely Voters:
         Gore   Bush   Buchanan   Nader   Other
8/6/00    37     53       3         5       2
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
                                          None    Other   Wouldn't     No
         Gore   Bush   Buchanan   Nader  (vol.)   (vol.)  vote (vol.)  op.
8/6/00    36     49       4         5      2        *        3          2
7/29/00   35     48       4         7      1        1        2          2
7/23/00   38     43       6         7      2        *        1          2
6/11/00   42     44       4         3      2        *        2          2
5/10/00   38     44       5         5      2        *        3          3

5. Will you definitely vote for (Gore/Bush/Nader/Buchanan) in November, or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? Is there a good chance you'll change your mind or would you say it's pretty unlikely?

8/6/00
                            ------Change mind------
          Definitely vote   Good chance   Unlikely     No opinion
Gore           62               16           20            2
Bush           65               15           18            2
Nader          24               57           15            3
Buchanan       24               51           17            8
Trend:
Gore:
                            ------Change mind------
          Definitely vote   Good chance   Unlikely     No opinion
8/6/00         62               16           20            2
7/23/00        58               15           26            2
Bush:
                            ------Change mind------
          Definitely vote   Good chance   Unlikely     No opinion
8/6/00         65               15           18            2
7/23/00        63               14           22            2
Nader:
                            ------Change mind------
          Definitely vote   Good chance   Unlikely     No opinion
8/6/00         24               57           15            3
7/23/00        36               48           14            2
Buchanan:
                            ------Change mind------
          Definitely vote   Good chance   Unlikely     No opinion
8/6/00         24               51           17            8
7/23/00        24               51           20            5

6. Which of these two statements comes closest to your own views: A) After eight years of Bill Clinton, we need to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction. B) We need to keep the country moving in the direction Bill Clinton has been taking us.

               New          Same      Somewhere in     Neither     No
            direction     direction   between (vol.)    (vol.)    opin.
8/6/00          48           44            2              4         2
7/23/00         46           49            2              1         2
2/27/00         48           49            1              *         1
1/26/00         44           53            1              2         1
10/31/99        47           48            3              1         1
9/2/99          47           49            2              1         2
3/14/98         39           56            3              1         1
Compare to:
President Bush:
8/9/92          74           23            *              *         2
6/7/92          75           21            1              1         1
3/11/92         66           30            1              2         1
12/15/91        63           31            2              2         2
10/21/91        51           44            2              1         1
Reagan:
9/19/88 RV      51           46            1              1         1
8/14/88         58           38            2              1         1
5/25/88         57           39            2              1         2
9/23/87         55           41            2              1         1
4/13/87         56           41            1              1         1

7. Do you think George W. Bush's views on most issues are too liberal for you, too conservative for you, or just about right?

            Too         Too        About      No
          liberal   conservative   right    opinion
8/6/00      10           25         52        13
7/23/00     12           28         52         8 
3/11/00     12           28         52         8
2/27/00     10           33         51         5
2/24/00     12           33         43        12
2/6/00      12           30         49         8
9/2/99      10           20         58        13
3/14/99      7           20         53        20
Compare to:
Gore:
7/23/00     36           11         47         7
3/11/00     30            9         53         7
2/27/00     35           10         49         7
2/24/00     36           11         43         9
2/6/00      36           11         46         7
9/2/99      35           12         46         7
3/14/99     31           10         44        15

8. In general, do you think the political views of the Republican Party are too conservative, too liberal, or about right?

           Conservative   Liberal   About right   No opin.      
8/6/00          30          13          48           9
8/5/96          38          14          44           5
11/8/95*        38          18          37           7
3/29/95         32          14          48           6
11/6/94         33          13          44           9
10/25/94        35          15          44           6
8/19/92 (Reg.)  39          12          38          11
*11/95 and earlier: Gallup

9. Do you think George W. Bush is (pretty much the same as other top Republicans) or is he (a different kind of Republican)?

          Same   Different   No opin.
8/6/00     56       35         10

10. Which political party, the Democrats or the Republicans, do you trust to do a better job being tolerant of different points of view?

                                        Neither   Both equally     No
           Democrats    Republicans     (vol.)      (vol.)        opinion
8/6/00        46            35            11           3            4
3/14/99       58            21            10           4            7

© Copyright 2000 The Washington Post Company


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