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Washington Post-ABC News Poll

Pre-Democratic Convention

The latest Washington Post-ABC News national poll is based on telephone interviews with 876 registered voters, conducted between August 8-10, 2000. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. How closely are you following the 2000 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

Registered Voters:
8/10/00      29            43          18            11           *
General Population:
            Very        Somewhat     Not too     Not closely     No
           closely      closely      closely       at all       opin.
8/6/00       17            36          22            25           *
7/29/00      16            35          25            24           * 
7/23/00      14            36          25            25           *		  
6/11/00      13            36          26            25           0
4/2/00       17            36          24            23           0
3/11/00      21            40          21            17           0
2/27/00      24            46          20            10           *
2/6/00       19            48          21            13           0
1/16/00      11            39          26            24           *
12/15/99     12            33          31            24           *
10/31/99     16            45          25            13           *

2. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2000 presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?

Registered Voters:
8/10/00      79         12         6          1           1           *
General Population:
                                                      Don't think
           Certain   Probably   Chances   Less than    will vote     No
           to vote     vote      50/50      50/50       (vol.)      opin.
8/6/00       64         12        11          8           5          *
7/29/00      61         15         9         11           3          *
7/23/00      59         17        10         11           4          *		   
6/11/00      60         13        11         10           4          *		   
5/10/00      63         15        10          8           4          1
4/2/00       62         14         9          9           5          *
3/11/00      63         14         9          9           4          *
2/27/00      69         12        10          4           5          *
2/6/00       67         12        10          8           3          *
1/16/00      65         14        10          6           4          *
12/15/99     64         13         8          9           6          1
10/31/99     72         11        10          5           3          *

3. If the election for president in November 2000 were being held today, and the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), and (George W. Bush, the Republican), for whom would you vote?
*Added v.p. names

Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
                              Neither    Other    Wouldn't         No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    (vol.)    vote (vol.)    opin.
8/10/00*        43      52       2         1          1             1
8/6/00          40      54       3         *          1             2
7/29/00         42      53       2         1          1             2
7/23/00         45      48       3         *          1             2
6/11/00         45      49       3         *          1             2
5/10/00         44      49       3         *          1             3
4/2/00          47      46       2         *          2             2
3/11/00         48      45       2         1          2             3
2/27/00         44      50       2         1          1             2
2/6/00          45      50       2         *          2             1
1/16/00         42      52       1         1          2             2
12/15/99        41      55       1         *          2             1
10/31/99        39      55       2         *          1             2
Net Leaned Vote, Likely Voters:
                              Neither    Other      Wouldn't       No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    (vol.)    vote (vol.)    opin.
8/10/00*        44      53       2         *          *             1
8/6/00          41      55       2         *          *             2 
7/29/00         43      54       2         1          *             1
7/23/00         45      51       3         *          1             1         
6/11/00         45      51       1         *          0             2
5/10/00         44      50       2         1          *             2
4/2/00          50      46       2         1          *             2
3/11/00         46      50       2         1          *             1
2/27/00         44      50       2         1          1             2
2/6/00          44      52       2         *          2             *
1/16/00         42      53       1         1          1             2
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
                              Neither    Other      Wouldn't       No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    (vol.)    vote (vol.)    opin.
8/6/00          39      53       4         *           2            2
7/29/00         40      52       3         1           2            2
7/23/00         44      47       4         *           2            2
6/11/00         44      49       3         *           2            2
5/10/00         43      49       3         *           2            3
4/2/00          45      47       3         *           2            2
3/11/00         48      45       2         1           3            2
2/27/00         44      50       2         1           2            2
2/6/00          45      49       3         *           2            1
1/16/00         41      51       2         *           3            2
12/15/99        39      55       2         *           3            1
10/31/99        39      55       2         *           2            2
9/2/99          37      56       3         *           3            2
8/22/99         37      49       5         2           3            3
6/6/99          40      53       3         1           1            3
3/14/99         41      54       1         *           2            2
Unleaned, General Population:
                              Neither    Wouldn't       No
               Gore    Bush    (vol.)    vote (vol.)   opin.
10/25/98        34      45       7           1          13
8/21/98         41      43       6           2           7
1/19/98         40      45       5           2           7
9/23/97         35      40      12           4           9

4. Do you support (Gore/Bush) strongly, or not strongly?

              -----------Gore----------     -----------Bush-----------
              Strngly    Not    No opin.    Strngly    Not    No opin.
Registered Voters:
8/10/00         72       26        2          72       27        1
7/23/00         56       41        3          65       33        2
General Population:
7/23/00         52       46        3          63       35        2
2/27/00         58       40        2          54       44        2
2/6/00          52       45        3          57       40        2
1/16/00         51       45        3          53       44        3
12/15/99        50       46        4          58       39        3
10/31/99*       35       65        *          37       62        1
9/2/99          38       61        1          43       56        1
3/14/99         38       62        *          40       58        2
*10/99 and previous: "strongly or only somewhat"

5. How about if the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), (George W. Bush, the Republican), (Pat Buchanan, the Reform Party candidate) and (Ralph Nader, the Green Party candidate), for whom would you vote?

Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
                                          None    Other   Wouldn't    No
         Gore   Bush   Buchanan   Nader  (vol.)   (vol.)  vote (vol.) op.
8/10/00   40     48       2         5      1        1        1         2
8/6/00    37     51       4         5      1        *        1         2
7/29/00   37     49       4         7      1        1        1         1
7/23/00   39     44       6         7      1        *        1         1
6/11/00   41     47       4         4      2        *        1         2
5/10/00   39     45       5         5      2        0        1         3
Net Leaned Vote, Likely Voters:
                                          None    Other   Wouldn't    No
         Gore   Bush   Buchanan   Nader  (vol.)   (vol.)  vote (vol.) op.
8/10/00   xx     xx       x         x      x        x        x         x
8/6/00    37     52       3         5      *        0        *         2
7/29/00   37     52       2         7      1        1        *         1
7/23/00   38     46       6         8      1        *        1         1
6/11/00   43     48       3         3      1        *        *         2  
5/10/00   38     48       5         5      2        0        *         2
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
                                          None    Other   Wouldn't     No
         Gore   Bush   Buchanan   Nader  (vol.)   (vol.)  vote (vol.)  op.
8/6/00    36     49       4         5      2        *        3          2
7/29/00   35     48       4         7      1        1        2          2
7/23/00   38     43       6         7      2        *        1          2
6/11/00   42     44       4         3      2        *        2          2
5/10/00   38     44       5         5      2        *        3          3

6. Which presidential candidate, (Gore) or (Bush), do you trust to do a better job on each of those issues? First is (INSERT ITEM)

8/10/00
                                             Both     Neither      No
                             Gore    Bush   (vol.)     (vol.)     opin.
Registered Voters:
A. Handling the
   national economy           41      50       2         3          3
B. Encouraging high moral
   standards & values         39      50       5         4          2

Trend:

A. Handling the national economy

                                           Both     Neither      No
                          Gore    Bush    (vol.)     (vol.)     opin.
Registered Voters:
8/10/00                    41      50       2         3          3
7/23/00                    39      48       3         4          6
General Population:
7/23/00                    38      48       3         5          7
6/11/00                    41      46       1         6          6
4/2/00                     41      47       3         4          5
3/11/00                    43      47       2         4          3
10/31/00                   37      50       3         3          7

B. Encouraging high moral standards & values

                                           Both     Neither      No
                          Gore    Bush    (vol.)     (vol.)     opin.
Registered Voters:
8/10/00                    39      50        5         4          2
7/23/00                    36      47        5         5          6
General Population:
7/23/00                    37      46        5         6          6
4/2/00                     40      45        5         5          5

7. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to (Gore/Bush), or not?

A. He is a strong leader

                ------Gore------     ------Bush------
                Yes   No   No op.    Yes   No   No op.
Registered Voters:
8/10/00         47    48     5       67    29     5
7/23/00         46    49     5       61    33     6
General Population:
7/23/00         48    47     5       62    32     5
6/11/00         48    45     6       65    30     6
4/2/00          54    39     7       68    27     5
3/11/00         55    40     5       63    31     6
2/27/00         45    50     5       62    32     6
2/6/00          46    48     5       65    30     7
1/16/00         41    53     6       65    28     7
12/15/99        43    51     7       67    26     7
10/31/99        47    47     6       77    18     5
9/2/99          38    52    10       70    18    12
6/13/99         39    51     9       NA    NA    NA
3/14/99         41    47    12       68    13    20

8. As you may know, Gore has picked Joseph Lieberman as his vice presidential running-mate. Does the selection of Lieberman make you think more favorably or less favorably of Gore? (Is that much more or somewhat more favorably?; Is that somewhat less or much less favorably?)

            --More Favorably---   -----Less Favorably----   No diff.   No
            NET   More   Smwht.   NET   Smwht.  Much less    (vol.)   opin.
Registered Voters:
8/10/00      53    25      28      17     10         7         26       5 

9. As you may know, Bush has picked Dick Cheney as his vice presidential running-mate. Does the selection of Cheney make you think more favorably or less favorably of Bush? (Is that much more or somewhat more favorably?; Is that somewhat less or much less favorably?)

            --More Favorably---   -----Less Favorably----   No diff.   No
            NET   More   Smwht.   NET   Smwht.  Much less    (vol.)   opin.
Registered Voters:
8/10/00      50    24      26      24     14        10         22       3 

10. I'm going to mention a few things about Lieberman. For each one please tell me if it makes you feel more favorable or less favorable toward him.

8/7/00:
                                                  More         Less        No
                                                favorable    favorable    opin.
Registered Voters:
A. He's an Orthodox Jew                            51           16         34       
B. While a U.S. senator he voted to keep 
late-term or "partial birth" abortions legal       37           57          6 
C. He was the first Democrat in Congress to 
publicly criticize Bill Clinton for 
the Monica Lewinsky scandal                        75           19          7
D. He supported a limited test of school vouchers, 
which use tax money to help low-income parents pay 
for their children to attend private or religious 
schools                                            64           32          5

Trend:

A. He's an Orthodox Jew

               ----More Favorable----    ----Less Favorable----       No
               NET   Much    Somewhat    NET    Much    Somewhat    opinion
Registered Voters:
8/10/00         51    NA        NA        16     NA        NA         34
8/7/00*         53    16        37        17     12         5         30
*General population.       

B. While a U.S. senator he voted to keep late-term or "partial birth" abortions legal

               ----More Favorable----    ----Less Favorable----       No
               NET   Much    Somewhat    NET    Much    Somewhat    opinion
Registered Voters:
8/10/00         37    NA        NA        57     NA        NA          6
8/7/00*         43    22        22        51     15        36          6 
*General population.

C. He was the first Democrat in Congress to publicly criticize Bill Clinton for the Monica Lewinsky scandal

               ----More Favorable----    ----Less Favorable----       No
               NET   Much    Somewhat    NET    Much    Somewhat    opinion
Registered Voters:
8/10/00         75    NA        NA        19     NA        NA          7
8/7/00*         72    40        32        22     12        10          6
*General population.

11. Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with the following statement. How about (Read next statement):

A. Al Gore is too close to Bill Clinton to provide the fresh start the country needs. (GET ANSWER THEN ASK: Do you feel that way strongly, or only somewhat?)

              --------Agree---------    -------Disagree-------    No
              NET   Strngly   Smewht    NET   Strngly   Smewht   opin.
Registered Voters:
8/10/00       47      35        13      50      30        20       2
3/11/00       50      36        14      48      28        20       2
General Population:
3/11/00       50      34        15      48      26        23       2
2/27/00       49      34        15      49      29        20       1
9/2/99        48      31        18      49      27        21       3

B. George W. Bush is too close to the administration of his father, former President Bush, to provide the fresh start the country needs.(GET ANSWER THEN ASK: Do you feel that way strongly, or only somewhat?)

              --------Agree---------    -------Disagree-------    No
              NET   Strngly   Smewht    NET   Strngly   Smewht   opin.
Registered Voters:
8/10/00       37      23        14      61      36        25       2

12. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Clinton as a person?

               Favorable   Unfavorable     No opinion
Registered Voters:
8/10/00            34           62             4
12/15/99           32           65             3               
General Population:
1/26/00            34           61             5
12/15/99           36           62             2
9/2/99             38           59             3
3/14/99            30           67             4
3/4/99             40           54             6
12/15/98**         41           56             3
11/1/98            42           54             4
11/1/98 LV         37           60             3
*Strongly/somewhat follow up asked 12/15/98

13. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Bill Clinton's policies and programs?

Registered Voters:
               Favorable    Unfavorable    No opinion
8/10/00           61            36             3
12/15/99          60            38             2
12/15/99*         61            37             2
*General population.

14. If you honestly assessed yourself, would you say that you have some negative feeling about Jews?

Registered Voters:
              Yes    No    No opin.
8/10/00        4     95       1
Compare to:
If you honestly assessed yourself, would you say that you have at least some feelings of prejudice against Jews?
8/7/00*        6     93       *
*General population.

© Copyright 2000 The Washington Post Company


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