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Washington Post-ABC News Poll Post-Democratic Convention The latest Washington Post - ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 896 registered voters nationwide, conducted between August 18-20, 2000. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. *= less than 0.5 percent 1. How closely are you following the 2000 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?
Very Somewhat Not too Not closely No
closely closely closely at all opin.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 28 46 16 10 1
8/10/00 29 43 18 11 *
General Population:
8/6/00 17 36 22 25 *
7/29/00 16 35 25 24 *
7/23/00 14 36 25 25 *
6/11/00 13 36 26 25 0
4/2/00 17 36 24 23 0
3/11/00 21 40 21 17 0
2/27/00 24 46 20 10 *
2/6/00 19 48 21 13 0
1/16/00 11 39 26 24 *
12/15/99 12 33 31 24 *
10/31/99 16 45 25 13 *
2. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2000 presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Don't think
Certain Probably Chances Less than will vote No
to vote vote 50/50 50/50 (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 78 13 6 3 1 0
8/10/00 79 12 6 1 1 *
General Population:
8/6/00 64 12 11 8 5 *
7/29/00 61 15 9 11 3 *
7/23/00 59 17 10 11 4 *
6/11/00 60 13 11 10 4 *
5/10/00 63 15 10 8 4 1
4/2/00 62 14 9 9 5 *
3/11/00 63 14 9 9 4 *
2/27/00 69 12 10 4 5 *
2/6/00 67 12 10 8 3 *
1/16/00 65 14 10 6 4 *
12/15/99 64 13 8 9 6 1
10/31/99 72 11 10 5 3 *
3. If the election for president in November 2000 were being held today, and the candidates were (Al Gore and Joseph Lieberman, the Democrats), and (George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans), for whom would you vote?
Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
Neither Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
8/20/00 50 45 2 * 1 2
8/10/00* 43 52 2 1 1 1
8/6/00 40 54 3 * 1 2
7/29/00 42 53 2 1 1 2
7/23/00 45 48 3 * 1 2
6/11/00 45 49 3 * 1 2
5/10/00 44 49 3 * 1 3
4/2/00 47 46 2 * 2 2
3/11/00 48 45 2 1 2 3
2/27/00 44 50 2 1 1 2
2/6/00 45 50 2 * 2 1
1/16/00 42 52 1 1 2 2
12/15/99 41 55 1 * 2 1
10/31/99 39 55 2 * 1 2
*Added v.p. names
Net Leaned Vote, Likely Voters:
Neither Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
8/20/00 53 45 2 * * *
8/10/00* 44 53 2 * * 1
8/6/00 41 55 2 * * 2
7/29/00 43 54 2 1 * 1
7/23/00 45 51 3 * 1 1
6/11/00 45 51 1 * 0 2
5/10/00 44 50 2 1 * 2
4/2/00 50 46 2 1 * 2
3/11/00 46 50 2 1 * 1
2/27/00 44 50 2 1 1 2
2/6/00 44 52 2 * 2 *
1/16/00 42 53 1 1 1 2
*Added v.p. names
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
Neither Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
8/6/00 39 53 4 * 2 2
7/29/00 40 52 3 1 2 2
7/23/00 44 47 4 * 2 2
6/11/00 44 49 3 * 2 2
5/10/00 43 49 3 * 2 3
4/2/00 45 47 3 * 2 2
3/11/00 48 45 2 1 3 2
2/27/00 44 50 2 1 2 2
2/6/00 45 49 3 * 2 1
1/16/00 41 51 2 * 3 2
12/15/99 39 55 2 * 3 1
10/31/99 39 55 2 * 2 2
9/2/99 37 56 3 * 3 2
8/22/99 37 49 5 2 3 3
6/6/99 40 53 3 1 1 3
3/14/99 41 54 1 * 2 2
Unleaned, General Population:
Neither Wouldn't No
Gore Bush (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
10/25/98 34 45 7 1 13
8/21/98 41 43 6 2 7
1/19/98 40 45 5 2 7
9/23/97 35 40 12 4 9
4. Do you support (Gore/Bush) strongly, or not strongly?
-----------Gore---------- -----------Bush-----------
Strngly Not No opin. Strngly Not No opin.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 74 24 2 72 26 2
8/10/00 72 26 2 72 27 1
7/23/00 56 41 3 65 33 2
General Population:
7/23/00 52 46 3 63 35 2
2/27/00 58 40 2 54 44 2
2/6/00 52 45 3 57 40 2
1/16/00 51 45 3 53 44 3
12/15/99 50 46 4 58 39 3
10/31/99* 35 65 * 37 62 1
9/2/99 38 61 1 43 56 1
3/14/99 38 62 * 40 58 2
*10/99 and previous: "strongly or only somewhat"
5. How about if the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), (George W. Bush, the Republican), (Pat Buchanan, the Reform Party candidate) and (Ralph Nader, the Green Party candidate), for whom would you vote?
Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
None Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush Buchanan Nader (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) op.
8/20/00 46 44 3 4 1 * 1 2
8/10/00 40 48 2 5 1 1 1 2
8/6/00 37 51 4 5 1 * 1 2
7/29/00 37 49 4 7 1 1 1 1
7/23/00 39 44 6 7 1 * 1 1
6/11/00 41 47 4 4 2 * 1 2
5/10/00 39 45 5 5 2 0 1 3
Net Leaned Vote, Likely Voters:
None Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush Buchanan Nader (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) op.
8/20/00 48 44 2 3 1 * *
8/10/00 42 50 2 5 * * * 1
8/6/00 37 52 3 5 * 0 * 2
7/29/00 37 52 2 7 1 1 * 1
7/23/00 38 46 6 8 1 * 1 1
6/11/00 43 48 3 3 1 * * 2
5/10/00 38 48 5 5 2 0 * 2
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
None Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush Buchanan Nader (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) op.
8/6/00 36 49 4 5 2 * 3 2
7/29/00 35 48 4 7 1 1 2 2
7/23/00 38 43 6 7 2 * 1 2
6/11/00 42 44 4 3 2 * 2 2
5/10/00 38 44 5 5 2 * 3 3
6. Will you definitely vote for (Gore/Bush/Nader/Buchanan) in November, or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? Is there a good chance you'll change your mind or would you say it's pretty unlikely? 8/20/00
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
Gore 71 9 18 2
Bush 68 12 20 1
Nader 25 47 25 4
Buchanan 15 55 28 3
Trend:
Gore:
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 71 9 18 2
8/6/00 65 14 18 3
General Population:
8/6/00 62 16 20 2
7/23/00 58 15 26 2
Bush:
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 68 12 20 1
8/6/00 68 14 16 1
General Population
8/6/00 65 15 18 2
7/23/00 63 14 22 2
Nader:
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 25 47 25 4
8/6/00 20 59 17 4
General Population:
8/6/00 24 57 15 3
7/23/00 36 48 14 2
Buchanan:
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 15 55 28 3
8/6/00 29 52 9 10
General Population:
8/6/00 24 51 17 8
7/23/00 24 51 20 5
7. (asked of half sample) Which presidential candidate, (Gore) or (Bush), do you trust to do a better job on each of these issues? First is (INSERT ITEM) 8/20/00
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
A. Protecting the Social
Security system 48 37 2 6 7
B. Handling the
national economy 49 40 3 4 5
C. Improving education
and the schools 51 39 2 4 3
D. Helping the middle
Class 52 40 1 4 2
E. Improving the health
care system 53 38 1 5 3
F. Holding taxes down 42 47 3 5 3
Trend:
A. Protecting the Social Security system Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00* 48 37 2 6 7
7/23/00 42 43 4 4 6
General Population:
7/23/00 43 42 4 5 7
6/11/00 43 40 1 8 8
5/10/00 46 38 2 6 8
4/2/00 43 43 4 4 6
3/11/00 48 35 3 8 6
10/31/99 42 45 3 3 6
*half sample
B. Handling the national economy
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00* 49 40 3 4 5
8/10/00 41 50 2 3 3
7/23/00 39 48 3 4 6
General Population:
7/23/00 38 48 3 5 7
6/11/00 41 46 1 6 6
4/2/00 41 47 3 4 5
3/11/00 43 47 2 4 3
10/31/00 37 50 3 3 7
*half sample
C. Improving education and the schools
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00* 51 39 2 4 3
7/23/00 44 44 4 4 5
General Population:
7/23/00 43 43 4 4 6
4/2/00 48 39 4 4 6
3/11/00 44 44 4 5 3
10/31/99 41 45 6 3 4
*half sample
D. Helping the middle class
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00* 52 40 1 4 2
10/31/99 44 41 4 6 5
General Population:
10/31/99 44 42 3 6 5
*half sample
E. Improving the health care system
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00* 53 38 1 5 3
7/23/00 47 40 4 5 5
General Population:
7/23/00 47 38 4 5 6
*half sample
Compare to: Protecting patients' rights in the health care system General Population: 4/2/00 47 39 3 4 6 3/11/00 51 31 5 7 6 10/31/99 46 42 2 4 7 F. Holding taxes down
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00* 42 47 3 5 3
7/23/00 35 51 3 5 5
General Population:
7/23/00 36 49 3 6 7
4/2/00 35 51 3 5 6
3/11/00 41 41 2 12 4
10/31/99 34 53 2 6 4
*half sample
8. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to (Gore/Bush), or not?
8/20/00
------Gore------ ------Bush------
No No
Yes No op. Yes No op.
A. He is a strong leader 56 39 5 65 29 5
B. He understands the problems
of people like you* 62 33 4 50 46 5
C. He has an appealing
personality* 51 46 3 65 29 6
D. He has the right kind of
experience to be president* 74 23 2 61 35 4
*half sample
Trend:
A. He is a strong leader
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 56 39 5 65 29 5
8/10/00 47 48 5 67 29 5
7/23/00 46 49 5 61 33 6
General Population:
7/23/00 48 47 5 62 32 5
6/11/00 48 45 6 65 30 6
4/2/00 54 39 7 68 27 5
3/11/00 55 40 5 63 31 6
2/27/00 45 50 5 62 32 6
2/6/00 46 48 5 65 30 7
1/16/00 41 53 6 65 28 7
12/15/99 43 51 7 67 26 7
10/31/99 47 47 6 77 18 5
9/2/99 38 52 10 70 18 12
6/13/99 39 51 9 NA NA NA
3/14/99 41 47 12 68 13 20
B. He understands the problems of people like you
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00* 62 33 4 50 46 5
7/23/00 51 46 3 44 51 5
General Population:
7/23/00 49 46 4 44 51 5
6/11/00 53 42 6 48 47 5
4/2/00 54 40 6 48 46 6
3/11/00 55 39 5 47 47 6
2/27/00 49 47 5 43 51 6
2/6/00 50 47 4 43 52 5
1/16/00 46 47 7 46 49 6
12/15/99 46 49 6 47 46 7
10/31/99 57 38 4 54 39 7
9/2/99 47 45 8 50 39 11
6/13/99 44 44 12 NA NA NA
3/14/99 48 41 11 52 27 21
*half sample
C. He has an appealing personality
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00* 51 46 3 65 29 6
7/23/00 45 50 6 61 34 5
General Population:
7/23/00 45 49 6 60 34 7
*half sample
D. He has the right kind of experience to be president
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00* 74 23 2 61 35 4
7/23/00 69 25 6 62 33 4
General Population:
7/23/00 67 27 6 61 33 6
1/16/00 66 30 4 61 33 6
12/15/99 69 27 5 62 32 6
10/31/99 70 27 3 66 28 6
9/2/99 69 27 4 61 30 9
*half sample
9. Overall, would you say (Gore/Bush) cares more about serving poor and lower income people, middle income people, upper income people, or would you say he cares equally about serving all people?
Gore:
Poor Middle Upper All No opinion
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 17 16 12 48 8
7/23/00 15 17 18 42 8
General Population:
7/23/00 14 17 19 42 8
9/2/99 14 10 15 48 12
Bush:
Poor Middle Upper All No opinion
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 2 10 42 40 6
7/23/00 3 13 40 38 5
General Population:
7/23/00 3 13 39 38 6
9/2/99 3 9 31 44 12
Compare to:
Clinton:
8/5/96 15 16 19 44 6
7/17/95 19 16 20 42 4
1/29/95 17 20 16 44 3
4/26/93 15 13 14 56 2
1/17/93 12 10 11 64 4
8/23/92 RV 16 25 6 44 9
Dole:
8/5/96 2 16 43 33 6
President Bush:
1/17/93* 2 6 61 28 3
8/23/92 RV 1 7 56 33 3
8/9/92 1 8 62 25 4
2/2/92 3 10 56 30 1
12/15/91 1 7 58 32 2
10/21/91 1 7 48 41 2
11/4/90 LV 3 5 55 36 2
2/4/90 3 11 35 51 *
*"has cared"
Reagan:
1/16/85 2 10 52 35 1
7/8/84 1 6 56 34 3
12/13/83 2 7 52 35 2
6/19/83 1 7 58 32 2
8/17/82 2 8 56 29 5
6/1/82 1 5 55 33 6
1/30/82 1 7 52 39 2
11/22/81 1 7 54 35 3
10/5/81 1 10 53 33 3
9/26/81 2 6 43 45 4
9/20/81 1 8 52 35 3
4/22/81 1 6 29 58 5
3/29/81 2 5 34 54 4
2/20/81 3 6 23 64 4
10. Which is more important to you in choosing a candidate for president (his personal qualities such as experience and leadership ability); or (his positions on specific issues)? Personal Positions Both No
qualities on issues (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 39 47 13 1
10/31/99 42 42 16 *
General Population:
10/31/99 43 43 14 1
11. Which political party, the Democrats or the Republicans, do you trust to do a better job being tolerant of different points of view?
Neither Both equally No
Democrats Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 54 30 7 5 4
8/6/00 47 36 11 3 3
General Population:
8/6/00 46 35 11 3 4
3/14/00 58 21 10 4 7
12. Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with the following statement: Al Gore is too close to Bill Clinton to provide the fresh start the country needs. (GET ANSWER THEN ASK: Do you feel that way strongly, or only somewhat?)
--------Agree--------- -------Disagree------- No
NET Strngly Smewht NET Strngly Smewht opin.
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 39 28 11 58 37 21 2
8/10/00 47 35 13 50 30 20 2
3/11/00 50 36 14 48 28 20 2
General Population:
3/11/00 50 34 15 48 26 23 2
2/27/00 49 34 15 49 29 20 1
9/2/99 48 31 18 49 27 21 3
13. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Clinton as a person?
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 35 61 3
8/10/00 34 62 4
12/15/99 32 65 3
General Population:
1/26/00 34 61 5
12/15/99 36 62 2
9/2/99 38 59 3
3/14/99 30 67 4
3/4/99 40 54 6
12/15/98* 41 56 3
11/1/98 42 54 4
11/1/98 LV 37 60 3
*Strongly/somewhat follow up asked 12/15/98
14. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Bill Clinton's policies and programs?
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 64 33 3
8/10/00 61 36 3
12/15/99 60 38 2
General Population:
12/15/99 61 37 2
15. As you may know, a federal judge ruled last year that Clinton gave intentionally false testimony about his relationship with Monica Lewinsky. Do you think Clinton should or should not be charged with a crime and put on trial for this, after he leaves office?
Charged Not Charged No opinion
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 46 51 3
16. As you may know, it was reported Thursday that a grand jury is considering whether Clinton should be charged with a crime after he leaves office. Do you think this is part of an impartial investigation, or do you think it's part of a political effort to hurt Al Gore's chances in the upcoming election?
Impartial Political No
investigation effort opinion
Registered Voters:
8/20/00 45 47 8
© Copyright 2000 The Washington Post Company
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