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Labor Day Election Poll The latest Washington Post & ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 1,065 self-identified registered voters nationwide, including 738 likely voters, and was conducted between September 4-6, 2000. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points for registered voters, and plus or minus 4 percentage points for likely voters. *=Less than 0.5 percent. 1. How closely are you following the 2000 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? Very Somewhat Not too Not closely No
closely closely closely at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 26 48 17 9 *
8/20/00 28 46 16 10 1
8/10/00 29 43 18 11 *
General Population:
8/6/00 17 36 22 25 *
7/29/00 16 35 25 24 *
7/23/00 14 36 25 25 *
6/11/00 13 36 26 25 0
4/2/00 17 36 24 23 0
3/11/00 21 40 21 17 0
2/27/00 24 46 20 10 *
2/6/00 19 48 21 13 0
1/16/00 11 39 26 24 *
12/15/99 12 33 31 24 *
10/31/99 16 45 25 13 *
2. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that? Don't think
Certain Probably Chances Less than will vote No
to vote vote 50/50 50/50 (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 78 12 5 3 1 *
8/20/00 78 13 6 3 1 0
8/10/00 79 12 6 1 1 *
General Population:
8/6/00 64 12 11 8 5 *
7/29/00 61 15 9 11 3 *
7/23/00 59 17 10 11 4 *
6/11/00 60 13 11 10 4 *
5/10/00 63 15 10 8 4 1
4/2/00 62 14 9 9 5 *
3/11/00 63 14 9 9 4 *
2/27/00 69 12 10 4 5 *
2/6/00 67 12 10 8 3 *
1/16/00 65 14 10 6 4 *
12/15/99 64 13 8 9 6 1
10/31/99 72 11 10 5 3 *
3. The candidates in November's presidential election are (Al Gore and Joseph Lieberman, the Democrats,) (George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans), (Ralph Nader and Winona LaDuke of the Green Party) and (Pat Buchanan and Ezola Foster of the Reform Party). If the election were being held today, who would you vote for - (Gore), (Bush), (Nader) or (Buchanan)? Net Leaned Vote, Likely Voters:
None Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush Buchanan Nader (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) op.
9/6/00 47 47 * 3 1 1 0 2
8/20/00 48 44 2 3 1 * * 1
8/10/00 42 50 2 5 * * * 1
8/6/00 37 52 3 5 * 0 * 2
7/29/00 37 52 2 7 1 1 * 1
7/23/00 38 46 6 8 1 * 1 1
6/11/00 43 48 3 3 1 * * 2
5/10/00 38 48 5 5 2 0 * 2
Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
None Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush Buchanan Nader (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) op.
9/6/00 45 45 1 3 2 * 1 3
8/20/00 46 44 3 4 * 1 1 2
8/10/00 40 48 2 5 1 1 1 2
8/6/00 37 51 4 5 1 * 1 2
7/29/00 37 49 4 7 1 1 1 1
7/23/00 39 44 6 7 1 * 1 1
6/11/00 41 47 4 4 2 * 1 2
5/10/00 39 45 5 5 2 0 1 3
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
None Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush Buchanan Nader (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) op.
8/6/00 36 49 4 5 2 * 3 2
7/29/00 35 48 4 7 1 1 2 2
7/23/00 38 43 6 7 2 * 1 2
6/11/00 42 44 4 3 2 * 2 2
5/10/00 38 44 5 5 2 * 3 3
4. Do you support (Gore/Bush/Buchanan/Nader) strongly, or not strongly? 9/6/00
Strongly Not strongly No opin.
Registered Voters:
Gore 75 24 1
Bush 73 25 2
Gore/Bush Trend:
-----------Gore---------- -----------Bush-----------
Strngly Not No opin. Strngly Not No opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 75 24 1 73 25 2
8/20/00 74 24 2 72 26 2
8/10/00 72 26 2 72 27 1
7/23/00 56 41 3 65 33 2
General Population:
7/23/00 52 46 3 63 35 2
2/27/00 58 40 2 54 44 2
2/6/00 52 45 3 57 40 2
1/16/00 51 45 3 53 44 3
12/15/99 50 46 4 58 39 3
10/31/99* 35 65 * 37 62 1
9/2/99 38 61 1 43 56 1
3/14/99 38 62 * 40 58 2
*10/99 and previous: "strongly or only somewhat"
5. Will you definitely vote for (Gore/Bush/Nader/Buchanan) in November, or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? Is there a good chance you'll change your mind or would you say it's pretty unlikely? 9/6/00
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
Gore 69 11 18 2
Bush 70 13 16 1
Trend:
Gore:
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 69 11 18 2
8/20/00 71 9 18 2
8/6/00 65 14 18 3
General Population:
8/6/00 62 16 20 2
7/23/00 58 15 26 2
Bush:
------Change mind------
Definitely vote Good chance Unlikely No opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 70 13 16 1
8/20/00 68 12 20 1
8/6/00 68 14 16 1
General Population
8/6/00 65 15 18 2
7/23/00 63 14 22 2
6. How about if the only candidates were (Gore and Lieberman, the Democrats) and (Bush and Cheney, the Republicans) - if the election were being held today, who would you vote for? Net Leaned Vote, Likely Voters:
Neither Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
9/6/00 47 49 1 * 1 1
8/20/00* 53 45 * 2 1 1
8/10/00** 44 53 2 * * 1
8/6/00 41 55 2 * * 2
7/29/00 43 54 2 1 * 1
7/23/00 45 51 3 * 1 1
6/11/00 45 51 1 * 0 2
5/10/00 44 50 2 1 * 2
4/2/00 50 46 2 1 * 2
3/11/00 46 50 2 1 * 1
2/27/00 44 50 2 1 1 2
2/6/00 44 52 2 * 2 *
1/16/00 42 53 1 1 1 2
*8/20/00 and before: If the election for president in November 2000 were being held today,and the candidates were (Al Gore and Joseph Lieberman, the Democrats), and(George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans), for whom would you vote?**Added v.p. names
Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters:
Neither Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
9/6/00 49 46 2 * 2 1
8/20/00* 50 45 2 * 1 2
8/10/00** 43 52 2 1 1 1
8/6/00 40 54 3 * 1 2
7/29/00 42 53 2 1 1 2
7/23/00 45 48 3 * 1 2
6/11/00 45 49 3 * 1 2
5/10/00 44 49 3 * 1 3
4/2/00 47 46 2 * 2 2
3/11/00 48 45 2 1 2 3
2/27/00 44 50 2 1 1 2
2/6/00 45 50 2 * 2 1
1/16/00 42 52 1 1 2 2
12/15/99 41 55 1 * 2 1
10/31/99 39 55 2 * 1 2
*8/20/00 and before: If the election for president in November 2000 were being held today,and the candidates were (Al Gore and Joseph Lieberman, the Democrats), and(George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans), for whom would you vote?**Added v.p. names
Net Leaned Vote, General Population:
Neither Other Wouldn't No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
8/6/00 39 53 4 * 2 2
7/29/00 40 52 3 1 2 2
7/23/00 44 47 4 * 2 2
6/11/00 44 49 3 * 2 2
5/10/00 43 49 3 * 2 3
4/2/00 45 47 3 * 2 2
3/11/00 48 45 2 1 3 2
2/27/00 44 50 2 1 2 2
2/6/00 45 49 3 * 2 1
1/16/00 41 51 2 * 3 2
12/15/99 39 55 2 * 3 1
10/31/99 39 55 2 * 2 2
9/2/99 37 56 3 * 3 2
8/22/99 37 49 5 2 3 3
6/6/99 40 53 3 1 1 3
3/14/99 41 54 1 * 2 2
Unleaned, General Population:
Neither Wouldn't No
Gore Bush (vol.) vote (vol.) opin.
10/25/98 34 45 7 1 13
8/21/98 41 43 6 2 7
1/19/98 40 45 5 2 7
9/23/97 35 40 12 4 9
7. (Asked of half sample) How important will (READ ITEM) be to you in deciding how to vote in the 2000 presidential election in November - very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all? 9/6/00
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all op.
A. Holding taxes down 63 29 6 2 1
B. Protecting the Social
Security system 71 23 4 2 *
C. Reforming election
campaign finance
laws 32 37 15 12 4
D. Improving the health
care system 69 25 4 1 0
E. Protecting the
environment 57 31 9 3 1
F. Handling the issue
of gun control 53 26 12 8 1
G. Handling foreign
affairs 54 36 7 3 *
H. Encouraging high moral
standards & values 69 21 6 4 *
I. Improving education
and the schools 77 17 4 2 *
J. Managing the
federal budget 67 28 4 1 1
K. Handling crime 65 28 5 2 1
L. Handling the
national economy 72 24 3 2 *
M. Handling the abortion
issue 43 28 15 12 2
N. Handling the issue of
prescription drug
benefits for the
elderly 62 26 9 3 1
O. Handling national
defense and the
military budget 57 33 7 2 1
P. Helping the middle
class 64 27 6 3 1
Q. Reducing the political
partisanship in
Washington 33 38 16 8 5
Trend where available: A. Holding taxes down
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/07/00 63 29 6 2 1
7/23/00 62 29 6 2 1
General Population:
7/23/00 64 27 6 3 1
4/2/00 67 25 5 4 *
10/31/99 63 30 4 3 *
3/14/99 64 29 4 3 1
Compare to: Cutting taxes
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
9/2/99 44 39 9 8 *
B. Protecting the Social Security system
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 71 23 4 2 *
7/23/00 72 22 5 1 1
General Population:
7/23/00 73 20 5 2 1
4/2/00 74 20 3 2 *
10/31/99 76 17 3 4 *
9/2/99 68 25 5 2 *
3/14/99 74 20 4 2 *
C. Reforming election campaign finance laws
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 32 37 15 12 4
4/2/00 36 35 16 11 2
General Population:
4/2/00 34 36 16 11 3
10/31/99 40 38 14 5 3
9/2/99 30 40 17 11 1
D. Improving the health care system
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 69 25 4 1 0
7/23/00 72 21 4 1 1
General Population:
7/23/00 73 21 4 2 1
Compare to:
Protecting patients' rights in the health care system
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
5/10/00 71 21 4 4 1
4/2/00 70 21 5 3 1
10/31/99 75 19 4 2 1
9/2/99 65 26 5 4 *
3/14/99 71 21 6 2 1
E. Protecting the environment
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 57 31 9 3 1
7/23/00 58 34 6 1 *
General Population:
7/23/00 60 33 6 1 *
4/2/00 55 34 8 3 0
10/31/99 60 33 5 2 *
9/2/99 62 30 6 2 *
3/14/99 61 30 6 2 2
F. Handling the issue of gun control
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 53 26 12 8 1
7/23/00 56 29 9 5 1
General Population:
7/23/00 58 27 9 5 1
5/10/00 58 25 8 7 1
4/2/00 62 21 8 9 *
10/31/99 61 24 8 6 1
9/2/99 56 25 9 9 1
G. Handling foreign affairs
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 54 36 7 3 *
7/23/00 49 38 10 3 1
General Population:
7/23/00 50 35 10 4 2
4/2/00 47 40 7 4 2
10/31/99 56 33 7 3 *
9/2/99 54 34 8 3 1
3/14/99 59 32 6 2 1
H. Encouraging high moral standards & values
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 69 21 6 4 *
7/23/00 70 21 5 3 2
General Population:
7/23/00 70 20 4 4 2
4/2/00 66 21 8 5 1
10/31/99 64 25 7 4 1
9/2/99 67 20 8 3 2
3/14/99 60 26 7 6 1
I. Improving education and the schools
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 77 17 4 2 *
7/23/00 75 20 3 1 *
General Population:
7/23/00 75 19 3 2 *
4/2/00 76 18 2 3 *
10/31/99 79 16 3 2 *
9/2/99 79 16 2 2 1
3/14/99 73 19 4 3 1
J. Managing the federal budget
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 67 28 4 1 1
7/23/00 59 32 5 3 1
General Population:
7/23/00 58 32 6 3 1
4/2/00 66 26 4 3 1
10/31/99 76 20 3 2 *
9/2/99 74 21 3 1 1
3/14/99 74 22 2 * 2
K. Handling crime
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 65 28 5 2 1
7/23/00 72 23 4 1 1
General Population:
7/23/00 72 22 3 1 1
4/2/00 72 19 5 3 1
10/31/99 76 18 5 1 1
9/2/99 71 22 3 3 *
3/14/99 67 27 4 2 1
L. Handling the national economy
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 72 24 3 2 *
7/23/00 71 23 3 1 1
General Population:
7/23/00 71 22 3 2 1
4/2/00 69 27 2 2 *
10/31/99 79 17 2 2 1
9/2/99 74 21 2 2 1
3/14/99 80 14 3 2 1
M. Handling the abortion issue
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 43 28 15 12 2
7/23/00 49 25 14 11 2
General Population:
7/23/00 48 26 13 11 1
4/2/00 50 27 14 9 1
10/31/99 44 28 15 11 1
N. Handling the issue of prescription drug benefits for the elderly
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 62 26 9 3 1
5/10/00 56 28 11 5 1
General Population:
5/10/00 56 28 10 5 1
P. Helping the middle class
---Important---- ----Not important--- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 64 27 6 3 1
10/31/99 65 27 5 3 1
General Population:
10/31/99 65 25 5 4 1
9/2/99 61 31 5 2 1
3/14/99 70 26 3 1 1
Q. Reducing the political partisanship in Washington
-----Important------ -----Not important------- No
Very Somewhat Not too Not at all opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 33 38 16 8 5
3/14/99 40 36 13 5 6
General Poulation:
3/14/99 39 37 13 5 6
8. Which presidential candidate, (Gore) or (Bush), do you trust to do a better job on each of these issues? First is (INSERT ITEM) 9/6/00
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
A. Holding taxes down 41 47 2 7 3
B. Protecting the Social
Security system 48 40 4 4 4
C. Reforming election
campaign finance
laws 39 38 4 12 8
D. Improving the health
care system 49 38 4 5 4
E. Protecting the
environment 60 32 3 2 4
F. Handling the issue of
gun control 45 42 2 4 7
G. Handling foreign affairs 45 46 3 3 3
H. Encouraging high moral
standards & values 44 44 6 5 1
I. Improving education
and the schools 50 38 5 3 4
J. Managing the federal 47 42 3 4 4
budget
K. Handling crime 43 45 4 3 5
L. Handling the
national economy 48 43 2 2 4
M. Handling the
abortion issue 45 39 3 5 8
N. Handling the issue of
prescription drug
benefits for the elderly 53 35 2 4 7
O. Handling national defense
and the military budget 41 50 2 2 6
P. Helping the middle class 52 38 1 4 5
Q. Reducing the political
partisanship in Washington 41 37 3 11 9
Trend:
A. Holding taxes down
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 41 47 2 7 3
8/20/00 42 47 3 5 3
7/23/00 35 51 3 5 5
General Population:
7/23/00 36 49 3 6 7
4/2/00 35 51 3 5 6
3/11/00 41 41 2 12 4
10/31/99 34 53 2 6 4
B. Protecting the Social Security system
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 48 40 4 4 4
8/20/00 48 37 2 6 7
7/23/00 42 43 4 4 6
General Population:
7/23/00 43 42 4 5 7
6/11/00 43 40 1 8 8
5/10/00 46 38 2 6 8
4/2/00 43 43 4 4 6
3/11/00 48 35 3 8 6
10/31/99 42 45 3 3 6
C. Reforming election campaign finance laws
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 39 38 4 12 8
4/2/00 38 45 1 8 7
General Population:
4/2/00 39 44 2 8 8
3/11/00 39 34 3 17 8
10/31/99 38 44 2 9 7
D. Improving the health care system
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 49 38 4 5 4
8/20/00 53 38 1 5 3
7/23/00 47 40 4 5 5
General Population:
7/23/00 47 38 4 5 6
E. Protecting the environment
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 60 32 3 2 4
7/23/00 56 33 3 4 5
General Population:
7/23/00 56 32 3 3 6
4/2/00 56 32 4 3 5
3/11/00 53 33 5 6 4
10/31/99 51 35 5 4 5
F. Handling the issue of gun control
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 45 42 2 4 7
7/23/00 40 46 3 4 7
General Population:
7/23/00 39 46 2 5 8
5/10/00 46 38 2 5 10
4/2/00 41 45 2 5 6
3/11/00 47 36 3 7 6
10/31/99 43 45 2 3 8
G. Handling foreign affairs
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 45 46 3 3 3
7/23/00 40 46 2 4 7
General Population:
7/23/00 40 45 2 5 8
4/2/00 44 43 2 5 6
3/11/00 48 39 3 5 5
10/31/99 36 53 3 4 4
H. Encouraging high moral standards & values
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 44 44 6 5 1
8/10/00 39 50 5 4 2
7/23/00 36 47 5 5 6
General Population:
7/23/00 37 46 5 6 6
4/2/00 40 45 5 5 5
I. Improving education and the schools
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 50 38 5 3 4
8/20/00 51 39 2 4 3
7/23/00 44 44 4 4 5
General Population:
7/23/00 43 43 4 4 6
4/2/00 48 39 4 4 6
3/11/00 44 44 4 5 3
10/31/99 41 45 6 3 4
J. Managing the federal budget
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 47 42 3 4 4
7/23/00 36 49 4 4 7
General Population:
7/23/00 37 48 4 4 8
4/2/00 46 43 3 4 4
K. Handling crime
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 43 45 4 3 5
7/23/00 33 53 5 4 6
General Population:
7/23/00 34 51 5 3 6
4/2/00 35 50 4 4 7
10/31/99 35 52 4 4 6
L. Handling the national economy
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 48 43 2 2 4
8/20/00 49 40 3 4 5
8/10/00 41 50 2 3 3
7/23/00 39 48 3 4 6
General Population:
7/23/00 38 48 3 5 7
6/11/00 41 46 1 6 6
4/2/00 41 47 3 4 5
3/11/00 43 47 2 4 3
10/31/00 37 50 3 3 7
M. Handling the abortion issue
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 45 39 3 5 8
7/23/00 42 41 2 7 8
General Population:
7/23/00 41 40 2 8 9
4/2/00 46 39 2 6 8
3/11/00 38 39 3 11 10
10/31/99 39 44 4 6 7
N. Handling the issue of prescription drug benefits for the elderly
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 53 35 2 4 7
5/10/00 48 35 2 6 8
General Population:
5/10/00 48 34 2 6 10
P. Helping the middle class
Both Neither No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 52 38 1 4 5
8/20/00 52 40 1 4 2
10/31/99 44 41 4 6 5
General Population:
10/31/99 44 42 3 6 5
Compare to: Protecting patients' rights in the health care system General Population: 4/2/00 47 39 3 4 6 3/11/00 51 31 5 7 6 10/31/99 46 42 2 4 7 9. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to (Gore/Bush), or not? 9/6/00
------Gore------ ------Bush------
No No
Yes No op. Yes No op.
A. He is a strong leader 54 43 4 65 28 7
B. He understands the problems
of people like you 54 42 4 47 49 4
C. He has an appealing
personality 55 42 3 61 35 3
D. He has the right kind of
experience to be president 76 22 1 59 36 5
E. He would bring needed change
to Washington 44 52 4 55 41 5
F. He has the knowledge of world
affairs it takes to serve
effectively as president 73 25 2 54 40 6
G. He will say or do anything
to get elected 60 38 2 57 40 3
H. He has new ideas 59 37 4 63 34 4
I. He's honest and trustworthy 63 32 5 62 30 7
J. He would be a good commander-
in-chief of the military 54 40 6 65 27 8
K. He has high personal moral
and ethical standards 71 25 4 74 21 6
L. He'll unite people, not
divide them 61 32 6 54 37 8
M. He has taken a clear stand
on the issues 62 35 4 53 42 5
N. He cares about the less
fortunate 77 19 4 57 37 6
Trend where available: A. He is a strong leader
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 54 43 4 65 28 7
8/20/00 56 39 5 65 29 5
8/10/00 47 48 5 67 29 5
7/23/00 46 49 5 61 33 6
General Population:
7/23/00 48 47 5 62 32 5
6/11/00 48 45 6 65 30 6
4/2/00 54 39 7 68 27 5
3/11/00 55 40 5 63 31 6
2/27/00 45 50 5 62 32 6
2/6/00 46 48 5 65 30 7
1/16/00 41 53 6 65 28 7
12/15/99 43 51 7 67 26 7
10/31/99 47 47 6 77 18 5
9/2/99 38 52 10 70 18 12
6/13/99 39 51 9 NA NA NA
3/14/99 41 47 12 68 13 20
B. He understands the problems of people like you
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 54 42 4 47 49 4
8/20/00 62 33 4 50 46 5
7/23/00 51 46 3 44 51 5
General Population:
7/23/00 49 46 4 44 51 5
6/11/00 53 42 6 48 47 5
4/2/00 54 40 6 48 46 6
3/11/00 55 39 5 47 47 6
2/27/00 49 47 5 43 51 6
2/6/00 50 47 4 43 52 5
1/16/00 46 47 7 46 49 6
12/15/99 46 49 6 47 46 7
10/31/99 57 38 4 54 39 7
9/2/99 47 45 8 50 39 11
6/13/99 44 44 12 NA NA NA
3/14/99 48 41 11 52 27 21
C. He has an appealing personality
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 55 42 3 61 35 3
8/20/00 51 46 3 65 29 6
7/23/00 45 50 6 61 34 5
General Population:
7/23/00 45 49 6 60 34 7
D. He has the right kind of experience to be president
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 76 22 1 59 36 5
8/20/00 74 23 2 61 35 4
7/23/00 69 25 6 62 33 4
General Population:
7/23/00 67 27 6 61 33 6
1/16/00 66 30 4 61 33 6
12/15/99 69 27 5 62 32 6
10/31/99 70 27 3 66 28 6
9/2/99 69 27 4 61 30 9
E. He would bring needed change to Washington
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 44 52 4 55 41 5
7/23/00 37 59 4 50 46 4
General Population:
7/23/00 37 58 5 51 44 5
4/2/00 40 52 8 54 39 7
3/11/00 43 51 6 50 43 7
2/27/00 33 62 4 46 50 4
2/6/00 38 56 6 48 46 6
1/16/00 33 60 7 49 43 8
12/15/99 33 60 7 52 40 8
10/31/99 36 57 7 61 32 7
9/2/99 34 56 11 56 32 12
F. He has the knowledge of world affairs it takes to serve effectively as president
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 73 25 2 54 40 6
7/23/00 67 29 4 52 42 5
General Population:
7/23/00 66 29 5 52 42 6
4/2/00 71 23 6 57 36 7
2/27/00 70 25 5 55 39 6
2/6/00 69 26 5 52 42 6
1/16/00 65 28 8 49 40 10
12/15/99 68 27 6 54 38 8
11/14/99 NA NA NA 59 36 6
G. He will say or do anything to get elected
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 60 38 2 57 40 3
7/23/00 60 36 4 60 36 4
General Population:
7/23/00 61 35 4 59 36 5
H. He has new ideas
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 59 37 4 63 34 4
7/23/00 53 38 9 60 33 7
General Population:
7/23/00 53 38 9 60 32 8
4/2/00 56 38 6 53 39 8
2/27/00 44 51 5 50 43 6
9/2/99 46 40 14 57 27 15
3/14/99 47 36 17 55 18 26
I. He's honest and trustworthy
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 63 32 5 62 30 7
7/23/00 47 45 8 61 30 8
General Population:
7/23/00 47 45 8 59 31 10
12/15/99 58 35 7 63 28 9
10/31/99 67 28 6 68 22 10
9/2/99 63 27 11 63 23 14
3/14/99 63 24 13 67 12 22
J. He would be a good commander-in-chief of the military
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 54 40 6 65 27 8
2/6/00 45 48 8 58 35 7
General Population:
2/6/00 45 47 8 57 35 8
K. He has high personal moral and ethical standards
------Gore------ ------Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 71 25 4 74 21 6
10/31/99 78 18 3 72 18 9
General Population:
10/31/99 77 19 4 74 18 8
9/2/99 70 19 11 65 20 15
3/14/99 67 18 15 67 8 24
10. Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of (INSERT CANDIDATE) or perhaps you don't know enough to say. 9/6/00
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Al Gore 59 32 9
George W. Bush 58 31 11
Ralph Nader 31 29 39
Pat Buchanan 19 48 32
Joseph Lieberman 46 15 39
Dick Cheney 42 20 38
Compare to:
Al Gore
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 59 32 9
6/11/00 46 38 16
General Population:
6/11/00 45 35 20
4/2/00 47 35 19
2/27/00 50 40 10
10/31/99 56 38 6
9/2/99 50 40 10
6/6/99 52 34 14
3/14/99 54 33 14
2/14/99 53 31 17
8/21/98 55 30 15
7/12/98 54 26 20
4/4/98 54 27 19
1/31/98 52 29 19
1/30/98 51 30 19
1/25/98 55 29 16
1/24/98 54 30 15
1/19/98 48 36 17
10/13/97 45 40 15
9/10/97 49 33 19
4/24/97 53 29 19
3/9/97 56 29 15
3/19/95 57 27 16
10/31/94 41 37 22
5/15/94 58 27 15
3/27/94 57 25 18
11/14/93 56 28 15
8/23/92 RV 52 19 29
7/19/92 RV 55 12 33
George W. Bush
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 58 31 11
6/11/00 54 29 17
General Population:
6/11/00 50 28 22
4/2/00 50 31 19
2/27/00 49 39 11
10/31/99 69 24 8
9/2/99 61 23 16
6/6/99 54 15 30
3/14/99 54 14 32
2/14/99 51 13 36
1/19/98 34 13 53
Ralph Nader
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 31 29 39
7/23/00 30 28 42
General Population:
7/23/00 29 27 44
Pat Buchanan
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 19 48 32
1/16/00 20 62 18
General Population:
1/16/00 20 60 20
10/31/99 30 49 21
3/14/99 26 48 27
7/17/95 29 44 27
3/18/92 23 47 30
3/11/92 20 42 24
2/2/92 29 24 47
Joseph Lieberman
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 46 15 39
General Population:
8/7/00 24 10 65
Dick Cheney
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 42 20 38
7/29/00 34 11 55
General Population:
7/29/00 29 10 60
11. Do you think the presidential debates this fall should be between Bush and Gore; or Bush, Gore, Nader and Buchanan? Bush Bush, Gore Both Bush, Gore Bush, Gore
& Nader & ways & Nader & Buchanan No
Gore Buchanan (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 59 38 1 1 * 1
7/23/00 49 45 1 1 1 3
General Population:
7/23/00 49 44 1 1 1 4
12. Overall, would you say (Gore/Bush) cares more about serving poor and lower income people, middle income people, upper income people, or would you say he cares equally about serving all people? Gore:
Poor Middle Upper All No opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 17 15 13 50 6
8/20/00 17 16 12 48 8
7/23/00 15 17 18 42 8
General Population:
7/23/00 14 17 19 42 8
9/2/99 14 10 15 48 12
Bush:
Poor Middle Upper All No opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 2 7 44 43 4
8/20/00 2 10 42 40 6
7/23/00 3 13 40 38 5
General Population:
7/23/00 3 13 39 38 6
9/2/99 3 9 31 44 12
Compare to: Clinton: 8/5/96 15 16 19 44 6 7/17/95 19 16 20 42 4 1/29/95 17 20 16 44 3 4/26/93 15 13 14 56 2 1/17/93 12 10 11 64 4 8/23/92 RV 16 25 6 44 9 Dole: 8/5/96 2 16 43 33 6 President Bush: 1/17/93* 2 6 61 28 3 8/23/92 RV 1 7 56 33 3 8/9/92 1 8 62 25 4 2/2/92 3 10 56 30 1 12/15/91 1 7 58 32 2 10/21/91 1 7 48 41 2 11/4/90 LV 3 5 55 36 2 2/4/90 3 11 35 51 * *"has cared" Reagan: 1/16/85 2 10 52 35 1 7/8/84 1 6 56 34 3 12/13/83 2 7 52 35 2 6/19/83 1 7 58 32 2 8/17/82 2 8 56 29 5 6/1/82 1 5 55 33 6 1/30/82 1 7 52 39 2 11/22/81 1 7 54 35 3 10/5/81 1 10 53 33 3 9/26/81 2 6 43 45 4 9/20/81 1 8 52 35 3 4/22/81 1 6 29 58 5 3/29/81 2 5 34 54 4 2/20/81 3 6 23 64 4 13. Which is more important to you in choosing a candidate for president: (his personal qualities such as experience and leadership ability); or (his positions on specific issues)? Personal Positions Both No
qualities on issues (vol.) opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 45 41 14 1
8/20/00 39 47 13 1
10/31/99 42 42 16 *
General Population:
10/31/99 43 43 14 1
14. Regardless of which candidate you prefer, if (GORE/BUSH) is elected do you think he'd probably be a good president, or not? Gore:
Good Not good No opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 69 27 4
Bush:
Good Not good No opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 69 26 5
15. Would you say (Gore/Bush) is very boring, somewhat boring, somewhat interesting, or very interesting? -------Boring-------- -----Interesting----- No
NET Very Smewht. NET Very Smewht. opin.
Gore:
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 41 14 27 56 15 42 2
9/2/99 57 24 33 41 9 32 2
General Population:
9/2/99 55 22 32 42 8 34 3
6/13/99* 51 NA NA 40 NA NA 10
3/14/99 56 22 34 40 7 33 5
*"Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Gore or not . . . He is boring"
-------Boring-------- -----Interesting----- No
NET Very Smewht. NET Very Smewht. opin.
Bush:
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 31 11 20 66 15 51 2
9/2/99 25 7 18 70 15 55 5
General Population:
9/2/99 25 7 18 69 14 55 5
3/14/99 23 6 17 64 13 51 12
16. Do you think (Gore's/Bush's) views on most issues are too liberal for you, too conservative for you, or just about right? Gore:
Too Too About No
liberal conservative right opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 35 8 52 4
7/23/00 37 11 46 6
General Population:
7/23/00 36 11 47 7
3/11/00 30 9 53 7
2/27/00 35 10 49 7
2/24/00 36 11 43 9
2/6/00 36 11 46 7
9/2/99 35 12 46 7
3/14/99 31 10 44 15
Bush:
Too Too About No
liberal conservative right opinion
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 12 31 51 6
7/23/00 12 29 52 7
General Population: 7/23/00 12 28 52 8 3/11/00 12 28 52 8 2/27/00 10 33 51 5 2/24/00 12 33 43 12 2/6/00 12 30 49 8 9/2/99 10 20 58 13 3/14/99 7 20 53 20 17. Do you think (INSERT CANDIDATE) has been conducting mainly a (positive) campaign, or mainly a (negative) campaign? --------Gore-------- -------Bush--------
Pos. Neg. No op. Pos. Neg. No op.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 70 23 7 62 30 8
Compare to:
He's running a positive campaign.
------Gore------ -----Bush------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
General Population:
4/2/00 69 23 7 58 35 7
2/27/00 66 27 7 52 42 6
18. On another subject, do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, Illegal in most cases or Illegal in all cases? --------Legal-------- -------Illegal-------
All Most All Most No
NET cases cases NET cases cases opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 55 20 35 42 16 25 3
7/23/00 53 20 33 43 17 26 4
General Population:
7/23/00 53 20 33 43 17 26 4
9/2/99 56 20 37 42 15 26 2
3/14/99 55 21 34 42 15 27 3
7/12/98 54 19 35 42 13 29 4
8/5/96 56 22 34 41 14 27 3
6/30/96 58 24 34 40 14 25 2
10/1/95 60 26 35 37 12 25 3
9/21/95 60 24 36 36 11 25 4
7/17/95 59 27 32 40 14 26 1
19. (asked of half sample) Which of these do you think should be the top priority for any surplus money in the federal budget - cut federal income taxes, put it toward reducing the national debt, strengthen the Social Security system, or increase spending on other domestic programs? Cut taxes Reduce debt Soc. Sec. Dom. Progs. No opin. Registered Voters: 9/6/00 21 26 39 12 1 7/23/00 17 23 41 17 2 General Population: 7/23/00 18 22 40 18 2 9/2/99 20 24 43 13 1 7/25/98 22 19 47 10 2 3/14/99 20 21 47 10 2 1/31/98 17 23 47 10 2 1/19/98 16 29 39 14 1 20. (asked of half sample) Which of these do you think should be the top priority for any surplus money in the federal budget - cut federal income taxes, put it toward reducing the national debt, strengthen the Social Security system, or increase spending on other domestic programs such as education or health care? Cut taxes Reduce debt Soc. Sec. Dom. Progs. No opin. Registered Voters: 9/6/00 14 19 36 29 1 7/23/00 15 20 32 30 2 General Population: 7/23/00 15 19 32 33 2 9/2/99 14 19 29 37 1 21. Which of these would you prefer: (A large tax-cut plan that provides an across-the-board tax cut for everyone), or (A smaller tax cut plan that provides targeted tax cuts mainly for lower and middle-income people). Large cut Smaller cut No opinion Registered Voters: 9/6/00 45 53 2 22. On another subject, in areas where the local public schools are not meeting state standards, would you support or oppose the federal government giving parents money to send their children to private or religious schools instead? Support Oppose No opinion Registered Voters: 9/6/00 44 54 2 4/2/00* 45 53 3 General Population: 4/2/00* 46 51 3 *"In areas where the local public schools are not improving . . ." 23. Would you support or oppose a plan in which people who chose to could invest some of their Social Security contributions in the stock market? Support Oppose No opin. Registered Voters: 9/6/00 59 37 4 5/10/00* 63 32 5 General Population: 5/10/00* 64 31 5 *asked of half sample 24. In the past eight years, do you think the U.S. military has gotten (stronger), gotten (weaker), or stayed about the same? Stronger Weaker Same No opin. Registered Voters: 9/6/00 12 47 40 1 25. Do you think candidates for president should publicly discuss their religious beliefs, or keep their religious beliefs to themselves? Discuss Keep to Themselves No opin. Registered Voters: 9/6/00 39 57 4 General Population: 1/23/00 45 47 7 26. Thinking about the U.S. House of Representatives election in November in the congressional district where you live, if that election were being held today, for whom would you vote: (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate)? Registered voters:
Net leaned vote:
Neither Wouldn't
Democrat Republican (vol.) vote (vol.) No opin.
9/6/00 49 42 2 1 6
7/23/00 46 45 3 1 5
2/27/00 45 46 2 1 5
10/31/99 50 43 3 1 3
9/2/99 48 44 3 * 5
3/14/99 50 41 2 1 6
2/14/99 48 41 3 1 7
1/30/99 49 39 8 1 3
11/1/98 51 43 4 * 2
10/25/98 48 43 3 1 4
10/18/98 49 44 3 1 4
9/28/98 49 44 2 * 4
8/21/98 48 45 3 1 3
7/12/98 47 45 2 * 6
1/31/98 49 40 2 1 8
1/19/98 47 44 3 1 5
10/8/96 51 41 2 1 5
9/29/96 48 41 3 1 7
9/22/96 50 43 2 1 4
9/15/96 49 45 1 1 4
9/4/96 48 44 3 * 5
8/29/96 53 39 3 1 5
8/28/96 51 40 3 1 5
8/27/96 51 41 3 0 5
8/26/96 51 41 3 0 5
8/25/96 48 43 3 1 6
8/24/96 47 43 2 1 6
8/19/96 49 42 3 0 6
8/18/96 45 46 3 0 6
8/15/96 46 43 4 1 5
8/14/96 48 42 3 1 6
8/13/96 49 43 3 0 5
8/12/96 49 42 3 1 5
8/11/96 49 40 4 1 6
8/10/96 49 41 4 1 5
8/4/96 48 45 2 1 4
6/30/96 49 44 3 * 3
5/22/96 52 41 3 1 3
3/10/96 51 43 2 * 4
1/21/96 52 43 3 1 1
10/1/95 49 44 3 * 3
11/6/94 47 42 5 2 5
10/31/94 48 44 4 1 3
10/23/94 50 45 2 1 2
10/9/94 46 47 3 2 2
9/11/94 50 45 1 1 4
8/7/94 49 42 4 1 4
2/27/94 50 40 8 1 2
10/21/91 51 41 4 * 4
7/28/91 49 41 6 * 3
6/2/91 48 42 4 1 5
11/4/90 51 41 5 * 3
10/14/90 50 41 5 * 3
9/9/90 47 46 3 * 3
7/24/90 51 41 4 1 4
5/21/90 47 45 5 1 2
9/21-10/10/88 52 41 2 1 4
9/19/88 51 39 3 1 6
6/22/85 48 44 5 * 3
10/16/84 52 44 2 NA 5
9/11/84 53 45 2 NA 1
7/8/84 58 40 2 NA 1
10/27/82 58 39 NA NA 3
10/11/82 55 36 NA NA 9
9/13/82 58 36 NA NA 6
11/22/81 53 41 NA NA 7
Likely voters:
Net leaned vote:
Neither Wouldn't
Democrat Republican (vol.) vote (vol.) No opin.
9/6/00 xx xx x x x
11/98 ACTUAL 47.8 48.9
11/1/98 44% VAP 49 46 3 * 1
11/1/98 36% VAP 46 48 4 * 1
10/25/98 41% VAP 49 47 1 * 2
10/25/98 33% VAP 47 50 1 * 2
10/18/98 40% VAP 48 47 2 * 2
9/28/98 42% VAP 46 49 2 * 3
11/96 ACTUAL 48.5 48.9
10/8/96 48 44 2 1 5
9/29/96 48 43 3 1 6
9/22/96 50 44 2 * 4
9/15/96 47 48 2 * 3
9/4/96 47 46 3 * 4
8/29/96 53 39 3 0 5
8/28/96 49 41 3 0 6
8/27/96 50 43 3 0 5
8/26/96 49 43 3 0 5
8/25/96 46 45 3 0 5
8/24/96 45 46 2 0 6
8/19/96 47 45 2 0 6
8/18/96 45 47 3 0 5
8/15/96 46 44 4 1 5
8/14/96 46 44 3 1 6
8/13/96 47 45 3 0 5
8/12/96 48 44 3 0 5
8/11/96 48 41 5 0 6
8/10/96 47 43 4 1 5
8/4/96 48 46 1 1 4
11/94 ACTUAL 44.7 51.5
11/6/94 46 44 4 1 4
11/6/94 41% VAP 47 45 3 1 3
11/6/94 28% VAP 46 47 3 2 2
10/31/94 48 45 3 * 3
10/31/94 45% VAP 47 47 3 * 3
10/23/94 49 47 1 * 2
10/23/94 41% VAP 46 51 1 * 2
10/9/94 47 49 3 1 1
11/92 ACTUAL 49.9 44.8
11/90 ACTUAL 52 43.9
11/4/90 52 41 5 * 3
10/14/90 48 43 5 0 3
9/9/90 47 45 3 * 4
7/24/90 52 40 4 * 3
11/88 ACTUAL 53.2 45.3
11/86 ACTUAL 54.1 44.2
11/84 ACTUAL 52.2 46.5
10/16/84 51 45 2 NA 4
9/11/84 51 46 1 NA 1
7/8/84 54 44 2 NA *
11/82 ACTUAL 55 43.2
10/27/82 59 39 NA NA 2
10/11/82 55 38 NA NA 7
11/80 ACTUAL 50.3 47.6
11/78 ACTUAL 53.4 44.7
11/76 ACTUAL 55.5 42.2
Source for actual vote: 1998-96, "America Votes." 1994-1976, Clerk of the House 27. Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with the following statement: Al Gore is too close to Bill Clinton to provide the fresh start the country needs. (GET ANSWER THEN ASK: Do you feel that way strongly, or only somewhat?) --------Agree--------- -------Disagree------- No
NET Strngly Smewht NET Strngly Smewht opin.
Registered Voters:
9/6/00 42 29 13 56 34 23 2
8/20/00 39 28 11 58 37 21 2
8/10/00 47 35 13 50 30 20 2
3/11/00 50 36 14 48 28 20 2
General Population:
3/11/00 50 34 15 48 26 23 2
2/27/00 49 34 15 49 29 20 1
9/2/99 48 31 18 49 27 21 3
28. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Clinton as a person? Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Registered Voters: 9/6/00 35 62 3 8/20/00 35 61 3 8/10/00 34 62 4 12/15/99 32 65 3 General Population: 9/6/00 xx xx x 1/26/00 34 61 5 12/15/99 36 62 2 9/2/99 38 59 3 3/14/99 30 67 4 3/4/99 40 54 6 12/15/98 41 56 3 11/1/98 42 54 4 11/1/98 LV 37 60 3 29. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Bill Clinton's policies and programs? Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Registered Voters: 9/6/00 61 37 2 8/20/00 64 33 3 8/10/00 61 36 3 12/15/99 60 38 2 General Population: 9/6/00 xx xx x 12/15/99 61 37 2
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