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Washington Post Poll: Candidates and Issues 2000
Wednesday, September 8, 1999 The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on random telephone interviews with 1,526 adults between August 30 and September 2, 1999. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as president?
------Approve----------- -------Disapprove-------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opin
9/2/99 58 28 30 38 13 25 4
6/6/99 58 30 28 38 12 26 4
4/26/99 60 NA NA 37 NA NA 3
3/14/99 64 38 26 34 9 25 3
2/14/99 68 46 22 30 7 23 2
2/12/99 67 NA NA 31 NA NA 2
2/7/99 66 45 21 33 9 24 1
1/30/99 65 43 22 33 7 26 2
1/19/99 66 NA NA 32 NA NA 2
1/13/99 63 NA NA 34 NA NA 3
1/10/99 62 NA NA 36 NA NA 1
12/20/98 67 48 20 30 6 23 3
12/19/98 66 47 19 31 7 24 3
12/13/98 64 43 21 35 10 25 2
12/11/98 60 NA NA 37 NA NA 3
11/22/98 61 NA NA 34 NA NA 5
11/7/98 63 NA NA 36 NA NA 1
11/1/98 65 41 25 33 10 23 1
11/1/98 LV 58 40 18 41 10 31 1
10/25/98 62 40 22 32 8 23 6
10/25/98 LV 58 42 15 40 8 32 2
10/18/98 62 40 22 34 9 25 4
10/18/98 LV 57 39 18 41 7 34 2
9/28/98 63 42 21 35 8 26 2
9/28/98 LV 57 43 14 43 6 37 1
9/21/98 60 NA NA 39 NA NA 1
9/14/98 59 NA NA 37 NA NA 4
9/13/98 eve 60 NA NA 38 NA NA 2
9/13/98 day 59 NA NA 37 NA NA 3
9/12/98 59 NA NA 39 NA NA 3
9/11/98 56 NA NA 42 NA NA 3
9/9/98 57 NA NA 40 NA NA 3
8/23/98 64 NA NA 33 NA NA 3
8/21/98 66 41 25 31 10 21 3
8/20/98 65 NA NA 32 NA NA 3
8/19/98 60 NA NA 38 NA NA 2
8/17/98 61 NA NA 36 NA NA 3
8/16/98 62 NA NA 33 NA NA 4
7/29/98 63 NA NA 33 NA NA 4
7/12/98 63 34 29 31 11 20 6
6/18/98 59 NA NA 34 NA NA 7
6/2/98 61 NA NA 34 NA NA 5
5/12/98 64 NA NA 32 NA NA 4
4/4/98 65 NA NA 31 NA NA 4
4/1/98 66 NA NA 29 NA NA 4
3/17/98 66 NA NA 30 NA NA 4
3/16/98 63 NA NA 34 NA NA 3
2/18/98 67 NA NA 30 NA NA 3
1/31/98 67 42 24 29 10 19 4
1/30/98 69 NA NA 27 NA NA 4
1/29/98 68 NA NA 27 NA NA 5
1/26/98 60 NA NA 35 NA NA 4
1/25/98 59 31 28 37 13 25 4
1/24/98 57 30 26 40 13 27 3
1/19/98 60 24 36 35 15 19 5
1/13/98 62 NA NA 31 NA NA 7
11/12/97 59 NA NA 35 NA NA 6
10/13/97 59 NA NA 36 NA NA 6
8/27/97 58 NA NA 37 NA NA 5
7/8/97 64 NA NA 31 NA NA 5
6/8/97 59 NA NA 36 NA NA 5
4/24/97 56 NA NA 39 NA NA 5
3/25/97 56 NA NA 33 NA NA 11
3/9/97 55 NA NA 41 NA NA 4
10/8/96 LV 58 NA NA 38 NA NA 4
10/8/96 RV 59 NA NA 37 NA NA 4
9/4/96 RV 57 NA NA 38 NA NA 4
8/5/96 59 NA NA 37 NA NA 4
6/30/96 56 NA NA 39 NA NA 5
5/22/96 58 20 37 39 17 22 3
3/31/96 52 21 30 40 16 25 8
3/7/96 53 19 34 45 19 26 2
3/10/96 55 23 32 40 17 24 4
4/21/96 51 NA NA 43 NA NA 6
1/7/96 53 22 31 43 16 28 4
11/19/95 54 NA NA 41 NA NA 5
11/13/95 54 20 34 41 20 21 5
10/1/95 52 17 35 43 19 24 5
7/17/95 51 14 37 45 20 25 4
6/8/95 47 NA NA 45 NA NA 8
5/14/95 56 20 36 41 23 18 3
3/19/95 52 17 35 45 19 26 3
3/5/95 46 NA NA 49 NA NA 4
1/29/95 54 20 34 43 21 22 3
1/4/9 45 13 31 51 22 29 5
12/20/94 44 NA NA 50 NA NA 6
11/6/94 RV 52 20 32 43 16 26 5
10/31/94 48 17 31 49 19 30 3
10/23/94 49 18 31 48 19 29 4
10/9/94 45 13 32 51 21 30 4
9/25/94 44 13 31 51 20 31 5
9/11/94 46 15 30 51 19 33 3
8/16/94 44 NA NA 51 NA NA 5
8/7/94 47 17 31 47 20 27 5
6/26/94 50 16 34 44 17 28 6
5/15/94 51 19 32 44 17 28 4
3/27/94 57 23 34 41 16 25 3
3/22/94 47 NA NA 45 NA NA 7
3/08/94 52 NA NA 40 NA NA 8
2/27/94 58 20 38 38 15 23 4
1/23/94 56 22 34 34 14 20 10
1/9/94 59 20 39 36 15 21 4
12/19/93 58 22 36 40 20 20 3
11/14/93 49 16 33 45 20 25 6
10/31/93 52 17 35 41 17 24 7
10/10/93 51 20 31 43 18 25 5
10/3/93 52 19 33 36 14 22 12
9/19/93 51 NA NA 41 NA NA 8
8/8/93 45 16 29 51 19 32 4
6/28/93 43 13 29 50 19 31 7
6/15/93 45 NA NA 48 NA NA 7
5/23/93 46 17 30 48 18 30
4/26/93 59 22 37 39 17 21 2
2/28/93 60 28 32 33 11 22 7
2/23/93 63 28 35 30 11 19 7
2/14/93 54 23 31 31 15 16 15
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job?
Approve Disapprove No opinion
9/2/99 46 47 7
6/6/99 48 46 6
3/14/99 44 49 7
2/14/99 46 50 4
12/20/98 44 51 5
12/19/98 45 50 5
12/13/98 49 46 5
11/7/98 41 55 4
11/1/98 49 47 5
11/1/98 LV 47 51 2
10/25/98 45 44 11
10/25/98 LV 45 48 7
10/18/98 46 45 8
10/18/98 LV 45 49 5
9/28/98 52 44 4
9/28/98 LV 52 46 2
8/21/98 55 39 6
7/12/98 46 44 11
5/12/98 45 45 9
4/4/98 47 45 8
1/31/98 55 35 10
1/30/98 55 35 10
1/25/98 56 37 8
1/24/98 55 38 7
1/19/98 47 49 5
10/13/97 36 57 7
8/27/97 39 54 7
7/8/97 40 53 6
4/24/97 40 53 7
3/9/97 35 60 5
8/5/96 42 52 7
6/30/96 35 58 7
5/22/96 35 60 5
3/10/96 30 64 6
1/7/96 31 65 5
11/19/95 27 68 5
10/1/95 32 65 3
7/17/95 34 63 3
3/19/95 39 56 5
1/29/95 42 52 6
10/31/94 21 72 8
10/23/94 18 78 4
9/11/94 24 70 5
6/26/94 34 61 5
3/27/94 35 62 3
2/27/94 32 64 4
1/23/94 29 60 11
11/14/93 28 66 6
8/8/93 33 64 3
4/26/93 30 69 2
1/17/93 29 66 6
4/9/92 17 78 5
3/18/92 19 76 5
3/8/92 22 73 6
2/2/92 32 64 4
12/15/91 35 59 6
10/21/91 45 50 5
6/2/91 49 46 5
10/14/90 34 63 3
2/4/90 41 55 4
1/16/90 39 55 6
8/21/89 42 53 5
5/23/89 54 44 2
2/14/89 53 44 3
1/23/88* 43 53 4
6/1/87* 56 40 4
6/22/85* 54 37 9
5/83* 33 43 24
6/81* 38 40 22
6/79* 19 61 20
9/78* 29 49 22
6/77* 34 42 24
6/75* 29 54 17
8/74* 48 35 17
*Gallup
3. If the election for president in the year 2000 were being held today, and the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), and (George W. Bush, the Republican, who is the son of the former president), for whom would you vote?
Net Leaned Vote:
None Other Neither Would not No
Gore Bush (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin
9/2/99 37 56 3 * NA 3 2
9/2/99 RV 38 56 3 * NA 2 2
6/6/99 40 53 3 1 NA 1 3
6/6/99 RV 40 54 2 1 NA * 3
3/14/99 41 54 1 * NA 2 2
3/14/99 RV 42 54 1 * NA 1 2
Unleaned Vote:
2/14/99 41 49 NA NA 4 1 5
2/14/99 RV 40 50 NA NA 4 1 6
10/25/98 34 45 NA NA 7 1 13
8/21/98 41 43 NA NA 6 2 7
1/19/98 40 45 NA NA 5 2 7
9/23/97 35 40 NA NA 12 4 9
4. Do you support (GORE/BUSH) strongly, or only somewhat? ------------Gore--------- ----------Bush-----------
No No
Strngly Somewht opin Strngly Somewht opin
9/2/99 38 61 1 43 56 1
9/2/99 RV 39 61 1 47 52 1
3/14/99 38 62 * 40 58 2
3/14/99 RV 40 59 1 44 54 2
5. How about if the candidates were (Al Gore, the Democrat), and (Elizabeth Dole, the Republican)? Net Leaned Vote:
None Other Would not No
Gore Dole (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin
9/2/99 44 49 2 * 3 1
9/2/99 RV 44 50 2 * 2 1
3/14/99 43 51 1 * 2 2
3/14/99 RV 43 52 1 1 2 2
6. How about if the candidates were (Bill Bradley, the Democrat), and (George W. Bush, the Republican)? Net Leaned Vote:
None Other Would not No
Bradley Bush (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin
9/2/99 36 57 2 * 2 3
9/2/99 RV 36 57 2 * 2 3
3/14/99 34 58 2 1 2 4
3/14/99 RV 34 58 2 1 2 4
7. How about if the candidates were (Bill Bradley, the Democrat), and (Elizabeth Dole, the Republican)? Net Leaned Vote:
None Other Would not No
Bradley Dole (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin
9/2/99 43 49 2 * 3 3
9/2/99 RV 43 49 2 * 2 3
3/14/99 38 53 2 1 3 5
3/14/99 RV 38 53 2 1 2 5
7b. Thinking just about your own views of Al Gore...does the fact that he served as Bill Clinton's vice President for 8 years make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn't it make much of a difference to you? (GET ANSWER THEN ASK: Is that much more/less likely, or somewhat?) ----More likely----- -----Less likely----- No No
NET Much Smewht NET Much Smewht diff. opin
19 11 8 21 15 7 59 1
8. Suppose that Gore is the Democratic nominee for president in the year 2000 and Bush is the Republican nominee. Would you be satisfied with the choice of Gore or Bush, or would you want a third-party candidate to run? Satisfied Third-party No opinion 9/2/99 62 36 3 7/11/99 55 36 10 11/8/95* 54 41 5 10/1/95 46 51 3 8/18/95 46 49 5 8/9/95 50 43 7 *1995 polls: Clinton vs. Dole 9. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor?
----Excellent/Good----- -----Not so good/Poor----- No
NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor opin
9/2/99 76 19 57 23 16 6 1
3/14/99 80 22 58 19 15 4 1
11/1/98 73 12 61 26 21 5 1
11/1/98LV78 13 65 22 19 3 *
10/13/97 61 12 49 39 27 11 *
(Additional trend available)
10. Overall, which party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job in coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years? Both equally Neither No
Dems Reps (vol.) (vol.) opin
9/2/99 45 39 4 9 4
6/6/99 45 35 3 13 5
3/14/99 47 37 5 9 3
2/14/99 48 37 4 7 4
10/18/98 44 36 3 12 6
10/18/98 LV 43 42 3 10 2
9/28/98 49 38 2 8 3
9/28/98 LV 45 44 1 8 2
8/21/98 48 36 4 9 3
7/12/98 45 38 3 8 6
1/31/98 47 37 4 6 7
1/19/98 45 42 2 7 4
7/8/97 44 37 2 14 3
9/15/96 RV 45 38 3 11 3
8/5/96 43 38 3 11 3
6/30/96 46 37 3 12 3
5/22/96 47 38 3 10 3
11/6/94 RV 41 39 2 12 6
10/31/94 43 43 2 8 4
10/23/94 39 40 3 15 3
9/11/94 43 40 4 11 3
6/26/94 41 36 3 14 5
2/27/94 46 32 4 16 3
11/14/93 42 39 3 11 4
1/17/93 49 28 5 13 5
7/8/92 48 38 1 8 4
6/7/92 43 37 3 11 6
3/11/92 45 37 1 11 5
3/8/92 51 36 1 7 5
2/2/92 49 39 2 7 3
12/15/91 39 37 3 15 6
10/21/91 39 40 3 13 5
11. I'd like to ask you what kind of attention some issues should get in Congress. For each one, please tell me how important it is for Congress to address. Would you say it's one of the single most important issues, very important, somewhat important or not important at all. First is.. (Read item) Single most Very Somewhat Not Don't address No
import. import. import. at all (vol.) opin
a. Enacting tougher gun control laws
10 45 23 20 1 1
b. Reforming election campaign finance laws
6 35 42 15 * 2
c. Protecting patients' rights in the health care system
10 69 18 2 * *
d. Cutting taxes
7 46 35 11 * 1
e. Protecting the Social Security system
13 69 15 2 * *
f. Protecting the Medicare system
11 69 18 3 * 0
g. Increasing spending on national defense, or the military budget
4 33 46 15 * 1
12. And which political party, the Democrats or the Republicans, do you trust to do a better job: SUMMARY TABLE:
Both Neither No
Dems Reps (vol.) (vol.) opin
a. Handling the issue of
gun control 46 40 3 7 4
b. Reforming election campaign
finance laws 38 40 4 13 6
c. Protecting patients' rights in
the health care system 58 31 3 5 4
d. Cutting taxes 40 49 2 6 3
e. Protecting the Social
Security system 56 33 3 4 3
f. Protecting the Medicare system 57 32 3 5 3
g. Handling national defense 34 55 2 4 4
and the military budget
Trend (where available): a. Handling the issue of gun control Both Neither No
Dems Reps (vol.) (vol.) opin
9/2/98 46 40 3 7 4
5/16/99 39 31 3 22 5
c. Protecting patients' rights in the health care system Both Neither No
Dems Reps (vol.) (vol.) opin
9/2/98 58 31 3 5 4
3/14/99 53 27 4 9 7
9/28/98 61 29 NA NA 10
9/28/98 LV 54 36 NA NA 10
7/12/98 53 29 4 6 8
d. Cutting taxes Both Neither No
Dems Reps (vol.) (vol.) opin
9/2/98* 40 49 2 6 3
3/14/99* 43 41 2 10 4
9/28/98* 47 44 NA NA 9
9/28/98* LV 40 53 NA NA 8
7/12/98* 42 39 3 8 8
1/19/98* 45 44 2 6 2
7/8/97* 41 38 3 15 4
10/30/95 45 40 10 3 3
10/23/94* 37 42 2 17 2
9/11/94* 36 47 2 11 4
2/27/94* 35 41 4 18 2
2/2/92* 41 45 3 8 3
12/15/91* 40 38 3 14 5
3/4/91* 35 44 5 13 3
1/16/90* 37 47 2 10 4
*Holding taxes down
e. Protecting the Social Security system Both Neither No
Dems Reps (vol.) (vol.) opin
9/2/98 56 33 3 4 3
3/14/99 52 29 3 8 7
7/12/98 51 35 3 6 6
1/19/98 48 38 3 7 5
1/16/90 52 31 3 9 4
COMPARE TO: Protecting Social Security and Medicare Both Neither No
Dems Reps (vol.) (vol.) opin
9/28/98 59 32 NA NA 19
9/28/98 LV 53 39 NA NA 8
f. Protecting the Medicare system Both Neither No
Dems Reps (vol.) (vol.) opin
9/2/98 57 32 3 5 3
3/14/99 54 25 5 9 8
7/12/98 54 32 2 4 8
1/19/98 52 33 3 6 6
9/11/94 49 32 5 8 6
COMPARE TO: Protecting Social Security and Medicare
Both Neither No
Dems Reps (vol.) (vol.) opin
9/28/98 59 32 NA NA 19
9/28/98 LV 53 39 NA NA 8
13. Who would you trust more to decide what to do with the federal budget surplus - Clinton or the Republicans in Congress? Both equally Neither No
Clinton Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opin
9/2/99 45 46 1 5 3
3/14/99 48 41 2 5 3
1/31/98* 52 38 2 3 4
1/19/98* 43 45 1 8 3
*"If there is surplus money in the federal budget in the next year or so"
14. I'm going to read you a few names. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person, or perhaps you don't know enough to say. How about (Read name)? Summary table:
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion
Al Gore 50 40 10
George W. Bush 61 23 16
Elizabeth Dole 60 19 21
Bill Bradley 38 13 50
Hillary Clinton 49 44 7
Steve Forbes* 28 21 51
John McCain* 22 10 68
*Asked of half sample
Trend: -------Favorable---- ----Unfavorable------- No
NET Strgly Smewht NET Strgly Smewht opin
9/2/99 50 NA NA 40 NA NA 10
6/6/99 52 NA NA 34 NA NA 14
3/14/99 54 20 34 33 16 16 14
2/14/99 53 NA NA 31 NA NA 17
8/21/98 55 NA NA 30 NA NA 15
7/12/98 54 NA NA 26 NA NA 20
4/4/98 54 NA NA 27 NA NA 19
1/31/98 52 NA NA 29 NA NA 19
1/30/98 51 NA NA 30 NA NA 19
1/25/98 55 NA NA 29 NA NA 16
1/24/98 54 NA NA 30 NA NA 15
1/19/98 48 NA NA 36 NA NA 17
10/13/97 45 NA NA 40 NA NA 15
9/10/97 49 NA NA 33 NA NA 19
4/24/97 53 NA NA 29 NA NA 19
3/9/97 56 NA NA 29 NA NA 15
3/19/95 57 NA NA 27 NA NA 16
10/31/94 41 NA NA 37 NA NA 22
5/15/94 58 NA NA 27 NA NA 15
3/27/94 57 NA NA 25 NA NA 18
11/14/93 56 NA NA 28 NA NA 15
8/23/92 RV 52 NA NA 19 NA NA 29
7/19/92 RV 55 NA NA 12 NA NA 33
George W. Bush
-----Favorable---- ----Unfavorable------- No
NET Strgly Smewht NET Strgly Smewht opin
9/2/99 61 NA NA 23 NA NA 16
6/6/99 54 NA NA 15 NA NA 30
3/14/99 54 27 27 14 7 7 32
2/14/99 51 NA NA 13 NA NA 36
1/19/98 34 NA NA 13 NA NA 53
Elizabeth Dole -----Favorable---- ----Unfavorable------- No
NET Strgly Smewht NET Strgly Smewht opin
9/2/99 60 NA NA 19 NA NA 21
6/6/99 58 NA NA 17 NA NA 25
3/14/99 58 27 31 17 9 8 26
2/14/99 57 NA NA 13 NA NA 30
9/4/96 RV 51 NA NA 16 NA NA 33
6/30/96 44 NA NA 13 NA NA 43
Bill Bradley Favorable Unfavorable No opinion 9/2/99 38 13 50 6/6/99 28 11 61 3/14/99 29 13 58 8/18/95 29 9 62 Hillary Clinton Favorable Unfavorable No opinion 9/2/99 49 44 7 6/6/99 59 35 6 3/14/99 60 36 4 2/14/99 63 31 6 11/1/98 64 31 5 11/1/98 LV 60 36 3 8/21/98 64 28 8 8/19/98 64 32 4 4/4/98 58 33 10 1/30/98 60 30 10 1/19/98 52 39 9 3/9/97 47 44 9 9/4/96 RV 47 42 12 6/30/96 44 47 9 1/21/96 28 36 36 1/19/96 32 34 34 10/31/94 47 44 8 5/15/94 54 41 5 3/27/94 53 39 8 1/23/94 55 34 11 11/14/93 58 33 9 8/8/93 59 33 8 4/26/93 54 26 20 2/23/93 59 24 18 1/17/93 51 20 29 7/8/92 30 26 43 3/28/92 28 22 51 Steve Forbes Favorable Unfavorable No opinion 9/2/99* 28 21 51 3/14/99 26 28 47 *Asked of half sample John McCain Favorable Unfavorable No opinion 9/2/99* 22 10 68 3/14/99 20 10 69 *Asked of half sample 15. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Bill Clinton as a person? ------Favorable-------- -----Unfavorable-------- No
NET Strgly Smewht NET Strgly Smewht opin
9/2/99 38 NA NA 59 NA NA 3
3/14/99 30 NA NA 67 NA NA 4
3/4/99 40 NA NA 54 NA NA 6
12/15/98 41 22 19 56 39 17 3
11/1/98 42 NA NA 54 NA NA 4
11/1/98 LV 37 NA NA 60 NA NA 3
16. (Asked of half sample) Which of these do you think should be the top priority for any surplus money in the federal budget - cut federal income taxes, put it toward reducing the national debt, strengthen the Social Security system, or increase spending on other domestic programs? Cut income Reduce Social Domestic No
taxes national debt Security programs opin
9/2/99 20 24 43 13 1
7/25/98 22 19 47 10 2
3/14/99 20 21 47 10 2
1/31/98 17 23 47 10 2
1/19/98 16 29 39 14 1
16a. (Asked of half sample) Which of these do you think should be the top priority for any surplus money in the federal budget - cut federal income taxes, put it toward reducing the national debt, strengthen the Social Security system, or increase spending on other domestic programs such as education or health care? Cut income Reduce Social Domestic programs No taxes national debt Security (Educ./health care) opin 14 19 29 37 1 17. As you may know, the Republicans in Congress have called for a 800 billion dollar tax cut over the next 10 years. They say their tax cut will return most of the projected budget surplus to the people. Clinton favors a smaller tax cut, saying most of the surplus should be used to strengthen the Social Security and Medicare programs. Do you think Clinton should veto the Republican tax cut, or let it become law?
Veto Let it become law No opinion
9/2/99 50 43 7
18. How important will (READ ITEM) be to you in deciding how to vote in the next presidential election in the year 2000 - very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all? ------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all op.
A. Handling the issue
of gun control 81 56 25 18 9 9 1
B. Reforming election
campaign finance
laws 70 30 40 28 17 11 1
C. Protecting patient's
rights in the health
care system 90 65 26 9 5 4 *
D. Cutting taxes 83 44 39 17 9 8 *
E. Protecting the Social
Security system 93 68 25 7 5 2 *
F. Protecting the
Medicare system 93 64 29 7 4 3 *
G. Handling the
national economy 95 74 21 4 2 2 1
H. Handling crime 93 71 22 6 3 3 *
I. Handling foreign
affairs 88 54 34 11 8 3 1
J. Improving education
and the schools 95 79 16 4 2 2 1
K. Helping the middle
class 92 61 31 7 5 2 1
L. Encouraging high moral
standards & values87 67 20 11 8 3 2
M. Managing the
federal budget 95 74 21 4 3 1 1
n Protecting the
environment 92 62 30 8 6 2 *
P. Upholding the dignity
of the presidency 87 62 25 13 8 4 1
Trend (where available): C. Protecting patient's rights in the health care system ------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all opin
9/2/99 90 65 26 9 5 4 *
3/14/99 92 71 21 7 6 2 1
D. Cutting taxes ------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all opin
9/2/99 83 44 39 17 9 8 *
3/14/99* 92 64 29 7 4 3 1
*Holding taxes down
E. Protecting the Social Security System
------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all opin
9/2/99 93 68 25 7 5 2 *
3/14/99 94 74 20 6 4 2 *
F. Protecting the Medicare System
------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all opin
9/2/99 93 64 29 7 4 3 *
3/14/99 94 70 24 5 3 2 1
G. Handling the national economy ------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all opin
9/2/99 95 74 21 4 2 2 1
3/14/99 94 80 14 5 3 2 1
H. Handling crime ------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all opin
9/2/99 93 71 22 6 3 3 *
3/14/99 94 67 27 6 4 2 1
I. Handling foreign affairs
------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all opin
9/2/99 88 54 34 11 8 3 1
3/14/99 91 59 32 8 6 2 1
J. Improving education and the schools ------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all opin
9/2/99 95 79 16 4 2 2 1
3/14/99 92 73 19 6 4 3 1
K. Helping the middle class ------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all opin
9/2/99 92 61 31 7 5 2 1
3/14/99 96 70 26 4 3 1 1
L. Encouraging high moral standards & values ------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all opin
9/2/99 87 67 20 11 8 3 2
3/14/99 86 60 26 13 7 6 1
M. Managing the federal budget ------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all opin
9/2/99 95 74 21 4 3 1 1
3/14/99 96 74 22 2 2 * 2
n Protecting the environment ------Important---- -----Not important------- No
NET Very Somewht NET Not too Not at all opin
9/2/99 92 62 30 8 6 2 *
3/14/99 90 61 30 8 6 2 2
19. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) I have a few questions about Al Gore and also about George W. Bush. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to (Al Gore/George W. Bush), or not? -----Bush------ -----Gore----
No No
Yes No opin Yes No opin
A. He is honest and trustworthy 63 23 14 63 27 11
B. He has high personal moral
and ethical standards 65 20 15 70 19 11
C. He understands the problems
of people like you 50 39 11 47 45 8
D. He can do a good job keeping
the economy strong 64 21 15 50 39 11
E. He is a strong leader 70 18 12 38 52 10
F. He has new ideas 57 27 15 46 40 14
G. He can be trusted in a crisis 58 22 19 55 33 12
H. He has the right kind of
experience to be president 61 30 9 69 27 4
I. He has the kind of personality
and temperament it takes to serve
effectively as president 67 21 12 52 40 8
J. He would uphold the dignity
of the presidency 76 16 8 74 22 4
K. He would bring needed change
to Washington 56 32 12 34 56 11
Trend (where available): A. He is honest and trustworthy -----Bush------ -----Gore----
No No
Yes No opin Yes No opin
9/2/99 63 23 14 63 27 11
3/14/99 67 12 22 63 24 13
B. He has high personal moral and ethical standards -----Bush------ -----Gore----
No No
Yes No opin Yes No opin
9/2/99 65 20 15 70 19 11
3/14/99 67 8 24 67 18 15
C. He understands the problems of people like you -----Bush------ -----Gore----
No No
Yes No opin Yes No opin
9/2/99 50 39 11 47 45 8
6/13/99 NA NA NA 44 44 12
3/14/99 52 27 21 48 41 11
D. He can do a good job keeping the economy strong -----Bush------ -----Gore----
No No
Yes No opin Yes No opin
9/2/99 64 21 15 50 39 11
3/14/99 60 16 24 50 32 18
E. He is a strong leader -----Bush------ -----Gore----
No No
Yes No opin Yes No opin
9/2/99 70 18 12 38 52 10
6/13/99 NA NA NA 39 51 9
3/14/99 68 13 20 41 47 12
F. He has new ideas -----Bush------ -----Gore----
No No
Yes No opin Yes No opin
9/2/99 57 27 15 46 40 14
3/14/99 55 18 26 47 36 17
G. He can be trusted in a crisis
--------Bush--------- -------Gore---------
Yes No No opin Yes No No opin
9/2/99 58 22 19 55 33 12
------Clinton------- --------Dole--------
Yes No No opin Yes No No opin
3/17/96 56 41 3 52 38 10
10/4/92 RV 45 36 19 NA NA NA
10/4/92 LV 45 36 19 NA NA NA
6/7/92 37 42 22 NA NA NA
H. He has the right kind of experience to be president
--------Bush--------- -------Gore---------
Yes No No opin Yes No No opin
9/2/99 61 30 9 69 27 4
------Clinton------- --------Dole--------
Yes No No opin Yes No No opin
3/17/96 64 36 * 62 34 4
10/4/92 RV 56 37 8 NA NA NA
10/4/92 LV 57 36 7 NA NA NA
6/7/92 49 41 10 NA NA NA
I. He has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president --------Bush--------- -------Gore---------
Yes No No opin Yes No No opin
9/2/99 67 21 12 52 40 8
------Clinton------- --------Dole--------
Yes No No opin Yes No No opin
3/17/96 65 34 1 54 40 6
10/4/92 RV 66 28 7 NA NA NA
10/4/92 LV 66 27 7 NA NA NA
6/7/92 58 33 9 NA NA NA
20. Would you say (GORE/BUSH) is very boring, somewhat boring, somewhat interesting, or very interesting? 9/2/99
-------Boring-------- -----Interesting----- No
NET Very Smewht. NET Very Smewht. opin
Gore 55 22 32 42 8 34 3
Bush 25 7 18 69 14 55 5
21. (Asked of half sample) Do you think of (Gore/Bush) as a very safe choice for president, somewhat safe, somewhat risky, or very risky?
9/2/99
--------Safe-------- -------Risky-------- No
NET Very Smewht NET Very Smewht opin
Gore 53 17 36 44 19 26 3
Bush 66 22 44 31 8 23 3
22. (Asked of half sample) Do you think (Gore's/Bush's) views on most issues are too liberal for you, too conservative for you, or just about right?
---------------Gore-------------- ----------------Bush------------
Too Too Just No Too Too Just No
liberal conserv. Right opin liberal conserv. right opin
9/2 35 12 46 7 10 20 58 13
3/14 31 10 44 15 7 20 53 20
23. (Asked of half sample) Do you feel you know enough about (GORE/BUSH) to decide whether or not to vote for him for president, or do you feel you need to know more about him before you decide? Do you need to know a lot more about him, or just somewhat more?
----Need to know more------ No
Know enough NET A lot more Somewhat opinion
Gore 43 56 25 31 1
Bush 29 71 36 35 *
Gore:
----Need to know more------ No
Know enough NET A lot more Somewhat opinion
9/2/99 43 56 25 31 1
3/14/99 40 59 33 26 1
Bush:
----Need to know more------ No
Know enough NET A lot more Somewhat opinion
9/2/99 29 71 36 35 *
3/14/99 19 79 49 30 1
24. (Asked of half sample) Overall, would you say (Gore/Bush) cares more about serving poor and lower income people, middle income people, upper income people, or would you say he cares equally about serving all people?
9/2/99
Poor Middle Upper All No opinion
Gore 14 10 15 48 12
Bush 3 9 31 44 12
Clinton:
Poor Middle Upper All No opinion
8/5/96 15 16 19 44 6
7/17/95 19 16 20 42 4
1/29/95 17 20 16 44 3
4/26/93 15 13 14 56 2
1/17/93 12 10 11 64 4
8/23/92 RV 16 25 6 44 9
Dole:
Poor Middle Upper All No opinion
8/5/96 2 16 43 33 6
**Bush:
Poor Middle Upper All No opinion
1/17/93* 2 6 61 28 3
8/23/92 RV 1 7 56 33 3
8/9/92 1 8 62 25 4
2/2/92 3 10 56 30 1
12/15/91 1 7 58 32 2
10/21/91 1 7 48 41 2
11/4/90 LV 3 5 55 36 2
2/4/90 3 11 35 51 *
*Changed to "has cared."
**George H.W. Bush
25. (Asked of half sample) Do you think that (Bush/Gore's) positions on important issues are basically different from Clinton's or basically the same?
Gore:
------Different------ ---------Same--------- No
NET Good thing Bad NET Good thing Bad opin
9/2/99 25 20 5 62 37 25 13
3/14/99 21 13 8 68 41 26 11
Bush:
------Different------ ---------Same--------- No
NET Good thing Bad NET Good thing Bad opin
9/2/99 60 43 17 25 18 7 15
26. Which of these two statements comes closest to your own views: A) After eight years of Bill Clinton, we need to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction B) We need to keep the country moving in the direction Bill Clinton has been taking us.
New Same Somewhere in Neither No
direction direction between (vol.) (vol.) opin
9/2/99 47 49 2 1 2
9/2/99 RV 47 49 2 1 1
3/14/99 39 56 3 1 1
3/14/99 RV 41 54 3 1 1
Bush**
New Same Somewhere in Neither No
direction direction between (vol.) (vol.) opin
8/9/92 74 23 * * 2
6/7/92 75 21 1 1 1
3/11/92 66 30 1 2 1
12/15/91 63 31 2 2 2
10/21/91 51 44 2 1 1
**George H.W. Bush
Reagan
New Same Somewhere in Neither No
direction direction between (vol.) (vol.) opin
9/19/88 RV 51 46 1 1 1
9/19/88 LV 50 47 1 1 1
8/14/88 58 38 2 1 1
8/14/88 RV 58 38 2 2 1
8/14/88 LV 57 39 2 1 1
5/25/88 57 39 2 1 2
5/25/88 LV 56 39 2 1 2
9/23/87 55 41 2 1 1
4/13/87 56 41 1 1 1
27. (and 28) On another subject, thinking about the U.S. House of Representatives election in November, 2000 in the congressional district where you live, if that election were being held today, for whom would you vote: (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate)?
Registered voters:
Neither Wouldn't
Democrat Republican (vol.) vote (vol.) No opin
9/9/99 48 44 3 * 5
3/14/99 50 41 2 1 6
2/14/99 48 41 3 1 7
1/30/99 49 39 8 1 3
11/1/98 51 43 4 * 2
10/25/98 48 43 3 1 4
10/18/98 49 44 3 1 4
9/28/98 49 44 2 * 4
8/21/98 48 45 3 1 3
7/12/98 47 45 2 * 6
1/31/98 49 40 2 1 8
1/19/98 47 44 3 1 5
11/96 ACTUAL 48.5 48.9
10/8/96 51 41 2 1 5
9/29/96 48 41 3 1 7
9/22/96 50 43 2 1 4
9/15/96 49 45 1 1 4
9/4/96 48 44 3 * 5
8/29/96 53 39 3 1 5
8/28/96 51 40 3 1 5
8/27/96 51 41 3 0 5
8/26/96 51 41 3 0 5
8/25/96 48 43 3 1 6
8/24/96 47 43 2 1 6
8/19/96 49 42 3 0 6
8/18/96 45 46 3 0 6
8/15/96 46 43 4 1 5
8/14/96 48 42 3 1 6
8/13/96 49 43 3 0 5
8/12/96 49 42 3 1 5
8/11/96 49 40 4 1 6
8/10/96 49 41 4 1 5
8/4/96 48 45 2 1 4
6/30/96 49 44 3 * 3
5/22/96 52 41 3 1 3
3/10/96 51 43 2 * 4
1/21/96 52 43 3 1 1
10/1/95 49 44 3 * 3
11/94 ACTUAL 44.7 51.5
11/6/94 47 42 5 2 5
10/31/94 48 44 4 1 3
10/23/94 50 45 2 1 2
10/9/94 46 47 3 2 2
9/11/94 50 45 1 1 4
8/7/94 49 42 4 1 4
2/27/94 50 40 8 1 2
11/92 ACTUAL 49.9 44.8
10/21/91 51 41 4 * 4
7/28/91 49 41 6 * 3
6/2/91 48 42 4 1 5
11/90 ACTUAL 52 43.9
11/4/90 51 41 5 * 3
10/14/90 50 41 5 * 3
9/9/90 47 46 3 * 3
7/24/90 51 41 4 1 4
5/21/90 47 45 5 1 2
11/88 ACTUAL 53.2 45.3
9/21-10/10/88 52 41 2 1 4
9/19/88 51 39 3 1 6
11/86 ACTUAL 54.1 44.2
6/22/85 48 44 5 * 3
11/84 ACTUAL 52.2 46.5
10/16/84 52 44 2 NA 5
9/11/84 53 45 2 NA 1
7/8/84 58 40 2 NA 1
11/82 ACTUAL 55 43.2
10/27/82 58 39 NA NA 3
10/11/82 55 36 NA NA 9
9/13/82 58 36 NA NA 6
11/22/81 53 41 NA NA 7
11/80 ACTUAL 50.3 47.6
11/78 ACTUAL 53.4 44.7
11/76 ACTUAL 55.5 42.2
Source for actual vote:
1996, "America Votes." 1994-1976, Clerk of the House
Likely voters:
Neither Wouldn't
Democrat Republican (vol.) vote (vol.) No opin
11/1/98 44% VAP 49 46 3 * 1
11/1/98 36% VAP 46 48 4 * 1
10/25/98 41% VAP 49 47 1 * 2
10/25/98 33% VAP 47 50 1 * 2
10/18/98 40% VAP 48 47 2 * 2
9/28/98 42% VAP 46 49 2 * 3
10/8/96 48 44 2 1 5
9/29/96 48 43 3 1 6
9/22/96 50 44 2 * 4
9/15/96 47 48 2 * 3
9/4/96 47 46 3 * 4
8/29/96 53 39 3 0 5
8/28/96 49 41 3 0 6
8/27/96 50 43 3 0 5
8/26/96 49 43 3 0 5
8/25/96 46 45 3 0 5
8/24/96 45 46 2 0 6
8/19/96 47 45 2 0 6
8/18/96 45 47 3 0 5
8/15/96 46 44 4 1 5
8/14/96 46 44 3 1 6
8/13/96 47 45 3 0 5
8/12/96 48 44 3 0 5
8/11/96 48 41 5 0 6
8/10/96 47 43 4 1 5
8/4/96 48 46 1 1 4
11/6/94 46 44 4 1 4
11/6/94 41% VAP 47 45 3 1 3
11/6/94 28% VAP 46 47 3 2 2
10/31/94 48 45 3 * 3
10/31/94 45% VAP 47 47 3 * 3
10/23/94 49 47 1 * 2
10/23/94 41% VAP 46 51 1 * 2
10/9/94 47 49 3 1 1
11/4/90 52 41 5 * 3
10/14/90 48 43 5 0 3
9/9/90 47 45 3 * 4
7/24/90 52 40 4 * 3
10/16/84 51 45 2 NA 4
9/11/84 51 46 1 NA 1
7/8/84 54 44 2 NA *
10/27/82 59 39 NA NA 2
10/11/82 55 38 NA NA 7
29. How do you think Bill Clinton will go down in history - as an outstanding president, above average, below average, or poor?
Clinton:
-------Average--------- Avg. --Below Average----- No
NET Outstanding Above (vol.) NET Below Poor opin
47 11 35 17 35 19 16 2
Bush:*
-------Average--------- Avg. --Below Average----- No
NET Outstanding Above (vol.) NET Below Poor opin
1/17/93 43 5 38 33 22 17 5 1
12/14/92 41 6 35 27 30 19 11 2
*George H.W. Bush
Reagan:
-------Average--------- Avg. --Below Average----- No
NET Outstanding Above (vol.) NET Below Poor opin
1/16/89 63 18 45 21 16 10 6 1
Carter**:
-------Average--------- Avg. --Below Average----- No
NET Outstanding Above (vol.) NET Below Poor opin
12/80 14 3 11 37 46 31 15 3
**Gallup
Ford**:
-------Average--------- Avg. --Below Average----- No
NET Outstanding Above (vol.) NET Below Poor opin
12/76 25 5 20 50 20 15 5 3
**Gallup
Eisenhower***:
----Great/Good------ ------Fair/Poor----- No
NET Great Good NET Fair Poor opin
12/60 65 20 45 33 25 7 3
***Gallup, Note wording change.
30. I'm going to read a few statements. For each, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with it. First is (read item). Do you feel that way strongly, or only somewhat? 9/2/99 --------Agree--------- ------Disagree------- No NET Strngly Smewht NET Strngly Smewht opin a. I'm just plain tired of Bill Clinton 53 40 14 45 26 19 1 b. It's not fair to blame Al Gore for the mistakes Clinton 31. Considering everything, who do you think is more to blame for Clinton's impeachment trial earlier this year -- Clinton himself, for his actions; or the Republicans in Congress, for pursuing the case against him?
Clinton Republicans No
himself in Congress opinion
9/2/99 59 39 2
2/14/99* 54 42 5
12/20/98 55 43 3
12/19/98 57 41 2
*Language change
32. On another subject, do you favor or oppose stricter gun control laws in this country? Is that strongly or somewhat favor/oppose? ------------Favor--------- -----------Oppose-------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin
9/2/99 63 52 11 35 25 11 2
8/15/99 63 46 16 34 22 12 3
5/16/99 67 55 12 31 21 10 1
10/13/93* 64 40 24 33 20 13 3
6/8/89* 60 28 32 34 23 11 6
*Gallup: "Do you strongly favor, favor, oppose, or strongly oppose enacting
tougher gun control laws?"
33. (Asked of half sample) Would you support or oppose a law requiring (READ ITEM). How about a law requiring (NEXT ITEM). For each: Do you feel that way strongly, or only somewhat? --------Support-------- -------Oppose-------- No
NET Strngly Smewht NET Strngly Smewht opin
a. Background checks on people buying guns at gun shows
90 80 10 9 7 3 1
b. Trigger locks on all stored guns
79 66 13 20 14 6 1
c. A nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons
77 68 9 22 14 8 1
d. A nationwide ban on gun sales by mail order and over the
Trend (where available): a. Background checks on people buying guns at gun shows
--------Support-------- -------Oppose-------- No
NET Strngly Smewht NET Strngly Smewht opin
9/2/99 90 80 10 9 7 3 1
5/16/99 89 77 12 11 7 4 *
b. Trigger locks on all stored guns --------Support-------- -------Oppose-------- No
NET Strngly Smewht NET Strngly Smewht opin
9/2/99 79 66 13 20 14 6 1
5/16/99 75 61 14 22 14 8 3
c. A nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons
--------Support-------- -------Oppose-------- No
NET Strngly Smewht NET Strngly Smewht opin
9/2/99 77 68 9 22 14 8 1
5/16/99 79 67 12 19 12 7 2
COMPARE TO: Yes No No opinion 6/14/94 80 18 2 d. A nationwide ban on gun sales by mail order and over the internet --------Support-------- -------Oppose-------- No
NET Strngly Smewht NET Strngly Smewht opin
9/2/99 66 57 8 33 26 7 1
5/16/99 70 60 10 28 19 9 2
e. All handgun owners to register their firearms with the government
--------Support-------- -------Oppose-------- No
NET Strngly Smewht NET Strngly Smewht opin
9/2/99 75 60 15 24 18 6 1
f. A nationwide ban on the sale of handguns, except to law enforcement officers
--------Support-------- -------Oppose-------- No
NET Strngly Smewht NET Strngly Smewht opin
9/2/99 32 23 9 65 47 18 3
34. Do you think stricter gun control laws would reduce the amount of violent crime in this country, or not? (If yes: Would it reduce it a lot or just somewhat?)
---------Reduce---------
NET A lot Somewhat Not reduce No opin
9/2/99 50 30 21 48 1
35. All in all, how do you feel about the way Congress has handled the issue of gun control - would you say you're pleased about it, satisfied but not pleased, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry about it? -----Pleased/Satisfied----- -----Dissatisfied/Angry----- No NET Pleased Satisfied NET Dissatisfied Angry opin 37 4 33 60 41 18 4 36. Do you think the National Rifle Association has too much influence, too little influence, or the right amount of influence over gun control laws in this country? Too much Too little Right amount No opinion 9/2/99 47 17 31 5 37. Do you or does anyone in your house own a gun, or not?
Yes No No opinion
9/2/99 44 56 *
5/16/99 46 53 *
38. (Among those with a gun in household) What kind of gun or guns would that be - handgun, shotgun, rifle or what?
Handgun Shotgun Rifle Other No opinion
9/2/99 53 63 59 2 2
39. (Among those with a gun in household) Do you personally own a gun or not?
Yes No No opinion
9/2/99 66 34 0
40. (Of those who own a gun) Why do you own a gun-what's the main reason?
9/2/99
Protection 26
Hunting 49
Target/Sport 8
Collect/Hobby 4
Gun Dealer 0
2nd Amendment/Constitutional Right 4
Other 10
No opinion 0
41. Have you ever (ITEM)? 9/2/99
Yes No No opin
a. Called, written to, or emailed a public
official expressing your views on gun control 10 90 *
b. Given money to an organization concerned with
the gun control issue 13 86 1
c. Voted for or against a political candidate mainly
because of their position on gun control 14 85 1
42. On another subject, do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases? --------Legal-------- -------Illegal-------
All Most Most All No
NET cases cases NET cases cases opin
9/2/99 56 20 37 42 26 15 2
3/14/99 55 21 34 42 27 15 3
7/12/98 54 19 35 42 29 13 4
8/5/96 56 22 34 41 27 14 3
6/30/95 58 24 34 40 25 14 2
10/1/95 60 26 35 37 25 12 3
9/21/95 60 24 36 36 25 11 4
7/17/95 59 27 32 40 26 14 1
43. (Asked of leaned Republicans) Suppose your state holds a Republican primary or caucus for president in 2000 and the candidates are: (READ LIST). For whom would you vote - I'll read the list again:
Net Leaned Vote:
9/2/99 8/8/99 3/14/99
George W. Bush 60 54 52
Elizabeth Dole 15 14 25
Dan Quayle 3 3 6
Pat Buchanan 3 3 3
Steve Forbes 6 4 4
John McCain 5 4 2
Gary Bauer 2 1 1
Alan Keyes 3 2 2
Orrin Hatch 1 1 NA
John Kasich NA NA 2
Lamar Alexander NA * 1
Bob Smith NA NA *
Other (vol.) * * *
None (vol.) 1 2 *
Would not vote (vol.) 1 2 *
No opinion 2 7 2
44. (Asked of leaned Republicans) Who would your second choice be?
9/2/99 3/14/99
George W. Bush 21 29
Elizabeth Dole 34 32
Dan Quayle 9 9
Pat Buchanan 6 5
Steve Forbes 10 6
John McCain 6 3
Gary Bauer 1 1
Alan Keyes 2 2
Orrin Hatch 4 *
John Kasich NA 2
Lamar Alexander NA 3
Bob Smith NA *
Other (vol.) * 1
None (vol.) 3 2
Would not vote (vol.) * *
No opinion 3 5
45. (Asked of leaned Democrats) Suppose your state holds a Democratic primary or caucus for president in 2000 and the candidates were: Al Gore and Bill Bradley. For whom would you vote?
Net Leaned Vote:
Other Neither/None/ No
Gore Bradley Beatty Jackson (vol.) Wouldn't (vol.) opin
9/2/99 69 24 NA NA * 3 4
9/2/99 RV 68 25 NA NA * 3 4
8/15/99 61 24 9 NA 1 2 3
6/13/99 65 26 NA NA * 4 5
6/6/99 56 19 NA 19 0 2 4
3/14/99 58 21 NA 17 * 2 2
47. Do you think George W. Bush should answer the question of whether he used cocaine when he was younger, or should he not answer the question?
Answer Don't Answer No opinion
9/2/99 39 57 4
8/22/99 41 53 5
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