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| Washington Post-ABC News Poll: Bush and Iraq Saturday, September 13, 2003 This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone September 10-13, among a random national sample of 1104 adults, including 525 self-described Democrats and an oversample of 102 black respondents. Margin of sampling error for the overall results is plus or minus 3 percentage points and plus or minus 5 percentage points for results based on the Democratic subsample. Sampling error is only one potential source of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, PA. *= less than 0.5 percent 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? ---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
9/13/03 58 35 23 40 27 14 2
9/7/03 56 34 22 41 28 13 4
8/11/03* 59 37 22 37 23 14 4
7/10/03 59 35 24 38 25 13 3
6/22/03 68 45 23 29 18 11 4
4/30/03 71 50 22 26 9 17 3
4/16/03 74 52 22 23 14 9 3
4/9/03 77 58 19 20 14 6 4
4/3/03 71 54 16 25 19 7 4
3/23/03 68 NA NA 27 NA NA 4
3/20/03 67 NA NA 28 NA NA 5
3/2/03 62 38 23 35 22 13 4
2/23/03 60 NA NA 34 NA NA 6
2/9/03 64 42 21 34 20 14 3
2/1/03 62 41 21 34 22 13 4
1/28/03 62 43 19 36 23 13 2
1/27/03 59 39 21 37 22 15 4
1/20/03 59 36 23 38 22 16 2
12/15/02 66 37 28 32 20 12 2
11/4/02 LV 67 45 23 31 20 12 1
11/3/02 LV 67 45 22 32 20 12 1
11/2/02 LV 67 47 20 32 23 9 1
10/27/02 All 67 39 28 29 16 13 4
10/27/02 LV 68 47 21 30 16 14 3
9/26/02 67 42 25 30 18 12 3
9/8/02 71 42 28 27 15 12 3
7/28/02 69 39 31 28 14 14 3
7/15/02 72 42 31 25 13 12 2
6/17/02 74 42 32 22 13 9 4
6/9/02 77 41 36 20 11 9 3
5/19/02 76 48 28 22 13 8 3
4/21/02 78 47 31 20 10 9 2
3/28/02 79 49 30 18 10 8 3
3/10/02 82 52 30 16 7 9 2
1/27/02 83 56 27 14 7 7 3
12/19/01 86 64 22 12 6 6 2
11/27/01 89 69 21 9 5 4 1
11/6/01 89 65 24 9 4 5 2
10/9/01 92 76 16 6 3 3 1
9/27/01 90 70 20 6 3 3 4
9/13/01 86 63 23 12 6 5 2
9/9/01 55 26 29 41 22 20 3
8/12/01 61 28 33 31 17 14 8
7/30/01 59 28 30 38 22 17 3
6/3/01 55 27 28 40 22 18 6
4/22/01 63 33 30 32 16 16 5
3/25/01 58 NA NA 33 NA NA 8
2/25/01 55 NA NA 23 NA NA 22 *Washington Post 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling (ITEM)? 9/13/03 - Summary Table* Approve Disapprove No op. a. The economy 42 56 3 b. The situation in Iraq 52 46 2 c. Education 56 39 6 d. Social Security 43 46 11 e. Prescription drug benefits for the elderly 35 54 11 f. The environment 51 42 7 g. The cost, availability and coverage of health insurance 32 61 7 h. Homeland security 63 32 4 i. Taxes 48 48 4 j. The federal budget 38 57 4 k. The situation between Israel and the Palestinians 46 43 11 l. The US campaign against terrorism 70 27 3 m. Creating jobs 39 55 6 n. International affairs 53 43 4 o. Military spending 60 39 2 p. Gun control 51 34 15 q. The abortion issue 43 40 18 r. Campaign finance reform 44 41 15 *Half sample asked items a-i, other half asked j-r. Trend where available: a. The economy Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 42 56 3 9/7/03 44 51 5 8/11/03* 45 51 5 7/10/03 47 49 4 4/30/03 52 45 3 2/9/03 47 49 4 2/1/03 44 52 4 1/28/03 46 49 4 1/27/03 47 47 5 1/20/03 43 53 4 1/5/03 50 43 7 12/15/02 50 46 4 11/4/02 LV 53 45 2 11/3/02 LV 52 46 2 11/2/02 LV 55 43 2 10/27/02 51 43 6 10/27/02 LV 53 44 3 9/26/02 51 47 3 9/8/02 57 40 4 7/28/02 57 39 4 7/15/02 58 38 3 4/21/02 64 33 3 1/27/02 62 34 4 12/19/01 67 27 6 11/6/01 72 23 5 9/9/01 48 48 4 7/30/01 52 45 3 6/3/01 53 41 6 4/22/01 55 38 7 3/25/01 50 42 8 *Washington Post b. The situation in Iraq Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 52 46 2 9/7/03 49 47 4 8/24/03 56 37 7 8/11/03* 56 41 3 7/10/03 58 41 2 6/22/03 67 30 2 4/30/03 75 22 2 *Washington Post Compare to: The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein Approve Disapprove No opinion 3/27/03 69 26 5 3/23/03 71 26 3 3/20/03 65 29 5 3/17/03 64 29 7 3/9/03 55 38 8 2/23/03 55 39 6 2/9/03 61 37 2 2/5/03 61 32 7 2/1/03 61 35 3 1/28/03 58 38 4 1/27/03 57 40 3 1/20/03 50 46 4 12/15/02 58 37 5 11/4/02 LV 56 40 4 11/3/02 LV 57 40 4 11/2/02 LV 56 41 3 10/27/02 57 38 5 9/26/02 58 39 3 9/14/02 65 31 4 8/29/02 52 36 12 c. Education Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 56 39 6 4/30/03 59 34 7 12/15/02 62 30 8 9/26/02 61 32 7 7/15/02 62 31 6 1/27/02 71 21 8 9/9/01 61 32 7 7/30/01 63 31 5 6/3/01 57 35 8 4/22/01 60 28 12 d. Social Security Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 43 46 11 4/30/03 49 38 13 12/15/02 49 38 13 9/26/02 42 43 15 7/15/02 54 35 11 1/27/02 54 28 18 9/9/01 41 50 9 7/30/01 46 48 6 6/3/01 46 40 14 e. Prescription drug benefits for the elderly Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 35 54 11 4/30/03 44 40 17 2/1/03 46 35 19 f. The environment Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 51 42 7 4/30/03 49 40 11 12/15/02 50 40 10 Compare to: Environmental issues Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/26/02 49 40 11 7/15/02 52 39 9 1/27/02 54 31 15 9/9/01 50 44 6 7/30/01 45 49 6 6/3/01 41 50 9 4/22/01 47 41 12 3/25/01 46 41 13 g. The cost, availability and coverage of health insurance Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 32 61 7 4/30/03 34 57 9 1/28/03 40 47 13 1/20/03 36 51 13 12/15/02 33 58 9 h. Homeland security Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 63 32 4 4/30/03 74 23 3 12/15/02 67 27 5 i. Taxes Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 48 48 4 8/11/03* 49 46 5 4/30/03 50 46 4 2/1/03 51 43 7 1/20/03 50 45 5 12/15/02 51 44 5 *Washington Post j. The federal budget Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 38 57 4 8/11/03* 41 50 9 4/30/03 43 50 6 2/9/03 45 45 10 2/1/03 47 46 8 1/20/03 43 47 10 7/15/02 50 42 8 1/27/02 59 30 12 9/9/01 46 48 6 7/30/01 53 42 5 *Washington Post k. The situation between Israel and the Palestinians Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 46 43 11 4/30/03 54 33 12 7/15/02 59 34 7 4/21/02 57 35 8 l. The US campaign against terrorism ---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
9/13/03 70 NA NA 27 NA NA 3
9/7/03 67 NA NA 28 NA NA 5
4/30/03 79 NA NA 19 NA NA 2
2/9/03 74 NA NA 23 NA NA 4
2/1/03 75 NA NA 21 NA NA 3
1/27/03 72 NA NA 26 NA NA 2
1/20/03 71 NA NA 25 NA NA 4
12/15/02 79 NA NA 20 NA NA 1
11/4/02 LV 76 NA NA 22 NA NA 1
11/3/02 LV 77 NA NA 22 NA NA 3
11/2/02 LV 78 NA NA 21 NA NA 2
10/27/02 All 74 NA NA 23 NA NA 4
10/27/02 LV 78 NA NA 20 NA NA 2
9/26/02 70 NA NA 28 NA NA 2
9/8/02 74 NA NA 24 NA NA 2
7/28/02 81 NA NA 17 NA NA 2
7/15/02 83 NA NA 15 NA NA 2
5/19/02 79 51 27 19 10 9 3
4/21/02 81 56 25 18 10 7 2
3/10/02 88 64 24 10 5 5 2
1/27/02 88 NA NA 10 NA NA 2
12/19/01 89 67 22 9 5 4 2
10/15/01 92 75 17 5 3 3 3 m. No trend. n. International affairs Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 53 43 4 7/15/02 67 28 5 4/21/02 71 25 4 6/3/01 58 33 9 4/22/01 62 31 7 3/25/01 56 31 13 o. Military spending Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 60 39 2 Compare to: Defense and the military budget Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/9/01 53 34 13 7/30/01 58 34 7 p,q. No trend. r. Campaign finance reform Approve Disapprove No opinion 9/13/03 44 41 15 7/30/01 43 46 11 3. On another subject, what do you think is a bigger problem facing the nation right now: (terrorism) or (the economy)? Terrorism Economy No opin. 9/13/03 37 61 2 9/7/03 34 63 3 9/26/02 47 51 3 9/8/02 46 51 3 1/27/02 43 54 3 12/16/01 49 47 4 4. How closely are you following the 2004 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? Very Somewhat Not too Not closely No
closely closely closely at all opin.
9/13/03 16 40 27 17 * Compare to: How closely are you following the 2000 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? Very Somewhat Not too Not closely No
closely closely closely at all opin.
Likely Voters:
11/6/00 54 38 6 2 *
11/5/00 53 38 6 2 *
11/4/00 52 39 7 2 *
11/3/00 51 40 6 3 *
11/2/00 48 42 7 3 *
11/1/00 48 43 7 2 *
10/31/00 46 44 7 2 *
10/30/00 47 44 7 2 *
10/29/00 47 43 7 3 *
10/28/00 47 42 7 3 *
10/27/00 48 41 7 4 *
10/26/00 47 42 8 3 *
10/25/00 47 42 8 3 0
10/24/00 44 43 10 3 0
10/23/00 44 45 8 3 0
10/22/00 44 44 9 3 0
10/21/00 46 41 9 4 *
10/20/00 46 40 11 4 *
10/19/00 44 41 10 4 *
10/18/00 42 45 10 3 *
10/17/00 40 46 10 3 *
Registered Voters:
10/15/00 33 44 15 8 *
10/9/00 30 45 16 9 *
10/1/00 27 48 17 8 *
9/6/00 26 48 17 9 *
8/20/00 28 46 16 10 1
8/10/00 29 43 18 11 *
General Population:
8/6/00 17 36 22 25 *
7/29/00 16 35 25 24 *
7/23/00 14 36 25 25 *
6/11/00 13 36 26 25 0
4/2/00 17 36 24 23 0
3/11/00 21 40 21 17 0
2/27/00 24 46 20 10 *
2/6/00 19 48 21 13 0
1/16/00 11 39 26 24 *
12/15/99 12 33 31 24 *
10/31/99 16 45 25 13 *
5. If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for (George W. Bush, the Republican) or for (the Democratic nominee for president)? Net Leaned Vote: Democratic Other Neither Would No
Bush nominee (vol.) (vol.) not vote opin.
9/13/03 49 44 1 2 2 2
8/11/03* 48 40 2 1 1 7
4/30/03 53 40 * 2 1 3 *Washington Post 6. How about if the candidates were (George W. Bush, the Republican), and (Joseph Lieberman, the Democrat,) for whom would you vote? Net Leaned Vote: Other Neither Would No
Bush Lieberman (vol.) (vol.) not vote opin.
9/13/03 54 40 * 3 2 2
4/30/03 61 34 * 2 1 2 7. How about if the candidates were (George W. Bush, the Republican), and (John Kerry, the Democrat,) for whom would you vote? Net Leaned Vote: Other Neither Would No
Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) not vote opinion
9/13/03 54 39 * 3 2 2
4/30/03 60 34 * 2 1 2 8. How about if the candidates were (George W. Bush, the Republican), and (Richard Gephardt, the Democrat,) for whom would you vote? Net Leaned Vote: Other Neither Would No
Bush Gephardt (vol.) (vol.) not vote opin.
9/13/03 54 39 * 3 2 2
4/30/03 60 35 * 2 1 2 9. How about if the candidates were (George W. Bush, the Republican), and (Howard Dean, the Democrat,) for whom would you vote? Net Leaned Vote: Other Neither Would No
Bush Dean (vol.) (vol.) not vote opinion
9/13/03 56 36 1 3 2 2 10. For each item I name, please tell me how important it will be in your vote for president next year. Will it be one of the single most important issues, very important, somewhat important or less important than that? 9/13/03 - Summary Table* -------Important-------- ---Not as important-- No
NET One of most Very NET Somewhat Less op.
a. The economy 85 15 70 15 14 1 *
b. The situation in Iraq 71 14 57 29 22 7 *
c. Education 78 12 66 21 19 2 1
d. Social Security 67 9 58 33 29 4 *
e. Prescription drug benefits
for the elderly 63 12 51 36 29 7 1
f. The environment 49 5 44 52 41 11 *
g. The cost, availability and
coverage of health insurance 74 11 63 25 23 2 1
h. Homeland security 74 13 61 26 21 5 *
i. Taxes 67 7 60 33 29 4 *
j. The federal budget 77 12 65 23 19 4 1
k. The situation between Israel
and the Palestinians 40 5 35 59 44 15 1
l. The US campaign against
terrorism 75 12 63 25 22 3 *
m. Creating jobs 85 18 67 14 12 2 *
n. International affairs 60 8 52 40 35 5 *
o. Military spending 59 6 53 40 36 4 1
p. Gun control 41 6 35 59 40 19 *
q. The abortion issue 42 6 36 57 36 21 2
r. Campaign finance reform 25 3 22 73 51 22 2 11. On another subject, do you support or oppose the current U.S. military presence in Iraq? Do you support/oppose it strongly or somewhat? ---------Support--------- ----------Oppose--------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Strongly Somewhat opin.
9/13/03 71 49 21 27 17 10 2
9/7/03 67 45 22 30 17 13 3
8/11/03* 70 46 24 27 17 10 3
7/10/03 74 48 26 25 15 10 1 *Washington Post 12. All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting, or not? Worth Not worth No
fighting fighting opinion
9/13/03 61 37 2
9/7/03 54 42 4
8/24/03 57 37 5
8/11/03* 61 35 4
7/10/03 57 40 3
6/22/03 64 33 3
4/30/03 70 27 4 *Washington Post Gulf War: 2/2/92* 66 32 2 7/28/91 67 30 3 6/2/91 70 26 3 3/4/91 86 13 1 *2/2/92 and previous: "the Persian Gulf war"; 3/4/91: "this war" 13. Again thinking about the goals versus the costs of the war, so far in your opinion has there been an acceptable or unacceptable number of U.S. military casualties in Iraq? Acceptable Unacceptable No opinion 9/13/03 43 55 2 9/7/03 38 57 5 8/11/03* 42 53 5 7/10/03 44 52 3 6/22/03 51 44 5 4/9/03 66 28 6 4/3/03 62 32 5 3/27/03 58 34 9 *Washington Post 14. Earlier this year, Congress approved spending 79 billion dollars to help pay for the war in Iraq and the rebuilding effort there. Bush has now called for spending 87 billion dollars more. Do you support or oppose this additional spending for the war and rebuilding in Iraq? Support Oppose No opinion 9/13/03 38 61 1 15. If Congress approves this additional 87 billion dollars, how do you think the government should pay for it - by (cutting spending on other programs), (increasing the federal budget deficit) or (eliminating the recent tax cuts)? Cut Increase Eliminate Some of Make Iraq Get from other No
spending deficit tax cuts each (vol.) pay (vol.) countries (vol) opin.
9/13/03 28 19 41 2 2 1 7 16. How do you feel about the possibility that the United States will get bogged down in a long and costly peacekeeping mission in Iraq - would you say you're very concerned about that, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not concerned at all? ----Concerned----- -----Not concerned---- Already No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all has (vol.) op.
9/13/03 85 53 32 15 9 5 * *
8/24/03 76 41 35 23 13 9 1 1
7/10/03 80 43 37 19 11 8 1 1
6/22/03 72 32 41 26 16 10 * 1
4/30/03 72 34 39 27 19 9 NA *
4/16/03 73 31 42 26 19 7 NA 1
4/9/03 62 24 39 35 24 11 NA 3 17. Do you think (the United States should keep its military forces in Iraq until civil order is restored there, even if that means continued U.S. military casualties); or do you think (the United States should withdraw its military forces from Iraq in order to avoid further U.S. military casualties, even if that means civil order is not restored there)? Keep forces Withdraw forces No opinion 9/13/03 65 32 3 8/24/03 69 27 4 7/10/03 72 26 2 18. Do you think of the war with Iraq as (part of the war against terrorism), or as (separate from the war against terrorism)? Part Separate No opinion 9/13/03 66 32 2 9/7/03 65 31 4 4/16/03 77 22 1 19. Do you think the Bush Administration does--or does not--have a clear plan for handling the situation in Iraq? Does Does not No opinion 9/13/03 42 55 2 8/26/03* 44 54 2 *Gallup. 20. (IF DOES, Q19) How confident are you that the Bush plan will bring stability and end the violence in Iraq: very confident, fairly confident, not too confident, or not confident at all? -------Confident------- -----Not confident------ No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too At all opin.
9//13/03 86 30 56 13 11 3 1 21. On another subject, would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor? ----Excellent/Good----- -----Not so good/Poor----- No
NET Excellent Good NET Not so good Poor op.
9/13/03 30 2 27 70 45 25 *
8/11/03* 32 2 30 68 43 25 *
4/30/03 35 1 34 64 46 19 *
2/9/03 28 1 27 72 49 23 *
1/20/03 25 1 25 74 48 26 1
12/15/02 35 1 33 65 44 21 1
11/4/02 LV 28 1 27 72 55 17 1
11/3/02 LV 27 1 26 72 56 17 1
11/2/02 LV 29 1 28 71 54 17 *
9/26/02 31 2 28 69 50 19 *
7/15/02 39 3 36 61 44 17 1
2/21/02 30 1 29 69 51 18 *
1/27/02 31 1 29 69 50 19 *
9/20/01 38 3 35 60 47 14 2
9/9/01 33 1 32 66 47 19 *
7/30/01 50 3 46 50 39 12 *
4/22/01 50 3 47 50 40 9 *
1/15/01 70 10 59 29 24 6 1
10/27/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
10/26/00 LV 86 24 61 14 11 3 *
6/11/00 74 17 57 26 19 6 *
2/27/00 80 25 55 20 14 5 *
10/31/99 74 18 56 26 18 7 1
9/2/99 76 19 57 23 16 6 1
3/14/99 80 22 58 19 15 4 1
11/1/98 73 12 61 26 21 5 1
11/1/98 LV 78 13 65 22 19 3 *
10/13/97 61 12 49 39 27 11 * *Washington Post 22. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse or staying the same? Better Worse Same No opin. 9/13/03 28 31 40 * 8/11/03* 32 29 38 1 1/20/03 18 38 43 1 7/28/02 17 44 39 1 7/15/02 20 36 43 2 7/7/02** 22 37 41 0 6/9/02 27 29 43 1 5/12/02 35 27 38 0 4/14/02 34 26 40 0 3/17/02 47 20 32 1 2/17/02 29 27 42 2 1/20/02 25 36 39 1 12/9/01 24 37 38 1 11/11/01 16 48 36 1 10/14/01 15 46 39 0 9/16/01 9 44 46 1 8/12/01 16 46 38 0 7/15/01 13 40 46 0 6/17/01 17 45 38 1 5/20/01 13 47 39 0 *Washington Post 23. Would you say most Americans are better off financially than they were in 2001 when Bush became president, not as well off, or in about the same shape as then financially? Better Not as The No
off well off same opinion
9/13/03 9 52 38 1
4/30/03 10 48 42 1
George H. W. Bush
8/9/92 6 61 31 1
10/21/91 7 48 41 4
3/4/91 7 35 56 2
1/16/89 33 26 38 3 24. Would you say you, yourself are better off financially than you were when Bush became president, not as well off, or in about the same shape as then financially? Better off Not as well off About the same No opin. 9/13/03 21 30 49 * 8/11/03* 17 25 58 1 CLINTON 6/11/00 34 14 50 2 7/19/98 30 15 52 3 3/1/98 32 9 57 1 6/23/96 29 22 49 0 2/27/94 12 17 71 * BUSH** 8/9/92 22 32 45 1 6/7/92 19 32 49 * 3/11/92 20 33 46 1 2/2/92 19 31 49 * 10/21/91 20 27 53 1 3/4/91 19 18 63 1 REAGAN*** 1/16/89 42 18 39 1 1/18/87 37 23 40 1 9/8/86 41 20 39 1 *Washington Post 25. Have you or any of your close friends or family members lost a job in the last year? Yes No No opinion 9/13/03 44 56 * Compare to: Have you or any of your close friends or family members lost a job in the last six months? Yes No No opinion 1/27/02 37 63 * 26. How concerned are you that you or someone else in your household will lose their job in the next year? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all? ----Concerned----- -----Not concerned---- No one in HH No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all employed (vol.) op.
9/13/03 49 27 22 49 20 29 2 *
8/12/03* 44 27 17 55 21 34 NA 1
7/27/03** 46 25 21 53 21 32 NA 1
5/12/03** 45 25 20 56 24 32 NA *
4/27/03* 39 20 19 59 22 37 NA 2***
6/3/96** 48 27 21 51 22 29 NA 1
3/11/96* 49 27 22 49 19 30 NA 2 *CBS 27. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Bush or not. 9/13/03 - Summary Table* Yes No No opin.
a. He understands the problems of
people like you 48 51 1
b. He is honest and trustworthy 60 39 2
c. He is a strong leader 66 34 *
d. He's got a vision for the future 61 38 1
e. He understands complex issues 55 43 2
f. He has brought needed change
to Washington 49 48 4
g. He has made the country safer
and more secure 63 35 2 *Half sample answered a-d, other half answered e-g. Trend: a. He understands the problems of people like you Yes No No opin. 9/13/03 48 51 1 4/30/03 51 48 1 12/15/02 51 47 2 7/15/02 57 41 2 1/27/02 61 37 2 7/30/01 45 54 2 4/22/01 47 51 2 11/4/00 LV 49 46 5 10/24/00 LV 50 46 3 10/15/00 RV 46 46 7 10/9/00 RV 50 44 6 9/6/00 RV 47 49 4 8/20/00 RV 50 46 5 7/23/00 RV 44 51 5 7/23/00 44 51 5 6/11/00 48 47 5 4/2/00 48 46 6 3/11/00 47 47 6 2/27/00 43 51 6 2/6/00 43 52 5 1/16/00 46 49 6 12/15/99 47 46 7 10/31/99 54 39 7 9/2/99 50 39 11 3/14/99 52 27 21 b. He is honest and trustworthy Yes No No opin. 9/13/03 60 39 2 12/15/02 70 26 4 7/15/02 71 26 3 7/30/01 63 34 3 4/22/01 62 32 6 11/5/00 LV 60 33 7 11/4/00 LV 61 33 7 10/24/00 LV 65 30 5 10/15/00 LV 57 34 9 10/15/00 RV 53 35 12 9/6/00 RV 62 30 7 7/23/00 RV 61 30 8 7/23/00 59 31 10 12/15/99 63 28 9 10/31/99 68 22 10 9/2/99 63 23 14 3/14/99 67 12 22 c. He is a strong leader Yes No No opin. 9/13/03 66 34 * 4/30/03 74 25 * 12/15/02 75 23 2 7/15/02 75 24 1 7/30/01 55 43 2 4/22/01 53 42 5 10/9/00 RV 62 33 5 9/6/00 RV 65 28 7 8/20/00 RV 65 29 5 8/10/00 RV 67 29 5 7/23/00 RV 61 33 6 7/23/00 62 32 5 6/11/00 65 30 6 4/2/00 68 27 5 3/11/00 63 31 6 2/27/00 62 32 6 2/6/00 65 30 7 1/16/00 65 28 7 12/15/99 67 26 7 10/31/99 77 18 5 9/2/99 70 18 12 3/14/99 68 13 20 d. He's got a vision for the future Yes No No opin. 9/13/03 61 38 1 12/15/02 74 24 3 7/30/01 67 31 2 4/22/01 68 30 2 3/14/99 66 12 21 e. He understands complex issues Yes No No opin. 9/13/03 55 43 2 12/15/02 63 34 3 7/30/01 53 45 2 11/4/00 60 36 4 f. He has brought needed change to Washington Yes No No opin. 9/13/03 49 48 4 12/15/02 53 44 3 7/30/01 50 47 3 9/6/00 RV* 55 41 5 7/23/00 RV 50 46 4 7/23/00 51 44 5 4/2/00 54 39 7 3/11/00 50 43 7 2/27/00 46 50 4 2/6/00 48 46 6 1/16/00 49 43 8 12/15/99 52 40 8 10/31/99 61 32 7 9/2/99 56 32 12 *9/6/00 and previous: "He would bring needed change to Washington" g. He has made the country safer and more secure Yes No No opin. 9/13/03 63 35 2 12/15/02 65 33 2 32. For each group I name, please tell me if you think it has too much influence in the Bush administration, too little influence or about the right amount. 9/13/03 - Summary Table Too Too Right No
much little amount opin.
a. Large business corporations 62 8 26 4
b. People like you 5 62 32 2 Trend: a. Large business corporations Too Too Right No
much little amount opin.
9/13/03 62 8 26 4
4/30/03 61 8 29 3
12/15/02 60 10 26 4
1/27/02 59 8 29 4
7/30/01 67 7 24 2 b. People like you Too Too Right No
much little amount opin.
9/13/03 5 62 32 2
4/30/03 2 59 37 1
12/15/02 3 61 35 2
1/27/02 3 49 46 2
7/30/01 1 67 30 1 28. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) How closely are you following the race for the 2004 Democratic presidential nomination: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? ------Closely------- ------Not closely------- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opin.
9/13/03 63 19 44 37 24 13 0
4/30/03 37 8 29 63 33 30 0 29. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2004 presidential primary or caucus in your state. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that? Absolutely Probably Chances Less than No primary/ No
certain vote 50-50 50-50 caucus (vol.) opin.
9/13/03 64 15 14 5 1 1 998. (and 999) (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) If the 2004 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: (Joseph Lieberman, Richard Gephardt, John Kerry, John Edwards, Al Sharpton, Bob Graham, Howard Dean, Dennis Kucinich, Carol Moseley Braun, or Wesley Clark), for whom would you vote? Net Leaned Vote: 9/13/03 7/10/03 6/1/03 4/30/03 1/20/03 7/15/02** Lieberman 22 13 14 29 27 10 Gephardt 14 10 10 19 14 5 Kerry 14 12 7 14 10 6 Edwards 3 6 6 4 11 3 Graham 4 3 4 3 NA NA Dean 14 8 3 3 3 1 Sharpton 5 6 2 3 7 NA Moseley Braun 4 4 1 6 NA NA Kucinich 2 2 1 2 NA NA Clark 6 NA NA NA NA NA H.R. Clinton NA NA 37 NA NA NA Other 1 2 * 1 1 3 None 3 13 3 1 4 * Wouldn't vote 2 7 2 0 0 0 No opinion 7 16 11 14 24 18 **Gore 46, Daschle 8 30. (ASKED IF NAMED A CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be? 9/13/03 Lieberman 18 Gephardt 17 Kerry 17 Edwards 4 Sharpton 5 Graham 3 Dean 15 Kucinich 1 Moseley Braun 5 Clark 4 Other 1 None 5 Wouldn't vote 0 DK/No opinion 6 31. (ASKED OF LEANED DEMOCRATS) Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates in the Democratic primary this year - are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied? -----Satisfied-------- ----Dissatisfied----- No
NET Very Somewhat NET Somewhat Very opin.
9/13/03 64 8 56 34 27 7 2
1/16/00 69 14 56 28 21 7 2 918c. (ASKED OF BLACKS) Which term do you yourself prefer: ("black") or ("African-American")? African- (VOL) Both (VOL) Used No
Black American equally together opin. 9/13/03 Blacks 35 48 17 0 0 1/27/02 Blacks 49 32 16 1 2 1/15/01 Blacks 41 35 22 2 0 9/15/91 All 62 19 9 1 8
Whites 65 16 9 1 8
Blacks 53 38 7 - 1 10/3/89 All 73 13 8 1 5
Whites 75 11 8 * 5
Blacks 66 22 9 1 2
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