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  Washington Post-ABC News Political Poll

Wednesday, September 30, 1998

The latest ABC News-Washington Post poll is based on random telephone interviews with 1,505 adults from September 25-28. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.52 percentage points.

Clinton Job | Congress | Political Parties | Elections | Clinton Scandal

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as president?

           ------Approve-----------    -------Disapprove--------    No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat    NET   Somewhat   Strongly  opin.
9/28/98     63     42         21         35       8        26        2
9/21/98     60     NA         NA         39      NA        NA        1
9/14/98     59     NA         NA         37      NA        NA        4
9/13/98C    59     38         21         38       9        29        3
9/13/98B    60     NA         NA         38      NA        NA        2
9/13/98A    59     NA         NA         37      NA        NA        3
9/12/98     59     NA         NA         39      NA        NA        3
9/11/98     56     NA         NA         42      NA        NA        3
9/9/98      57     NA         NA         40      NA        NA        3
8/23/98     64     NA         NA         33      NA        NA        3
8/21/98     66     41         25         31      10        21        3
8/20/98     65     NA         NA         32      NA        NA        3
8/19/98     60     NA         NA         38      NA        NA        2
8/17/98     61     NA         NA         36      NA        NA        3
8/16/98     62     NA         NA         33      NA        NA        4
7/29/98     63     NA         NA         33      NA        NA        4
7/12/98     63     34         29         31      11        20        6
6/18/98     59     NA         NA         34      NA        NA        7
6/2/98      61     NA         NA         34      NA        NA        5
5/12/98     64     NA         NA         32      NA        NA        4
4/4/98      65     NA         NA         31      NA        NA        4
4/1/98      66     NA         NA         29      NA        NA        4
3/17/98     66     NA         NA         30      NA        NA        4
3/16/98     63     NA         NA         34      NA        NA        3
2/18/98     67     NA         NA         30      NA        NA        3
1/31/98     67     42         24         29      10        19        4
1/30/98     69     NA         NA         27      NA        NA        4
1/29/98     68     NA         NA         27      NA        NA        5
1/26/98     60     NA         NA         35      NA        NA        4
1/25/98     59     31         28         37      13        25        4
1/24/98     57     30         26         40      13        27        3
1/19/98     60     24         36         35      15        19        5
1/13/98     62     NA         NA         31      NA        NA        7
11/12/97    59     NA         NA         35      NA        NA        6
10/13/97    59     NA         NA         36      NA        NA        6
8/27/97     58     NA         NA         37      NA        NA        5
7/8/97      64     NA         NA         31      NA        NA        5
6/8/97      59     NA         NA         36      NA        NA        5
4/24/97     56     NA         NA         39      NA        NA        5
3/25/97     56     NA         NA         33      NA        NA       11
3/9/97      55     NA         NA         41      NA        NA        4
10/8/96**   58     NA         NA         38      NA        NA        4
10/8/96*    59     NA         NA         37      NA        NA        4
9/4/96*     57     NA         NA         38      NA        NA        4
8/5/96      59     NA         NA         37      NA        NA        4
6/30/96     56     NA         NA         39      NA        NA        5
5/22/96     58     20         37         39      17        22        3
3/31/96     52     21         30         40      16        25        8
3/17/96     53     19         34         45      19        26        2
3/10/96     55     23         32         40      17        24        4
4/21/96     51     NA         NA         43      NA        NA        6
1/7/96      53     22         31         43      16        28        4
11/19/95    54     NA         NA         41      NA        NA        5
11/13/95    54     20         34         41      20        21        5
10/1/95     52     17         35         43      19        24        5
7/17/95     51     14         37         45      20        25        4
6/8/95      47     NA         NA         45      NA        NA        8
5/14/95     56     20         36         41      23        18        3
3/19/95     52     17         35         45      19        26        3
3/5/95      46     NA         NA         49      NA        NA        4
1/29/95     54     20         34         43      21        22        3
1/4/95      45     13         31         51      22        29        5
12/20/94    44     NA         NA         50      NA        NA        6
11/6/94*    52     20         32         43      16        26        5
10/31/94    48     17         31         49      19        30        3
10/23/94    49     18         31         48      19        29        4
10/9/94     45     13         32         51      21        30        4
9/25/94     44     13         31         51      20        31        5
9/11/94     46     15         30         51      19        33        3
8/16/94     44     NA         NA         51      NA        NA        5
8/7/94      47     17         31         47      20        27        5
6/26/94     50     16         34         44      17        28        6
5/15/94     51     19         32         44      17        28        4
3/27/94     57     23         34         41      16        25        3
3/22/94     47     NA         NA         45      NA        NA        7
3/08/94     52     NA         NA         40      NA        NA        8
2/27/94     58     20         38         38      15        23        4
1/23/94     56     22         34         34      14        20       10
1/9/94      59     20         39         36      15        21        4
12/19/93    58     22         36         40      20        20        3
11/14/93    49     16         33         45      20        25        6
10/31/93    52     17         35         41      17        24        7
10/10/93    51     20         31         43      18        25        5
10/3/93     52     19         33         36      14        22       12
9/19/93     51     NA         NA         41      NA        NA        8
8/8/93      45     16         29         51      19        32        4
6/28/93     43     13         29         50      19        31        7
6/15/93     45     NA         NA         48      NA        NA        7
5/23/93     46     17         30         48      18        30        6
4/26/93     59     22         37         39      17        21        2
2/28/93     60     28         32         33      11        22        7
2/23/93     63     28         35         30      11        19        7
2/14/93     54     23         31         31      15        16       15
*Among registered voters
**Among likely voters
9/13/98B = Sunday Evening of 9/13/98
9/13/98A = Sunday Afternoon of 9/13/98
9/13/98C = Washington Post
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Clinton is handling the nation's economy?

            Approve      Disapprove     No opinion
9/28/98        75             21              4
9/13/98        71             24              5
8/21/98        76             20              4
7/12/98        67             23             10
1/19/98        64             33              4
4/24/97        55             40              6
3/9/97         55             40              5
10/8/96*       58             39              3
8/5/96         56             41              4
6/30/96        51             45              4
3/17/96        47             49              4
1/21/96        45             48              7
11/13/95       47             48              5
10/1/95        48             48              4
7/17/95        49             48              3
3/19/95        49             47              4
1/29/95        52             46              2
1/4/95         42             54              4
12/20/94       42             53              6
10/31/94       43             52              5
10/23/94       45             51              4
9/11/94        43             53              4
8/7/94         46             50              4
6/26/94        46             48              6
5/15/94        50             45              5
3/27/94        53             42              5
2/27/94        51             43              7
1/23/94        50             38             11
1/9/94         48             44              8
12/19/93       53             44              3
11/14/93       43             50              7
10/10/93       45             50              5
9/19/93        42             51              7
8/8/93         40             55              5
6/28/93        38             57              6
5/23/93        39             55              6
4/26/93        51             46              3
2/28/93        58             35              7
2/14/93        49             28             23
*Among registered voters
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Clinton is handling foreign affairs?
              Approve    Disapprove    No opinion
9/28/98        67             29              4
8/21/98        72             24              4
7/12/98        54             35             11
6/2/98         60             33              7
1/19/98        54             39              8
4/24/97        51             42              7
3/9/97         50             42              8
10/8/96*       58             38              4
8/5/96         54             40              6
6/30/96        52             43              5
3/17/96        51             46              4
1/21/96        51             41              8
11/13/95       54             39              7
10/1/95        49             44              7
7/17/95        40             56              4
3/19/95        44             49              8
1/4/95         44             50              5
12/20/94       40             54              7
10/31/94       54             42              4
10/23/94       50             47              4
9/11/94        37             56              7
8/7/94         39             55              6
6/26/94        41             51              8
5/15/94        40             53              7
3/27/94        50             43              7
2/27/94        50             42              8
1/23/94        54             32             14
1/9/94         45             40             15
12/19/93       49             44              7
11/14/93       39             53              8
10/12/93       37             56              7
10/10/93       41             54              5
9/19/93        55             36              9
8/8/93         49             43              9
6/28/93        52             37             11
5/23/93        53             39              8
4/26/93        57             38              5
2/28/93        63             18             19
2/14/93        54             22             24
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job?
                Approve        Disapprove        No opinion
9/28/98           52              44                 4
9/13/98           56              38                 6
8/21/98           55              39                 6
7/12/98           46              44                11
5/12/98           45              45                 9
4/4/98            47              45                 8
1/31/98           55              35                10
1/30/98           55              35                10
1/25/98           56              37                 8
1/24/98           55              38                 7
1/19/98           47              49                 5
10/13/97          36              57                 7
8/27/97           39              54                 7
7/8/97            40              53                 6
4/24/97           40              53                 7
3/9/97            35              60                 5
8/5/96            42              52                 7
6/30/96           35              58                 7
5/22/96           35              60                 5
3/10/96           30              64                 6
1/7/96            31              65                 5
11/19/95          27              68                 5
10/1/95           32              65                 3
7/17/95           34              63                 3
3/19/95           39              56                 5
1/29/95           42              52                 6
10/31/94          21              72                 8
10/23/94          18              78                 4
9/11/94           24              70                 5
6/26/94           34              61                 5
3/27/94           35              62                 3
2/27/94           32              64                 4
1/23/94           29              60                11
11/14/93          28              66                 6
8/8/93            33              64                 3
4/26/93           30              69                 2
1/17/93           29              66                 6
4/9/92            17              78                 5
3/18/92           19              76                 5
3/8/92            22              73                 6
2/2/92            32              64                 4
12/15/91          35              59                 6
10/21/91          45              50                 5
6/2/91            49              46                 5
10/14/90          34              63                 3
2/4/90            41              55                 4
1/16/90           39              55                 6
8/21/89           42              53                 5
5/23/89           54              44                 2
2/14/89           53              44                 3
1/23/88*          43              53                 4
6/1/87*           56              40                 4
6/22/85*          54              37                 9
5/83*             33              43                24
6/81*             38              40                22
6/79*             19              61                20
9/78*             29              49                22
6/77*             34              42                24
6/75*             29              54                17
8/74*             48              35                17
*Gallup
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way your own representative to the U.S. House of Representatives in Congress is handling his or her job?
               Approve        Disapprove          No opinion
9/28/98           70              21                   10
7/12/98           70              18                   12
1/19/98           74              19                    7
4/5/95            65              25                    9
10/31/94          51              38                   11
10/23/94          49              43                    8
9/11/94           53              35                   12
6/26/94           59              31                   10
3/27/94           62              26                   12
1/17/93           60              29                   11
4/9/92            47              39                   13
3/18/92           49              40                   11
2/2/92            56              32                   12
12/15/91          60              28                   12
10/21/91          64              27                    9
6/2/91            61              26                   14
10/14/90          64              29                    7
5/23/89           71              18                   11
6. Who do you trust to do a better job coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years - Clinton or the Republicans in Congress?
                                     Both equally   Neither     No
            Clinton    Republicans     (vol.)       (vol.)     opin.
9/28/98         51        38              2             6         3
9/13/98         43        37              2             12        7
8/21/98         48        38              2             9         3
7/12/98         48        38              1             6         6
5/12/98         47        39              3             8         3
1/31/98         52        35              3             4         6
1/19/98         48        40              2             8         2
3/9/97          49        38              4             8         2
1/15/97*        51        37              3             7         2
1/29/95         40        46              4             8         2
1/4/95          30        54              3             9         4
12/20/94        34        60             NA             NA        6
12/15/94        34        49              3             9         6
* "The Clinton administration"
7. I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how you feel about the way the federal government works. Do you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?
            ------Positive--------     ------Negative------
            Pos.  Enthusi-  Satis-     Neg.  Dissat-         None/  No
            NET   astic     fied       NET   isfied   Angry  Other opin.
9/28/98      50      4        46       49      36      12     NA     1
1/19/98      46      2        43       53      45       8     1     *
8/27/97      34      2        33       64      52      11     2     1
3/17/96      29      2        27       70      54      16     NA    *
1/4/95       29      2        27       69      53      16     *     1
11/6/94 Reg. 28      2        26       70      49      21     1     1
10/31/94     26      1        25       73      55      18     1     1
10/23/94     28      1        26       71      52      20     *     *
10/9/94      25      2        24       72      53      19     2     *
9/11/94      26      2        25       73      53      20     NA    *
3/27/94      30      1        29       68      48      20     1     1
2/28/93      33      4        29       66      50      16     *     *
7/8/92       23      1        22       76      53      23     *     1
6/7/92       21      1        20       79      58      21     *     1
4/9/92       21      1        20       79      55      24     1     *
3/18/92      22      1        21       77      54      23     1     *
3/11/92      18      1        17       80      60      20     1     1
8. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as very good, good, bad or very bad?
         ---------Good--------    ----------Bad--------     No
         NET   Very      Good     NET      Bad     Very    opin.
9/28/98   85     18       67       14       10        4      1
7/12/98   81     19       63       16       13        4      2
1/19/98   75     14       61       24       19        5      1
5/25/97   64      7       57       35       24       11      1
9. Right now, are you inclined to vote to re-elect your representative in Congress in the next election or are you inclined to look around for someone else to vote for?
                 Re-elect      Look around      Depends(vol.)   No opin.
9/28/98             44             46              NA             10
7/12/98             42             44              5              10
1/19/98             47             41              7               4
8/27/97             34             52              9               5
11/6/94*            37             47              7               8
10/31/94            35             56              2               7
10/23/94            32             58              4               6
9/11/94             36             53              4               7
6/26/94             35             54              6               5
3/27/94             32             56              6               7
1/23/94             32             46             10              12
11/14/93            38             52              5               5
7/8/92              34             54              3               9
6/7/92              36             53              4               7
4/9/92              33             56              3               8
3/11/92             36             54              3               7
2/2/92              38             51              4               7
10/21/91            31             55              7               6
6/2/91              37             49              5               9
11/4/90**           41             50             NA               8
10/14/90            36             57             NA               7
5/21/90             43             50              3               3
5/23/89             45             44              4               6
*Among registered voters
**Among likely voters
10. Overall, which party, the Democrats or the Republicans, do you trust to do a better job in coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years?
                                        Both equally   Neither     No
             Democrats    Republicans     (vol.)       (vol.)     opin.
9/28/98         49            38             2            8        3
9/13/98         47            35             4           10        4
8/21/98         48            36             4            9        3
7/12/98         45            38             3            8        6
1/31/98         47            37             4            6        7
1/19/98         45            42             2            7        4
7/8/97          44            37             2           14        3
9/15/96*        45            38             3           11        3
8/5/96          43            38             3           11        3
6/30/96         46            37             3           12        3
5/22/96         47            38             3           10        3
11/6/94*        41            39             2           12        6
10/31/94        43            43             2            8        4
10/23/94        39            40             3           15        3
9/11/94         43            40             4           11        3
6/26/94         41            36             3           14        5
2/27/94         46            32             4           16        3
11/14/93        42            39             3           11        4
1/17/93         49            28             5           13        5
7/8/92          48            38             1            8        4
6/7/92          43            37             3           11        6
3/11/92         45            37             1           11        5
3/8/92          51            36             1            7        5
2/2/92          49            39             2            7        3
12/15/91        39            37             3           15        6
10/21/91        39            40             3           13        5
*Among registered voters
11. (Asked of half sample) Which political party, the Democrats or the Republicans, do you trust to do a better job on:(read items)
9/28/98                              Democrats    Republicans    No opinion
A. Handling the nation's economy          53             40            7
B. Handling the crime problem             44             45           12
C. Handling foreign affairs               49             42            9
D. Improving education and the schools    56             35            9
E. Helping the middle class               57             34            8
F. Holding taxes down                     47             44            9
G. Encouraging high moral
   standards and values                   32             50           17
H. Managing the federal budget            49             42            9
I. Protecting the Social
   Security and Medicare                  59             32            8
J. Dealing with the Monica
   Lewinsky matter                        43             38           19
K. Protecting patients' rights 
   in the health care system              61             29           10
Trend:
a. Handling the nation's economy
                Democrats Republicans  Both    Neither   No opinion
9/28/98             53        40       NA         NA        7
7/12/98             49        37        4          5        6
1/19/98             45        44        3          6        3
7/8/97              43        39        5         12        2
10/23/94            38        43        3         14        2
9/11/94             39        43        3         11        4
2/27/94             47        36        3         11        3
2/2/92              49        38        2          7        4
12/15/91            43        36        4         11        5
3/4/91              32        49        5         10        4
1/16/90             33        52        4          7        4
b. Handling the crime problem
                Democrats Republicans  Both    Neither   No opinion
9/28/98             44        45       NA         NA       12
7/12/98             40        39        5          8        8
1/19/98             39        42        5          9        5
7/8/97              38        34        7         16        4
10/23/94            36        34        5         19        6
9/11/94             43        33        6         13        6
2/27/94             39        32        7         18        3
2/2/92              39        35        7         11        7
12/15/91            34        35        8         15        7
3/4/91              28        46        9         12        4
1/16/90             31        43        8         12        6
c. Handling foreign affairs
                Democrats Republicans  Both    Neither   No opinion
9/28/98             49        42       NA         NA        9
7/12/98             41        41        5          3       10
1/19/98             41        45        4          4        6
7/8/97              38        40        7          8        7
10/23/94            36        45        6         10        3
9/11/94             31        52        6          6        5
2/27/94             35        49        5          8        3
2/2/92              33        56        4          3        4
12/15/91            29        56        6          5        5
3/4/91              23        59        8          6        4
1/16/90             29        55        6          5        5
d. Improving education and the schools
                Democrats Republicans  Both    Neither   No opinion
9/28/98             56        35       NA         NA        9
7/12/98             52        31        5          5        7
1/19/98             54        34        4          5        3
7/8/97              51        30        5          9        4
10/23/94            45        30        6         13        6
9/11/94             48        33        6          8        5
2/27/94             53        28        5         11        3
2/2/92              55        29        6          5        5
12/15/91            47        31        6         10        6
3/4/91              39        41        8          9        4
1/16/90             45        36        7          9        3
e. Helping the middle class
                Democrats Republicans  Both    Neither   No opinion
9/28/98             57        34       NA         NA        8
7/12/98             55        29        2          8        7
1/19/98             57        34        1          6        2
7/8/97              51        30        3         14        3
10/23/94            48        33        2         14        3
9/11/94             46        36        3         10        4
2/27/94             47        34        2         14        3
2/2/92              55        34        2          7        3
12/15/91            56        28        3         10        4
3/4/91              48        34        5          9        4
1/16/90             53        32        3          9        4
f. Holding taxes down
                Democrats Republicans  Both    Neither   No opinion
9/28/98             47        44       NA         NA        9
7/12/98             42        39        3          8        8
1/19/98             45        44        2          6        2
7/8/97              41        38        3         15        4
10/23/94            37        42        2         17        2
9/11/94             36        47        2         11        4
2/27/94             35        41        4         18        2
2/2/92              41        45        3          8        3
12/15/91            40        38        3         14        5
3/4/91              35        44        5         13        3
1/16/90             37        47        2         10        4
g. Encouraging high moral standards and values
                Democrats Republicans  Both    Neither   No opinion
9/28/98             32        50       NA         NA       17
7/12/98             33        42        4         13        8
1/19/98             40        41        4         12        3
7/8/97              33        37        6         19        4
h. Managing the federal budget
                Democrats    Republicans   Both    Neither   No opin.
9/28/98              49           42       NA         NA        9
7/12/98              42           39        4          7        8
1/19/98*             41           43        3          8        4
7/8/97*              39           36        5         17        3
10/23/94**           36           37        3         21        3
9/11/94**            39           40        4         14        4
2/27/94**            44           28        5         20        3
2/2/92**             40           39        4         14        3
3/4/91**             35           43        5         14        3
1/16/90**            35           42        4         15        4
*Balancing the federal budget
**Reducing the federal budget
i. Protecting Social Security and Medicare
               Democrats Republicans  Both    Neither   No opinion
9/28/98            59       32         NA        NA        19
COMPARE TO:
Protecting the Social Security system
                Democrats Republicans  Both    Neither   No opinion
7/12/98             51       35         3          6        6
1/19/98             48       38         3          7        5
1/16/90             52       31         3          9        4
COMPARE TO:
Protecting the Medicare system
                Democrats Republicans  Both    Neither   No opinion
7/12/98             54        32        2          4        8
1/19/98             52        33        3          6        6
9/11/94             49        32        5          8        6
j. Dealing with the Monica Lewinsky matter
                Democrats Republicans  Both    Neither   No opinion
9/28/98             43        38         NA        NA       19
k. Protecting patients' rights in the health care system
                Democrats Republicans  Both    Neither   No opinion
9/28/98             61        29       NA         NA       10
7/12/98             53        29        4          6        8
12. (Asked of half sample) Now for each item I'd like you to tell me what role it might play in deciding who you'll support this November in the election for Congress in your district. How about (READ ITEM, SAME ORDER AS ABOVE)- -will it be the single most important issue in your vote, one of several important issues, an issue but not very important, or not an important issue in your vote?
                  Single most          Not very  Not an   
                   Important   One of   imprtnt  imprtnt  No
                     issue     several   issue   issue    opin.
A. Handling the        
   nation's economy    24       65         6        3        2
B. Handling the
   crime problem       21       67         8        3        1
C. Handling 
   foreign affairs     12       63        18        5        2
D. Improving education 
   and the schools     29       62         6        2        1
E. Helping the 
   middle class        20       61        13        5        1
F. Holding taxes down  25       63         9        2        1
G. Encouraging high 
   moral standards   
   and values          21       51        15       10        3 
H. Managing the 
   federal budget      27       66         5        1        1 
I. Protecting Social 
   Security 
   and Medicare        28       60         9        2        2
J. Dealing with the
   Monica Lewinsky 
   Matter               5       19        21       52        2
K. Protecting patient's 
   rights in the 
   health care system  21       64        10        4        1
13. The November election is for all seats for the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as some U.S. Senate, some governorships and local races. How closely are you following the upcoming election -- very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?
          ------Closely------    ------Not Closely--------       No
          NET   Very   Smewht    NET   Not too   Not at all    opinion
9/28/98    61     18      43      38      28         10            *
COMPARE TO: As you may know, an election for the U.S. House of Representatives is coming up on November 8. Some states are also having elections for Governor and U.S. Senator. How closely are you following the upcoming election – very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?
          ------Closely------    ------Not Closely--------       No
          NET   Very   Smewht    NET   Not too   Not at all    opinion
10/23/94  61     21      39      39      26         13            -
14. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the next election for Congress - are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, or are the chances 50-50 or less that you will vote?
            Absolutely      Probably    Chances 50-50     No
          certain to vote     Vote         Or less      Opinion
9/28/98         63             18            18            1
7/12/98         61             20            19            *
1/19/98         63             17            20            *
15. (and 16) Thinking about the U.S. House of Representatives election in November, 1998 in the Congressional District where you live, if that election were being held today, for whom would you vote: the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
Registered voters:
                                     Neither   Wouldn't
                 Democrat Republican (vol.)   vote (vol.)  No opin.
9/28/98             49        44        2         *           4
9/13/98             49        43        3         1           4
8/21/98             48        45        3         1           3
7/12/98             47        45        2         #           6
1/31/98             49        40        2         1           8
1/19/98             47        44        3         1           5
11/96 ACTUAL        50        50
10/8/96             51        41        2         1           5
9/29/96             48        41        3         1           7
9/22/96             50        43        2         1           4
9/15/96             49        45        1         1           4
9/4/96              48        44        3         *           5
8/29/96             53        39        3         1           5
8/28/96             51        40        3         1           5
8/27/96             51        41        3         0           5
8/26/96             51        41        3         0           5
8/25/96             48        43        3         1           6
8/24/96             47        43        2         1           6
8/19/96             49        42        3         0           6
8/18/96             45        46        3         0           6
8/15/96             46        43        4         1           5
8/14/96             48        42        3         1           6
8/13/96             49        43        3         0           5
8/12/96             49        42        3         1           5
8/11/96             49        40        4         1           6
8/10/96             49        41        4         1           5
8/4/96              48        45        2         1           4
6/30/96             49        44        3         *           3
5/22/96             52        41        3         1           3
3/10/96             51        43        2         *           4
1/21/96             52        43        3         1           1
10/1/95             49        44        3         *           3
11/94 ACTUAL        46.5      53.5
11/6/94             47        42        5         2           5
10/31/94            48        44        4         1           3
10/23/94            50        45        2         1           2
10/9/94             46        47        3         2           2
9/11/94             50        45        1         1           4
8/7/94              49        42        4         1           4
2/27/94             50        40        8         1           2
11/92 ACTUAL        51        46
10/21/91            51        41        4         *           4
7/28/91             49        41        6         *           3
6/2/91              48        42        4         1           5
11/90 ACTUAL        54        46
11/4/90             51        41        5         *           3
10/14/90            50        41        5         *           3
9/9/90              47        46        3         *           3
7/24/90             51        41        4         1           4
5/21/90             47        45        5         1           2
11/88 ACTUAL        54        46
9/21-10/10/88       52        41        2         1           4
9/19/88             51        39        3         1           6
11/86 ACTUAL        55        45
6/22/85             48        44        5         *           3
11/84 ACTUAL        53        47
10/16/84            52        44        2         NA          5
9/11/84             53        45        2         NA          1
7/8/84              58        40        2         NA          1
11/82 ACTUAL        57        43
10/27/82            58        39        NA        NA          3
10/11/82            55        36        NA        NA          9
9/13/82             58        36        NA        NA          6
11/22/81            53        41        NA        NA          7
11/80 ACTUAL        51        49
11/78 ACTUAL        54        46
11/76 ACTUAL        57        43
Likely voters:
                                     Neither   Wouldn't
                 Democrat Republican (vol.)   vote (vol.)  No opin.
9/28/98             47        47        2         *           4        
9/13/98             49        46        3         *           3
10/8/96             48        44        2         1           5
9/29/96             48        43        3         1           6
9/22/96             50        44        2         *           4
9/15/96             47        48        2         *           3
9/4/96              47        46        3         *           4
8/29/96             53        39        3         0           5
8/28/96             49        41        3         0           6
8/27/96             50        43        3         0           5
8/26/96             49        43        3         0           5
8/25/96             46        45        3         0           5
8/24/96             45        46        2         0           6
8/19/96             47        45        2         0           6
8/18/96             45        47        3         0           5
8/15/96             46        44        4         1           5
8/14/96             46        44        3         1           6
8/13/96             47        45        3         0           5
8/12/96             48        44        3         0           5
8/11/96             48        41        5         0           6
8/10/96             47        43        4         1           5
8/4/96              48        46        1         1           4
10/23/94            49        47        1         *           2
10/9/94             47        49        3         1           1
11/4/90             52        41        5         *           3
10/14/90            48        43        5         0           3
9/9/90              47        45        3         *           4
7/24/90             52        40        4         *           3
10/16/84            51        45        2         NA          4
9/11/84             51        46        1         NA          1
7/8/84              54        44        2         NA          *
10/27/82            59        39        NA        NA          2
10/11/82            55        38        NA        NA          7
17. Is one of the reasons you support this candidate to express support for Clinton, to express opposition to Clinton, or would you say that Clinton is not a factor?
           Support    Opposition    Not a factor    No opinion
9/28/98      14           13            71              2
18. If a candidate for Congress supports impeaching Clinton and removing him from office, would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate for Congress, more likely to vote against that candidate for Congress, or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote? (IF MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR OR AGAINST, ASK:) Could it be the deciding issue in your vote, or could other issues be as important?
          --------Vote for------- ----Vote against-----     No   No
          NET  Deciding  Others   NET   Deciding   Others  diff  opn.
9/28/98    21    10       12       29     15         14     48    2
19. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Bill Clinton?
                    Favorable    Unfavorable    No opinion
9/28/98                48            47               5
9/13/98                50            45               5
8/23/98                45            49               6
8/21/98                56            40               4
8/19/98                39            57               4
7/12/98                54            40               6
5/12/98                54            42               4
4/4/98                 55            39               6
2/18/98                56            41               3
1/30/98                60            35               6
1/25/98                54            42               5
1/24/98                51            44               5
1/19/98                59            35               6
1/12/98                59            33               7
10/13/97               59            37               4
9/10/97                57            38               5
3/9/97                 60            38               3
9/4/96 (Reg.)          58            38               4
6/30/96                56            38               5
10/30/95               54            41               6
7/17/95                59            38               3
6/8/95                 53            43               4
3/19/95                55            42               3
10/31/94               51            44               5
5/15/94                57            40               3
3/27/94                59            37               4
1/23/94                60            32               8
11/14/93               58            37               5
11/11/93               52            43               6
8/8/93                 56            39               5
4/26/93                59            29              12
2/23/93                59            30              11
1/17/93                68            20              11
10/18/92 Likely        56            36               8
9/27/92  Likely        55            36               9
8/23/92  Reg.          54            36              10
7/19/92  Reg.          58            23              18
7/8/92                 52            33              15
6/7/92                 41            38              21
3/18/92                37            37              26
3/11/92                39            31              30
2/2/92                 37            24              39
1/27/92                23            11              66
10/21/91               13             9              78
20. Would you say you trust Clinton on a personal level, or not?
              Yes    No    No opinion
9/28/98       30     66        4
9/13/98       31     66        3
9/9/98        28     67        5
8/23/98       32     63        5
21. Given what you know about the Monica Lewinsky issue, do you think Clinton should remain in office as president, or should he resign the presidency?
          Remain in office    Resign presidency    No opinion
9/28/98           61                 37                   3
9/21/98           54                 43                   3
9/14/98*          55                 41                   5
9/13/98B          57                 39                   3
9/13/98A          57                 39                   3
9/12/98           55                 39                   6
9/11/98           50                 45                   5
9/9/98            58                 40                   2
8/23/98           67                 30                   3
8/19/98**         61                 36                   3
8/17/98**         68                 28                   4
* "Monica" added
** "this issue"
9/13/98B = Sunday Evening of 9/13/98
9/13/98A = Sunday Afternoon of 9/13/98
COMPARE TO: Based on what you know or have heard, do you think Clinton should resign from office, or not?
          Should resign    Should not resign    No opinion
9/13/98         39                58                  3
COMPARE TO: If Clinton lied by testifying under oath last January that he did not have an affair with Lewinsky, would you want him to remain in office as president, or would you want him to resign the presidency?
          Remain in office    Resign presidency    No opinion
8/16/98**        57                 40                   3
7/29/98          53                 45                   2
1/31/98          41                 53                   6
1/26/98          30                 65                   5
1/25/98          36                 59                   5
1/24/98          36                 60                   5
1/23/98          31                 64                   4
1/21/98          41                 53                   5
**"last January" added
22. Based on what you know, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office?
           --Should be impeached--    -Should not be impeached-    No
           NET    Strgly    Smewht    NET     Strgly     Smewht   opin.
9/28/98    31       24         7       66       52         14       3
9/21/98    41       NA        NA       57       NA         NA       2
9/14/98    38       NA        NA       59       NA         NA       3
9/13/98*   30       26         3       64       56          8       6
8/23/98**  24       NA        NA       70       NA         NA       6
8/19/98**  30       NA        NA       65       NA         NA       5
8/17/98**  25       NA        NA       69       NA         NA       6
*Washington Post: "As you may know, the independent counsel Kenneth Starr has delivered a report to Congress summarizing his investigation of the Lewinsky matter. Based on what you know or have heard..."
** "If he does not resign, do you think..." COMPARE TO: If Clinton lied by testifying under oath last January that he did not have an affair with Lewinsky, and he did not resign, is this something for which Clinton should be impeached, or not?
           Should be     Should not be       No
           impeached      impeached       opinion
8/16/98*      35             59               6
7/29/98       39             57               4
7/12/98**     39             55               7
1/31/98       40             51               9
1/25/98       55             40               5
1/24/98       54             41               5
1/23/98       55             38               7
*"last January" added
**Language: If Starr reports to Congress that he has evidence that Clinton had an affair with Lewinsky and lied about it under oath, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office?

23. For each item I mention, please tell if you think, in that case, Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office. First is (READ ITEM.) How about…

a. If it's shown that Clinton lied under oath about having an affair with Lewinsky, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office?

           Should    Should not    No opinion
9/28/98**     48          49           3
9/21/98       41          56           3
9/14/98       42          52           5
9/13/98B      44          54           2
9/13/98A      42          52           5
9/12/98       43          51           6
9/11/98       48          48           4
9/9/98*       46          51           3
8/21/98       35          62           3
7/12/98       39          55           7
9/13/98B = Sunday Evening of 9/13/98
9/13/98A = Sunday Afternoon of 9/13/98
*9/9 and previous: If the special prosecutor Kenneth Starr reports to Congress that he has evidence that Clinton had an affair with Lewinsky and lied about it under oath, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office?

b. If it's shown that Clinton encouraged Lewinsky to lie under oath, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office?

           Should    Should not    No opinion
9/28/98       50           47            3
9/21/98       52           44            3
9/14/98       51           44            5
9/13/98B      51           46            3
9/13/98A      48           46            6
9/12/98       49           46            6
9/11/98       57           39            4
9/9/98*       51           46            3
8/21/98*      43           54            3
7/12/98*      45           48            6
9/13/98B = Sunday Evening of 9/13/98
9/13/98A = Sunday Afternoon of 9/13/98
* 9/9 and previous: If Starr reports to Congress that he has evidence that Clinton had an affair with Lewinsky and encouraged HER to lie about it under oath, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office? Compare To:
            Should be    Should not     No
            impeached   be impeached   opin.
8/16/98*       38            57          5
7/29/98*       42            57          2
1/26/98**      51            45          4
1/25/98**      50            43          7
1/24/98**      50            44          6
1/23/98**      54            40          6
1/21/98**      43            51          6
*If Clinton suggested ways Lewinsky could conceal the affair from investigators, and he did not resign, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office?
**If Clinton did tell this woman to lie in a legal document, and if Clinton did not resign, is this something for which Clinton should be impeached, or not?

c. If it's shown that Clinton asked his aides or other people to help him cover up his affair with Lewinsky, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office?

            Should be    Should not     No
            impeached   be impeached   opin.
9/28/98         49            49         3
9/21/98         54            44         2
9/13/98B        54            43         3
9/13/98A        50            45         5
9/12/98         50            45         5
9/11/98         57            37         6
9/13/98B = Sunday Evening of 9/13/98
9/13/98A = Sunday Afternoon of 9/13/98
"If it's shown that" added 9/29/98
24. And what's your best guess-do you think Clinton did or did not (READ ITEM.) Do you think he did or did not.. (CONTINUE)
                        Yes    No    No opinion
A. Lie under oath about 
   having an affair with 
   Lewinsky              75    18         7
B. Encourage Lewinsky 
   to lie under oath     44    44        12 
C. Ask his aides or other 
   people to help him 
   cover up his affair 
   with Lewinsky         56    32        12
25. You said before that based on what you know, Clinton should not be impeached. Do you feel that way mainly because you don't think it's been shown that he did anything serious enough to impeach him, or mainly because impeaching him would be too disruptive to the nation?
              Not         Too        Both    Neither       No 
            serious    disruptive    (vol.)   (vol.)     opinion
9/28/98       40          43          12        4          1
26. Whose version of the facts are you most inclined to accept-Bill Clinton's or Kenneth Starr's?
           Starr's    Clinton's    Neither (vol.)    No opinion
9/28/98      47          42             NA                11
9/14/98*     53          26             13                 8
9/13/98B     52          35             12                 1
9/13/98A     48          35             13                 4
9/12/98      51          33             13                 4
9/11/98      56          30             11                 3
9/13/98B = Sunday Evening of 9/13/98
9/13/98A = Sunday Afternoon of 9/13/98
*"As you probably know, special prosecutor Kenneth Starr has issued his report to Congress. Whose version..."

27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling the investigation of the Lewinsky issue?

        Approve    Disapprove    No opinion
9/28/98    35         60              6
9/21/98    34         62              5
28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling the investigation of the Lewinsky issue?
        Approve    Disapprove    No opinion
9/28/98    40         52              8
29. Now that Congress has received Starr's report what should it do: Should it hold hearings about possible impeachment of Clinton, or should it drop the matter?
          Hold hearings    Drop the matter    No opinion
9/28/98        42                55                 3
9/13/98B       51                47                 1
9/13/98A       52                45                 4
9/12/98        53                42                 5
Compare To: Do you think Starr should continue his investigation or drop it?
           Continue investigation    Drop it    No opinion
8/21/98              35                  64           2
7/12/98              41                  56           4
4/1/98               48                  50           2
Compare To: Do you think the investigation of this issue should end now, or should the investigation continue in order to find out if Clinton broke any laws by trying to conceal the affair?
          Investigation    Continue         No
           should end    investigation    opinion
8/19/98         62             37            1
8/17/98         69             29            2
8/16/98*        59             39            3
*Language: If Clinton now publicly admits that he did have an affair with Lewinsky, should the investigation end there, or should the investigation continue in order to find out if Clinton broke any laws by trying to conceal the affair?

30. If Congress does hold impeachment hearings, which would you prefer:Hearings that end by the end of the year, but do not examine all the issues raised in the Starr report in detail, OR Hearings which examine all the issues raised in the report in detail, but continue into next year.

           End of year    Continue    No opinion
9/28/98        57            38            4
31. Do you think the Republicans in Congress are mainly interested in finding out the truth, or do you think they're mainly interested in hurting Clinton politically?
          Truth    Hurting Clinton    No opinion
9/28/98     29          66                 4
32. Do you think the Democrats in Congress are mainly interested in finding out the truth, or do you think they're mainly interested in protecting Clinton politically?
          Truth    Protecting Clinton    No opinion
9/28/98     29             65                7
33. Given what you know, do you think Congress should or should not censure or officially reprimand Clinton for his actions in the Lewinsky matter?
         Should censure    Should not censure    No opinion
9/28/98         61              33                    6
9/21/98         64              31                    4
9/14/98*        68              26                    6
9/11/98         67              26                    8
9/9/98          66              29                    4
8/23/98         55              40                    5
*"Given what you know..."
COMPARE TO: Regardless of how you feel about impeachment or resignation, do you think Congress should or should not censure of officially reprimand Clinton for his actions in the Lewinsky matter?
          Yes    No    No opinion
9/13/98    57    38         5
34. Do you think this issue has damaged Clinton's ability to serve effectively as president, or not? (IF YES ASK: Has it damaged it a great deal, or only somewhat?)
           ------------Yes-------------
           NET   Great Deal    Somewhat    No    No opinion
9/28/98    54        35           19       45         1
9/13/98    58        41           17       42         1
8/23/98    52        27           25       47         2
8/19/98    58        34           24       40         2

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