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  Washington Post October Votes Poll

Monday, October 12, 1998

The latest Washington Post poll is based on random telephone interviews with 802 adults from October 8-10. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Clinton Job Approval | Congress | Impeachment

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as president?


           ------Approve-----------    -------Disapprove--------    No
           NET   Strongly   Somewhat    NET   Somewhat   Strongly  opin.
10/10/98    67     48         19         30       8        23        3
9/28/98     63     42         21         35       8        26        2
9/21/98     60     NA         NA         39      NA        NA        1
9/14/98     59     NA         NA         37      NA        NA        4
9/13/98C    59     38         21         38       9        29        3
9/13/98B    60     NA         NA         38      NA        NA        2
9/13/98A    59     NA         NA         37      NA        NA        3
9/12/98     59     NA         NA         39      NA        NA        3
9/11/98     56     NA         NA         42      NA        NA        3
9/9/98      57     NA         NA         40      NA        NA        3
8/23/98     64     NA         NA         33      NA        NA        3
8/21/98     66     41         25         31      10        21        3
8/20/98     65     NA         NA         32      NA        NA        3
8/19/98     60     NA         NA         38      NA        NA        2
8/17/98     61     NA         NA         36      NA        NA        3
8/16/98     62     NA         NA         33      NA        NA        4
7/29/98     63     NA         NA         33      NA        NA        4
7/12/98     63     34         29         31      11        20        6
6/18/98     59     NA         NA         34      NA        NA        7
6/2/98      61     NA         NA         34      NA        NA        5
5/12/98     64     NA         NA         32      NA        NA        4
4/4/98      65     NA         NA         31      NA        NA        4
4/1/98      66     NA         NA         29      NA        NA        4
3/17/98     66     NA         NA         30      NA        NA        4
3/16/98     63     NA         NA         34      NA        NA        3
2/18/98     67     NA         NA         30      NA        NA        3
1/31/98     67     42         24         29      10        19        4
1/30/98     69     NA         NA         27      NA        NA        4
1/29/98     68     NA         NA         27      NA        NA        5
1/26/98     60     NA         NA         35      NA        NA        4
1/25/98     59     31         28         37      13        25        4
1/24/98     57     30         26         40      13        27        3
1/19/98     60     24         36         35      15        19        5
1/13/98     62     NA         NA         31      NA        NA        7
11/12/97    59     NA         NA         35      NA        NA        6
10/13/97    59     NA         NA         36      NA        NA        6
8/27/97     58     NA         NA         37      NA        NA        5
7/8/97      64     NA         NA         31      NA        NA        5
6/8/97      59     NA         NA         36      NA        NA        5
4/24/97     56     NA         NA         39      NA        NA        5
3/25/97     56     NA         NA         33      NA        NA       11
3/9/97      55     NA         NA         41      NA        NA        4
10/8/96**   58     NA         NA         38      NA        NA        4
10/8/96*    59     NA         NA         37      NA        NA        4
9/4/96*     57     NA         NA         38      NA        NA        4
8/5/96      59     NA         NA         37      NA        NA        4
6/30/96     56     NA         NA         39      NA        NA        5
5/22/96     58     20         37         39      17        22        3
3/31/96     52     21         30         40      16        25        8
3/17/96     53     19         34         45      19        26        2
3/10/96     55     23         32         40      17        24        4
4/21/96     51     NA         NA         43      NA        NA        6
1/7/96      53     22         31         43      16        28        4
11/19/95    54     NA         NA         41      NA        NA        5
11/13/95    54     20         34         41      20        21        5
10/1/95     52     17         35         43      19        24        5
7/17/95     51     14         37         45      20        25        4
6/8/95      47     NA         NA         45      NA        NA        8
5/14/95     56     20         36         41      23        18        3
3/19/95     52     17         35         45      19        26        3
3/5/95      46     NA         NA         49      NA        NA        4
1/29/95     54     20         34         43      21        22        3
1/4/95      45     13         31         51      22        29        5
12/20/94    44     NA         NA         50      NA        NA        6
11/6/94*    52     20         32         43      16        26        5
10/31/94    48     17         31         49      19        30        3
10/23/94    49     18         31         48      19        29        4
10/9/94     45     13         32         51      21        30        4
9/25/94     44     13         31         51      20        31        5
9/11/94     46     15         30         51      19        33        3
8/16/94     44     NA         NA         51      NA        NA        5
8/7/94      47     17         31         47      20        27        5
6/26/94     50     16         34         44      17        28        6
5/15/94     51     19         32         44      17        28        4
3/27/94     57     23         34         41      16        25        3
3/22/94     47     NA         NA         45      NA        NA        7
3/08/94     52     NA         NA         40      NA        NA        8
2/27/94     58     20         38         38      15        23        4
1/23/94     56     22         34         34      14        20       10
1/9/94      59     20         39         36      15        21        4
12/19/93    58     22         36         40      20        20        3
11/14/93    49     16         33         45      20        25        6
10/31/93    52     17         35         41      17        24        7
10/10/93    51     20         31         43      18        25        5
10/3/93     52     19         33         36      14        22       12
9/19/93     51     NA         NA         41      NA        NA        8
8/8/93      45     16         29         51      19        32        4
6/28/93     43     13         29         50      19        31        7
6/15/93     45     NA         NA         48      NA        NA        7
5/23/93     46     17         30         48      18        30        6
4/26/93     59     22         37         39      17        21        2
2/28/93     60     28         32         33      11        22        7
2/23/93     63     28         35         30      11        19        7
2/14/93     54     23         31         31      15        16       15
*Among registered voters
**Among likely voters
9/13/98B = Sunday Evening of 9/13/98
9/13/98A = Sunday Afternoon of 9/13/98
9/13/98C = Washington Post
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job?

                Approve        Disapprove        No opinion
10/10/98          45              49                 7
9/28/98           52              44                 4
9/13/98           56              38                 6
8/21/98           55              39                 6
7/12/98           46              44                11
5/12/98           45              45                 9
4/4/98            47              45                 8
1/31/98           55              35                10
1/30/98           55              35                10
1/25/98           56              37                 8
1/24/98           55              38                 7
1/19/98           47              49                 5
10/13/97          36              57                 7
8/27/97           39              54                 7
7/8/97            40              53                 6
4/24/97           40              53                 7
3/9/97            35              60                 5
8/5/96            42              52                 7
6/30/96           35              58                 7
5/22/96           35              60                 5
3/10/96           30              64                 6
1/7/96            31              65                 5
11/19/95          27              68                 5
10/1/95           32              65                 3
7/17/95           34              63                 3
3/19/95           39              56                 5
1/29/95           42              52                 6
10/31/94          21              72                 8
10/23/94          18              78                 4
9/11/94           24              70                 5
6/26/94           34              61                 5
3/27/94           35              62                 3
2/27/94           32              64                 4
1/23/94           29              60                11
11/14/93          28              66                 6
8/8/93            33              64                 3
4/26/93           30              69                 2
1/17/93           29              66                 6
4/9/92            17              78                 5
3/18/92           19              76                 5
3/8/92            22              73                 6
2/2/92            32              64                 4
12/15/91          35              59                 6
10/21/91          45              50                 5
6/2/91            49              46                 5
10/14/90          34              63                 3
2/4/90            41              55                 4
1/16/90           39              55                 6
8/21/89           42              53                 5
5/23/89           54              44                 2
2/14/89           53              44                 3
1/23/88*          43              53                 4
6/1/87*           56              40                 4
6/22/85*          54              37                 9
5/83*             33              43                24
6/81*             38              40                22
6/79*             19              61                20
9/78*             29              49                22
6/77*             34              42                24
6/75*             29              54                17
8/74*             48              35                17
*Gallup
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way your own representative to the U.S. House of Representatives in Congress is handling his or her job?

               Approve        Disapprove          No opinion
10/10/98          62              22                   16
9/28/98           70              21                   10
7/12/98           70              18                   12
1/19/98           74              19                    7
4/5/95            65              25                    9
10/31/94          51              38                   11
10/23/94          49              43                    8
9/11/94           53              35                   12
6/26/94           59              31                   10
3/27/94           62              26                   12
1/17/93           60              29                   11
4/9/92            47              39                   13
3/18/92           49              40                   11
2/2/92            56              32                   12
12/15/91          60              28                   12
10/21/91          64              27                    9
6/2/91            61              26                   14
10/14/90          64              29                    7
5/23/89           71              18                   11
4. Overall, how much do you think Congress has accomplished in the pastyear: A great deal, a good amount, not too much, or nothing at all?

                  Great    Good           Not too  Nothing     No
            Net    deal    amount    Net    much    at all    opin.
10/10/98    44      8        37       52      43      9        4
10/23/94    18      2        15       81      68     14        1
9/11/94     21      2        19       79      67     12        *
6/26/94     24      4        20       74      65      9        1
*Asked "in the past 18 months"
5. Who do you trust to do a better job coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years - Clinton or the Republicans in Congress?

                                     Both equally   Neither     No
            Clinton    Republicans     (vol.)       (vol.)     opin.
10/10/98        52        34              2             8         4
9/28/98         51        38              2             6         3
9/13/98         43        37              2             12        7
8/21/98         48        38              2             9         3
7/12/98         48        38              1             6         6
5/12/98         47        39              3             8         3
1/31/98         52        35              3             4         6
1/19/98         48        40              2             8         2
3/9/97          49        38              4             8         2
1/15/97*        51        37              3             7         2
1/29/95         40        46              4             8         2
1/4/95          30        54              3             9         4
12/20/94        34        60             NA             NA        6
12/15/94        34        49              3             9         6
* "The Clinton administration"
6. Right now, are you inclined to vote to re-elect your representative in Congress in the next election or are you inclined to look around for someone else to vote for?
 
                Re-elect      Look around      Depends(vol.)   No opin.
10/10/98            39             45              9               7
9/28/98             44             46             NA              10
7/12/98             42             44              5              10
1/19/98             47             41              7               4
8/27/97             34             52              9               5
11/6/94*            37             47              7               8
10/31/94            35             56              2               7
10/23/94            32             58              4               6
9/11/94             36             53              4               7
6/26/94             35             54              6               5
3/27/94             32             56              6               7
1/23/94             32             46             10              12
11/14/93            38             52              5               5
7/8/92              34             54              3               9
6/7/92              36             53              4               7
4/9/92              33             56              3               8
3/11/92             36             54              3               7
2/2/92              38             51              4               7
10/21/91            31             55              7               6
6/2/91              37             49              5               9
11/4/90**           41             50             NA               8
10/14/90            36             57             NA               7
5/21/90             43             50              3               3
5/23/89             45             44              4               6
*Among registered voters
**Among likely voters
7. Overall, which party, the Democrats or the Republicans, do you trust to do a better job in coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years?

                                        Both equally   Neither     No
             Democrats    Republicans     (vol.)       (vol.)     opin.
10/10/98        47            36             4            8        5
9/28/98         49            38             2            8        3
9/13/98         47            35             4           10        4
8/21/98         48            36             4            9        3
7/12/98         45            38             3            8        6
1/31/98         47            37             4            6        7
1/19/98         45            42             2            7        4
7/8/97          44            37             2           14        3
9/15/96*        45            38             3           11        3
8/5/96          43            38             3           11        3
6/30/96         46            37             3           12        3
5/22/96         47            38             3           10        3
11/6/94*        41            39             2           12        6
10/31/94        43            43             2            8        4
10/23/94        39            40             3           15        3
9/11/94         43            40             4           11        3
6/26/94         41            36             3           14        5
2/27/94         46            32             4           16        3
11/14/93        42            39             3           11        4
1/17/93         49            28             5           13        5
7/8/92          48            38             1            8        4
6/7/92          43            37             3           11        6
3/11/92         45            37             1           11        5
3/8/92          51            36             1            7        5
2/2/92          49            39             2            7        3
12/15/91        39            37             3           15        6
10/21/91        39            40             3           13        5
*Among registered voters
8. The November election is for all seats for the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as some U.S. Senate, some governorships and local races. How closely are you following the upcoming election -- very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?

          ------Closely------    ------Not Closely--------       No
          NET   Very   Smewht    NET   Not too   Not at all    opinion
10/10/98    60    17      43      40      27         13            1
9/28/98     61    18      43      38      28         10            *
COMPARE TO:
As you may know, an election for the U.S. House of Representatives is coming up on November 8. Some states are also having elections for Governor and U.S. Senator. How closely are you following the upcoming election -- very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?

          ------Closely------    ------Not Closely--------       No
          NET   Very   Smewht    NET   Not too   Not at all    opinion
10/23/94  61     21      39      39      26         13            -
9. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the next election for Congress - are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, or are the chances 50-50 or less that you will vote?

            Absolutely      Probably    Chances 50-50     No
          certain to vote     Vote         Or less      Opinion
10/10/98        56             20            24            1
9/28/98         63             18            18            1
7/12/98         61             20            19            *
1/19/98         63             17            20            *
10. (and 11) Thinking about the U.S. House of Representatives election in November, 1998 in the Congressional District where you live, if that election were being held today, for whom would you vote: the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?

Registered voters:


                                     Neither   Wouldn't
                 Democrat Republican (vol.)   vote (vol.)  No opin.
10/10/98            50        40        4         2           4
9/28/98             49        44        2         *           4
9/13/98             49        43        3         1           4
8/21/98             48        45        3         1           3
7/12/98             47        45        2         #           6
1/31/98             49        40        2         1           8
1/19/98             47        44        3         1           5
11/96 ACTUAL        50        50
10/8/96             51        41        2         1           5
9/29/96             48        41        3         1           7
9/22/96             50        43        2         1           4
9/15/96             49        45        1         1           4
9/4/96              48        44        3         *           5
8/29/96             53        39        3         1           5
8/28/96             51        40        3         1           5
8/27/96             51        41        3         0           5
8/26/96             51        41        3         0           5
8/25/96             48        43        3         1           6
8/24/96             47        43        2         1           6
8/19/96             49        42        3         0           6
8/18/96             45        46        3         0           6
8/15/96             46        43        4         1           5
8/14/96             48        42        3         1           6
8/13/96             49        43        3         0           5
8/12/96             49        42        3         1           5
8/11/96             49        40        4         1           6
8/10/96             49        41        4         1           5
8/4/96              48        45        2         1           4
6/30/96             49        44        3         *           3
5/22/96             52        41        3         1           3
3/10/96             51        43        2         *           4
1/21/96             52        43        3         1           1
10/1/95             49        44        3         *           3
11/94 ACTUAL        46.5      53.5
11/6/94             47        42        5         2           5
10/31/94            48        44        4         1           3
10/23/94            50        45        2         1           2
10/9/94             46        47        3         2           2
9/11/94             50        45        1         1           4
8/7/94              49        42        4         1           4
2/27/94             50        40        8         1           2
11/92 ACTUAL        51        46
10/21/91            51        41        4         *           4
7/28/91             49        41        6         *           3
6/2/91              48        42        4         1           5
11/90 ACTUAL        54        46
11/4/90             51        41        5         *           3
10/14/90            50        41        5         *           3
9/9/90              47        46        3         *           3
7/24/90             51        41        4         1           4
5/21/90             47        45        5         1           2
11/88 ACTUAL        54        46
9/21-10/10/88       52        41        2         1           4
9/19/88             51        39        3         1           6
11/86 ACTUAL        55        45
6/22/85             48        44        5         *           3
11/84 ACTUAL        53        47
10/16/84            52        44        2         NA          5
9/11/84             53        45        2         NA          1
7/8/84              58        40        2         NA          1
11/82 ACTUAL        57        43
10/27/82            58        39        NA        NA          3
10/11/82            55        36        NA        NA          9
9/13/82             58        36        NA        NA          6
11/22/81            53        41        NA        NA          7
11/80 ACTUAL        51        49
11/78 ACTUAL        54        46
11/76 ACTUAL        57        43
Likely voters and Certain Voters:

                                     Neither   Wouldn't
                 Democrat Republican (vol.)   vote (vol.)  No opin.
10/10/98CV          49        45        1         0           5
10/10/98LV          51        42        2         *           5
9/28/98CV           46        49        2         *           3
9/28/98LV           47        47        2         *           4
9/13/98             49        46        3         *           3
10/8/96             48        44        2         1           5
9/29/96             48        43        3         1           6
9/22/96             50        44        2         *           4
9/15/96             47        48        2         *           3
9/4/96              47        46        3         *           4
8/29/96             53        39        3         0           5
8/28/96             49        41        3         0           6
8/27/96             50        43        3         0           5
8/26/96             49        43        3         0           5
8/25/96             46        45        3         0           5
8/24/96             45        46        2         0           6
8/19/96             47        45        2         0           6
8/18/96             45        47        3         0           5
8/15/96             46        44        4         1           5
8/14/96             46        44        3         1           6
8/13/96             47        45        3         0           5
8/12/96             48        44        3         0           5
8/11/96             48        41        5         0           6
8/10/96             47        43        4         1           5
8/4/96              48        46        1         1           4
10/23/94            49        47        1         *           2
10/9/94             47        49        3         1           1
11/4/90             52        41        5         *           3
10/14/90            48        43        5         0           3
9/9/90              47        45        3         *           4
7/24/90             52        40        4         *           3
10/16/84            51        45        2         NA          4
9/11/84             51        46        1         NA          1
7/8/84              54        44        2         NA          *
10/27/82            59        39        NA        NA          2
10/11/82            55        38        NA        NA          7
12. Is one of the reasons you support this candidate to express support for Clinton, to express opposition to Clinton, or would you say that Clinton is not a factor?

           Support    Opposition    Not a factor    No opinion
10/10/98     15           12            68               5
9/28/98      14           13            71               2
13. Given what you know about the Monica Lewinsky issue, do you think Clinton should remain in office as president, or should he resign the presidency?

          Remain in office    Resign presidency    No opinion
10/10/98          61                 35                   3
9/28/98           61                 37                   3
9/21/98           54                 43                   3
9/14/98*          55                 41                   5
9/13/98B          57                 39                   3
9/13/98A          57                 39                   3
9/12/98           55                 39                   6
9/11/98           50                 45                   5
9/9/98            58                 40                   2
8/23/98           67                 30                   3
8/19/98**         61                 36                   3
8/17/98**         68                 28                   4
* "Monica" added
** "this issue"
9/13/98B = Sunday Evening of 9/13/98
9/13/98A = Sunday Afternoon of 9/13/98

COMPARE TO:
Based on what you know or have heard, do you think Clinton should resign from office, or not?


          Should resign    Should not resign    No opinion
9/13/98         39                58                  3
COMPARE TO:
If Clinton lied by testifying under oath last January that he did not have an affair with Lewinsky, would you want him to remain in office as president, or would you want him to resign the presidency?

          Remain in office    Resign presidency    No opinion
8/16/98**        57                 40                   3
7/29/98          53                 45                   2
1/31/98          41                 53                   6
1/26/98          30                 65                   5
1/25/98          36                 59                   5
1/24/98          36                 60                   5
1/23/98          31                 64                   4
1/21/98          41                 53                   5
**"last January" added
14. Based on what you know, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office?

           --Should be impeached--    -Should not be impeached-    No
           NET    Strgly    Smewht    NET     Strgly     Smewht   opin.
10/10/98   31       25         6       64       53         11       4
9/28/98    31       24         7       66       52         14       3
9/21/98    41       NA        NA       57       NA         NA       2
9/14/98    38       NA        NA       59       NA         NA       3
9/13/98*   30       26         3       64       56          8       6
8/23/98**  24       NA        NA       70       NA         NA       6
8/19/98**  30       NA        NA       65       NA         NA       5
8/17/98**  25       NA        NA       69       NA         NA       6
*Washington Post: "As you may know, the independent counsel Kenneth Starr has delivered a report to Congress summarizing his investigation of the Lewinsky matter. Based on what you know or have heard..."
** "If he does not resign, do you think..."

COMPARE TO:
If Clinton lied by testifying under oath last January that he did not have an affair with Lewinsky, and he did not resign, is this something for which Clinton should be impeached, or not?


           Should be     Should not be       No
           impeached      impeached       opinion
8/16/98*      35             59               6
7/29/98       39             57               4
7/12/98**     39             55               7
1/31/98       40             51               9
1/25/98       55             40               5
1/24/98       54             41               5
1/23/98       55             38               7
*"last January" added
**Language: If Starr reports to Congress that he has evidence that Clinton had an affair with Lewinsky and lied about it under oath, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office?

15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling the issue of impeachment?


         Approve    Disapprove    No opinion
10/10/98   31         62              7
COMPARE TO:
Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling the investigation of the Lewinsky issue?

        Approve    Disapprove    No opinion
9/28/98    35         60              6
9/21/98    34         62              5
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling the issue of impeachment?

         Approve    Disapprove    No opinion
10/10/98   39         49              12
COMPARE TO:
Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling the investigation of the Lewinsky issue?
 
       Approve    Disapprove    No opinion
9/28/98    40         52              8
17. As you may know, the US House of Representatives recently voted to begin a formal inquiry into whether or not Clinton should be impeached. Do you approve or disapprove of the decision to hold formal impeachment hearings?

         Approve    Disapprove    No opinion
10/10/98   45         52              4
18. The hearings will be focused on the charges relating to the Lewinsky matter, but will also be open to other allegations against President Clinton. This open-ended format was patterned on the Watergate hearings. Do you approve of the decision to open the hearings to other allegations, or would you have preferred hearings limited to the Lewinsky matter?

        Open hearings    Limited hearings    No opinion
10/10/98       43            48                 9
19. If a candidate for Congress supports impeaching Clinton and removing him from office, would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate for Congress, more likely to vote against that candidate for Congress, or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote? (IF MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR OR AGAINST, ASK:) Could it be the deciding issue in your vote, or could other issues be as important?

          --------Vote for------- ----Vote against-----     No   No
          NET  Deciding  Others   NET   Deciding   Others  diff. opin.
10/10/98   14      6        9      25       14        11    57     3
9/28/98    21     10       12      29       15        14    48     2
 
20. Do you think the Republicans in Congress are mainly interested in finding out the truth, or do you think they're mainly interested in hurting Clinton politically?

          Truth    Hurting Clinton    No opinion
10/10/98    23          71                 6
9/28/98     29          66                 4
21. Do you think the Democrats in Congress are mainly interested in finding out the truth, or do you think they're mainly interested in protecting Clinton politically?

          Truth    Protecting Clinton    No opinion
10/10/98    26             63                11
9/28/98     29             65                 7
22. Given what you know, do you think Congress should or should not censure or officially reprimand Clinton for his actions in the Lewinsky matter?

         Should censure    Should not censure    No opinion
10/10/98        59              35                    6
9/28/98         61              33                    6
9/21/98         64              31                    4
9/14/98*        68              26                    6
9/11/98         67              26                    8
9/9/98          66              29                    4
8/23/98         55              40                    5
*"Given what you know..."
COMPARE TO:
Regardless of how you feel about impeachment or resignation, do you think Congress should or should not censure of officially reprimand Clinton for his actions in the Lewinsky matter?

          Yes    No    No opinion
9/13/98    57    38         5
23. Just your best guess, do you think Clinton will serve out the rest of his term, or do you think he will leave office through resignation or impeachment?

          Serve out term    Leave office    No opinion
10/10/98        70               25              5
9/13/98         69               27              4

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