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Post-ABC News Poll: Impeachment Follow-Up
Wednesday, December 17, 1998 The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on random telephone interviews with 759 adults on December 15, 1998. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
LV = Likely voter 1. As you may know, the House of Representatives will vote this week on whether or not to impeach Bill Clinton. If the House impeaches him, the Senate will hold a trial to decide whether or not Clinton should be removed from office. First, based on what you know, do you think the House should or should not impeach Clinton?
Should be Should not be No
impeached impeached opin.
12/15/98 39 60 1
COMPARE TO:
The full House will vote on impeachment next week, and if the House
impeaches Clinton the Senate will decide whether he should be removed from office. Based on what you know, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office? (GET ANSWER, THEN ASK: Do you feel that way strongly, or only somewhat?)
------Impeach--------- ----Don't Impeach----- No
NET Strngly Smewht NET Strngly Smewht opin.
12/13/98** 38 30 8 61 52 10 1
12/11/98* 38 NA NA 60 NA NA 2
12/6/98 33 NA NA 64 NA NA 3
11/22/98 30 NA NA 66 NA NA 4
11/1/98 27 NA NA 71 NA NA 2
11/1/98 LV 33 NA NA 65 NA NA 3
10/25/98 29 NA NA 66 NA NA 5
10/25/98 LV 32 NA NA 62 NA NA 6
10/18/98 29 NA NA 68 NA NA 3
10/18/98 LV 34 NA NA 62 NA NA 3
10/10/98 31 25 6 64 53 11 4
10/10/98LV 35 31 4 61 52 8 4
9/28/98** 31 24 7 66 52 14 3
9/28/98 LV 38 31 6 60 50 10 2
9/21/98 41 NA NA 57 NA NA 2
9/14/98 38 NA NA 59 NA NA 3
9/13/98*** 30 NA NA 64 NA NA 6
8/23/98**** 24 NA NA 70 NA NA 6
8/19/98**** 30 NA NA 65 NA NA 5
8/17/98**** 25 NA NA 69 NA NA 6
8/16/98***** 35 NA NA 59 NA NA 6
7/29/98***** 39 NA NA 57 NA NA 4
7/12/98****** 39 NA NA 55 NA NA 7
1/31/98***** 40 NA NA 51 NA NA 9
1/25/98***** 55 NA NA 40 NA NA 5
1/24/98***** 54 NA NA 41 NA NA 5
1/23/98***** 55 NA NA 38 NA NA 7
*New introduction**Asked strongly/somewhat follow 12/12 and 9/28 ***Washington Post: "As you may know, the independent counsel Kenneth Starr has delivered a report to Congress summarizing his investigation of the Lewinsky matter. Based on what you know or have heard..." **** "If he does not resign, do you think..." ***** "If Clinton lied by testifying under oath last January that he did not have an affair with Lewinsky, and he did not resign, is this something for which Clinton should be impeached, or not?" ******"If Starr reports to Congress that he has evidence that Clinton had an affair with Lewinsky and lied about it under oath, do you think..." 2. If the House does impeach Clinton, do you think the Senate should or should not remove him from office? Should remove Should not remove No
him from office him from office opin.
12/15/98 39 59 1
3. Of these two choices, which would be your preference: for the House to impeach Clinton, or for the House to censure or officially reprimand Clinton?
Neither No
Impeach Censure (vol.) opin.
12/15/98 36 57 6 1
COMPARE TO:
Given what you know, do you think Congress should or should not censure or officially reprimand Clinton for his actions in the Lewinsky matter?
Should censure Should not censure No opin. 12/13/98 59 37 4 12/11/98 61 34 4 12/6/98 59 38 3 11/1/98 59 38 3 11/1/98LV 62 34 4 10/18/98 60 34 5 10/18/98LV 64 32 4 10/10/98 59 35 6 10/10/98LV 65 32 3 9/28/98* 61 33 6 9/28/98LV 64 33 3 9/21/98* 64 31 4 9/14/98* 68 26 6 9/11/98 67 26 8 9/9/98 66 29 4 8/23/98 55 40 5 *"Given what you know…"4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Clinton as a person? (GET ANSWER, THEN ASK: Do you feel that way strongly, or only somewhat?) -------Favorable---------- -----Unfavorable--------- No
Net Strgly Smewht Net Strgly Smewht opin.
12/15/98 41 22 19 56 39 17 3
11/1/98 42 NA NA 54 NA NA 4
11/1/98LV 37 NA NA 60 NA NA 3
(Earlier comparable trend available. See 757 19 below)
COMPARE TO:
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Bill Clinton?
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion 9/28/98 48 47 5 8/23/98 45 49 6 8/21/98 56 40 4 8/19/98 39 57 4 7/12/98 54 40 6 5/12/98 54 42 4 4/4/98 55 39 6 2/18/98 56 41 3 1/30/98 60 35 6 1/25/98 54 42 5 1/24/98 51 44 5 1/19/98 59 35 6 1/12/98 59 33 7 10/13/97 59 37 4 9/10/97 57 38 5 3/9/97 60 38 3 9/4/96 (Reg.) 58 38 4 6/30/96 56 38 5 10/30/95 54 41 6 7/17/95 59 38 3 6/8/95 53 43 4 3/19/95 55 42 3 10/31/94 51 44 5 5/15/94 57 40 3 3/27/94 59 37 4 1/23/94 60 32 8 11/14/93 58 37 5 11/11/93 52 43 6 8/8/93 56 39 5 4/26/93 59 29 12 2/23/93 59 30 11 1/17/93 68 20 11 10/18/92 Likely 56 36 8 9/27/92 Likely 55 36 9 8/23/92 Reg. 54 36 10 7/19/92 Reg. 58 23 18 7/8/92 52 33 15 6/7/92 41 38 21 3/18/92 37 37 26 3/11/92 39 31 30 2/2/92 37 24 39 1/27/92 23 11 66 10/21/91 13 9 785. Just your best guess - do you think the House will or will not vote to impeach Clinton and send his case on to the Senate?
Will vote Will not No
to impeach vote to impeach opin.
12/15/98 67 30 3
6. Again, just your best guess - if the House does impeach Clinton, do you think the Senate will or will not remove him from office?
Remove him Will not remove him No opinion 12/15/98 37 60 47. How would you feel if Congress impeaches Clinton and removes him from office - would you be pleased about that, satisfied but not pleased, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?
------Pleased/Satisfied---- --Dissatisfied/Angry---
Pleased Satisfied, Dissatified, No
NET about that not pleased NET not angry Angry opin.
12/15/98 43 19 24 56 31 25 1
12/13/98 40 15 25 58 29 29 1
8. Do you think Clinton's actions in the Lewinsky matter are or are not serious enough to impeach a president and remove him from office?
Serious enough Not serious enough No opinion 12/15/98 37 62 1COMPARE TO: In general, do you think that lying under oath about an extramarital affair is or is not a good enough reason to impeach a president and remove him from office? Good enough Not good enough No opinion 12/13/98 38 61 1 12/11/98 41 56 2 11/22/98 35 63 2COMPARE TO: In general, do you think that obstructing the investigation of an extramarital affair is or is not a good enough reason to impeach a president and remove him from office? Good enough Not good enough No opinion 12/13/98 38 61 1 12/11/98 38 59 39. Which of these comes closer to your own opinion: Whatever happens to Clinton, it's his own fault; OR, Clinton slipped up, but his critics are taking unfair advantage of it. His own fault Critics taking advantage No opinion 12/15/98 54 46 *10. If your representative in Congress votes in favor of impeaching Clinton, would that make you more likely to support your representative in the next election, more likely to oppose your representative for re-election, or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote? Wouldn't make No
Support Oppose much difference opin.
12/15/98 20 28 50 2
11. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) If the full House votes to impeach Clinton, what do you think Clinton should do: Fight charges in the Senate, or resign from office?
Fight charges Resign from No
in the Senate office opinion
12/15/98 45 54 2
12/13/98 38 58 3
12. (ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE) The House of Representatives will vote this week on whether or not to impeach Clinton. If the House impeaches him, the Senate will hold a trial to decide whether or not Clinton should be removed from office. If the full House votes to impeach Clinton, what do you think Clinton should do: Fight the charges in the Senate, or resign from office?
Fight charges Resign from No
in the Senate office opinion
12/15/98 38 61 1
11/12 Summary:
Fight charges in Resign from No
the Senate (NET) office (NET) opinion
12/15/98 42 57 1
13. (ASKED OF THOSE WHO SAID RESIGN IN Q11 and Q12) Do you feel that way mainly because of what he did in the Lewinsky matter, or mainly because it would be the quickest way of bringing this matter to an end?
Because of Quickest way No
Lewinsky matter to an end opinion
12/15/98 38 59 3
14. We're interested in how much people know about the impeachment process. If the House votes to impeach Clinton, does that mean Clinton is removed from office and no longer is president; or does it mean he then has to stand trial in the Senate, which would decide whether to remove him from office?
Clinton is removed He has to stand No
from office trial in Senate opinion
12/15/98 9 85 6
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