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Washington Post - ABC News Poll

Wednesday, December 18, 2002

The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll is based on telephone interviews with 1,209 randomly selected adults nationwide and was conducted Dec. 12-15, 2002. The margin of sampling error for overall results is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Interviewing was conducted by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

             ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove-------    No 
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat   opin.
12/15/02     66       37         28      32       20         12        2
11/4/02  LV  67       45         23      31       20         12        1
11/3/02  LV  67       45         22      32       20         12        1
11/2/02  LV  67       47         20      32       23          9        1
10/27/02 All 67       39         28      29       16         13        4
10/27/02 LV  68       47         21      30       16         14        3
9/26/02      67       42         25      30       18         12        3
9/8/02       71       42         28      27       15         12        3
7/28/02      69       39         31      28       14         14        3
7/15/02      72       42         31      25       13         12        2
6/17/02      74       42         32      22       13          9        4
6/9/02       77       41         36      20       11          9        3
5/19/02      76       48         28      22       13          8        3
4/21/02      78       47         31      20       10          9        2
3/28/02      79       49         30      18       10          8        3
3/10/02      82       52         30      16        7          9        2
1/27/02      83       56         27      14        7          7        3
12/19/01     86       64         22      12        6          6        2
11/27/01     89       69         21       9        5          4        1
11/6/01      89       65         24       9        4          5        2
10/9/01      92       76         16       6        3          3        1
9/27/01      90       70         20       6        3          3        4
9/13/01      86       63         23      12        6          5        2
9/9/01       55       26         29      41       22         20        3
8/12/01      61       28         33      31       17         14        8
7/30/01      59       28         30      38       22         17        3
6/3/01       55       27         28      40       22         18        6
4/22/01      63       33         30      32       16         16        5
3/25/01      58       NA         NA      33       NA         NA        8
2/25/01      55       NA         NA      23       NA         NA       22
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling:
12/15/02 - Summary Table*

                                           Approve    Disapprove    No op.
a. The economy                                50          46           4
b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism        79          20           1
c. The situation with Iraq and 
   Saddam Hussein                             58          37           5
d. Education                                  62          30           8
e. Social Security                            49          38          13
f. The cost of prescription drugs             29          58          13
g. The environment                            50          40          10
h. The cost, availability and coverage       
   of health insurance                        33          58           9
i. Homeland security                          67          27           5
j. Taxes                                      51          44           5
*Half sample answered a-e, other half answered f-j.

Trend:

a. The economy

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
12/15/02      50            46              4
11/4/02  LV   53            45              2
11/3/02  LV   52            46              2
11/2/02  LV   55            43              2
10/27/02 All  51            43              6
10/27/02 LV   53            44              3
9/26/02       51            47              3
9/8/02        57            40              4
7/28/02       57            39              4
7/15/02       58            38              3
4/21/02       64            33              3
1/27/02       62            34              4
12/19/01      67            27              6       
11/6/01       72            23              5       
9/9/01        48            48              4       
7/30/01       52            45              3
6/3/01        53            41              6
4/22/01       55            38              7
3/25/01       50            42              8 

b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism

             ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove-------    No 
             NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat   opin.
12/15/02     79       NA         NA      20       NA         NA        1
11/4/02  LV  76       NA         NA      22       NA         NA        1
11/3/02  LV  77       NA         NA      22       NA         NA        3
11/2/02  LV  78       NA         NA      21       NA         NA        2
10/27/02 All 74       NA         NA      23       NA         NA        4
10/27/02 LV  78       NA         NA      20       NA         NA        2
9/26/02      70       NA         NA      28       NA         NA        2
9/8/02       74       NA         NA      24       NA         NA        2
7/28/02      81       NA         NA      17       NA         NA        2
7/15/02      83       NA         NA      15       NA         NA        2
5/19/02      79       51         27      19       10          9        3
4/21/02      81       56         25      18       10          7        2
3/10/02      88       64         24      10        5          5        2
1/27/02      88       NA         NA      10       NA         NA        2
12/19/01     89       67         22       9        5          4        2
10/15/01     92       75         17       5        3          3        3

c. The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
12/15/02      58            37              5
11/4/02  LV   56            40              4
11/3/02  LV   57            40              4
11/2/02  LV   56            41              3
10/27/02 All  57            38              5
10/27/02 LV   61            37              3
9/26/02       58            39              3
9/14/02       65            31              4
8/29/02       52            36             12

d. Education

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
12/15/02      62            30              8
9/26/02       61            32              7
7/15/02       62            31              6
1/27/02       71            21              8
9/9/01        61            32              7
7/30/01       63            31              5
6/3/01        57            35              8
4/22/01       60            28             12

e. Social Security

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
12/15/02      49            38             13
9/26/02       42            43             15
7/15/02       54            35             11
1/27/02       54            28             18
9/9/01        41            50              9
7/30/01       46            48              6
6/3/01        46            40             14

f. The cost of prescription drugs

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
12/15/02      29            58             13
9/26/02       29            53             18
7/15/02       35            50             15
9/9/01        32            56             12
7/30/01       40            51              9

g. The environment

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
12/15/02      50            40             10

Compare to: Environmental issues

            Approve     Disapprove     No opinion
9/26/02       49            40             11
7/15/02       52            39              9
1/27/02       54            31             15
9/9/01        50            44              6
7/30/01       45            49              6
6/3/01        41            50              9
4/22/01       47            41             12
3/25/01       46            41             13

h,i,j. No trend. 

3. For each issue I name, please tell me what kind of priority you think Bush and the Congress should give it - the highest priority, a high priority but not the highest, a middle priority, or a lower priority.

12/15/02 - Summary Table*

                             ------High-------                   None    No.
                             NET  Highst  High   Middle  Lower  (vol.)   op.
a. The economy                85    41     44      11       3      *      1

b. The U.S. campaign     
    against terrorism         83    48     35      12       3      *      2  

c. The situation with Iraq
   and Saddam Hussein         75    39     36      16       8      *      *

d. Education                  79    34     45      18       3      0      1

e. Social Security            67    26     41      28       4      *      1

f. The cost of 
   prescription drugs         58    21     37      29      12      *      1

g. The environment            53    18     35      34      12      0      1

h. The cost, availability, 
   and coverage of health
   insurance                  72    28     44      21       6      0      1

i. Homeland security          83    49     34      12       5      *      *

j. Taxes                      54    19     36      35      10      1      1

*Half sample answered a-e, other half answered f-j.

4. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good or poor?

               ----Excellent/Good-----    -----Not so good/Poor-----   No  
               NET   Excellent    Good    NET    Not so good   Poor    op.
12/15/02       35        1         33     65        44          21      1
11/4/02 LV     28        1         27     72        55          17      1
11/3/02 LV     27        1         26     72        56          17      1
11/2/02 LV     29        1         28     71        54          17      *
9/26/02        31        2         28     69        50          19      *
7/15/02        39        3         36     61        44          17      1
2/21/02        30        1         29     69        51          18      *
1/27/02        31        1         29     69        50          19      *
9/20/01        38        3         35     60        47          14      2
9/9/01         33        1         32     66        47          19      *
7/30/01        50        3         46     50        39          12      *
4/22/01        50        3         47     50        40           9      *
1/15/01        70       10         59     29        24           6      1 
10/27/00 LV    86       24         61     14        11           3      * 
10/26/00 LV    86       24         61     14        11           3      * 
6/11/00        74       17         57     26        19           6      *  
2/27/00        80       25         55     20        14           5      *  
10/31/99       74       18         56     26        18           7      1  
9/2/99         76       19         57     23        16           6      1  
3/14/99        80       22         58     19        15           4      1  
11/1/98        73       12         61     26        21           5      1  
11/1/98  LV    78       13         65     22        19           3      *  
10/13/97       61       12         49     39        27          11      *

5. Overall, which party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job in coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years?

                                        Both   Neither                         
             Democrats   Republicans   (vol.)   (vol.)   No opinion            
12/15/02        41           44          2       11           2
10/27/02 LV     39           51          2        5           2
9/26/02         39           46          3        8           4
9/26/02 LV      42           49          1        7           2
7/15/02         42           45          2        7           4
1/27/02         40           44          3       10           4
4/22/01         47           40          4        7           3
7/23/00         42           42          2        9           6
9/2/99          45           39          4        9           4
6/6/99          45           35          3       13           5
3/14/99         47           37          5        9           3
2/14/99         48           37          4        7           4
10/18/98        44           36          3       12           6
10/18/98 LV     43           42          3       10           2
9/28/98         49           38          2        8           3
9/28/98 LV      45           44          1        8           2
8/21/98         48           36          4        9           3
7/12/98         45           38          3        8           6
1/31/98         47           37          4        6           7
1/19/98         45           42          2        7           4
7/8/97          44           37          2       14           3
9/15/96 RV      45           38          3       11           3
8/5/96          43           38          3       11           3
6/30/96         46           37          3       12           3
5/22/96         47           38          3       10           3
11/6/94 RV      41           39          2       12           6
10/31/94        43           43          2        8           4
10/23/94        39           40          3       15           3
9/11/94         43           40          4       11           3
6/26/94         41           36          3       14           5
2/27/94         46           32          4       16           3
11/14/93        42           39          3       11           4
1/17/93         49           28          5       13           5
7/8/92          48           38          1        8           4
6/7/92          43           37          3       11           6
3/11/92         45           37          1       11           5
3/8/92          51           36          1        7           5
2/2/92          49           39          2        7           3
12/15/91        39           37          3       15           6
10/21/91        39           40          3       13           5

6. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling:

12/15/02  - Summary Table*
                                                    Both    Neither    No
                           Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.
a. The economy                 44          45         4        6        1

b. The U.S. campaign 
   against terrorism           25          61         5        6        2

c. The situation with 
   Iraq and Saddam Hussein     30          56         4        7        3

d. Education                   49          40         4        5        2

e. Social Security             54          34         3        6        3

f. The cost of prescription 
   drugs                       54          32         3        7        4
   
g. The environment             54          33         3        6        4
    
h. The cost, availability 
   and coverage of health 
   insurance                   53          33         3        7        4

i. Homeland security           31          58         3        6        3
   
j. Taxes                       46          44         2        6        2

*Half sample answered a-e, other half answered f-j.

Trend:

a. The economy

                                        Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
12/15/02            44          45         4        6        1

Compare to: The economy and jobs

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
10/27/02 LV         43          48         3        3        2 
9/26/02  LV         50          41         3        5        1
9/26/02             47          39         3        6        5 

b. The U.S. campaign against terrorism

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
12/15/02            25          61         5        6        2

Compare to: The war on terrorism

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
10/27/02 LV         26          61         4        5        4 
9/26/02  LV         34          52         4        7        3
9/26/02             30          51         6        6        8

c. The situation with Iraq and Saddam Hussein

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
12/15/02            30          56         4        7        3
10/27/02 LV         31          58         3        4        4 
9/26/02  LV         30          61         3        3        2
9/26/02             33          52         6        4        6      

d. Education

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
12/15/02            49          40         4        5        2
10/27/02 LV         44          45         4        3        3 
9/26/02  LV         47          43         3        5        1
9/26/02             46          39         4        5        6  

e. Social Security

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
12/15/02            54          34         3        6        3
10/27/02 LV         51          39         3        4        3 
9/26/02  LV         50          34         4       10        3
9/26/02             50          33         3        8        6

f. The cost of prescription drugs

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
12/15/02            54          32         3        7        4

Compare to: Prescription drug benefits for the elderly

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
10/27/02 LV         53          36         2        5        4 
9/26/02  LV         51          38         3        5        4
9/26/02             48          35         4        5        8 

g. The environment

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
12/15/02            54          33         3        6        4
9/26/02             55          31         3        4        6  

h. The cost, availability, and coverage of health insurance

                                         Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
12/15/02            53          33         3        7        4 

Compare to: Health care

                                          Both    Neither    No      
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
10/27/02 LV         50          39         3        5        3 
9/26/02  LV         49          39         3        5        4
9/26/02             50          35         4        5        6 

i. No trend.

j. Taxes

                                         Both    Neither    No
                Democrats  Republicans  (vol.)    (vol.)    op.     
12/15/02            46          44         2        6        2
9/26/02             44          44         3        6        4

7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of:

12/15/02  - Summary Table

                          Favorable     Unfavorable     No opinion
a. The Republican party      56             38               5
b. The Democratic party      56             37               6

Trend:

a. The Republican Party

             Favorable   Unfavorable   No opinion
12/15/02        56           38             5
1/27/02         63           30             7
7/30/01         51           46             3
12/15/00        54           35            11
1/16/00         53           37            10
1/10/00*        53           41             6
1/10/00  LV     56           39             5
11/21/99        50           44             6
5/2/99          47           44             9
2/21/99         45           46             9
2/13/99         40           54             5
2/8/99          45           47             8
1/10/99         40           52             8
12/20/98        31           57            12
12/16/98        43           47            10
10/29/97        50           42             8
9/1/96   RV     50           45             5
8/18/96  RV     55           41             4
8/7/96   RV     51           44             5
4/10/96         52           41             7
4/19/95         52           42             6
7/8/92   RV     53           39             8
*1/10/00 and previous: Gallup

b. The Democratic Party

             Favorable   Unfavorable   No opinion
12/15/02        56           37             6
1/27/02         56           36             8
7/30/01         60           36             4
12/15/00        64           25            11
1/16/00         56           35             9
1/10/00*        61           33             6
1/10/00  LV     58           37             5
11/21/99        51           41             8
5/2/99          53           37            10
2/21/99         55           37             8
2/13/99         56           38             6
2/8/99          57           37             6
1/10/99         57           35             8
12/20/98        57           30            13
12/16/98        58           32            10
10/29/97        54           39             7
9/1/96   RV     60           36             4
8/18/96  RV     55           41             4
8/7/96   RV     57           38             5
4/10/96         55           38             7
4/19/95         51           43             6
7/8/92   RV     54           38             8     
*1/10/00 and previous: Gallup

8. With control of Congress and the presidency, do you think the Republicans should work mainly to (carry out their agenda), or should work mainly to (compromise with the Democrats)?

              Carry out       Compromise with       No
             their agenda      the Democrats      opinion
12/15/02          35                62              2

9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of George W. Bush?

             Favorable   Unfavorable   No opinion
12/15/02        66           32             3
12/15/00        56           36             8
10/15/00 RV     46           34            21
9/6/00 RV       58           31            11
7/23/00 RV      61           30             9
7/23/00         62           29             9
6/11/00 RV      54           29            17
6/11/00         50           28            22
4/2/00          50           31            19
2/27/00         49           39            11
10/31/99        69           24             8
9/2/99          61           23            16
6/6/99          54           15            30
3/14/99         54           14            32
2/14/99         51           13            36
1/19/98         34           13            53

10. (IF FAVORABLE) Why do you feel that way - what's the main reason? Any other reason?

                                   12/15/02

PROFESSIONAL                         64 
Doing a good job as president/        
   satisfied with job                 41
Approve of handling war on 
   terrorism or 9/11                  19       
Approve of handling Iraq/
   Saddam Hussein                      6
Approve of policies/foreign
   and/or domestic policies            7

PERSONAL                             46
Good values/moral/honest/
   good character                     22
Like his personal approach/style/
   like him as a person               13
Strong leader                         14
Knowledgeable                          2
Conservative                           1

Other                                 2
No opinion                            2

11. (IF UNFAVORABLE) Why do you feel that way - what's the main reason? Any other reason?

                                   12/15/02

PROFESSIONAL                         66
Not doing a good job as president/
   dissatisfied with job              23
Disapprove of handling war on 
   terrorism or 9/11                   8
Disapprove of handling Iraq/
   Saddam Hussein                     19
Disapprove of handling the economy/
   economic policies                  16
Disapprove of policies/foreign 
   and/or domestic polices            15

PERSONAL                             39
Dislike his personal approach/
   style/dislike him as a person      19
Weak leader/lets others make 
   decisions for him                  11
Too conservative                       2
Favors rich                            9
Uninformed/not knowledgeable/
   not intelligent                     5

Disapprove of how he won the election 2
Other                                 2
No opinion                            2 

12. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Bush or not.

12/15/02 - Summary Table

                                      Yes     No     No opin.
a. He understands the problems of     
    people like you                    51     47        2
b. He is honest and trustworthy        70     26        4
c. He is a strong leader               75     23        2
d. He's got a vision for the future    74     24        3
e. He understands complex issues       63     34        3
f. He has brought needed change 
   to Washington                       53     44        3
g. He has made the country safer 
   and more secure                     65     33        2
*Half sample answered a-d, other half answered e-g.

Trend:

a. He understands the problems of people like you

                Yes     No     No opin.
12/15/02         51     47        2
7/15/02          57     41        2
1/27/02          61     37        2
7/30/01          45     54        2
4/22/01          47     51        2
11/4/00 LV       49     46        5
10/24/00 LV      50     46        3
10/15/00 RV      46     46        7
10/9/00 RV       50     44        6
9/6/00 RV        47     49        4
8/20/00 RV       50     46        5
7/23/00 RV       44     51        5
7/23/00          44     51        5
6/11/00          48     47        5
4/2/00           48     46        6
3/11/00          47     47        6
2/27/00          43     51        6
2/6/00           43     52        5
1/16/00          46     49        6
12/15/99         47     46        7
10/31/99         54     39        7
9/2/99           50     39       11
3/14/99          52     27       21

b. He is honest and trustworthy

                Yes     No     No opin.
12/15/02         70     26        4
7/15/02          71     26        3
7/30/01          63     34        3
4/22/01          62     32        6       
11/5/00 LV       60     33        7
11/4/00 LV       61     33        7
10/24/00 LV      65     30        5
10/15/00 LV      57     34        9
10/15/00 RV      53     35       12
9/6/00 RV        62     30        7
7/23/00 RV       61     30        8
7/23/00          59     31       10
12/15/99         63     28        9
10/31/99         68     22       10
9/2/99           63     23       14
3/14/99          67     12       22

c. He is a strong leader

                Yes     No     No opin.
12/15/02         75     23        2
7/15/02          75     24        1
7/30/01          55     43        2
4/22/01          53     42        5
10/9/00 RV       62     33        5
9/6/00 RV        65     28        7
8/20/00 RV       65     29        5
8/10/00 RV       67     29        5
7/23/00 RV       61     33        6
7/23/00          62     32        5
6/11/00          65     30        6
4/2/00           68     27        5
3/11/00          63     31        6
2/27/00          62     32        6
2/6/00           65     30        7
1/16/00          65     28        7
12/15/99         67     26        7
10/31/99         77     18        5
9/2/99           70     18       12
3/14/99          68     13       20

d. He's got a vision for the future

                Yes     No     No opin.
12/15/02         74     24        3
7/30/01          67     31        2
4/22/01          68     30        2    
3/14/99          66     12       21

e. He understands complex issues

                Yes     No     No opin.
12/15/02         63     34        3
7/30/01          53     45        2
11/4/00          60     36        4

f. He has brought needed change to Washington

                Yes     No     No opin.
12/15/02         53     44        3
7/30/01          50     47        3
9/6/00 RV*       55     41        5
7/23/00 RV       50     46        4
7/23/00          51     44        5
4/2/00           54     39        7
3/11/00          50     43        7
2/27/00          46     50        4
2/6/00           48     46        6
1/16/00          49     43        8
12/15/99         52     40        8
10/31/99         61     32        7
9/2/99           56     32       12
*9/6/00 and previous: "He would bring needed change to Washington"

g. No trend.

13. Do you think George W. Bush is (pretty much the same as other top Republicans) or is he (a different kind of Republican)?

             Same   Different   No opin.
12/15/02      50       46           4
8/6/00        56       35          10

14. For each group I name, please tell me if you think it has too much influence in the Bush administration, too little influence or about the right amount.

12/15/02 - Summary Table

                                   Too       Too       Right       No
                                   much     little     amount     opin.         
a. Large business corporations      60        10         26         4  
b. Environmental groups             14        45         35         5
c. The oil and gas industries       56        13         26         5
d. People like you                   3        61         35         2
e. Conservative religious groups    28        21         45         7

Trend:

a. Large business corporations

           Too       Too       Right       No
           much     little     amount     opin.         
12/15/02    60        10         26         4
1/27/02     59         8         29         4  
7/30/01     67         7         24         2 

b. Environmental groups

           Too       Too       Right       No
           much     little     amount     opin.
12/15/02    14        45         35         5
1/27/02     12        40         44         4  
7/30/01     20        46         31         3

c. The oil and gas industries

           Too       Too       Right       No
           much     little     amount     opin.         
12/15/02    56        13         26         5
1/27/02     48        14         32         6  
7/30/01     64        13         20         3

d. People like you

           Too       Too       Right       No
           much     little     amount     opin.         
12/15/02     3        61         35         2
1/27/02      3        49         46         2  
7/30/01      1        67         30         1

e. Conservative religious groups

           Too       Too       Right       No
           much     little     amount     opin.         
12/15/02    28        21         45         7
7/30/01     32        23         42         4

15. Do you think Bush is mainly concentrating on things that are important to you personally, or on things that are not important to you personally?

          Important     Not important      No
            to you         to you         opin. 
12/15/02      52              45            3
7/15/02       53              44            3
7/30/01       45              53            2

16. On another subject, would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action against Iraq to force Saddam Hussein from power? Would you say you favor/oppose military action against Iraq strongly or only somewhat?

            ----------Favor----------   ----------Oppose----------    No 
            NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat    opin.
12/15/02    62       41        20        35      20         15         3
11/17/02    64       NA        NA        29      NA         NA         7
9/26/02     61       NA        NA        34      NA         NA         5
9/14/02     68       NA        NA        29      NA         NA         3
8/29/02     56       NA        NA        34      NA         NA        10
8/11/02     69       NA        NA        22      NA         NA         9
3/10/02     72       NA        NA        24      NA         NA         4      
2/21/02     67       46        21        30      12         18         4
1/27/02     71       NA        NA        24      NA         NA         4
12/19/01    72       NA        NA        24      NA         NA         5
11/27/01    78       NA        NA        17      NA         NA         6
10/11/94*   72       NA        NA        23      NA         NA         5
1/15/93**   82       NA        NA        15      NA         NA         3 
8/21/92 RV  65       NA        NA        30      NA         NA         5 
2/9/92      62       NA        NA        35      NA         NA         3
4/22/91     51       NA        NA        43      NA         NA         6
4/5/91      54       NA        NA        37      NA         NA         9
3/15/91     57       NA        NA        38      NA         NA         5
*10/11/94 and previous: Gallup
**1/15/93 and previous: Would you support or oppose having U.S. forces resume military action...?  

17. (IF FAVOR) Would you favor or oppose:

12/15/02 - Summary Table (NET ALL RESPONDENTS)

                                          Favor   Oppose   No opinion
a. Having U.S. forces take military 
   action against Iraq, even if U.S. 
   allies oppose such action               42       52         6         

b. Having U.S. forces take military 
   action against Iraq, even if the 
   United Nations opposes such action      37       58         5          

c. A major U.S. bombing campaign 
   against Iraqi military targets          50       45         5         

d. A U.S. invasion of Iraq with 
   ground troops                           45       50         5          

e. (IF FAVOR INVASION) A U.S. invasion 
   of Iraq with ground troops, even if 
   it means a significant number of U.S.  
   military casualties                     30       63         6          

Trend:

a. Having U.S. forces take military action against Iraq, even if U.S. allies oppose such action

           Favor   Oppose   No opinion
12/15/02    42       52         6

Compare to: What if U.S. allies opposed such military action - in that case would you favor or oppose having U.S. forces take military action against Iraq?

           Favor   Oppose   No opinion
9/26/02     46       47        7
9/14/02     51       44        5
8/29/02     39       48       14
8/11/02     54       33       12
3/10/02     55       39        6

b,c,d,e. No trend. 

18. Would you support or oppose having the United States attack Iraq with nuclear weapons if Iraq attacked U.S. forces with biological or chemical weapons?

           Support   Oppose     No opin.
12/15/02     60        37           3

19. Do you think the Bush Administration has or has not done enough to try to win support from other countries for taking military action against Iraq?

            Has done     Has not done        No
             enough         enough        opinion 
12/15/02       66             31             3 
9/14/02        54             41             5 

20. Do you think Bush has presented enough evidence showing why the United States should use military force to remove Saddam Hussein from power, or would you like him to present more evidence?

            Has enough     Would like        No
             evidence         more        opinion
12/15/02        40             58            2
9/14/02         48             50            2

21. Which concerns you more: that the Bush administration (might move too quickly) to take military action against Iraq, or the Bush Administration (might not move quickly enough)?

              Too       Not quickly     Neither       No
            quickly        enough        (vol)      opinion
12/15/02       54            40            5           2
9/26/02        52            40            6           1

22. Do you think Iraq currently does or does not have weapons of mass destruction - meaning chemical, biological or nuclear weapons?

             Yes, has     No, does not        No
              weapons     have weapons     opinion     
12/15/02        89              6             5

23. (IF NO) Do you think Iraq IS or IS NOT trying to develop these weapons?

             Yes, trying     No, not trying        No
             to develop        to develop       opinion
12/15/02          63               16              21

24. Do you think Iraq does or does not pose a threat to the United States?

             Does   Does not   No opin.
12/15/02      81       17         2
8/11/02       79       16         5

25. (IF POSES THREAT) Do you think it's a big threat or not big?

               Big      Not big      No
             threat     threat     opinion
12/15/02       79         18          3

26. (IF POSES THREAT) Do you think it's an immediate threat or not immediate?

             Immediate     Not immediate     No opinion
12/15/02        54              42               4

27. Just your best guess, do you think the United States is headed for war with Iraq, or not?

             Yes    No    No opinion
12/15/02     87     12        2                                      
8/29/02      71     22        6                                      
11/11/97*    54     40        6
9/3/96       52     44        4
1/13/93      59     35        6
*11/97 and previous: "another war"

28. On another subject, do you think the United States is doing all it reasonably can do to try to prevent further terrorist attacks, or do you think it should do more?

              US doing      US should      No
             all it can      do more      opin.
12/15/02         55            43          2
6/16/02          56            40          4 
5/19/02          54            42          4 
3/10/02          66            33          1 
12/19/01         59            40          1 
11/27/01         62            36          1 
11/6/01          56            43          2 
10/15/01         68            29          3 
10/9/01          71            27          2

29a. As it conducts the war on terrorism, do you think the United States government is or is not doing enough to protect the rights of American citizens?

             Yes     No     Doing too much (vol.)     No opin.
12/15/02     61      35           *                      3
6/16/02      65      30           2                      3

29b. As it conducts the war on terrorism, do you think the United States government is doing enough to protect the rights of American citizens, or do you think the government is not doing enough to protect the rights of American citizens?

             Yes     No     Doing too much (vol.)     No opin.
12/15/02     61      35           *                      4
6/16/02      62      34           2                      2

30. On another subject, how much blame do you think Bush should get for current economic problems - a great deal, a good amount, only some, or hardly any?

              --------Blame---------  -----------No Blame-----------   No
              NET Grt.deal Good amt.  NET  Some  Hardly  None (vol.)   op.    
12/15/02      41      18      24      56    33     22        2          2
11/4/02  LV   37      19      18      63    29     28        5          1
11/3/02  LV   35      17      18      65    30     29        6          1
11/2/02  LV   34      15      19      65    29     31        5          1
10/27/02 LV   39      22      18      60    28     27        5          *

31a. (HALF SAMPLE) What's more important TO YOU - (having the government provide needed services), or (cutting taxes)?

             Provide      Cutting      Both      Neither      No
             services      taxes      (vol.)      (vol.)     opin. 
12/15/02        62           34          2           *         1

31b. (HALF SAMPLE) What do you think is more important TO BUSH - (having the government provide needed services) or (cutting taxes)?

             Provide      Cutting      Both      Neither      No
             services      taxes      (vol.)      (vol.)     opin. 
12/15/02        32           57          2           3         6

32a. (OTHER HALF SAMPLE) What's more important TO YOU - (balancing the federal budget), or (cutting taxes)?

             Balance      Cutting      Both      Neither      No
              budget       taxes      (vol.)      (vol.)     opin. 
12/15/02        56           41          2           1         1

32b. (OTHER HALF SAMPLE) What do you think is more important TO BUSH - (balancing the federal budget), or (cutting taxes)?

             Balance      Cutting      Both      Neither      No
              budget       taxes      (vol.)      (vol.)     opin. 
12/15/02        40           53          2           2         4

35. On another subject…overall, would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Catholic Church?

                 ------Favorable------     ------Unfavorable----    No
                NET   Very   Somewhat     NET   Somewhat   Very     op.
12/15/02 All    40     NA       NA        52       NA       NA       8
         Cath.  69     NA       NA        30       NA       NA       2
6/17/02  All    45     NA       NA        47       NA       NA       9
         Cath.  69     NA       NA        28       NA       NA       3
6/9/02   All    47     NA       NA        45       NA       NA       7
         Cath.  70     NA       NA        28       NA       NA       2
3/28/02  All    55     NA       NA        34       NA       NA      11
         Cath.  73     NA       NA        24       NA       NA       3
2/20/02  All    63     NA       NA        27       NA       NA      11
         Cath.  88     NA       NA         9       NA       NA       4
8/30/99* All    68     32       36        19       12        9      13          
*Wash Post/Kaiser/Harvard

36. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Catholic Church is handling the issue of sexual abuse of children by priests? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

               ---------Approve---------   --------Disapprove-------   No
               NET   Strongly   Somewhat   NET   Strongly   Somewhat   op. 
12/15/02 All   20        7         12      76       58         18       4
         Cath. 27       16         11      69       51         18       4
6/23/02  All   23        8         15      66       46         21      11
         Cath. 32       12         20      61       44         17       7
6/9/02   All   22        8         15      73       53         20       5     
         Cath. 34       16         17      63       41         22       3     
4/30/02  All   25        7         17      59       41         18      16     
         Cath. 35       13         22      59       42         17       7

37. Do you think the church can or cannot be trusted to handle this issue properly in the future?

                   Can be    Cannot be     No
                   trusted    trusted     opin.
12/15/02 All          42         54          4 
         Cath.        56         39          6
6/17/02  All          50         43          6 
         Cath.        67         29          4
4/21/02  All          40         52          8 
         Cath.        59         36          5

90. Do you think the Democratic Party is or is not committed to equal opportunity for minorities?

             Committed     Not committed     No opinion
12/15/02         78              18               4

91. Do you think the Republican Party is or is not committed to equal opportunity for minorities?

             Committed     Not committed     No opinion
12/15/02         60              36               4

99. Trent Lott, who is the Republican leader of the U-S Senate, recently said the country would be better off if Strom Thurmond were elected president in 1948, when Thurmond ran as a segregationist favoring separation of blacks and whites.

Lott later apologized for the comment. Do you think Lott should or should not continue to serve as Republican leader of the Senate?

             Yes     No     No opinion
12/15/02     41      51          8 

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