Expert Predictions for Election 2010
For every election since the 1982 midterms, we’ve asked top politics watchers to put their reps on the line and offer their best predictions in Outlook's Crystal Ball competition.
This year, a star-studded group of political reporters and editors—the kind you always see on TV yakking away about the campaign—have put down their BlackBerrys long enough to predict the results of the 2010 midterms. On Sunday, Nov. 7 (or whenever the election results are final), we’ll proclaim a winner. Who will take home the prize? And how do your predictions stack up against the experts'? After looking at the ballots below, share your own predictions with us.
This year, a star-studded group of political reporters and editors—the kind you always see on TV yakking away about the campaign—have put down their BlackBerrys long enough to predict the results of the 2010 midterms. On Sunday, Nov. 7 (or whenever the election results are final), we’ll proclaim a winner. Who will take home the prize? And how do your predictions stack up against the experts'? After looking at the ballots below, share your own predictions with us.
8 of 9
think Democrats will keep the Senate
think Democrats will keep the Senate
9 of 9
think Republicans will take the House
think Republicans will take the House
7 of 9
think Angle will win Nevada Senate race
think Angle will win Nevada Senate race
Click on a contestant to view his or her predictions.
How we score each question
1) Control of Senate: 1 point for accurately choosing the party that controls the Senate; 2 additional points if you predict the exact breakdown.
2) Control of House: 1 point for accurately predicting the party that controls the House; 2 additional points for coming within 5 House seats.
3) Nevada Senate race: 1 point for choosing the winner correctly; 1 additional point for whoever comes closest in the percentage breakdown (and that becomes a 2-point bonus if you guess the exact breakdown to the one-decimal point).
4) Colorado Senate race: 1 point for choosing the winner correctly; 1 additional point for whoever comes closest in the percentage breakdown (and that becomes a 2-point bonus if you guess the exact breakdown to the one-decimal point).
5) California Governor's Race: 1 point for choosing the winner correctly; 1 additional point for whoever comes closest in the percentage breakdown (and that becomes a 2-point bonus if you guess the exact breakdown to the one-decimal point).
6) Maryland Governor's Race: 1 point for choosing the winner correctly; 1 additional point for whoever comes closest in the percentage breakdown (and that becomes a 2-point bonus if you guess the exact breakdown to the one-decimal point).
7) TIEBREAKER: Delaware Senate race: Percentage of the vote that Christine O'Donnell will win.
This means the total number of possible points is 18. If there is a tie, the tiebreaker question will decide the winner.
2010 Campaign Map
Full state-by-state coverage of House, senatorial and gubernatorial races.
Full state-by-state coverage of House, senatorial and gubernatorial races.
Follow the money
Find out who's raising what and where they're spending it.
Find out who's raising what and where they're spending it.
Palin endorsement tracker
Use this graphic to explore Mama Grizzly's endorsements, and see how they fare.
Use this graphic to explore Mama Grizzly's endorsements, and see how they fare.