3. Seattle Mariners
2003 Finish: 93-69, 2nd.
Manager: Bob Melvin (second season, 93-69).
Ace: Jamie Moyer (21-7, 3.27) has no dominant pitch, and has thrown at least 200 innings five of the past six years. However, the 41-year-old's ERA has dipped for four straight seasons.
Best Young Arm: One of the few Seattle starters to close the season well, 25-year-old Joel Piñeiro (16-11, 3.78) was 3-1 in September.
Closer: Eddie Guardado has recorded the most saves among American League relievers the past two seasons (86). Kaz Sasaki's return to Japan will barely be noticed.
Key Acquisition: Rich Aurilia is steady at shortstop and is an upgrade offensively over Carlos Guillen. His 2001 numbers (.324, 37 home runs, 97 RBI) seem like an anomaly, but they did come when he was entrenched in the Giants' No. 2 position. That's where he'll start this year.
Core Question: The Mariners' five-man rotation started all 162 games last year, but can the staff sustain that kind of wear again this season?
Projected Finish: Third. Even if it wins 90 games, Seattle could still finish behind Anaheim and Oakland.
4. Texas Rangers
2003 Finish: 71-91, 4th.
Manager: Buck Showalter (eighth season overall, 634-595).
Ace: Kenny Rogers (13-8, 4.57 with Minnesota) is the Rangers' only proven winner with 13 wins or more six times in his career, four times with Texas.
Best Young Arm: Colby Lewis, 24, was the only full-time starter for the Rangers to post a winning record last year (10-9). Of course, he also had a 7.30 ERA.
Closer: Francisco Cordero saved 15 games and blew another 10 save opportunities. A huge question mark, and Cordero is, at best, an average answer.
Key Acquisition: Alfonso Soriano always has been a No. 3 hitter batting leadoff, averaging 32 home runs and 87 RBI the past three seasons. He is the third player -- Willie Mays and Bobby Bonds were the first two -- to record back-to-back seasons of 35 home runs and 35 steals (2002 and '03).
Core Question: Can Showalter really convince his young team that it can keep pace with the rest of the division?
Projected Finish: Every other team in the division opens the season with playoff aspirations. Not the Rangers. Texas is a safe bet to finish fourth.
-- Drew vanEsselstyn
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