4. Montreal Expos
2003 Finish: 83-79, 4th.
Manager: Frank Robinson (14th season overall, 846-909).
Ace: Livan Hernandez (15-10, 3.20 ERA) led the NL with eight complete games. With a little run support, his numbers could have been better: He had a 1.74 ERA against the Phillies and 2.37 ERA against the Marlins but was just 5-3 in those games.
Best Young Arm: Tony Armas was the Opening Day starter last year and had a 2.61 ERA when he had season-ending elbow surgery in May. Armas, 25, is expected to make a full recovery.
Closer: Rocky Biddle (34 saves) went 1-4 with a 9.53 ERA in August and had a 5.81 ERA after the all-star break. Maybe he was just confused: On his former team, the White Sox, those numbers would be considered good. Another possibility is Luis Ayala (10-3, 2.92, five saves).
Key Acquisition: Carl Everett. Stonewall Jackson once said an army marches on its stomach -- not literally, of course, he meant that soldiers need to be well-fed. Everett endeared himself to his new teammates by springing for pregame spreads, including pasta and seafood. The cash-strapped team was providing only sandwiches for the poor dears.
Core Question: How many home games do they have this year? The team will play only 59 games at Olympic Stadium; their other 22 home games are in Puerto Rico. This could be bad, considering Montreal was 30-51 in road games last year.
Projected Finish: Fourth.
5. New York Mets
2003 Finish: 66-95, 5th.
Manager: Art Howe (14th season overall, 1,058-1,046).
Ace: Steve Trachsel (16-10, 3.78) led the staff in wins last year and has been solid the past two years. Al Leiter is good, too, considering he had led the staff in wins in 2002 (13) and 2001 (11). Notice we haven't mentioned Tom Glavine?
Best Young Arm: Jae Weong Seo was 9-12 with a 3.82 ERA as a rookie. But really, the Mets' future ace is probably on Florida's or Montreal's roster, just waiting to be sold.
Closer: Braden Looper (3.68 ERA, 28 saves with Florida) was replaced by Ugueth Urbina late in the season and had a 9.82 ERA in the World Series. The Marlins didn't re-sign either of them. Looper is not an overpowering pitcher -- he had 56 strikeouts in 802/3 innings.
Key Acquisition: Mike Cameron is one of the best fielding center fielders in baseball and gives the Mets, along with SS Kaz Matsui and 2B Jose Reyes, an excellent defensive team up the middle.
Core Question: How will Glavine pitch? Especially with a poor bullpen, the Mets could use a strong season from him.
Projected Finish: Fifth, for the third straight year. Offense and relief pitching generally aren't good things to be without.
-- Christian Swezey
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