2011 Preakness preview
Post Time: Saturday, May 21, 6:18 p.m., NBC
Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) explained
- Preparing for the Preakness | Column: Beyer's pick
| Horse | Andrew Beyer's Analysis | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1. AstrologyTrainer: Steve AsmussenJockey: Mike Smith | Second in his last three starts, he's the second-stringer in Asmussen's barn behind Nehro, who finished second in the Derby. | 15-1BSF: 93 |
![]() | 2. Norman AsbjornsonTrainer: Christopher GroveJockey: Julian Pimentel | Trainer says his colt is "peaking right now," but 4th-place finish in slow Wood Memorial wasn't encouraging. | 30-1BSF: 87 |
![]() | 3. King CongieTrainer: Tom AlbertraniJockey: Robby Albarado | All of his good form is on grass or synthetic tracks. Soundly beaten in two starts on dirt. | 20-1BSF: 93 |
![]() | 4. FlashpointTrainer: Wesley A. WardJockey: Cornelio Velasquez | Lightly raced colt zipped 7 furlongs in 1:22 winning a stakes in Florida, indicating that he's the fastest of the speed horses in the lineup. | 20-1BSF: 102 |
![]() | 5. ShacklefordTrainer: Dale RomansJockey: Jesus Castanon | He'll never have a nicer set-up than he did in the Derby, getting an uncontested lead while setting a slow pace, but he couldn't finish better than fourth. | 12-1BSF: 97 |
![]() | 6. Sway AwayTrainer: Jeff BondeJockey: Garrett Gomez | Excluded from the Derby because of insufficient earnings, he's a better colt than many who ran. Made a strong move before finishing 4th in the Arkansas Derby. | 15-1BSF: 101 |
![]() | 7. Midnight InterludeTrainer: Bob BaffertJockey: Martin Garcia | "In the Derby," Baffert conceded, "he just laid a big goose egg." But previously the colt won the Santa Anita Derby. | 15-1BSF: 97 |
![]() | 8. Dance CityTrainer: Todd PletcherJockey: Ramon Dominguez | Pletcher colt comes to Pimlico after a 35-day layoff since a gutsy 3rd-place finish in the Arkansas Derby. Definitely a contender. | 12-1BSF: 95 |
![]() | 9. Mucho Macho ManTrainer: Kathy RitvoJockey: Rajiv Maragh | After his third-place Derby finish, he gives Kathy Ritvo a realistic shot to become the first of her gender to train a Preakness winner. | 6-1BSF: 99 |
![]() | 10. Dialed InTrainer: Nicholas P. ZitoJockey: Julien Leparoux | The slow early pace may have compromised the Derby favorite. Zito understandably will give him another chance: He'll collect a $5.5 million bonus if he wins. | 9-2BSF: 97 |
![]() | 11. Animal KingdomTrainer: H. Graham MotionJockey: John Velazquez | His 20-to-1 victory at Churchill Downs was a surprise, but no fluke. Nobody behind him had a legitimate excuse. The deserving Preakness favorite. | 2-1BSF: 103 |
![]() | 12. Isn't He PerfectTrainer: Doodnauth ShivmangalJockey: Edgar Prado | Ex-claiming horse, soundly beaten in two stakes tries, is way out of his element here. | 30-1BSF: 84 |
![]() | 13. Concealed IdentityTrainer: Eddie GaudetJockey: Sheldon Russell | One-eyed gelding captured the Tesio at Pimlico, but it's hard to see him improving enough to be a contender here. | 30-1BSF: 86 |
![]() | 14. Mr. CommonsTrainer: John ShirreffsJockey: Victor Espinoza | Finished third in the Santa Anita Derby. The two colts ahead of him ran 16th and 19th in Kentucky. | 20-1BSF: 93 |
By Andrew Beyer - The Washington Post. Published May 18, 2011; Note: BSF represents best 3-year-old performance.













