2012 Kentucky Derby draw and preview

Post Time: Saturday, May 5, 6:24 p.m., NBC

	Andrew Beyer's Analysis	Odds
1. Daddy Long Legs Trainer: Aidan O'Brien Jockey: Colm O'Donoghue	Won the $2 million UAE Derby in Dubai over a synthetic track in slow time, but his one prior try on dirt in the U.S. was a disaster.	30-1 BSF: N/A
2. Optimizer Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas Jockey: Jon Court	With Mark Valeski's defection, Wayne Lukas's colt gets into the field and gives trainer a shot at his fifth Derby win. But he looks hopelessly overmatched.	50-1 BSF: 91
3. Take Charge Indy Trainer: Patrick Byrne Jockey: Calvin Borel	Colt will get plenty of support with three-time Derby winner Calvin Borel aboard, but he won't get an unpressured early lead as he did in winning the Florida Derby.	15-1 BSF: 96
4. Union Rags Trainer: Michael Matz Jockey: Julien Leparoux	Colt narrowly missed winning 2-year-old title, and big things were expected of him at 3. Florida Derby loss was a disappointment, but maybe Michael Matz has him cranked up for a big Derby as he did with Barbaro.	9-2 BSF: 96
5. Dullahan Trainer: Dale Romans Jockey: Kent Desormeaux	Flew past Hansen to capture the Blue Grass Stakes, but that was over a synthetic surface. His ability on dirt is still questionable.	8-1 BSF: 98
6. Bodemeister Trainer: Bob Baffert Jockey: Mike Smith	After a runaway victory in the Arkansas Derby, he should be favored to give Bob Baffert his fourth Kentucky Derby win. But does he have enough seasoning? The last horse who won without racing at 2 years old was Apollo -- in 1882. No races as a 2-year-old: Does it matter? Baffert's success: Training hard and fast	4-1 BSF: 108
7. Rousing Sermon Trainer: Jerry Hollendorfer Jockey: Jose Lezcano	Plodder hasn't had much success this year, but longer distance and fast pace may help him.	50-1 BSF: 88
8. Creative Cause Trainer: Mike Harrington Jockey: Joel Rosario	Beat Bodemeister in the San Felipe Stakes, then lost Santa Anita Derby by a nose. Consistent, seasoned colt is a serious contender.	12-1 BSF: 102
9. Trinniberg Trainer: Bisnath Parboo Jockey: Willie Martinez	Speedster has won two seven-furlong races and is certain to be the Derby pacesetter, but he's ill-prepared to run 1 1/4 miles. He's a good bet to finish last -- a distant last. Lack of preparation could hurt Trinniberg's future	50-1 BSF: 99
10. Daddy Nose Best Trainer: Steve Asmussen Jockey: Garett Gomez	After being miscast as a grass runner, he won the Sunland Derby in New Mexico with a good speed figure. Strong finisher has the right style for a Derby filled with front-running types.	15-1 BSF: 100
11. Alpha Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin Jockey: Alan Garcia	Sheikh Mohammed of Dubai has won almost every important race in the world except the Derby. He has a good chance with this colt, who lost the Wood Memorial by a neck. Alpha vs. Gemologist: Best in the Wood? Wood Memorial video	15-1 BSF: 98
12. Prospective Trainer: Mark Casse Jockey: Luis Contreras	Victory in the slow Tampa Bay Derby doesn't suggest that he could possibly be a contender here, though clockers say he has looked great in training at Churchill.	30-1 BSF: 90
13. Went the Day Well Trainer: H. Graham Motion Jockey: John Velazquez	After Graham Motion won the '11 Derby with Animal Kingdom, bettors back him as if he can perform miracles. But this lightly raced colt is no Animal Kingdom.	20-1 BSF: 92
14. Hansen Trainer: Mike Maker Jockey: Ramon Dominguez	Striking white colt is a fan favorite as well as the reigning champion of his generation, but the 1 1/4-mile Derby distance looks too far for him.	10-1 BSF: 96
15. Gemologist Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Javier Castellano	Pletcher trainee has won all five of his starts, most recently the Wood Memorial. His speed figures aren't dazzling, but he has room to improve. Todd Pletcher's Derby frustration Alpha vs. Gemologist: Best in the Wood? Wood Memorial video	6-1 BSF: 98
16. El Padrino Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Rafael Bejarano	Looked like a prime contender early in the winter, but he appears to be on the downgrade. After Florida Derby loss, he's Pletcher's second-stringer. Todd Pletcher's Derby frustration	20-1 BSF: 100
17. Done Talking Trainer: Hamilton Smith Jockey: Sheldon Russell	Maryland-based colt, winner of the Illinois Derby, is overmatched here, but he'll be rallying past some of the tired speed horses in the stretch.	50-1 BSF: 85
18. Sabercat Trainer: Steve Asmussen Jockey: Corey Nakatani	Stretch-runner has been soundly beaten in his two starts this year, but Steve Asmussen -- a no-nonsense trainer -- says he'll run the race of his life Saturday.	30-1 BSF: 92
19. I'll Have Another Trainer: Doug O'Neill Jockey: Mario Gutierrez	Obscure jockey Mario Gutierrez gets a shot at glory after winning Santa Anita Derby in an upset over Creative Cause.	12-1 BSF: 96
20. Liaison Trainer: Bob Baffert Jockey: Martin Garcia	His 3-year-old record looks dismal, but Baffert says he likes Churchill Downs and is training well. Baffert's success: Training hard and fast	50-1 BSF: 92