Post Time: Saturday, May 18, 6:20 p.m., NBC
|Horse||Andrew Beyer's Analysis||Odds|
1. OrbTrainer: Shug McGaughey
Jockey: Joel Rosario
|When McGaughey trained Easy Goer in 1989, colt improved sharply from Derby to Preakness, then improved even more to win Belmont Stakes by eight lengths. Orb, good but not great in winning Derby, could be on a similar trajectory. || |
2. GoldencentsTrainer: Doug O'Neill
Jockey: Kevin Krigger
|Fast California colt crawled to the finish line at Churchill Downs, losing by nearly 50 lengths, but trainer didn't hesitate to announce that he was coming to Baltimore. He blames track condition for Derby debacle. || |
3. Titletown FiveTrainer: D. Wayne Lukas
Jockey: Julien Leparoux
|Football Hall-of-Famer Paul Hornung is a part owner, but colt's prospects look anything but golden. He may sprint to the early lead, but he's likely to finish last. || |
4. DepartingTrainer: Al Stall Jr.
Jockey: Brian Hernandez Jr.
|Illinois Derby winner has a shot. An interesting subplot: Phipps family has a decades-long relationship with Claiborne Farm, but this Claiborne colt will attempt to stop Triple Crown bid of Phipps-owned Orb. || |
5. MyluteTrainer: Tom Amoss
Jockey: Rosie Napravnik
|Rosie Napravnik, Pimlico's leading jockey early in her career, could become the first woman to win the Preakness. Her mount finished within 3 1/2 lenghs of Orb in Kentucky. || |
6. OxbowTrainer: D. Wayne Lukas
Jockey: Gary Stevens
|Vied for the early lead in Derby, and held on much better than other speedsters. Has a long-shot chance to give Lukas his sixth Preakness win. || |
7. Will Take ChargeTrainer: D. Wayne Lukas
Jockey: Mike Smith
|Ran into traffic in the stretch run of the Derby, but not enough to cost him significantly. He'll get a new jockey for the Preakness, Hall-of-Famer Mike Smith. || |
8. Govenor CharlieTrainer: Bob Baffert
Jockey: Martin Garcia
|Baffert has won with five of his 13 Preakness starters, but he never did it with a horse coming off a seven-week absence from competition. || |
9. ItsmyluckydayTrainer: Eddie Plesa Jr.
Jockey: John Velazquez
|Finished second to Orb in Florida Derby. Was sloppy track to blame for 15th-place finish in Kentucky? "It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure that out," says Eddie Plesa. || |
By Andrew Beyer - The Washington Post. Note: BSF represents best Beyer Speed Figure earned at one mile or more.