The Monkey Cage: Polling

Posted at 02:25 PM ET, 12/10/2013

A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast

When you hear that an election forecast outperforms the polls, remember that the purpose of a poll is not to predict the election but rather to provide a snapshot of opinion at the time the poll was taken.

By Andrew Gelman  |  02:25 PM ET, 12/10/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Election forecasting, Polling