The Monkey Cage: Ukraine


Posted at 01:53 PM ET, 04/09/2014

What is lustration and is it a good idea for Ukraine to adopt it?

Almost 80% of Ukrainians support a lustration policy, but the policies being proposed go far beyond what was implemented in Eastern Europe after the collapse of communism.

By Maria Popova and Vincent Post  |  01:53 PM ET, 04/09/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Judicial politics, Ukraine

Posted at 10:19 AM ET, 04/07/2014

The less Americans know about Ukraine’s location, the more they want U.S. to intervene

MONKEY CAGE | Those who cannot locate Ukraine on a map are more likely to back military action, a survey finds.

By Kyle Dropp, Joshua D. Kertzer and Thomas Zeitzoff  |  10:19 AM ET, 04/07/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  political knowledge, Public Opinion, Ukraine

Posted at 11:04 AM ET, 03/27/2014

If Ukraine expropriates Russian firms, other multinationals probably won’t care

If Ukraine expropriates Russian business assets, it shouldn’t worry that this will lead to capital flight. Non-Russian multinationals probably won’t care.

By Rachel Wellhausen  |  11:04 AM ET, 03/27/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Political Economy, Ukraine

Posted at 05:53 PM ET, 03/26/2014

Crimea: Putin’s Olympic diversion

Corruption related to spending on the Sochi Olympics looked certain to become a major headache for Putin, until Crimea took center stage.

By Kimberly Marten  |  05:53 PM ET, 03/26/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Crimea, Russia, Ukraine

Posted at 06:44 PM ET, 03/25/2014

Five key questions -- and answers -- about the OSCE mission in Ukraine

Although it has no military ability, the presence of OSCE observers may make it harder for Russia to claim e.g. organized violence against Russian speakers in parts of Ukraine where it isn’t happening.

By Henry Farrell  |  06:44 PM ET, 03/25/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 10:30 AM ET, 03/22/2014

Why Ukraine’s Euromaidan is not spreading to other post-Soviet states

Unlike the Orange revolution, Euromaidan has not set an example that others want to follow

By Farid Guliyev and Nozima Akhrarkhodjaeva  |  10:30 AM ET, 03/22/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 02:00 PM ET, 03/19/2014

Building a federal Ukraine?

Why federalism is not as bad as its reputation.

By Gwendolyn Sasse  |  02:00 PM ET, 03/19/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Federalism, Ukraine

Posted at 12:36 PM ET, 03/19/2014

Vladimir Putin: Ethnic Russian Nationalist

In his speech on Tuesday, Putin switched adjectives from “Rossisskii” to “Russkii.”Here’s why that’s important.

By Kimberly Marten  |  12:36 PM ET, 03/19/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  nationalism, Russia, Ukraine

Posted at 09:54 AM ET, 03/18/2014

What is motivating Putin?

Four different possible explanations with different implications for the future.

By Joshua Tucker  |  09:54 AM ET, 03/18/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Crimea, Russia, Ukraine

Posted at 01:00 PM ET, 03/17/2014

Why the leaders of Kazakhstan are not (yet) losing sleep over Crimea

The Crimea crisis does not necessarily imply that Russia poses a danger to Kazakhstan, despite the large numbers of ethnic Russians in that country.

By Galymzhan Kirbassov  |  01:00 PM ET, 03/17/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 11:45 AM ET, 03/17/2014

What is so great about ‘territorial integrity’ anyway?

Why territorial integrity is a great principle from the perspective of the United States and most other states but not necessarily Russia.

By Erik Voeten  |  11:45 AM ET, 03/17/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 04:38 PM ET, 03/14/2014

Mentioning Hitler makes Americans more willing to intervene in Ukraine

A new survey experiment examines the consequences of invoking Hitler’s name.

By John Sides  |  04:38 PM ET, 03/14/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Public Opinion, Ukraine

Posted at 03:29 PM ET, 03/13/2014

Don’t underestimate importance of religion for understanding Russia’s actions in Crimea

Crimea plays an important role in the history of the Russian Orthodox church.

By Gene Fynes  |  03:29 PM ET, 03/13/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Religion, Ukraine

Posted at 06:00 PM ET, 03/12/2014

Why Washington and Moscow keep talking past each other

How a desire to avert losses can explain the current stalemate between Washington and Moscow.

By  |  06:00 PM ET, 03/12/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 12:00 PM ET, 03/12/2014

Who predicted Russia’s military intervention?

Scholars at top institutions, Liberals, and Constructivists were least likely to foresee that Russia would intervene militarily in the Ukraine.

By John Sides  |  12:00 PM ET, 03/12/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 03:00 PM ET, 03/11/2014

Why we should be sober about the long-term prospects of stable democracy in Ukraine

A study of Orange Revolution participants sheds light on the upcoming challenges for Ukrainian democracy.

By  |  03:00 PM ET, 03/11/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 07:51 AM ET, 03/07/2014

How Putin needs to play nice with markets

By seeking only to protect themselves from the consequences of politics, investors attach to political action costs that are not easily ignored by politicians. Even Putin.

By Erik Gartzke and Yonatan Lupu  |  07:51 AM ET, 03/07/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 05:00 PM ET, 03/06/2014

Is Crimean independence or annexation a good outcome for Russia?

No, argue the authors. In the long term, Russia would be better off with Crimea remaining a part of Ukraine.

By Helena Yakovlev-Golani and Nadiya Kravets  |  05:00 PM ET, 03/06/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  international relations, secession, Ukraine

Posted at 02:37 PM ET, 03/06/2014

Do Crimeans actually want to join Russia?

There are differences in political identities amongst Crimeans and the rest of Ukraine, but, at least before February, these differences did not translate into majority support for independence or union with Russia.

By Grigore Pop-Eleches and Graeme Robertson  |  02:37 PM ET, 03/06/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Civil conflict, Crimea, international relations, Ukraine, Voting

Posted at 01:36 PM ET, 03/06/2014

‘Cold Wars’: The week in one song

Redux?

By Christopher Federico  |  01:36 PM ET, 03/06/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Russia, The Week in One Song, Ukraine

Posted at 01:04 PM ET, 03/06/2014

For kin or country: Why the Crimea crisis is not about a Greater Russia project

Here are reasons why Crimea is different from other areas bordering Russia that host large numbers of Russian-speakers

By R. William Ayres and Stephen Saideman  |  01:04 PM ET, 03/06/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 11:58 AM ET, 03/06/2014

How Putin’s desire to restore Russia to great power status matters

How Putin’s desire to restore Russia to great power status matters for responding to Russia’s aggressive moves in Ukraine.

By Steven Ward  |  11:58 AM ET, 03/06/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 01:34 PM ET, 03/05/2014

Is greater decentralization a solution for Ukraine? The Mylovanov Initiative

Could political and economic decentralization provide a means to promote democracy and stability in Ukraine?

By Timothy Frye  |  01:34 PM ET, 03/05/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 11:27 AM ET, 03/05/2014

Why domestic developments in Ukraine still matter

With all eyes on Russia and Crimea, it is important to remember that the domestic political process in Ukraine is still very relevant to how, when, or whether this crisis will be resolved.

By Maria Popova  |  11:27 AM ET, 03/05/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Constitution, international relations, Ukraine

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 03/05/2014

What Russia’s invasion of Georgia means for Crimea

An exclusive interview with the Pentagon official who coordinated the U.S. response to Russia’s invasion of Georgia.

By Stephen Benedict Dyson  |  08:00 AM ET, 03/05/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 05:30 PM ET, 03/04/2014

The ‘failure’ of the ‘reset:’ Obama’s great mistake? Or Putin’s?

The reset’s failure is Russia’s problem, not Washington’s.

By Daniel Nexon  |  05:30 PM ET, 03/04/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 05:04 PM ET, 03/04/2014

Russia vs. Ukraine: A clash of brothers, not cultures

Countries with shared identities but different political regimes have historically been more likely to fight wars.

By Akos Lada  |  05:04 PM ET, 03/04/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 03/04/2014

What can passports tell us about Putin’s intentions?

The handing out of passports to Russian-speaking citizens in Ukraine suggests that Putin has a long-term plan in Crimea and perhaps more broadly in Ukraine.

By Eric Lohr  |  11:00 AM ET, 03/04/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  citizenship, international relations, Ukraine

Posted at 11:30 AM ET, 03/03/2014

How Russian nationalism explains—and does not explain— the Crimean crisis

Nationalism has been often invoked to explain Russia’s actions in the ongoing Crimean crisis. Could it also be part of a solution for de-escalating that crisis?

By Paul Goode  |  11:30 AM ET, 03/03/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Crimea, nationalism, Ukraine

Posted at 09:47 AM ET, 03/03/2014

Crimean autonomy: A viable alternative to war?

The question of Crimea’s role with Ukraine has long been complex. Could more and better defined autonomy defuse the current crisis?

By Gwendolyn Sasse  |  09:47 AM ET, 03/03/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Civil conflict, Crimea, international relations, Russia, Ukraine

Posted at 08:53 AM ET, 03/03/2014

Ukrainians are not that divided in their views of democracy

Ukrainian and Russian speakers have pretty similar attitudes about the desirability and functioning of democratic institutions in the Ukraine

By Pippa Norris  |  08:53 AM ET, 03/03/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 07:19 PM ET, 03/02/2014

A graph that shows how the Ukraine got stuck between the West and Russia

This graph shows how the positions of the Ukraine, Russia, and the United States in the United Nations have evolved over time.

By Erik Voeten  |  07:19 PM ET, 03/02/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 07:13 PM ET, 03/02/2014

How Putin’s worldview may be shaping his response in Crimea

The civilizational clash is unraveling not between the East and West of Ukraine, but between Russia and the West.

By Maria Snegovaya  |  07:13 PM ET, 03/02/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Civil conflict, Crimea, international relations, Ukraine

Posted at 02:52 PM ET, 03/02/2014

International law and institutions look pretty weak now, but they will matter a lot down the road

Why international institutions are going to be crucial for resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict even if they seem feeble now

By Erik Voeten  |  02:52 PM ET, 03/02/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 12:30 PM ET, 03/02/2014

The ‘Russia reset’ was already dead; now it’s time for isolation

The US and Russia don’t really have strong shared interests. It’s time to abandon fruitless efforts to work together with Putin, and work to isolate him instead.

By James Goldgeier  |  12:30 PM ET, 03/02/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 08:17 PM ET, 03/01/2014

Obama is using the OSCE to give Russia an exit strategy if it wants one

The Administration is telling Russia how it can achieve its goals through peaceful means. The problem is that Russia may prefer armed intervention.

By Henry Farrell  |  08:17 PM ET, 03/01/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 08:09 PM ET, 03/01/2014

4 reasons why Crimea is not Abkhazia

There are significant differences between Crimea in Ukraine and Abkhazia in Georgia, with significant implications for how events unfold in Crimea.

By Kimberly Marten  |  08:09 PM ET, 03/01/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Crimea, international relations, Russia, Ukraine

Posted at 02:50 PM ET, 02/28/2014

5 reasons for everyone to calm down about Crimea

Russia is most likely not about to invade Ukraine. Here’s why.

By Joshua Tucker  |  02:50 PM ET, 02/28/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Crimea, Separatism, Ukraine

Posted at 10:49 AM ET, 02/28/2014

How to prevent the crisis in Ukraine from escalating

Different narratives of the same events lead to “confirmation bias” which can escalate crises. Being aware of this bias is the first step to mitigating its potential harmful effects.

By Scott Radnitz  |  10:49 AM ET, 02/28/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Civil conflict, international relations, Ukraine

Posted at 09:54 AM ET, 02/27/2014

What does Ukraine’s #Euromaidan teach us about protest?

Detailed description of the different stages of Ukraine’s protests and what we can learn from these events

By Olga Onuch and Gwendolyn Sasse  |  09:54 AM ET, 02/27/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Protest, Social Media, Ukraine

Posted at 11:46 AM ET, 02/26/2014

Why Ukraine’s Yanukovych fell but so many analysts (including me) predicted he would survive

Yanukovych chose the wrong type of repression - high intensity coercison - for his patronage-based regime.

By Lucan Way  |  11:46 AM ET, 02/26/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Competitive Authoritarianism, Protest, Regime Change, Ukraine

Posted at 03:28 PM ET, 02/12/2014

Who are the protesters in Ukraine?

Ukraine’s protests may not be driven by the far right, but they are not supported by a clear majority of Ukrainians...and neither is a turn toward Europe.

By Keith Darden and Lucan Way  |  03:28 PM ET, 02/12/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Protest, Ukraine

Posted at 10:37 AM ET, 01/28/2014

How protest and violence in Ukraine could give way to unity

Ukraine is gripped by mass protests but signs of unity emerge too.

By Kataryna Wolczuk and Roman Wolczuk  |  10:37 AM ET, 01/28/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Protest, Social Media, Ukraine

Posted at 09:00 AM ET, 01/27/2014

The (Ukrainian) negotiations will be tweeted!

In another political first for Twitter, high stakes negotiations in Ukraine played out over Twitter.

By Joshua Tucker  |  09:00 AM ET, 01/27/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Negotiations, Protest, Social Media, Ukraine

Posted at 09:21 AM ET, 12/23/2013

Why Putin Bailed Out Ukraine

Putin is bailing out the Ukraine to prevent unrest from spilling over into Russia

By Henry Farrell  |  09:21 AM ET, 12/23/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine

Posted at 11:45 AM ET, 12/19/2013

Three reasons why protests in Ukraine could end up helping Yanukovych

Massive amounts of relatively condition-free aid from Russia and the long-term implications of the prominent role of nationalist movement in recent Ukrainian protests suggest - counter-intuitively - that the current president could come out of protests stronger rather than weaker.

By Joshua Tucker  |  11:45 AM ET, 12/19/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Russia, Ukraine

Posted at 02:00 PM ET, 12/09/2013

What you need to know about the causes of the Ukrainian protests

The ongoing conflict on the streets of Kyiv is about more than just a trade agreement. For the youth of Ukraine in particular, there is a larger question of whether their future will look more like Europe or Russia.

By Kataryna Wolczuk and Roman Wolczuk  |  02:00 PM ET, 12/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Protest, Ukraine

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 12/03/2013

The company Ukraine keeps

Ukraine is stuck between a rock and a hard place

By Julia Gray  |  08:00 AM ET, 12/03/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ukraine