The Colorado recall campaign is in the history books. So is the New York mayoral primary.
Fix reader “richwig” made some history too, winning The Fix’s election prediction contest!
“Richwig” correctly predicted the recall of both Democratic state senators in Colorado and pegged Public Advocate Bill de Blasio (39 percent) as the winner of the New York Democratic mayoral primary, with former comptroller Bill Thompson (25 percent) coming in second. That was pretty close to the final tally, which showed de Blasio winning with 40.3 percent and Thompson taking second place with 26.2 percent.
If you are “richwig,” e-mail Chris.Cillizza@washpost.com to claim your prize. You get a choice — either a “Politics and Pints” pint glass (warning, an image of The Fix’s head is on the glass) or a signed copy of “The Gospel According to The Fix.”
Thanks to everyone who participated!
Something pretty remarkable happened in Colorado on Tuesday night. John Morse, the Democratic president of the state Senate, was recalled from office. So was Democratic state Sen. Angela Giron.
Taken together, the losses arguably represent the biggest defeat for gun-control advocates since the push for expanded background checks failed in the U.S. Senate earlier this year.
Note: We originally posted this item on Monday, 9/9. We are re-posting it today as voters go to the polls.
Voters head to the polls in New York and Colorado on Tuesday to cast ballots in some high-stakes races that are not to be missed. From fresh clarity about the gun control debate to whittling down the possibilities of who will get the top job in America’s most populous city, here are the five biggest things to watch:
Earlier, we posted our conversation with Colorado state Sen. Angela Giron (D), one of two Democrats facing a Sept. 10 recall election in a campaign that has become the latest front in the contentious national debate over guns. (For everything you need to know about the recall campaign, check out Reid’s Wilson’s primer over on GovBeat.)
In 11 days, voters will go to the polls in two Colorado Senate districts to decide whether to recall Democrats from office in a campaign that has become the latest front in the contentious national debate over gun laws.
Over on GovBeat, Reid Wilson has a fantastic primer on why the recalls are happening, what to watch and what’s at stake. Below is our conversation with state Sen. Angela Giron of Pueblo, one of the two Democrats facing a recall election Sept. 10. Later, we will post our conversation with her Republican opponent, conservative activist George Rivera.
Election junkies are about to get bombarded with data, starting at 6 p.m. Eastern Time, when the first polls close in Kentucky and Indiana.
But how to follow it all?
Below, The Fix highlights seven bellwether counties in critical swing states that will give us a good idea who is about to become the next president.
Yet more swing state polling shows President Obama asserting a lead, with a trio of polls from NBC News and Marist College showing him at the all-important 50 percent mark in Colorado, Iowa and Wisconsin.
The polls show Obama leading Mitt Romney 50 percent to 45 percent in both Colorado and Wisconsin and 50 percent to 42 percent in Iowa. (The Wisconsin poll also showed Democratic Rep. Tammy Baldwin gaining in that state’s important Senate race. She’s now at 48 percent, compared to Republican former governor Tommy Thompson’s 46 percent.)
President Obama has a small edge in two of three key swing states and has gained ground in two of them over the past month, according to new polling from CBS News, the New York Times and Quinnipiac University.
Meanwhile, a separate poll from Gallup and USA Today shows the picture in the swing states remaining largely static, with Obama holding a 48 percent to 46 percent edge over Mitt Romney across all of them.
Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) could be the most important swing-state governor of the 2012 election.
The reason: The first-term governor is popular — extremely popular — and that could bode well for President Obama in what is increasingly looking like a pivotal state in the 2012 election. In addition, Hickenlooper is one of few swing-state governors with legitimate national ambitions right now.
That makes the 2012 election an invaluable time for him to get his name out there and build a base of support for a potential future run for president.
And that could play into Obama’s hands in a tough state — that is, if Hickenlooper embraces the president.
A supposedly less-important Election Day on Tuesday got pretty interesting by the time it was all said and done.
We’ve combed through all the results so we can lay it all out for you — as usual — in the form of winners and losers.
* Rick Santorum: This is a guy who was left for dead just a few days ago. Not only did he not get a bump from his performance in Iowa in early January; he actually fared pretty poorly even after the Iowa GOP declared him a winner two weeks later.
After Tuesday, he’s got a lot to hang his hat on, winning all three contests, and beating the polls by a large margin. It’s up to him now to prove his appeal isn’t just a Midwest thing or a one-time deal, and that he can raise enough money to be the true anti-Mitt Romney candidate.
He also has yet to prove that he can beat a fully engaged Romney machine. But Tuesday was a great start.
Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum won Colorado’s Republican presidential caucuses Tuesday night, the state GOP chairman announced in an interview on CNN.
Santorum led the race by 3 percent with more than three-fourths of the vote reported by AP, but state GOP Chairman Ryan Call said Santorum was the winner based on 98 percent of precincts having reported their results to the state party.
For the first time since Iowa, we are entering a primary/caucus night without having a pretty good idea who will win.
And some people are arguing that today’s contests don’t matter?
So as you prepare to watch the results tonight from the Colorado and Minnesota caucuses and the Missouri primary (we’ll be live-blogging!), here are a few things to watch for…
1. How many states does Santorum win?
Everything else you see below will be based on this one piece of news.
Polling shows Rick Santorum is the favorite to win in both Minnesota and Missouri, while Mitt Romney is favored in Colorado.
Republicans control many more states than Democrats when it comes to the decennial redistricting process, but when the line-drawing has fallen to a commission or the courts so far this year, the results have often been good for Democrats.
The latest example of that trend is Colorado, where the courts drew a map late last week that imperils Rep. Mike Coffman (R) and makes freshman Rep. Scott Tipton (R) more vulnerable.