With the holiday season in full swing and 2014 just around the corner, we’re counting down the top 10 races you need to know about heading into 2014.
Today, we take a closer look at the No. 2 entry on our list.
The Louisiana Senate race!
(A big thanks to PostTV’s Victoria Lewis for her work on producing this video countdown.)
Here’s our rundown, which will be updated as we go:
2. Louisiana Senate race
Rick Santorum’s win in the Louisiana primary told us a lot of things we already knew about Mitt Romney’s problems — in very stark terms.
But it might be the last time that happens.
Early exit polls Saturday night showed Romney losing by near-double digits overall. But it also showed him losing basically every demographic group in the state, with one notable exception: voters making more than $200,000 per year.
Brad Coker, the president of Mason-Dixon polling, offered a thoughtful counterpoint to our piece this morning on why Louisiana may be more hospitable to former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney than other Southern states.
We asked him to let us post it to the Fix, and he agreed.
Mitt Romney is going to the South again, and if past is prologue, it means he’s walking into another loss.
Romney is now 0-for-6 in contested Southern primaries, including a pair of losses two weeks ago in Alabama and Mississippi.
But as is often the case in Louisiana politics, it might be a little more complicated than that.
In fact, there is an argument to be made that Louisiana, whose primary is Saturday, is more fertile ground for Romney than any of the six Southern states where he has lost to this point.
So let’s make that argument, in five parts:
1. Evangelicals and Catholics
Louisiana is the least evangelical and most Catholic Southern state to vote so far. And both of those are good for Romney.
While Romney’s struggles among evangelicals have been well-documented, Rick Santorum’s struggles among Catholics (of which he is one) are pretty striking as well.
Unless you are a huge political junkie, you likely missed the news on Saturday night that Louisiana Republican Gov. Bobby Jindal won a second term.
It was a marked changed from this time four years ago when Jindal’s victory — he was the first Indian American to win a governorship — drew national headlines and installed him as a major rising star within the GOP.