EARLIER ON THE FIX:
President Obama and Mitt Romney remained locked in tight contests in Nevada and North Carolina, but the incumbent leads by seven points in New Hampshire, according to new swing state polls from NBC News and Marist College.
The polls show Obama with a two-point edge in both Nevada and North Carolina, 49 percent to 47 percent in the former and 48 percent to 46 percent in the latter — both within the margin of error. In New Hampshire, he leads 51 percent to 44 percent.
Mitt Romney has a slim edge in North Carolina over President Obama, according to a new poll of likely voters in the state. Romney’s 47 to 43 percent lead over Obama, in a poll from Elon University for the Charlotte Observer,is a slight improvement from other recent polls showing an almost even race.
Former congressional aide Richard Hudson won the Republican primary runoff to face Rep. Larry Kissell (D-N.C.) on Tuesday, overcoming a conservative outsider candidate who was backed by the Club for Growth.
With 80 percent of precincts reporting, Hudson led dentist Scott Keadle 64 percent to 36 percent. The AP has called the race for Hudson.
For months, we’ve struggled with how to rate North Carolina in the 2012 race between President Obama and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.
In our first electoral map predictions, we put it into the “toss up” category but the longer we looked at the states with which it shared that rating, the more it looked like the one state that didn’t belong. And so, we are moving North Carolina from “toss up” to “lean Romney” today.
President Obama and Mitt Romney are locked in tight races in three key states — Michigan, New Hampshire and North Carolina — according to new polling from NBC News and Marist College.
The three state-specific polls show Obama and Romney tied at 45 percent in New Hampshire, with Obama holding a small lead in the other two states. He leads 47 percent to 43 percent in Michigan and 46 percent to 44 percent in North Carolina.
Mitt Romney won all three primaries on Tuesday and is closing in on the number of delegates he needs to officially secure the Republican Party’s presidential nomination.
108 delegates were available Tuesday, and Romney is likely to win all 27 up for grabs in Indiana, the vast majority of the 52 available in North Carolina and most or all of the 28 in West Virginia.
Indiana Republican Sen. Richard Lugar’s likely demise and the gubernatorial recall primary in Wisconsin aren’t the only two races worth watching tonight. There are also some key House, Senate and governor primaries in Indiana, North Carolina and West Virginia.
Two of those states — Indiana and North Carolina — represent relatively rare opportunities for the House Republicans to play some offense this year.
In addition, North Carolina Democrats will pick their gubernatorial nominee in the marquee governor’s race of 2012 (after Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker’s recall election, that is), and West Virginia will hold its governor, Senate and congressional primaries.
There are lots of moving parts; that’s where we come in. Here’s a cheat sheet of what you need to know, state by state and race by race. Impress your friends! Vanquish your enemies!
It’s a new race in North Carolina following Gov. Bev Perdue’s (D) decision not to run for reelection.
But is it any more competitive?
For an entire year, now, North Carolina has topped The Fix’s governor’s line, meaning it is the 2012 governor’s seat seen as most likely to switch parties.
Much of that, though was premised on Perdue’s vulnerabilities, which means Democrats’ chances, theoretically at least, could be better with her out of the race.
Whether that’s the case is up for debate.
Rep. Brad Miller (D-N.C.) announced Thursday that he will not seek reelection in 2012, a move that helps Democrats avert a primary between two members.
Miller’s district was dismantled under the North Carolina GOP’s redistricting plan, and he was put into a district with Rep. David Price (D-N.C.).
Miller had three choices: Run in a heavily GOP district that includes much of his current territory but not his home, run in a primary against Price in which he would be an underdog, or retire.
On Tuesday, during a Q & A at a rotary club meeting, North Carolina Gov. Bev Perdue (D) made a very odd suggestion. Asked what she could do to turn around the economy, Perdue gave a rambling, two-minute answer that included this tidbit:
“I think we ought to suspend, perhaps, elections for Congress for two years and just tell them we won't hold it against them, whatever decisions they make, to just let them help this country recover. I really hope that someone can agree with me on that. You want people who don't worry about the next election.”