Considering how much difficulty some traditional political pollsters had in charting the trends in New Hampshire, maybe there is something to the Presidential Cigar Poll. The cigar poll is just that: Cigars are offered with candidates' likenesses on their bands, and patrons take their choice. Four days before the New Hampshire election, the poll predicted Gov. Michael Dukakis, Sen. Paul Simon and Jesse Jackson, in that order. More important, it selected Vice President George Bush over Sen. Robert Dole.

A week earlier in Iowa it had correctly selected Dole and Rep. Richard Gephardt. Actually the poll has such a good record that in 1984 a one-day version conducted in New York's Grand Central Station predicted President Reagan over former vice president Walter Mondale by 54 to 46 percent. In the general election four weeks later, Reagan carried the state by the same margin. Maybe all those campaign reporters ought to gather at Peachtree Center in Atlanta March 3, five days before Super Tuesday ... Out and About Rep. Peter W. Rodino's songwriting daughter has another piece aimed at the charts. A few years ago Peggy Stanziale cowrote "Dress You Up," which was recorded by Madonna and made the charts. Now she has "When Boys Cry," recorded by singer Ashley Paul, which is currently playing radio stations. Apparently it runs in the family. Her father is quite proud of the fact that many years before he achieved national fame during the Watergate hearings, he published a patriotic number during World War II called "As the Yanks Go Rolling Along" ...

Still one more in the round of parties for former CIA operative Archie Roosevelt, who has published his memoirs, "For Lust of Knowing." Last night, however, the reception given him by Count Wilhelm and Countess Ulla Wachtmeister at the Swedish Embassy was for his 70th birthday. Among the guests expected at the ambassador's residence were Sen. Alan Simpson, Attorney General Edwin Meese, social lionesses Pamela Harriman and Evangeline Bruce and former defense secretary Caspar Weinberger ...

When West German Chancellor Helmut Kohl comes to Washington, he often makes time to dine at Filomena's in Georgetown. Kohl arrived in Washington Wednesday afternoon for talks with President Reagan and that evening had dinner in Jo Anna Filomena's private kitchen dining area with a group of guests that included Georgetown University President Father Timothy Healy ...

Hospital Report: Band leader Xavier Cugat was reported resting comfortably yesterday in a Barcelona hospital. The 88-year-old musician, who is credited with introducing Cuban rhythms into American popular music, was hospitalized for lung congestion and hypertension and spent the night in intensive care ...

Former Arizona governor Bruce Babbitt decided when it's over, it's over, so why not celebrate? Following his late-morning press conference at the National Press Club, where he announced he was no longer running for president, Babbitt, his wife Hattie and some 35 members of his staff gathered at Joe & Mo's restaurant to celebrate a campaign that never interested the voters much. Maybe it was a sense of relief, but there seemed to be more cheers than tears at the luncheon ...