With Ronald Reagan holding a big lead over Jimmy Carter in the race for the presidency, there are no indications that there could be party shifts to the Republicans in the races for the House of Representatives, the Senate, the governorships and the state legislatures.
On the basis of the most recent ABC News -- Harris Survey, 1980 could parallel the Eisenhower sweep of 1952, when he carried a Republican Congress in with him.
Here are the Key results from the latest ABC News -- Harris Survey of 1,195 likely voters, screened from a larger sample of 2,253 adults:
In the races for the House, Republicans hold a 45 to 44 percent lead over Democrats. These results compare with an ABC News -- Harris Survey two weeks ago, when the GOP had a 47 to 43 percent edge over the Democrats in the House contests.
In the races for the Senate, the Democrats hold a 47 to 45 percent lead, nationwide. Outside the South, the Republicans are ahead by 51 to 44 percent. This year, the Democrats are particularly vulnerable in the Senate contests, having 24 incumbents up for reelection. Nearly all the seats they might lose are in the North. In 1974, the Democrats won the Senate contests by 58 to 42 percent.
In the races for governor in 13 states this year, the Democrats hold a 48 to 44 percent edge. Outside the South, Republicans are ahead by 51 to 42 percent. In 1976, the Democrats held a 55 to 45 percent edge over the GOP in those same races for control of governorships. In the South, the Democrats are ahead by 64 to 28 percent.
In the battle for control of state legislatures, the Democrats hold a 46 to 42 percent lead nationwide. In the South, the Democrats are ahead by 59 to 28 percent, while in the rest of the country they are behind by 47 to 41 percent.
The state legislative races are particularly significant this year since the new legislatures will be deciding the apportionment of their seats to the House of Representatives. Thus, the outcome of the state legislative races this fall could affect control of Congress for the entire decade of the '80s.
The implications of these new results are that Democrats will be bucking a seemingly Republican trend that could jeopardize the Democratic Party at every level.