The Washington Post

AccuWeather predicts stormy, not so hot summer for Washington, D.C.

RESTON, VA - JULY 21: Andy Ram, 9, of Rockville, MD, cools himself under a fountain at the The Water Mine Family Swimmin' Hole on July 21, 2011. July, 2011 was the hottest month on record in Washington, D.C. (Jahi Chikwendiu/WASHINGTON POST)

“Temperatures will turn out near normal for the I-95 corridor from Boston to New York City and Philadelphia to Washington, D.C.,” said Paul Pastelok, leader of the long-range forecasting team.

AccuWeather foresees the mid-Atlantic region in a volatile transition zone between relatively cool conditions in the Northeast and Ohio Valley, and a big heat dome in the western and central Plains extending into the Southeast.

For Washington, D.C., it’s forecasting above normal rain and elevated thunderstorm activity.

“Storms will ride over the northeastern edge of heat with increased chances for severe weather from the Great Lakes to portions of the mid-Atlantic,” AccuWeather wrote. “Portions of Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland and Virginia are included in the zone expected to get rounds of severe weather this summer.”

AccuWeather said that while the rains may provide some drought relief, it may come at the expense of damaging winds and hail from severe thunderstorms - although it expects the severe thunderstorm threat to perhaps transition to more of a general rain setup as the summer wears on.

It stressed storms and rain may be “hit-or-miss” - so some areas would receive more drought relief than others.

Lastly, it mentioned the weather pattern may be favorable for a tropical storm or hurricane landfall late in the summer or early fall, which could bring heavy rains.

“You can get more than 5.00 inches of rain from one [tropical] system, which equals nearly two months worth of rain,” Pastelok said.

Additional reading from AccuWeather:

Hot Summer for Rockies, Plains; Great Lakes, Mid-Atlantic Stormy

Boston to Philly: Needed Northeast Rain May Come at a Cost

Jason is the Washington Post’s weather editor and Capital Weather Gang's chief meteorologist. He earned a master's degree in atmospheric science, and spent 10 years as a climate change science analyst for the U.S. government. He holds the Digital Seal of Approval from the National Weather Association.

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