Cold front arrives Thursday with likely storms, mostly dry spring weather for weekend

Today’s Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
Jason had a “6” yesterday, but I have to be honest and say I’m lovin’ this warmth and frequent sunshine!
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly sunny. 30% chance of mainly p.m. showers/storms. 80-85. | Tonight: Partly cloudy, chance of showers/storms (30% chance). 64-69. | Tomorrow: Partly sunny. Late day storms possible (30% chance). 81-86. | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Yes, the humidity is ticking up and yes, thunderstorms will gradually be making their presence more known again. But can you argue that sun and 80s are really bad things for late April? When the showers/storms become more frequent late tomorrow into especially Thursday, I’ll tend to agree that we are in a deteriorating weather situation. By late tomorrow, we’ll also be back in the slight risk area for severe weather. The big cold front passes Thursday with more storms, but better weather (less humid, comfortable 70s, returning sunshine) arrives just in time for the weekend.

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map powered by iMapWeather (base map by Google). Click and hold on map to pan. Double-click to zoom. Refresh page to update. See larger map on our Weather Wall.

Today (Tuesday): Our taste of summer continues today. You’ll notice with the slight muggy feel of the morning air and then again with the stronger warmth of the afternoon with low-to-mid 80s like yesterday. We could see a few more clouds around today in comparison, but the chance for a scattered shower or storm is mainly in the later afternoon toward evening at about 30%. Winds are light from the south and southwest. Confidence: Medium-High

Probability: 30%
Most likely timing: 3-8 p.m.
Coverage: Scattered

Tonight: Partly cloudy skies, lingering humidity, and temperatures only dropping into the mid-to-upper 60s will continue that warmer summer-like feel. Widely scattered thunderstorms (30% chance of one hitting your locale) are also in the mix, mainly early. Light winds continue from the south and southwest except higher gusts immediately around the storms themselves. Confidence: Medium

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Wednesday): We continue in the same air mass, but temperatures may inch up slightly higher along with higher humidity. Highs are in the low-to-mid 80s with partly cloudy sky conditions and a 30% chance of late afternoon thunderstorms. Winds will continue from the south and southwest. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Skies are partly to mostly cloudy with showers and storms possible (40-50% chance). Some may be strong or severe. Lows are again in the mid-to-upper 60s Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Thursday is cold front passage day with current timing estimated to be around midday or afternoon. That means showers and storms are likely (70-80% chance), and some may be heavy. It should be humid in the morning with lots of clouds, but we could get sunny breaks in the cloud deck by late afternoon or evening with lower humidity. Highs in the 70s with breezy conditions. Partial clearing and cooler Thursday night with lows in the 50s, but possibly upper 40s in the far suburbs. Confidence: Low-Medium

Friday sees the return of spring-time with partly to mostly sunny skies, highs in the upper 60s to low 70s, and lower humidity to allow us to finally dry out. Friday night looks fair with cool lows in the 50s with some upper 40s again. Confidence: Medium

The weekend that transitions us into the month of May appears to be top-notch with partly to mostly sunny skies, 70s for highs, mainly 50s for lows, and very little chance for precipitation problems. The only time to maybe watch could be late Sunday into Sunday night with scattered showers or a storm sneaking back into the picture. But the majority of the weekend looks excellent at this time. Confidence: Low-Medium