The Washington Post

Forecast: Possible Monday night freeze aside, still a mild week

* Freeze watch tonight into early Tuesday | Threat to plants *
* Freeze warning for Frederick & Carroll counties *

Today’s Daily Digit
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

Plenty of sun, but windy, and chilly by evening.
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Today: Mostly sunny, windy. 60-65 | Tonight: Diminishing winds late, clear and cold. 28-35. | Tomorrow: Mostly sunny. 55-60. | Get Express Forecast by E-mail


March promises to exit much like it entered - like a lamb. Yes, there’s the possibility of freezing temperatures Monday night. Otherwise, the week is more or less benign. With the exception of Tuesday, the mercury should pass 60 - the current average high - each day. There’s not a lot of rain potential, but we could see some showers and storms late Wednesday and, perhaps, a steadier rain on Sunday. We could really use some rain, especially after the last weekend’s underachieving amounts.

Today (Monday): We get off to a mild enough start, with temps near 50 for the morning commute. They rise to the low-to-mid 60s by early-to-mid afternoon, but will start tailing off around 4 p.m. There’s lots of sunshine, but quite the breeze - sustained at 15-20 mph sometimes gusting to 30 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: It’s clear and breezy in the evening as temps quickly fall back through the 50s. Most spots are in the 40s by 10 p.m. Temps really take a tumble after midnight as winds calm, with lows ranging from the mid-to-upper 20s in the colder suburbs to around 32-35 inside the beltway and near the Bay. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the outlook through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Tuesday): It’s almost certain to be the chilliest day of the week. We begin the day in the 20s and 30s but make a nice recovery into the 50s during the afternoon thanks to sunny skies. We probably fall short of 60, killing a two week streak of highs of 60+. And it’s also likely to be the first cooler than normal day in two weeks. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: A breeze from the south returns, so overnight lows are much milder than Monday night. They range from the mid-30s in the colder suburbs to the low-to-mid 40s downtown. Confidence: Medium-High


Wednesday stands a good chance to be the warmest day of the week as that south wind and at least partial sunshine elevate afternoon temps up to around 70. A cold front, however, swings through the region in the afternoon and evening, offering a 30-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Gradual clearing Wednesday night, but not all that cold, with lows generally in the 40s. Confidence: Medium

Thursday into Saturday is probably a quiet period with partly to mostly sunny skies and mild temperatures. Highs should be in the 60s and lows in the 40s (except mid-to-upper 30s in the colder suburbs). Confidence: Medium

Late Saturday and into Sunday, a wave of low pressure may bring some rain into the region - but said wave’s track and intensity have a lot of question marks. Lows should again by in the 40s with highs around 60. Confidence:Low-Medium

Jason is the Washington Post’s weather editor and Capital Weather Gang's chief meteorologist. He earned a master's degree in atmospheric science, and spent 10 years as a climate change science analyst for the U.S. government. He holds the Digital Seal of Approval from the National Weather Association.


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