1:00 p.m. update: Rains have become more scattered into the midday, but additional periods of moderate to heavy activity are likely. The risk of severe weather has edged a bit north, though the highest chances remain to our south, where a rare high risk has been issued for North Carolina and a tornado outbreak is possible. The line with potential to produce severe weather will move this direction through the afternoon, and a tornado or severe t’storm watch is a good bet later. Additionally, a coastal flood warning is in effect for D.C. and other coastal locations until 11 a.m. tomorrow.

10:35 a.m. update: A flash flood watch is up from 2 p.m. through the evening for the western half of the area (see map). In addition, a coastal flood advisory is up through late evening, and a coastal flood watch into tomorow. One band of moderate rainfall is passing through over the next hour or two, with more scattered activity behind and additional waves of rain expected.

Today’s Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
Might feel like a 0 to some, but I’ll add in a few we might have missed on Friday. And, it shouldn’t rain ALL day.
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Periodic showers and thunderstorms, windy. Low-to-mid 60s. | Tonight: Evening showers/storms, then clearing. Mid-40s to near 50. | Tomorrow: Mostly sunny, breezy. Mid-to-upper 60s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Yesterday we got the rare treat of nicer weather than expected, so let’s keep our fingers crossed that we don’t get paid back in reverse today. Even in a best case scenario, it’s looking wet at times with the risk of some rumbles. If all goes wrong, severe weather may threaten along with the risk for sizeable rain totals in some spots. Just take a peek up at the ”At a Glance” or the forecast following tonight, if you want some better outdoor weather news.

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Radar & lightning: Latest regional radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Saturday): A cold front and low pressure moving along it keep us with the risk of showers all day. Early activity may be hit-or-miss at times, but as the system gets closer, the odds for more concentrated activity grows. Along with the threat of heavy rain during the afternoon and evening, some severe weather is possible as warm air surges in. There’s a lot of wind above the surface, and also significant spin to the air. Anything that goes severe could bring damaging winds or even spawn a tornado, though the highest risk for such is south of us. Winds from the southeast and south pick up during the day, up to about 20-25 mph sustained late, with gusts near 40 mph. We should get at least a short period of temperatures well into the 60s on a gusty south wind. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms (some of which could still be severe in the evening) continue before everything translates east by late evening, probably before midnight. When all’s said and done, some places could be well past 1” of rain, though as always in shower and t’storm situations, one area could get a lot while others not so much. Gusty winds from the south continue ahead of the front, with a windshift (still gusty) to the west following its passage. Lows reach the mid-40s to near 50. Confidence: Medium

Get ready (stock up on allergy relief?) for a stretch of springtime warmth many have been waiting for...

Tomorrow (Sunday): This looks like another solid 5/10 (sorry, Camden!). No, actually -- almost perfect? The wind could be a bother to a few folks, so maybe not quite there. Looking over the “rules” for a Nice Day sun, I left it out for now, since we might be gusting near 30 mph from the west during the day. Still, highs in the mid-and-upper 60s with plenty of sun should be pretty sweet. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: Breezes die off considerably during the evening and overnight under partly clear skies. Maybe open up a window and throw on an extra blanket (we’re running out of time for that) as lows reach the mid-40s to near 50. Confidence: High

A LOOK AHEAD

On Monday we’re on the mild end of a warm front to the north, but it may be close enough to keep us a bit on the “dirty” side of sky conditions and big warming. A weak disturbance passing by could mean periods of considerable clouds, but also hopefully a good deal of sun. Highs probably rise to the upper 60s to near 70, but enough clouds might make it mid-to-upper 60s. There could even be a sprinkle late day. Confidence: Medium

Tuesday keeps the mild trend alive as the boundary to the north lifts a bit further that direction. It should be at least partly sunny and it could be mostly sunny. Highs shoot for the mid-70s or so. Confidence: Medium-High