Clouds filled the skies, but we mostly dodged the rain and enjoyed a second straight much warmer than average mid-November day. Until a slow-moving cold front exits the region Thursday morning, we’ll stay on the mild side. But it’s highly unlikely rain misses us tomorrow even if the bulk of it waits until late afternoon and into the evening.

Through Tonight: Overcast skies, but not much in the way of rain. Showers will tend to be light and scattered, with just a 40% chance of meaningful rain over 0.1”. The best chance of rain is towards dawn and north and west of the District. It’s not quite as mild as last night, with lows 50-55 (suburbs-city).

Wednesday: Shower activity tends to be light and scattered during the morning into early afternoon, and we may even see the skies brighten at times. But as the afternoon wears on, steadier rain - with a chance of embedded thunderstorms - develops from southwest to northeast. The rain could be heavy at times into the evening rush and overnight. High temperatures are in the low 60s. Rainfall potential ranges from 0.5-1.5”, with heaviest amounts likely west of D.C.

See Matt Rogers’ forecast through early next week. And if you haven’t already, join us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter. For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock.

Western New York tornadoes: The National Weather Service confirmed two tornadoes touched down south of Buffalo Monday. Rated EF-2, they packed winds of 115-135 mph. The tornadoes downed trees, destroyed barns, and damaged some homes but caused no injuries. The Weather Channel tweeted: First Nov. tornadoes in wrn. NY since at least 1950. Only 1 F/EF2+ Nov. #tornado on record in NY (1883) prior to Mon.