D.C.’s odds of a White Christmas strikes me as a trivial topic in light of today’s news in Newtown, Ct. but we promised daily updates, so here goes....
The odds of White Christmas in Washington, D.C. continue to be close to average, or around 10 percent.
The potential for any snow is very low for the next week. Although weather conditions will be unsettled through the first half of next week, cold air will be lacking and any precipitation will be in the form of rain.
Late next week, a pattern change may occur - with a strong cold front moving in. The several days prior to Christmas may be colder than normal. The question is whether any storminess will complement the cold air. At the moment, it seems a dry pattern is more likely than a stormy one.
The GFS model - for the fifth straight day - shows no snow cover over the D.C. area Christmas Day.
The CFS model - which showed no snow in any of its simulations yesterday - has hints of at least a little snow cover around D.C. in the 5-day period leading into Christmas Day in a few of its runs.
Our next update will be Monday afternoon.
Standard disclaimer: these forecasts more than a week into the future are very unreliable. They have not demonstrated the ability to accurately predict the weather this far out in time.
We’re showing you the models so we can see how they evolve (i.e. do they shift snowier, less snowy, or constantly flip flop?) and then, in hindsight, evaluate how well or poorly they simulated reality.
Previous White Christmas Trackers: