The Capitals have 90 points — just one behind the Eastern Conference leading Philadelphia Flyers — and they’d face the Buffalo Sabres (76 points) if the postseason started today.

But with nearly a month of regular-season hockey to go and a tight race at the bottom, Washington could end up facing fellow Southeast Division teams Tampa Bay or Carolina, arch rival Pittsburgh, the New York Rangers (who fell to the Capitals in seven games in 2009) or the Montreal Canadiens, last year’s first-round heartbreakers. The only highly unlikely possibilities would be Philadelphia and third-place Boston.

Check out an early look at the probabilities, and then weigh in on which opponent it would be if you had your pick: