View Photo Gallery: Ausin Rivers would be the second one-and-done point guard in two years for the Blue Devils.

Early NCAA tournament flameouts have gone from a rare occurrence to a relatively frequent phenomenon for the Duke men’s basketball team in recent years.

Last week’s stunning round-of-64 loss to 15th-seeded Lehigh sent the Blue Devils home before the region final for the seventh time in eight seasons.

But while the Lehigh defeat left Duke fans reeling, it’s two more potential losses that should be far more disconcerting.

Freshman point guard Austin Rivers will leave Duke to enter the NBA draft, according to a report from’s Jeff Goodman. A team spokesman said Friday that Rivers will discuss his future plans with his family this weekend before making an announcement as early as next week. This comes on the heels of news that junior forward Mason Plumlee may test the draft waters ahead of the June draft.

Rivers is projected by many to be a sure-fire lottery pick, one year after Kyrie Irving was drafted No. 1 overall following a single season in Durham.

With only one senior on their roster this season — forward Miles Plumlee — the Blue Devils could be a much-improved squad in 2012-13. But if Rivers and Mason Plumlee bolt for the NBA, Duke could regress.

It’s hard to knock Rivers for using his stellar freshman campaign as a springboard for pro basketball. He averaged 15.5 points per game, was a rare freshman selected to the all-conference first team and hit the memorable last-second three-pointer that sunk North Carolina in Chapel Hill and earned him a career highlight. But another one-and-done player continues a troubling trend for legendary coach Mike Krzyzewski.

Since 2007, three of the five Blue Devils selected in the NBA draft left early. Compare that to the seven previous seasons when seven of the 11 players drafted stayed at Duke for four years. and it begs the question: Is Duke simply recruiting more NBA-ready talent, or are the Blue Devils no longer able to keep players around for more than two seasons?

Here’s the list of Duke’s crop of NBA draft picks since 2000:


Chris Carrawell, senior — Round 2 (41) — Spurs


Shane Battier, senior — Round 1 (6) — Grizzlies


Jay Williams, junior — Round 1 (2) — Bulls

Mike Dunleavy, Jr., junior — Round 1 (3) — Warriors

Carlos Boozer, junior — Round 2 (35) — Cavaliers


Dahntay Jones, senior — Round 1 (20) — Celtics


Luol Deng, freshman — Round 1 (7) — Suns

Chris Duhon, senior — Round 2 (39) — Bulls


Daniel Ewing, senior — Round 2 (32) Clippers

*Shavlik Randolph, junior — Undrafted


Sheldon Williams, senior — Round 1 (5) — Hawks

J.J. Redick, senior — Round 1 (11) — Magic


Josh McRoberts, soph. — Round 2 (37) — Trail Blazers


Gerald Henderson, soph. — Round 1 (12) — Bobcats


Kyrie Irving, freshman — Round 1 (1) — Cavaliers

Nolan Smith, senior — Round 1 (21) — Trail Blazers

Kyle Singler, senior — Round 2 (33) — Pistons


Austin Rivers, freshman — ???

Mason Plumlee, junior — ???

Both of Duke’s national championships during that same span came with teams that had a mix of seniors and young talent that stuck around after the Blue Devils cut down the nets. In 2001 it was seniors Shane Battier and Nate James leading the way for sophomores Jay Williams, Mike Dunleavy, Jr. and Carlos Boozer. The 2010 team had seniors Jon Scheyer and Lance Thomas playing key roles alongside Kyle Singler and Nolan Smith.

It’s one thing to shuffle in full line changes of star-studded freshman classes the way John Calipari has been able to do at Kentucky. But when your team is so dependent on guard play and point guards are only sticking around for one season, it prevents cohesiveness and makes it difficult for a team to progress from year to year.

Should Coach K and company be concerned? Should they alter their recruiting model? Is this an inevitable by-product in today’s basketball landscape? What do you think?

More tournament coverage from Washington Post Sports:

After a long hiatus, N.C. State is back in the national conversation

With Marshall’s status in doubt, Stilman White is ready to go for UNC

Kentucky constantly reminded of regular season loss to Indiana

Feinstein: Orange’s win over Badgers tournament’s best game yet

Sweet 16:  Friday night schedule Interactive bracket & history

Vote: Which team do you hate more — Duke or Michigan?