A new Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll finds most Americans expect that the Supreme Court will rule that the health reform law is unconstitutional. In a separate question, Kaiser finds 14 percent think the court has already overturned the Affordable Care Act.

This could say a lot about why the health reform law has struggled to become more popular: Psychology research suggests that individuals are more resistant to new regulations that they don’t expect to come into effect than to those that seem set in stone.

For what it’s worth, most legal observers tend to be more skeptical about the high court tossing out the law. Intrade has odds pegged at 36 percent that the Affordable Care Act will be found unconstitutional. Oral arguments on the case begin March 26.