1. Assuming the Senate deal happens, will the House go along? Robert Costa reports: “House GOP nearly silent right now, beyond top-level leadership talks. No whip mtgs, not mtgs about Sen deal, some mbrs still flying back…”
2. Senate Republicans, meanwhile, pushed back a scheduled meeting today and will now consider the proposed deal tomorrow morning. Expect lots of pushback from the radicals tonight…and for Republicans from both chambers to be listening for signals that it’s time to fold.
3. The difference between the House this year and during the Newt Gingrich shutdown? Democrats have stayed the same, while Republicans are significantly more conservative.
4. More detail on that Republican sharp swerve away from the middle from Thad Hall. One caveat: The Republican radicals, the 20-50 radical Tea Party group, don’t show up in Hall’s analysis of roll call voting. That doesn’t mean they aren’t there and aren’t important, however.
5. Why Republicans aren’t going to let the debt limit just disappear, from Kevin Drum.
6. Steve Benen is tracking the fallout, especially on Democratic recruitment for 2014 House contests. It’s the most likely way that the shutdown will affect elections.
7. The history of business and the GOP: Lydia DePillis interviews Mark Mizruchi.
8. While Neil Sinhababu explains how Republicans wind up defending nonsense that they never believed in the first place.
9. Good point from Ed Kilgore about the botched rollout of the exchanges: “[T]he problems we’ve been hearing about have little or nothing to do with the policy structure of Obamacare.” Basically true. There is a “government can’t handle anything” crowd (which apparently missed, say, World War II, just to pick one example), but for the most part the serious policy questions about the Affordable Care Act aren’t about getting the web site to work properly and on time.
10. Media coverage in 2012 was apparently about the same for Mitt Romney and Barack Obama. John Sides has that, and much more about media bias and how it works.
11. Absolutely fascinating discussion between Ezra Klein and Larry Summers on whether the US system of government is basically functional or basically dysfunctional. I’m roughly on the Summers side of this one, but both of them make excellent points. Highly recommended.
12. And for your holiday fun: Andrew Sprung puts the shutdown to verse.
More from me: the case for the Madisonian system as strongly democratic.