* Ron Brownstein explains why Joe Biden’s decision not to run gives Hillary Clinton a big opening to assemble a coalition of minorities and working class whites that Bernie Sanders will find very tough to crack. — gs
We are not dealing with normal political opponents….until the Republicans sober up and figure out how to tame the right wing monster in their own midst, Democrats will have to give up any illusions about the president and the speaker knocking back bourbons on the Truman balcony after working hours and concentrate on how to keep these obstructionist Republicans from destroying the country while working around them to bring the country forward. The presidency today is a very tough job that requires creative thinking about how to govern with an insurrectionist opposition. The old bromides about bipartisanship are no longer convincing.
Read the whole thing, as the bloggers used to say in the old days. — gs
* The Fact Checker investigates Donald Trump’s claim that not only did he oppose the Iraq War from the beginning, he was vocal in his opposition before the war started that the White House sent a “delegation” to New York to ask him to keep a lid on it. Guess what: he made it up. Four Pinocchios.
* A new Gallup poll shows 58 percent of American supporting legalization of marijuana. A majority of every age group except senior citizens believes it should be legalized.
* Last night PBS’ Frontline aired a fascinating behind-the-scenes documentary about the effort to pass an immigration bill, which you can now watch on their website. It gives a great look at what it’s like to attempt a complex piece of legislation and how the different players and interests involved dance around one another, in this case to no avail.
* But Brian Beutler predicts that House Republicans will treat Clinton very politely, in hopes of getting the press corps to overlook their Benghazi conspiracy-mongering. Something tells me it just might work. — gs
* Francis Wilkinson sees some pretty serious problems with Jeb Bush’s theory about how he can win the Republican nomination.
* Jonathan Bernstein points out that all the “conditions” that Paul Ryan demands in exchange for being Speaker can’t change the fact that a sizable bloc of House conservatives won’t support raising the debt limit or funding the government. — gs
* Jeb Bush strategist Mike Murphy tells Sasha Issenberg that everything is going according to plan. Jeb is currently averaging seven percent in primary polls.
* And Ramesh Ponnuru tells conservatives the bad news: Hillary Clinton is going to win the White House.