I’m told this is not a cosmetic gesture or a headline-grabbing tactic. The bill already has more than 100 co-sponsors and Upton, who is smarter and more able than most, is committed to seeing this through. A vote on this bill would force Democrats to renew their support for Obamacare, which was unpopular when passed and has only gotten uglier for the president and his allies.
The law was approved in 2009 through a deceptive parliamentary slight of hand and has now grown up to become the “big lie” in American politics. To deal with the fallout, the administration is doubling down on the deceit and lying about the lies. As former Mississippi governor Haley Barbour says, “It offends me that a politician would lie to me when he knew that I knew he was lying, because it makes me think that he thinks I’m a fool.” Well, that’s where President Obama is now with the American people.
I’m sure the Obama strategy was to stick to the lie, keep repeating it and hope everyone would move on. The Upton bill puts a roadblock in the way of that escape. Now it’s possible that Democratic members of Congress are going to have to reveal whether or not they are part of “the big lie.”
If the bill passes the House, it will be interesting to see if the Senate can avoid a vote. We can assume that all 45 Republicans senators will vote for the bill; add in the 14 Democratic senators who are up for re-election in 2014 and the number of Democratic senators who can’t stomach the lies, and you might get to 60 votes.
If Upton’s bill winds up on the president’s desk for his signature or veto, it will be the ultimate example of what goes around comes around. That said, this is becoming untenable for the White House. Look for them to make a move to avoid the scenario I just described. They can’t sit still and let the Upton bill come to life. It could severely cripple the Obama presidency.
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