How can you tell President Obama has an Israel problem with voters? Elliott Abrams writes: “Clinton in 1996 and Bush in 2004 (during their respective re-election campaigns) did not have to spend all that time saying how good their record was, and warning the audience not to believe what the opposite party was likely to say.”

How can you tell lobbying against the Keystone XL pipeline is a loser for Obama? Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) puts out this statement: “President Obama’s personal pleas to wavering Senators may have tipped the balance against this legislation. When it comes to delays over Keystone, anyone looking for a culprit should now look no further than the Oval Office.”

How can you tell Obama’s Iran policy is flawed? “Khamenei hails Obama’s remarks against Iran strike.”

How can you tell Democrats are nervous about the president’s position? Those in competitive 2012 races — Sens. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.), Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), Jon Tester (D-Mont.) and Robert P. Casey Jr. (D-Pa.) — voted in favor of the Keystone XL pipeline.

How can you tell Rick Santorum hasn’t gotten his act together? “All in all, the Santorum campaign’s organizational missteps mean that it is already at a deficit of at least 30 delegates in the races playing out over the next month – even before voters in those contests have cast their ballots.” Thunk.

How can you tell that the Independent Payment Advisory Board in Obamacare is a loser for Democrats? Republicans keep making them vote on its repeal. “House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan spoke out in support of H.R. 452, the Medicare Decisions Accountability Act of 2011, which passed the Ways and Means Committee earlier today. The bill repeals the Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB), a board of 15 unelected bureaucrats given the power by the President’s new health-care law to make cost-cutting decisions that will lead to restricted access to critical care for seniors.”

How can you tell punditry about Mitt Romney’s weakness is exaggerated? “There have been 23 contests since January. Romney has won 13 of them, finished second seven times, and finished third twice. And he’s come back to win key states (Florida, Michigan, and Ohio) after having been down by double digits just a week or so before the vote. That doesn’t make him a political colossus. It doesn’t make him the next president of the United States. But it does make him the prohibitive favorite to win the GOP nomination. And that ain’t nothin’.”

How can you tell a Guam caucus is coming up? “The Pacific Daily News in Guam reports that Rick Santorum called Republican leaders of the U.S. territory yesterday to discuss local issues and to apologize for remarks he made in January about sending liberal judges to the island.”