Romney sets the bar in the South; AFL-CIO backs Obama; Christie pulls in big bucks for Menendez challenger; and new ads in the Arizona and Nebraska Senate races.

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* Mitt Romney said he “feels good” about tonight’s primaries in Alabama and Mississippi, suggesting he will win at least one-third of the delegates at stake. “You don’t know from polls what will happen, but obviously if the polls are anywhere near correct, we’ll end up, I don’t know, with a third of the delegates? And if that’s the case, that inches us closer to the magic number,” Romney told reporters on his campaign plane, according to the Post’s Jerry Markon. But Romney is unlikely to deliver a speech tonight.

* The AFL-CIO has officially endorsed President Obama for reelection. “With our endorsement today, we affirm our faith in him — and pledge to work with him through the election and his second term to restore fairness, security and shared prosperity,” AFL-CIO president Richard Trumka said in announcing the endorsement.

* New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) raised $600,000 at a fundraiser for state Sen. Joe Kyrillos (R), the top GOP challenger to Sen. Bob Menendez (D-N.J.).

* Former senator George Allen’s (R-Va.) campaign has turned down an offer from former Democratic National Committee chairman Tim Kaine’s campaign to keep super PACs out of the Virginia Senate race. After listing a series of issues in the campaign, Allen wrote, “I respectfully suggest that these are the issues you and I should focus on as well – not Washington political gimmicks.”


* Arizona GOP Senate candidate Wil Cardon is up with his first ad, a $230,000 buy playing up Cardon’s work as a businessman. “It’s time for an outsider who’ll fight for a new direction,” Cardon says in the ad. Cardon is running against Rep. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.) in the open seat primary to replace Sen. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.).

* Speaking of first ads, former senator Bob Kerrey (D-Neb.) is up with two ads for his fledgling campaign. One ad says “America needs to step up its game,” while the other plays up Kerrey’s Nebraska roots. The former senator and governor moved to New York after leaving the Senate but is returning to seek an open Senate seat.

* South Carolina’s new lieutenant governor, Glenn McConnell, is a Confederate flag supporter and Civil War reenactor. And in accepting his new post, he quoted Robert E. Lee. McConnell replaces Ken Ard, who stepped down in the face of an indictment last week.

* A Republican congressional candidate challenging Rep. Dave Loebsack (D-Iowa) wandered into the wrong party’s convention Saturday and delivered a speech to Monroe County Democrats. The GOP convention was being held in the same building. “I get done, a guy raises his hand and says, ‘I think you want to talk to the Republicans,’” the candidate, Dan Dolan, told the Quad City Times.


And Snooki has another product to pitch...

With Chris Cillizza