Iran, Ahmadinejad, nuclear ambitions and the U.S.: “Americans are being played for fools by Iran—and fooling themselves. There is no case to be made that Iran is not pursuing a nuclear weapons capability. There is no evidence that Iran’s decision-makers are willing to stop the nuclear program in exchange for lifting sanctions or anything else. The International Atomic Energy Agency reported on Friday that it has made no progress in its negotiations with Iran and that Iran continues to accelerate its enrichment operations, which are in violation of U.N. Security Council resolutions and agreements with the IAEA,” write Fred Kagan and Maseh Zarif. (Wall Street Journal)

Politico’s Arena asks: Are things looking up for Obama? The Wilson Center’s Aaron David Miller responds. So does Brookings’ Darrell West.

“If the election were held right now, President Obama would likely win by about the same margin that propelled him into office in 2008. But how fragile are his current advantages? The biggest concern for the Democrats (and the best hope for the GOP) is that the president’s lead is far from overwhelming, even though Republicans — and particularly Mitt Romney — have been badly weakened by their nomination battle and Obama has been left largely unmolested by the conservative super PACs,” writes Brookings’ E.J. Dionne. (Washington Post)

“Andrew Exum from the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) summed it up best in his complaint on Twitter that Afghan President Hamid Karzai had appeared to take sides with the protesters against the Americans. ‘In a reversal, with each passing day, Karzai needs U.S. troops in Afghanistan beyond 2014 more than the U.S. does. Does he realize that?’ he wrote. ‘The U.S. has interests in Afghanistan, but surely Karzai sees how they have become less and less important for the U.S. government & public.’” (Reuters)

AEI’s Michael Barone plugs Charles Murray’s (also of AEI) book. (New York Post)

Alan Dershowitz on the continued Israel firsters debate. (New York Daily News)