Brian Schweitzer is running for president as the anti-Obama.
It depends whether people still care about Wall Street reform in 2016.
A lot of pundits are speculating about how the shutdown will effect 2016. Ignore them.
Is there any politician in America with a bigger gap between public persona and backroom effectiveness than Joe Biden?
There are a number of powerful Republicans who would see their futures dimmed by a grand bargin that deals with deficits. That's going to make it harder for them to agree to such a deal -- a particular problem given that one of them chairs the House Budget Committee.
If Ryan wants to be president in 2016 or 2020, he's going to need to figure out how to explain his past ideas -- like privatizing Social Security and eliminating traditional Medicare -- in a way that doesn't threaten his present ambitions.