The Washington Post

Using data from June, Wonkblog's model predicted Obama had a 67 percent chance of winning the election. At the time, I thought that was way, way too high. But the model was right and, going by the latest data, I was wrong.

  • Ezra Klein
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  • Nov 6, 2012
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The conventional wisdom on this election is that if the economy is front and center, Obama will lose. But that's not what the data tells us.

  • Ezra Klein
  • ·
  • Sep 11, 2012
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Overall, more models have Obama winning than not. But the two that don't should give Romney backers hope.

  • Dylan Matthews
  • ·
  • Aug 31, 2012
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