A new Gallup poll takes a closer look at the reasons military action in Syria is so unpopular.
"For the sake of innovation on the Republican side, the best thing that could happen to them is that they lose narrowly on Tuesday, that the story becomes how Obama and his allies ran a mechanically superior campaign, and Republican donors, party leaders, and consultants [say], 'We’re going to lose forever unless we figure out how to make our campaigns better.'"
Don't ask who candidates want to win, two political scientists say. Ask who they think will win instead.
The final polls in a presidential race are rarely wrong by more than a percent or two. But that could matter.
Strong debate showing are associated with gains in the polls - but the relationship is very weak.
The debates probably won't affect the election. And if they do, it'll be the media coverage of them that tips the scale.
National Journal has Obama and Romney tied, and other poll and model results.
Today's Washington Post-ABC News poll would seem to show a tight race. Obama leads Romney nationally by a razor-thin 49 percent to 47 percent. But if you look at swing states, he's leading by double-digits: 52 percent to 41 percent. What gives? It's Romney's margin in the red states that's confusing the numbers.
A daily roundup of new polls and model results.
It looks like 2013-2014 will be 2009-10 redux. Democrats will have all branches of government, but the filibuster will still make life difficult.