Both the 20-year loan and 15-year loan offer significant interest savings. Closing costs will be rolled into the loan. Which would be the best option for us?
A: It seems to us that you have made it a priority to live mortgage-free. It’s a terrific choice for many homeowners, even at today's historic low interest rates.
Given your preferences to pay down your mortgage as fast as you can, we suggest you move forward with the 15-year loan. With the 15-year loan, you’ll be mortgage-free by at least 2035, or perhaps even a few years earlier if you continue to make an extra payment per year. With your current loan, you’ll be mortgage-free no later than 2041. And on your current path, you will save at least six years of interest payments.
We generally think a home-run refinancing is when you can lower your monthly payments (excluding real estate taxes and homeowner’s insurance), lower your overall interest rate, reduce the time it will take to pay off the mortgage, and start enjoying the benefit of the savings within six to nine months of the loan closing.
A rate reduction alone may not be sufficient for us to recommend that you refinance your loan. Frequently, the loan closing fees can be greater than the savings you'd achieve with a loan refinancing and in that case, the rate reduction is not enough.
A lower monthly payment alone is also insufficient to justify refinancing a loan. Let’s say you’re 10 years into your 30-year loan. If you refinance now to lower your monthly payments, but add 10 more years to your loan, those additional 10 years may cause you to pay much more than the savings you are getting from the monthly payments. (If you’re going through a cash crunch, lowering your payments may be enough of a reason to refinance.)
If you find a refinance opportunity that gives you a lower interest rate and lower monthly payments, and you can pay off the loan on or before the time your original loan payoff date would occur, you might be golden.
The one exception has to do with loan closing fees. Those expenses can mount quickly, which is why it’s important to watch how much you’re being charged. For example, if your loan closing fees are $1,000 and your monthly payment goes down by $100, it will take 10 months until your “savings” equals the out-of-pocket costs for the refinance. If, however, your loan closing costs are $6,000, it will take you five years to end up even. We’d rather see you recoup any out-of-pocket closing costs within the first year after a refinance.
Don’t confuse closing costs with other out-of-pocket expenses you’ll have to pay upfront, such as taxes, insurance escrows and other costs in the decision about whether to refinance. That’s not the right way to think about it. You’ll pay those costs no matter what. We know that many borrowers will say that their monthly payment is $1,000 and include in that amount the principal repayment, interest, tax escrow and insurance. But when you’re trying to figure out what you want to do, you shouldn’t factor in the tax and insurance escrows. Just look at the principal and interest part of the payment so your comparison is apples to apples.
We also know that many of our readers believe you should take out as big a loan as possible and for as long as you can and use that money to invest in the stock market.
Let’s say you borrowed the money at about 3 percent and you can use that cash to invest in stocks and earn 8 percent. That would be neat, right? But some of our readers can’t stomach any sort of risk when it comes to their homes. These readers would prefer to know that they have paid off their mortgages, that no longer have to deal with a mortgage lender and that they own their homes free and clear.
We also have plenty of readers who will take out a mortgage and never prepay that loan. They will feel that they’ve borrowed money at a cheap interest rate and use the extra cash to either save for retirement or invest in or perhaps buy another property. They hope that by leveraging historically low interest rates, they’ll make their money work harder for them.
How much risk are you willing to take? Will you sleep at night if you invest the difference and the stock market declines by 30 percent, as it did at the start of the coronavirus pandemic? Or, will you sleep better knowing your home is paid off?
Only you can decide what's right for your financial and personal life.
Ilyce Glink is the author of “100 Questions Every First-Time Home Buyer Should Ask” (4th Edition). She is also the CEO of Best Money Moves, an app that employers provide to employees to measure and dial down financial stress. Samuel J. Tamkin is a Chicago-based real estate lawyer. Contact Ilyce and Sam through her website, ThinkGlink.com.