The prospect of steady profits at U.S.-owned mortgage financiers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is complicating legislative efforts to shrink the federal role in securitizing home loans.
Fannie Mae executives are due this week to release the company’s earnings report for the last quarter of 2012, a filing delayed by an unanticipated problem: The Washington-based mortgage financier is making money and expects to remain steadily profitable.
District-based Fannie Mae and McLean-based Freddie Mac, once thought to be the only financial-crisis bailout recipients that would generate a net loss for taxpayers, are poised to begin funneling healthy quarterly revenue back to the Treasury as the housing market rebounds. The reversal of fortune is creating political and administrative headaches in Washington, where few expected the turnaround and the future of mortgage financing remains undecided.
“The good news is they’re actually starting to make money again,” Sen. Mark R. Warner (D-Va.) told Bloomberg Television last week. “Bad news is, if they make too much money, there may be a sense of, ‘Well, let’s not mess with them anymore.’ We need housing-finance reform.”
Regulators who took the nearly bankrupt enterprises into conservatorship in 2008 didn’t create an avenue for the companies to regain independence because lawmakers were expected to wind them down and replace them before they returned to profitability.
Congress and the Obama administration have taken only baby steps toward an overhaul of housing finance, which remains heavily dependent on federal support. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac buy mortgages from lenders and package them into securities on which they guarantee payments of principal and interest. They’ve drawn $187.5 billion from Treasury and have sent back more than $50 billion in the form of dividends, which count as a return on the government’s investment and not as a repayment.
While proposals for overhauling mortgage finance have ranged from abolishing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to keeping them intact, most of the blueprints under discussion would replace the two companies with some form of government backing for home loans that would only kick in after significant losses to private capital. In the absence of a plan from lawmakers, the companies’ overseer, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, has been requiring them to shrink their footprint and explore merged operations.
Under the terms of an agreement with Treasury that went into effect this year, the enterprises will be allowed to retain only $3 billion in net worth. Any profit beyond that amount will go to taxpayers.
“They have no ability to recapitalize their business,” said Tim Rood, a managing director at Washington-based Collingwood Group, a financial services consulting firm. “They could spin off $100 billion next year, and it wouldn’t make a stitch of difference.”
Numbers on that scale aren’t out of the question. Fannie Mae in a March 14 regulatory filing said it could soon be required to send as much as $62 billion to Treasury because once it is turning a profit, it may have to start counting potential tax credits as part of its net worth. The “deferred tax assets” weren’t reported as assets when Fannie Mae didn’t expect it would ever earn taxable income again.
To address the tax credit issue, the company requested extra time to file its quarterly and annual earnings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and the extension expires this week. Executives are expected to present a solution to the tax-credit issue in the report.
Regardless of whether the tax assets are counted, Fannie Mae said it expects to report “significant net income” for the quarter ended Dec. 31. Freddie Mac reported in February that it earned $11 billion in 2012, compared with a loss of $5.3 billion in 2011. Fannie reported profits of $9.6 billion for the first three quarters of last year.
Whether the companies’ gains will induce lawmakers to move forward with a plan for winding them down remains to be seen. Members of the House and the Senate, who have been holding hearings on the issue, have yet to introduce a comprehensive bill this year.
The White House also doesn’t appear to be moving quickly. Treasury is continuing to work on a blueprint for overhauling housing finance, Michael Stegman, counselor on housing issues to Treasury Secretary Jack Lew, said in an interview last week.