It’s a system that applies negative rates differently to different chunks of the money banks have parked with their central bank. For the ECB, that means that starting Oct. 31, reserves as much as six times the minimum amount a bank is required to hold will be exempt -- the interest rate on that money will be 0%. Any reserves beyond that mark will be subject to the ECB’s new deposit rate of minus 0.5%, a further drop from 0.4%.
2. Why is the ECB doing this now?
Signs of economic weakness both globally and across Europe have led the ECB to institute new stimulus measures, including the lowering of the negative rate. But that’s raised worries about whether the policy might undermine itself. Negative rates were already costing European banks about 7.5 billion euros ($8.25 billion) annually, an amount they called a drain on their profits that could eventually hurt their ability to lend. The ECB’s chief economist, Philip Lane, described tiering as way to strike the right balance.
3. How much will tiering help banks?
The ECB estimates tiering will allow the region’s lenders to save around 4 billion euros a year. Those savings aren’t likely to fall evenly, however.
4. Who’s going to benefit most?
The region’s bigger lenders -- particularly those from Germany, France and the Netherlands -- account for some 40% of all the euro area bank reserves that exceed minimum requirements. That means they’ll see the biggest savings. JPMorgan Chase & Co estimates the measure will save embattled Deutsche Bank -- Germany’s biggest lender -- roughly 200 million euros alone in annual interest payments. That’s not likely to make banks with lower reserves, including many in Italy and other southern European nations, happy. But it could give the richer northern banks a stronger reason to make cross-border loans to their weaker counterparts within the euro region, something the ECB has been trying to encourage since the debt crisis, with only limited success.
5. What else might tiering do?
There’s a risk that adding tiering could undo some of stimulus sought from negative rates -- that it could push the rates in actual interbank lending above the level the ECB is targeting. That’s in part simply because the negative rate will apply more narrowly once some reserves are exempted. Another worry is that banks who currently have fewer reserves than the maximum amount exempted will have an incentive to borrow to get the full benefit of tiering -- an additional demand for borrowing that could drive rates up. However, there’s no evidence of that so far, however, and the ECB has pledged to monitor markets closely and make changes as needed.
6. What would the ECB do if rates go up?
It says it would shrink the level of reserves eligible for exemption from negative rates if the short-term rate is “unduly influenced.” It would do that by lowering the current dividing line between tiers -- the multiplier of six times mandated reserves. The ECB also plans to restart its bond purchasing program, known as quantitative easing, in November. The bank plans to buy 20 billion euros of bonds a month for the foreseeable future, money it deposits with euro area banks, thereby driving up their reserves and holding rates down.
7. How does tiering mesh with other ECB measures?
It’s not the ECB’s only program meant to give banks relief. The central bank recently renewed its Targeted Longer-Term Refinancing Operations program, or TLTRO, which gives banks cheap loans. Banks that meet targets for lending to the private sector can even borrow at a sub-zero rate. Money from the new round of TLTROs could encourage banks in countries such as Italy to borrow through the program to increase their reserves to take full advantage of the tiering exemption quota.
8. Has tiering been done anywhere else?
Yes. Both Switzerland and Japan introduced tiering systems when they began their own negative rates policy, and the ECB’s tiering borrows heavily from the Swiss model. Here’s what the model looks like in those two countries:
The system is also used in Denmark and Sweden. But it’s never been tested before in a multicountry currency zone, where the conditions of banks can vary widely in different parts of the region.
To contact the reporters on this story: Yuko Takeo in Tokyo at firstname.lastname@example.org;Piotr Skolimowski in Frankfurt at email@example.com
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Paul Gordon at firstname.lastname@example.org, David Goodman, Zoe Schneeweiss