One consequence of China’s transformation from a country struggling to feed its 1 billion people into a nascent superpower has been a growing rivalry with the U.S., fueled by suspicion in Washington that the Chinese aim to supplant American hegemony, and fear in China that its rise could be stymied. Flash points are numerous. The U.S. has banned telecommunications giant Huawei Technologies Co. from installing 5G mobile network gear, calling it a national security threat. China cites national security as it moves to curb Hong Kong’s pro-democracy protests, which it accuses the U.S. of fomenting. Washington has condemned the mass detention of Uighurs, a mostly Muslim ethnic group in western China; leaders in Beijing say it’s done to fight terrorism. The coronavirus has engendered rancor as well. China has brandished its relatively low infection and mortality numbers as evidence of how a strong central authority can better navigate crisis. The U.S., citing Beijing’s aversion to free speech, has accused China of stifling early warning signs and thereby squandering the chance to contain it.
From Louis Vuitton stores in Beijing to a buzzing stock exchange in Shanghai, the trappings of capitalism are ubiquitous in China. So too is the hand of the state. This mix of market economics and central control emerged from the trauma of the decade-long Cultural Revolution, which ended when Communist Party patriarch Mao Zedong died in 1976. Taking over a poor and fractured country, Deng Xiaoping made developing the economy the priority, even if it meant contravening core communist ideology that factories, farms and businesses should be communally owned. What emerged was far from laissez-faire. The dominance of state-owned banks helped turn massive pools of savings into financing for roads, rail links and ports. When foreign firms set up shop in China, many were forced to do so with a local partner, thereby inducing the transfer of technology. As a result, the economy grew 90-fold over the next four decades, helping forestall calls for political reform. Under President Xi Jinping, the party ensures it is well-ensconced in ever-more ways. Direct elections are allowed only for some lower-level jobs; horse-trading among party elders determines who climbs the political hierarchy. The party has stoked national pride with Olympic gold medals and missions into space along with increasingly slick propaganda. Tight controls on mass and social media stifle dissent. The government has nurtured world-beating companies developing cutting-edge technologies such as facial recognition and artificial intelligence – tools that can be used to track challengers to its rule. Billionaires are tolerated as long as they toe the party line. A campaign against corruption that’s punished a million bureaucrats aims to ensure everyone stays in line.
Beijing argues its model inoculates policymakers from the short-term demands of an election cycle, creating the stability needed to plan and execute long-term strategies. (The lifting of term limits under Xi in 2018 means he now could stay in office indefinitely.) Centralized power also allows for decisive action such as rapidly quarantining millions in a health crisis. But there’s also much that’s maligned. The lack of checks and balances has led to ruthless enforcement of the party’s rule, such as the 1989 killing of protesters in Tiananmen Square and its treatment of the Uighurs. Xi’s dismantling of the norms for succession put in place after Tiananmen creates a risk of infighting and long-term instability. A monopoly on power also means the party is its own watchdog, leaving the system susceptible to abuse. That can be in the form of falsified economic statistics or bribe-taking cadres. In the case of Covid-19, it allowed doctors trying to raise the alarm to be suppressed by local officials, who were more focused on maintaining order and staying in the good graces of the central government than the threat to those living in the city they governed.
The Reference Shelf
• More QuickTakes on Hong Kong, the Uighurs and Taiwan, and China’s battles with the U.S. over trade and Huawei Technologies Co.
• Bloomberg chief economist Tom Orlik explains why China’s bubble never pops.
• Qiushi, the official magazine of the Communist Party, explains the origins of China’s system, and the official Xinhua News. Agency explains how it will lead to national rejuvenation.
• The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission held a roundtable on the China model.
• Other analyses from Foreign Policy magazine, Foreign Affairs and Frontline.
• Former Australia Prime Minister Kevin Rudd writing on the rise of authoritarian capitalism.
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