President Donald Trump is unhappy that the U.S. Federal Reserve under the chairman he chose, Jerome Powell, raised interest rates. But while the president can authorize military operations, issue rules by executive order, convene Congress and pardon criminals, he can’t do much about the Fed. That doesn’t mean Trump isn’t trying.
1. Why is Trump unhappy with the Fed?
In a series of tweets, interviews and off-the-cuff remarks that break with recent precedent among occupants of the White House, Trump has accused the Fed of “unnecessary and destructive actions.” Had it not “mistakenly raised interest rates,” he tweeted on March 29, U.S. gross domestic product and stock prices “would have both been much higher.” He’s called the Fed “a much bigger problem than China” and said it “doesn’t have a clue.” After nine increases since 2015, the last seven during his presidency, Trump wants the Fed to reduce interest rates and resume buying government securities, the stimulative activity known as quantitative easing.
2. Why can’t Trump tell the Fed what to do?
Unlike the Cabinet secretaries who serve at the president’s pleasure, the central bank is an operationally independent agency, answerable to Congress on its goals but traditionally afforded leeway in pursuing them. The president has no sign-off on interest-rate decisions or other Fed policy. This is in line with the autonomy central banks are afforded throughout the developed world.
3. What can a president do, then?
Complain publicly, as Trump does, breaking a roughly 25-year span of presidents generally not commenting on Fed policy. Or air his complaints in person and with intimidation, as Lyndon Johnson did to Fed Chairman William McChesney Martin in 1965. The president’s most direct power is to choose the people who serve on the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors and who vote on changes to interest rates.
4. Will Trump appoint Fed governors who share his views?
Actually, four of the seven board seats are already filled by Trump appointees: Powell, the chairman, plus Randal Quarles, Richard Clarida and Michelle Bowman. With two more seats to fill, Trump seems intent on appointing people sure to fight for his point of view. He plans to nominate two economists, Christopher Waller and Judy Shelton, thought likely to enthusiastically support his call for lower interest rates. Earlier, he wanted to appoint Stephen Moore, an adviser to his 2016 presidential campaign and a distinguished visiting fellow at the conservative Heritage Foundation, and Herman Cain, the former chief executive officer of Godfather’s Pizza who co-founded a pro-Trump political action committee. But Moore and Cain both withdrew after it became clear they lacked support in the U.S. Senate, which has the power to confirm or reject the president’s picks for the Fed.
5. Do a president’s picks do as he wants?
No, as Trump himself can attest. There have been no dissenting votes on any of the Fed’s four interest-rate hikes under Powell. The Fed makes decisions by consensus, and comments from Trump’s appointees who have already been confirmed suggest that they’re generally in line with the status quo.
6. Can the president fire Fed governors?
The Federal Reserve Act says governors may be “removed for cause” by the president, which generally has been taken to mean “inefficiency, neglect of duty or malfeasance,” as Peter Conti-Brown of the University of Pennsylvania notes in his book on Fed independence. Another area of ambiguity is whether different standards apply to firing the chairman, who simultaneously holds a 14-year appointment as governor and a separate four-year term as chairman. Bloomberg News has reported that Trump discussed firing Powell in late 2018 and asked White House lawyers earlier this year to explore options for removing him as Fed chairman. Trump denied that he’d threatened to demote Powell back to a board governor -- Powell’s term on the board runs until 2028 -- but said he’d “be able to do that if I wanted.” Powell has said that he intends to serve his full four-year term at the helm of the Fed.
7. Has this been tested?
No Fed chief in the modern era has been removed for cause, though President Harry Truman’s public battle with Fed Chairman Thomas McCabe over interest rates (which Truman wanted to keep low) got so intense that McCabe resigned. Powell has indicated he’d resist any effort by Trump to fire him.
--With assistance from Christopher Condon.
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